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1.
Epidemiology ; 29(1): 31-40, 2018 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28991003

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: There is considerable scientific interest in associations between protracted low-dose exposure to ionizing radiation and the occurrence of specific types of cancer. METHODS: Associations between ionizing radiation and site-specific solid cancer mortality were examined among 308,297 nuclear workers employed in France, the United Kingdom, and the United States. Workers were monitored for external radiation exposure and follow-up encompassed 8.2 million person-years. Radiation-mortality associations were estimated using a maximum-likelihood method and using a Markov chain Monte Carlo method, the latter used to fit a hierarchical regression model to stabilize estimates of association. RESULTS: The analysis included 17,957 deaths attributable to solid cancer, the most common being lung, prostate, and colon cancer. Using a maximum-likelihood method to quantify associations between radiation dose- and site-specific cancer, we obtained positive point estimates for oral, esophagus, stomach, colon, rectum, pancreas, peritoneum, larynx, lung, pleura, bone and connective tissue, skin, ovary, testis, and thyroid cancer; in addition, we obtained negative point estimates for cancer of the liver and gallbladder, prostate, bladder, kidney, and brain. Most of these estimated coefficients exhibited substantial imprecision. Employing a hierarchical model for stabilization had little impact on the estimated associations for the most commonly observed outcomes, but for less frequent cancer types, the stabilized estimates tended to take less extreme values and have greater precision than estimates obtained without such stabilization. CONCLUSIONS: The results provide further evidence regarding associations between low-dose radiation exposure and cancer.


Assuntos
Neoplasias/mortalidade , Exposição Ocupacional/estatística & dados numéricos , Radiação Ionizante , Adulto , Neoplasias Ósseas/mortalidade , Neoplasias Encefálicas/mortalidade , Estudos de Coortes , Neoplasias do Colo/mortalidade , Neoplasias do Sistema Digestório/mortalidade , Relação Dose-Resposta à Radiação , Feminino , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , Neoplasias Renais/mortalidade , Neoplasias Laríngeas/mortalidade , Neoplasias Pulmonares/mortalidade , Masculino , Cadeias de Markov , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Método de Monte Carlo , Energia Nuclear , Neoplasias Ovarianas/mortalidade , Neoplasias da Próstata/mortalidade , Doses de Radiação , Análise de Regressão , Neoplasias Cutâneas/mortalidade , Neoplasias Testiculares/mortalidade , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide/mortalidade , Reino Unido/epidemiologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Neoplasias da Bexiga Urinária/mortalidade
2.
Am J Respir Crit Care Med ; 194(2): 198-208, 2016 07 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26815887

RESUMO

RATIONALE: Survivors of critical illness experience significant morbidity, but the impact of surviving the intensive care unit (ICU) has not been quantified comprehensively at a population level. OBJECTIVES: To identify factors associated with increased hospital resource use and to ascertain whether ICU admission was associated with increased mortality and resource use. METHODS: Matched cohort study and pre/post-analysis using national linked data registries with complete population coverage. The population consisted of patients admitted to all adult general ICUs during 2005 and surviving to hospital discharge, identified from the Scottish Intensive Care Society Audit Group registry, matched (1:1) with similar hospital control subjects. Five-year outcomes included mortality and hospital resource use. Confounder adjustment was based on multivariable regression and pre/post within-individual analyses. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Of 7,656 ICU patients, 5,259 survived to hospital discharge (5,215 [99.2%] matched to hospital control subjects). Factors present before ICU admission (comorbidities/pre-ICU hospitalizations) were stronger predictors of hospital resource use than acute illness factors. In the 5 years after the initial hospital discharge, compared with hospital control subjects, the ICU cohort had higher mortality (32.3% vs. 22.7%; hazard ratio, 1.33; 95% confidence interval, 1.22-1.46; P < 0.001), used more hospital resources (mean hospital admission rate, 4.8 vs. 3.3/person/5 yr), and had 51% higher mean 5-year hospital costs ($25,608 vs. $16,913/patient). Increased resource use persisted after confounder adjustment (P < 0.001) and using pre/post-analyses (P < 0.001). Excess resource use and mortality were greatest for younger patients without significant comorbidity. CONCLUSIONS: This complete, national study demonstrates that ICU survivorship is associated with higher 5-year mortality and hospital resource use than hospital control subjects, representing a substantial burden on individuals, caregivers, and society.


Assuntos
Cuidados Críticos/economia , Cuidados Críticos/estatística & dados numéricos , Estado Terminal/economia , Estado Terminal/mortalidade , Custos Hospitalares/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Humanos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva/economia , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva/estatística & dados numéricos , Tempo de Internação/economia , Tempo de Internação/estatística & dados numéricos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Sistema de Registros , Escócia/epidemiologia , Fatores Sexuais , Sobreviventes/estatística & dados numéricos
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