Characteristics, management, and healthcare resources of patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer surviving 5 years after nivolumab treatment initiation: A national database analysis.

BACKGROUND: Data on long-term survivors with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with nivolumab are available from randomized trials. Characteristics, management, and healthcare resources of those patients need to be confirmed with real-world data. METHODS: The UNIVOC retrospective observational study included all patients with advanced NSCLC recorded in the French national hospital database starting nivolumab in 2015 and followed them until December 2020. The Kaplan-Meier method estimated the overall survival (OS). A machine learning approach identified patients with similar treatment sequences. RESULTS: Within the 3,050 patients who had nivolumab initiation,5-year OS rate was 14.6 % (95 %CI 13.3 %-16.2 %). In total, data covering at least 5 years of follow-up were retrieved for 231 surviving patients. Survivors were younger, often female and had fewer comorbidities than non-survivors. Three clusters of patients with different nivolumab treatment durations were identified: 1/ Continuous nivolumab treatment; 2/ Long period of nivolumab treatment followed by chemotherapy or no treatment; 3/ Short period of nivolumab treatment then chemotherapy or no treatment. At 5 years, 61.0 % of survivors were no longer receiving systemic therapy, 26.4 % were treated with nivolumab, 8.7 % chemotherapy, and 3.9 % other immunotherapies. Among 5-y survivor patients, the average number of hospitalisations per patient decreased from 23.4 to 12.8 between the 1st and the 5th year. In the 5th year, 46 % of patients had no more hospitalization for lung cancer. CONCLUSIONS: This large nationwide study confirms the long-term benefit of nivolumab treatment for advanced NSCLC patients in the real-world setting, with a 5-year survival rate similar to that reported in clinical trials.

Long-term hospital resource utilization and associated costs of care for patients initiating nivolumab in advanced non-small cell lung cancer in France.

OBJECTIVES: In advanced cancers, healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) and costs usually increase until death. However, few studies have measured HCRU over time in patients treated with immunotherapies. The objective was to describe the evolution of HCRU and costs over four years for patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (aNSCLC) initiating nivolumab. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Based on the French hospital reimbursement database, all aNSCLC patients initiating nivolumab in the 2nd line or later in 2015 or 2016 were followed until 2019. HCRU (including hospitalizations and hospital visits) and costs (payer perspective) were described annually after nivolumab initiation. Trends in HCRU were analyzed with the Mann-Kendall test. As most patients did not reach the four-year follow-up, cost-analysis was performed without adjustment throughout, without adjustment in uncensored cases only or with adjustment using for all patients using the Bang&Tsiatis method. RESULTS: 10,452 patients initiating nivolumab were evaluated. The percentage of patients hospitalized or with hospital visits decreased (p < .001) over the four-year follow-up with the exception of consultations. The number of hospital visits per patient decreased from 23.3 in Y1 to 13.2 in Y4 without adjustment and 18.3 with adjustment (p < .001). The overall hospitalization duration per patient (days) decreased from 36.0 (Y1) to 14.9 (Y4-unadjusted) and 20.5 (Y4-adjusted) (p < .001). Annual per capita costs also decreased. The method without adjustment provided the lowest cost over time (€44,404 (Y1), €32,206 (Y2); €28,552 (Y3); €18,841(Y4)) while the Bang&Tsiatis method presented the highest cost (€45,002 (Y1), €36,330 (Y2); €35,080 (Y3); €28,931 (Y4)). CONCLUSION: HCRU and costs for NSCLC patients treated with nivolumab decreased over time. Cost estimates are dependent on the statistical method used to take into account uncertainty, but costs decreased over time whatever the method used.

A Review of Overall Survival Extrapolations of Immune-Checkpoint Inhibitors Used in Health Technology Assessments by the French Health Authorities.

OBJECTIVES: Extrapolation is often required to inform cost-effectiveness (CE) evaluations of immune-checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) since survival data from pivotal clinical trials are seldom complete. The objectives of this study were to evaluate the accuracy of estimates of long-term overall survival (OS) predicted in French CE assessment reports of ICIs, and to identify models presenting the best fit to the observed long-term survival data. METHODS: A systematic review of French assessment reports of ICIs in the metastatic setting since inception until May 2020 was performed. A targeted literature review was conducted to collect associated extended follow-up of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) used in the CE assessment reports. Difference between projected and observed OS was calculated. A range of standard parametric and spline-based models were applied to the extended follow-up data from the RCT to determine the best-fitting survival models. RESULTS: Of the 121 CE assessment reports published, 11 reports met the inclusion criteria. OS was underestimated in 73 percent of the CE assessment reports. The mean relative difference between each source was -13 percent (median: -15 percent; IQR: -0.4 to 26 percent). Models providing the best fit were those that could reflect nonmonotonic hazards. CONCLUSIONS: Based on the available data at the time of submission, longer-term survival of ICIs was not fully captured by the extrapolation models used in CE assessments. Standard and flexible parametric models which can capture nonmonotonic hazard functions provided the best fit to the extended follow-up data. However, these models may still have performed poorly if fitted to survival data available at the time of submission to the French National Authority for Health.