Trends in the incidence of rib and sternal fractures: A nationwide study of the global burden of disease database, 1990-2019.

INTRODUCTION: Fractures of the ribs and sternum are associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Characterization of the injury burden across England is necessary to inform and evaluate developments in trauma care and infrastructure, however is yet to be comprehensively undertaken. Therefore, the aim of this study was to describe trends in the incidence of sternal and rib fractures across England between 1990 and 2019. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Age-standardised incidence rates (ASIRs) for rib and sternal fractures in males and females were extracted from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study by all causes, falls and road traffic collisions for 9 sub-regions of England. Temporal trends within the study period were analysed using Joinpoint regression analysis. RESULTS: The overall ASIRs in England in 2019 were 30.34/100,000 and 46.02/100,000 for females and males, respectively. Between 1990 and 2019, the estimated overall percentage change across England was +0.20 % among females and -7.05 % among males. A statistically significant increase in ASIR was observed in all 9 sub-regions of England among females from 2014-2019 (p<0.001). Among males, a statistically significant increase in ASIR was observed in 7 of the 9 regions from 2014-2019 (p<0.001) and in the remaining 2 regions from 2015-2019 (p<0.001). DISCUSSION: Increasing ASIRs of rib and sternal fractures were observed among females and decreasing ASIRs among males, with overall ASIRs higher among males. Developments in trauma infrastructure and associated variations in diagnostic and management strategies over the observation period likely contribute to changes in the national injury burden. The findings are suggestive of the importance of ongoing financial investment in trauma infrastructure and of clear clinical guidelines to manage an increasing national injury burden.

Type 1 diabetes mellitus disease burden in high health expenditure countries between 1990 and 2019.

OBJECTIVE: This observational study assesses trends in type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) disease burden across the 19 countries of the European Union (EU) 15+ between 1990 and 2019. METHODS: The Global Burden of Disease Study database was used to gather T1DM age-standardised incidence (ASIR), prevalence (ASPR), mortality (ASMR), and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) rates per 100,000 for each EU15+ country (1990 - 2019). Joinpoint regression analysis was used to describe the trends. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, T1DM ASIRs and ASPRs increased globally except for females in Finland (-2.9% and -9.4%), the largest increase in ASPR for males and females was observed in France (+144.4% and +137.5% respectively). All had reductions in ASMRs for males and females, with the largest observed in Spain (-56.7% and -79.0% respectively). Trends in DALYs were variable across countries, with increases in DALYs noted in 14/19 for males, and 9/19 for females. Denmark, Finland, Norway, Netherlands, and Sweden had a reduction in DALYs for both males and females. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality from T1DM is reducing across EU15+ countries, despite concomitant increases in incidence and prevalence rates. Trends in DALYs are variable across countries, reflecting differential trends in the disease burden across countries with similarly high health expenditure.

Trends in the mortality, incidence and disability-adjusted life-years of appendicitis in EU15+ countries: an observational study of the Global Burden of Disease Database, 1990-2019.

BACKGROUND: Appendicitis places a substantial burden on healthcare systems, with acute appendicitis alone being the most common abdominal surgical emergency worldwide. Further characterisation of the disease burden in EU15+ countries may help optimise the distribution of healthcare resources. The aim of this observational study was to assess the trends in mortality, incidence and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) of appendicitis across European Union (EU) 15+ countries between the years 1990 and 2019, Supplemental Digital Content 3, http://links.lww.com/JS9/A589 . MATERIALS AND METHODS: Age-standardised mortality rates (ASMRs), age-standardised incidence rates (ASIRs) and DALYs data for appendicitis in males and females were extracted from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. Temporal trends within the study period were analysed using Joinpoint regression analysis. RESULTS: The median ASMRs across EU15+ countries in 2019 were 0.08/100 000 and 0.13/100 000 for females and males, respectively. Between 1990 and 2019 the median percentage change in ASMR was -52.12% for females and -53.18% in males. The median ASIRs in 2019 for females and males were 251/100 000 and 278/100 000, respectively, with a median percentage change of +7.22% for females and +3.78% for males during the observation period. Decreasing trends in DALYs were observed over the 30-year study period, with median percentage changes of -23.57% and -33.81% for females and males, respectively, Supplemental Digital Content 3, http://links.lww.com/JS9/A589 . CONCLUSION: Overall, a general trend of decreasing appendicitis ASMRs and DALYs was observed across EU15+ countries, despite small overall increases in appendicitis ASIRs, Supplemental Digital Content 3, http://links.lww.com/JS9/A589 . Variations in both diagnostic and management strategies over the study period are likely contributory to the changing trends.

Trends in keratinocyte skin cancer incidence, mortality and burden of disease in 33 countries between 1990 and 2017.

BACKGROUND: Keratinocyte cancers (KCs) are the most common type of cancer in the White population worldwide, with associated high healthcare costs. Understanding the epidemiological trends for KCs, namely basal cell carcinomas (BCCs) and cutaneous squamous cell carcinomas (SCCs), is required to assess burden of disease, project future trends and identify strategies for addressing this pressing global health issue. OBJECTIVES: To report trends in BCC and SCC incidence, and SCC mortality and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs). METHODS: An observational study of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database between 1990 and 2017 was performed. European Union countries and other selected high-income countries, including the UK and the USA, classified as having high-quality mortality data, were included. Annual age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs), age-standardized death rates (ASDRs) and DALYs for each country were obtained from the GBD database. Trends were described using joinpoint regression analysis. RESULTS: Overall, 33 countries were included. For both BCC and SCC in 2015-2017, the highest ASIRs were observed in the USA and Australia. Males had higher ASIRs than females at the end of the observation period in all countries for SCC, and in all countries but two for BCC. In contrast, the highest ASDRs for SCC were observed in Australia and Latvia for males, and in Romania and Croatia for females. The highest DALYs for SCC for both sexes were seen in Australia and Romania. Over the observation period, there were more countries demonstrating decreasing trends in mortality than in incidence, and disparities were observed between which countries had comparatively high mortality rates and which had high incidence rates. Overall reductions in SCC DALYs were observed in 24 of 33 countries for males, and 25 countries for females. CONCLUSIONS: Over the past 27 years, although trends in SCC incidence have risen in most countries, there is evidence that mortality rates have been decreasing. Burden of disease as assessed using DALYs has decreased in the majority of countries. Future work will explore potential explanatory factors for the observed disparity in trends in SCC incidence and mortality.

Trends in prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years relating to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in Europe: an observational study of the global burden of disease database, 2001-2019.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) is associated with significant mortality and well-defined aetiological factors. Previous reports indicate that mortality from COPD is falling worldwide. This study aims to assess the burden of COPD using prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) between 2001 and 2019 in 28 European countries (the European Union and the United Kingdom). METHODS: We extracted COPD data from the Global Burden of Disease database based on the International Classification of Diseases versions 10 (J41, 42, 43, 44 and 47). Age-standardised prevalence rates (ASPRs), age-standardised mortality rates (ASMRs), and DALYs were analysed for European countries by sex for each year (2001-2019) and reported per 100,000 population. We used Joinpoint regression analysis to quantify changing trends in the burden of COPD. RESULTS: In 2019, the median ASPR across Europe was 3230/100,000 for males and 2202/100,000 for females. Between 2001 and 2019, the median percentage change in ASPR was - 9.7% for males and 4.3% for females. 23/28 countries demonstrated a decrease in ASPRs in males, and 11/28 demonstrated a decrease in females. The median percentage change in ASMR between 2001 and 2019 was - 27.5% for males and - 10.4% for females. 25/28 and 19/28 countries demonstrated a decrease in ASMR in males and females, respectively. CONCLUSION: In the EU between 2001 and 2019 COPD prevalence has overall increased in females but continues to decrease in males and in some countries, female prevalence now exceeds that of males. COPD mortality in the EU has decreased overall between 2001 and 2019; however, this decrease is not universal, particularly in females, and therefore remains a substantial source of amenable mortality.

A Comparison of the Burden of Thyroid Cancer Among the European Union 15+ Countries, 1990-2019: Estimates From the Global Burden of Disease Study.

Importance: The global incidence of thyroid cancer has been increasing rapidly, and this increase has had an attendant burden on health systems. However, it is unclear how the burden of this disease differs among the pre-2004 countries of the European Union (Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, and the UK), US, Australia, Canada, and Norway (EU15+). Objective: To assess the trends in mortality, incidence, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) associated with thyroid cancer between 1990 and 2019 in EU15+ nations. Data analysis was conducted from July 11 to October 11, 2021. Design, Setting, and Participants: Observational cross-sectional analysis of the incidence of thyroid cancer was conducted using data obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study database. Nineteen countries of the EU15+ were included. Exposures: Thyroid cancer. Main Outcomes and Measures: Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs), age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) and DALYs were extracted for individual EU15+ countries per sex for each of the years from 1990 to 2019, and mortality-to-incidence indexes were computed. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to describe the trends. Results: Thirteen of 19 countries (68%) showed an average annual percentage change increase in ASIR across the study period (range, 0.2%-2.5%). Joinpoint regression analysis revealed largely plateauing ASIR trends in recent years across most EU15+ nations since 1990. Between 2011 and 2019, the estimated annual percentage change in the US was 0. Australia, Denmark, and the US were the only countries with increasing ASMR trends with positive average annual percentage changes: Australia, 0.6 (95% CI, 0.2-1.0); Denmark, 1.0 (95% CI, 0.8-1.3); and US, 0.4 (95% CI, 0.4-0.5); the remaining 16 countries showed negative trends (range, -0.2 to -2.1). Disability-adjusted life-years decreased in all EU15+ countries except Australia, Denmark, and the US. Conclusions and Relevance: This cross-sectional analysis found that overall, the burden of thyroid cancer across EU15+ countries appears to be decreasing, evidenced by plateauing incidence rates and reductions in mortality and DALYs over the 30-year study period. However, the US and Australia appear to have increasing ASMR and DALY trends. Ongoing observation is required to monitor how changes in international clinical practice guidelines affect thyroid cancer DALYs and mortality.

An observational epidemiological study to analyze intracerebral hemorrhage across the United States: Incidence and mortality trends from 1990 to 2017.

OBJECTIVES: Intracerebral Hemorrhage (ICH) accounts for 10% of strokes annually in the United States (US). Up-to-date trends in disease burden and regional variations remain unknown. Our study reports updated trends of ICH incidence, mortality, and mortality to incidence ratio (MIR) across the US. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Observational study to evaluate the incidence and mortality from ICH across the US. Data was obtained from Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database. Age-Standardized Incidence (ASIRs) and Death (ASDRs) Rates, as well as the Mortality- to-Incidence ratios (MIRs) for ICH in the US overall and state-wise from 1990-2017. Joinpoint regression analysis was used, with presentation of estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs). RESULTS: Overall decrease in ASIRs, ASDRs, and MIRs in the US for both sexes. The 2017 mean ASIR was 25.67/100,000 for men and 19.17/100,000 for women, whereas mean ASDR was 13.96/100,000 for men and 11.35/100,000 for women. District of Columbia had greatest decreases in ASIR EAPCs for both men and women at -41.25% and -40.58%, respectively, and greatest decreases in ASDR EAPCs for men and women at -55.38% and -48.51%, respectively. MIR between 1990-2017 decreased in men by -12.12% and women by -7.43%. MIR increased in men from 2014-2017 (EAPC +2.2%) and in women from 2011-2017 (EAPC +1.0%). CONCLUSION: Decreasing trends in incidence, mortality, and MIR. No significant trends in mortality were found in the last 6 years of the study period. MIR worsened in males from 2014-2017 and females from 2011-2017, suggesting decreased ICH-related survival lately.

Trends in type 2 diabetes mellitus disease burden in European Union countries between 1990 and 2019.

This observational study aimed to assess trends in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) disease burden in European Union countries for the years 1990-2019. Sex specific T2DM age-standardised prevalence (ASPRs), mortality (ASMRs) and disability-adjusted life-year rates (DALYs) per 100,000 population were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study online results tool for each EU country (inclusive of the United Kingdom), for the years 1990-2019. Trends were analysed using Joinpoint regression analysis. Between 1990 and 2019, increases in T2DM ASPRs were observed for all EU countries. The highest relative increases in ASPRs were observed in Luxembourg (males + 269.1%, females + 219.2%), Ireland (males + 191.9%, females + 165.7%) and the UK (males + 128.6%, females + 114.6%). Mortality trends were less uniform across EU countries, however a general trend towards reducing T2DM mortality was observed, with ASMRs decreasing over the 30-year period studied in 16/28 countries for males and in 24/28 countries for females. The UK observed the highest relative decrease in ASMRs for males (- 46.9%). For females, the largest relative decrease in ASMRs was in Cyprus (- 67.6%). DALYs increased in 25/28 countries for males and in 17/28 countries for females between 1990 and 2019. DALYs were higher in males than females in all EU countries in 2019. T2DM prevalence rates have increased across EU countries over the last 30 years. Mortality from T2DM has generally decreased in EU countries, however trends were more variable than those observed for prevalence. Primary prevention strategies should continue to be a focus for preventing T2DM in at risk groups in EU countries.

The 'National Finals Revision Day' Teaching Strategy: A Cost-Effective Way to Pass Medical School 'Finals' and Upskill Junior Doctors.

Courses to help medical students pass 'Finals' already exist but are typically expensive or can only be attended by a limited number of students. We describe the success of 'The National Finals Revision Day' (NFRD) course, which we believe is sustainable and unique in terms of its combined scale and cost (£10 per person). The course was organised and taught by 12 junior doctors. In total, 300 students attended from 55% of UK medical schools. Attendees found the course both relevant (96.4%) and cost-effective (97%), whilst the 11 medical and surgical talks were of a high standard (90.1%). The organising committee felt confident to organise their own teaching course in the future with 100% having already run a course themselves since the NFRD course. The NFRD course was also used by 11/12 (91.7%) of the organising committee to achieve their Annual Review of Competency Progression (ARCP) and 12/12 (100%) of the organising committee to obtain jobs on training programmes in the UK. We provide guidance about how to organise similar large-scale events for those interested. Moving forward, the teaching course will be run at: (i) multiple times; (ii) multiple UK venues; (iii) run over two days to cover more medical and surgical topics; and (iv) include the option of attending via video link.

A Methodological Assessment of Diabetic Foot Syndrome Clinical Practice Guidelines.

OBJECTIVE: Diabetic foot syndrome (DFS) contributes to significant morbidity in diabetic patients. Diagnostic and therapeutic approaches to DFS may be summarised in clinical practice guidelines (CPGs) to aid clinical practice but may only benefit patients if the CPG is of high quality. This study determines the methodological quality of DFS CPGs using a validated assessment tool to identify CPGs adequate for use in clinical practice. METHODS: Medline, EMBASE, and CPG databases were searched to 31 May 2019. Reference lists were also searched. Full text English evidence based DFS CPGs were included. CPGs based on expert consensus, guideline summaries, or those only available if purchased were excluded. Four reviewers independently assessed methodological quality using the Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation II instrument. An overall guideline assessment scaled score of ≥80% was considered to be of adequate quality to recommend use. RESULTS: Sixteen CPGs were identified. Good inter-reviewer reliability (ICC 0.985, 95% CI 0.980-0.989) was achieved. Poor scores were noted in domains 2 (stakeholder involvement), 5 (applicability), and 6 (editorial independence). Significant methodological heterogeneity was observed in all domains with the most noted in domain 6 (mean scaled score 43.2 ± 32.1%). Four CPGs achieved overall assessment scores of ≥80%. CONCLUSION: Four CPGs were considered to be adequate for clinical practice based on methodological quality. However, elements of methodological quality were still lacking, and all CPGs had areas for improvement, potentially through increased multidisciplinary team involvement and trial application of recommendations. Methodological rigour may be improved using structured approaches with validated CPG creation tools in the future. Future work should also assess recommendation accuracy using available validated assessment tools.