Global, regional, and national burden of neurological disorders in 204 countries and territories worldwide.

Background: We aimed to determine the incidence and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) of neurological disorders worldwide from 1990 to 2019. Methods: We obtained age-standardised incidence and DALY rates of neurological disorders in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019 from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database. We determined trends stratified by age, sex, region, country, and Social Development Index (SDI) and the risk factors contributing to DALYs associated with these neurological disorders. Results: The largest increases in the age-standardised incidence rates of neurological disorders in 1990-2019 occurred in four regions (East Asia: estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) = 0.19, tropical Latin America: EAPC = 0.07, Southern Latin America: EAPC = 0.03, Western Europe: EAPC = 0.03) and three countries (China: EAPC = 0.20, Ecuador: EAPC = 0.13, Italy: EAPC = 0.13). We observed the largest increases in age-standardised incidence rates for Parkinson disease, idiopathic epilepsy, and bipolar disorder, and in age-standardised DALY rates for Alzheimer disease and other dementias. High-SDI regions showed the highest EAPC for age-standardised incidence rates of Parkinson disease, depression, and motor neuron disease, and age-standardised DALY rates of neurological disorders. Conclusions: There is a need to control the increase in age-standardised incidence rates of neurological disorders in East Asia, tropical Latin America, Southern Latin America, and Western Europe, particularly in China, Ecuador, and Italy.

Global Burden of Cardiovascular Disease from 1990 to 2019 Attributable to Dietary Factors.

BACKGROUND: Although dietary factors play a crucial role in the incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD), the specific dietary risk factors vary across regions and require further investigation. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to analyze the burden of CVD due to different dietary factors by sex, age, and sociodemographic index (SDI) for 204 countries and territories between 1990 and 2019. METHODS: Data were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 and analyzed to determine population attributable fractions (PAFs), mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and trends thereof, for CVDs attributable to dietary risk factors from 1990 to 2019. We used a generalized linear model with a Gaussian distribution to calculate the estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) in CVD mortality and DALY rates attributable to dietary risk factors. We also used a comparative risk-assessment framework to estimate CVD mortality and DALYs attributable to dietary risk factors. RESULTS: Approximately 40% of CVD mortality and DALY rates were attributable to dietary risk factors, with high-sodium intake, low whole grain intake, and low legume intake being the greatest dietary risk factors globally. Moreover, high SDI regions had the highest PAFs for CVD mortality and DALYs associated with high red and processed meat intake, middle SDI regions had the highest PAFs with high-sodium intake, and low SDI regions had the highest PAFs with low fruit and vegetable intake. The highest PAFs for CVD mortality and DALYs were associated with low whole grain intake in 13 and 9 regions, respectively. CONCLUSION: Reducing sodium intake and increasing whole grain and legume intake should be the top priority worldwide for improving regional diets and thereby decreasing CVD burdens. Other priorities should be set for regions with different SDIs, depending on the predominant dietary risk factors for CVDs in the respective regions.

Projected Global Trends in Ischemic Stroke Incidence, Deaths and Disability-Adjusted Life Years From 2020 to 2030.

BACKGROUND: We projected global trends in ischemic stroke from 2020 to 2030 according to age, sex, and socio-demographic index (SDI) quintile. METHODS: Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were used to project trends in the incidence of deaths from and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) due to ischemic stroke between 2020 and 2030. EAPCs were computed using generalized additive models and data from the Global Burden of Disease study during the 1990 to 2019 period. RESULTS: The global age-standardized incidence rate of ischemic stroke was projected to increase to 89.32 per 100 000 population in 2030 (EAPC=0.89), whereas the associated global age-standardized death and DALY rates were projected to decrease to 18.28 (EAPC, -3.58) and 500.37 per 100 000 (EAPC=-1.75), respectively, in 2030. The projections indicated a higher age-standardized incidence rate of ischemic stroke among women than among men in 2030 (90.70 versus 87.64 per 100 000). The incidence rate of ischemic stroke was projected to increase across all age groups and SDI quintiles between 2020 and 2030. At the national level, the greatest increase in the age-standardized incidence rate of ischemic stroke between 2020 and 2030 was projected to occur in Cyprus (EAPC=4.16), followed by Palestine (EAPC=3.50) and South Africa (EAPC=2.64). Additionally, the projections suggested increases in the age-standardized death and DALY rates due to ischemic stroke for countries in low-SDI quintiles (EAPC=3.68 and EAPC=5.30, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The projections indicated that the incidence rate of ischemic stroke will increase both sexes, all age groups, and all SDI quintiles and in some countries between 2020 and 2030. Furthermore, countries with a low SDI should be aware of potential increases in the age-standardized death and DALY due to ischemic stroke.

Non-communicable Disease-Related Sustainable Development Goals for 66 Belt and Road Initiative Countries.

BACKGROUND: Since 2015, the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) has measured progress in achieving health-related Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) annually worldwide. Little is known about the status and attainment of indicators of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) by 65 countries from the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) proposed by China in 2013. METHODS: Data from GBDs were used to estimate 24 NCD-related SDG indicators in BRI countries from 1990 to 2017. Each indicator was scored from 0 to 100 to compare multiple indicators over the study period. The natural log of the annual change in each location and year and weighted annual rates of change were used to generate projections for 2030. National-level estimates were determined by socio-demographic index (SDI) quintiles in BRI countries with more than 1 million inhabitants. RESULTS: In 2017, the median overall score of NCD-related SDG index for the 66 BRI countries was 60 points, ranging from 29 points in Afghanistan to 84 points in Israel. More than 80% of countries achieved the SDG 2030 maternal mortality (MM) rate target in 2017, and the national skilled birth attendance rate was above 99% in more than 59% countries. However, none of the BRI countries achieved the goal for children's overweight, modern methods of contraception, and universal health coverage. It was predicted that 80.4% of NCD-related SDG targets would be achieved in these countries by 2030. The overall score of NCD-related SDG index were positively associated with SDI quintiles. CONCLUSION: For many indicators, the achieved progress in many countries is less than the annual rate necessary to meet SDG targets, indicating that substantial efforts need to be made in the coming years. Progress should be accelerated through collaborations between countries, implementation of NCD prevention and control strategies, and monitoring of inequalities in NCD-related SDGs within populations.

Global Burden of Ischemic Stroke in Young Adults in 204 Countries and Territories.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: To estimate the rates of incidence, death, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of ischemic stroke in young adults aged 15-49 years and the relevant risk factors by sex, age group, and sociodemographic index (SDI) in 204 countries and territories. METHODS: Data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) 2019 study were used. The estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to evaluate the temporal trends from 1990 to 2019. We also estimated the risk factors contributing to DALYs resulting from ischemic stroke. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, the global age-standardized incidence (EAPC = -0.97), death (EAPC = -0.11), and DALYs rates (EAPC = -0.55) of ischemic stroke in young adults decreased. The largest increases in age-standardized incidence, death, and DALYs rates were observed in the low and low-middle SDI quintiles. At the regional level, North Africa and the Middle East and Southeast Asia showed the largest increases in the age-standardized incidence, death, and DALYs rates of ischemic stroke. The age-standardized incidence rate was higher among young women than among young men in 2019. Globally, a high environmental temperature, high body mass index (BMI), and a high fasting plasma glucose contributed to the largest increases in age-standardized DALYs rates between 1990 and 2019. In the same period, the largest increases in the age-standardized DALYs rates in high-SDI and low-SDI regions were attributable to high environmental temperatures and alcohol use, respectively. DISCUSSION: The burden of ischemic stroke in young adults continues to increase in low-SDI regions such as North Africa and the Middle East and Southeast Asia. There were differences in the primary risk factors related to the burden of ischemic stroke in different SDI regions. Targeted implementation of cost-effective policies and interventions is an urgent need to reduce the burden of ischemic stroke in young adults.

Burden of Nutritional Deficiencies in China: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized incidence rate of nutritional deficiencies in China remained stable. However, the age-standardized disability-adjusted life-years (DALY) rate of nutritional deficiencies decreased from 1990 to 2019. Data were extracted from the GBD 2019 datasets. Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to assess the incidence rate, and DALY trends of nutritional deficiencies. Measures were stratified by subtypes, regions, and age groups. In 2019, the age-standardized DALY rates of dietary iron deficiency and protein-energy malnutrition reached their highest levels. The main population groups with protein-energy malnutrition and dietary iron deficiency were adults over the age of 70 and children under the age of five. The latter group also had a greater burden of vitamin A deficiency. Zhejiang, Beijing, and Guangdong reported the highest age-standardized incidence rates of nutritional deficiencies, which mainly pertained to protein-energy malnutrition and vitamin A deficiency. Tibet, Xinjiang, and Hainan had the highest age-standardized DALY rates of nutritional deficiencies, which mainly pertained to dietary iron deficiency and protein-energy malnutrition.

Global, Regional, and National Burden of Cancer in Children Younger Than 5 Years, 1990-2019: Analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

Objectives: To quantify the burden and variation trends of cancers in children under 5 years at the global, regional, and national levels from 1990 to 2019. Methods: Epidemiological data for children under 5 years who were diagnosed with any one childhood cancer were obtained from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) from 1990 to 2019. The outcomes were the absolute numbers and rates of incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for different types of cancer. Results: In 2019, 8,774,979.1 incident cases (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 6,243,599.2 to11,737,568.5) and 8,956,583.8 (6,446,323.9 to 12,364,520.8) prevalent cases of cancer in children under 5 years were identified worldwide; these cancers resulted in 44,451.6 (36,198.7 to 53,905.9) deaths and 3,918,014.8 (3,196,454.9 to 4,751,304.2) DALYs. From 1990 to 2019, although the numbers of incident and prevalent cases only decreased by -4.6% (-7.0 to -2.2) and -8.3% (-12.6 to -3.4), respectively, the numbers of deaths and DALYs clearly declined by -47.8% (-60.7 to -26.4) and -47.7% (-60.7 to -26.2), respectively. In 2019, the middle sociodemographic index (SDI) regions had the highest incidence and prevalence, whereas the low SDI regions had the most mortality and DALYs. Although all of the SDI regions displayed a steady drop in deaths and DALYs between 1990 and 2019, the low-middle and low SDI regions showed increasing trends of incidence and prevalence. Leukemia remained the most common cancer globally in 2019. From 1990 to 2019, the burdens of leukemia, liver cancer, and Hodgkin's lymphoma declined, whereas the incidence and prevalence of other cancers grew, particularly testicular cancer. Conclusions: The global childhood cancer burden in young children has been steadily decreasing over the past three decades. However, the burdens and other characteristics have varied across different regions and types of cancers. This highlights the need to reorient current treatment strategies and establish effective prevention methods to reduce the global burden of childhood cancer.

Evolving Patterns of Nutritional Deficiencies Burden in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: Findings from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study.

Low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) suffered the most from nutritional deficiencies (NDs). Although decades of efforts have reduced it, little is known about the changing trajectory of ND burden in LMICs. By extracting data of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019, we calculated indicators of incidence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) to measure the burden of NDs and its main subcategories in LMICs, including protein-energy malnutrition, iodine deficiency, vitamin A deficiency, dietary iron deficiency, and other nutritional deficiencies by sex, age and spatial patterns. In LMICs, ND incidence still increased in the age group 15+ born before 2005, especially in males. The effort of reducing the DALYs of NDs has generated a strong decline in per age group. In the main subcategories of NDs, protein-energy malnutrition incidence in males age 45+ born before 1970 still increased. Despite vitamin A deficiency incidence and dietary iron deficiency, DALYs strongly experienced decreases over three decades while still remaining at the heaviest level in 2019, especially in females and children under 5 years. The top largest tendency estimates occurred in Mali' females and Bhutan' males. Zimbabwe was the only country with increased DALYs rate tendency in both sexes.

Global Burden of Vitamin A Deficiency in 204 Countries and Territories from 1990-2019.

Vitamin A deficiency (VAD) is one of the important public health issues worldwide. However, a detailed understanding of the incidence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) due to VAD in recent years is lacking. We aimed to estimate the incidence and DALYs of VAD at global, regional, and national levels in terms of sex, age, and socio-demographic index (SDI). Using data from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study, the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was measured to assess trends in the age-standardized incidence and DALY rates from 1990 to 2019. The global age-standardized incidence and DALY rates of VAD decreased with an EAPC of −3.11% (95% confidence interval (CI): −3.24% to −2.94%) and −2.18% (95% CI: −2.38% to −1.93%), respectively. The age-standardized incidence and DALY rates decreased least in low-SDI regions, which had the highest age-standardized incidence and DALY rates of all SDI regions. Sub-Saharan Africa, especially central sub-Saharan Africa, had the highest age-standardized incidence and DALY rates in 2019. At the national level, Somalia and Niger had the highest age-standardized incidence and DALY rates. The age-standardized incidence and DALY rates were higher in males than in females. Younger children, especially those aged < 5 years in low-SDI regions, had a higher VAD burden than other age groups. Although the global burden of VAD has decreased, future work should aim to improve the prevention and treatment strategies for VAD, particularly in children aged < 5 years in countries and territories with low SDI values, such as sub-Saharan Africa.

Vein pattern recognition based on RGB images using Monte Carlo simulation and ridge tracking.

In forensic investigations, images of evidence can often be obtained from crimes such as child pornography and masked violent riots. However, identifying criminals is usually very difficult and sometimes impossible because these images usually contain skin of body parts, while their faces and other commonly used biometrics are unavailable. Vein patterns are a potential biometric to solve this problem. Traditional systems use near-infrared (NIR) imaging technologies to obtain vein patterns, which cannot be applied to forensic analysis since only RGB images are available. However, veins are unobservable in RGB images. In this paper, a comprehensive scheme including a vein uncovering algorithm, a vein extraction algorithm, and a vein pattern matching algorithm is presented. Based on the Monte Carlo (MC) simulation of light transmission in a skin optical model, physical parameters corresponding to different skin colors are obtained, and vein patterns are uncovered from the parameter distribution images. After preprocessing with cubic convolution and Gabor filtering, vein lines are extracted based on ridge tracking. Local gradient orientation and the geometric direction of veins are utilized to guarantee the correct tracking direction. Hessian-based Frangi filters are adopted to locate potential veins. In the matching step, effective minutiae are extracted to represent the topology of vein patterns. A modified coherent point drift (CPD) algorithm is proposed utilizing coordinates, Gabor energy values, and curvatures of minutiae to match vein patterns. Comprehensive experiments were carried out to evaluate the proposed three algorithms. Experimental results show the superiority of the proposed algorithms to various state-of-the-art methods.

Incidence and disability-adjusted life years of maternal disorders at the global, regional, and national levels from 2007 to 2017: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.

OBJECTIVE: To report the global burden of maternal disorders and their main subcategories in 195 countries and territories between 2007 and 2017. METHODS: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017 estimated maternal disease burden at global, regional, and country levels. Maternal disorders were disaggregated into 10 categories, and estimated incidence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of maternal disorders were reported separately. Indicators were estimated in different geographic settings and different sociodemographic index (SDI) regions. Based on GBD 2017 estimates, we systematically examined the incidence and DALYs of maternal disorders and their main subcategories at the global, regional, and national levels during the period from 2007 to 2017 by age and SDI. RESULTS: Globally, a total of 7.98 million maternal disorders occurred in 2017, with a 4.33% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 3.24%-5.60%) decrease in age-standardized incidence rate and a more significant decrease (30.26%) in the age-standardized rate of DALYs. Most incidences and DALYs were found in low-income and middle-income countries, especially in the sub-Saharan region. The greatest incidence of maternal disorders was found to be in maternal abortion and miscarriage (2.00 million), and the highest disease burden was in maternal hemorrhage (2.23 million). CONCLUSION: A slight increase in the incidence of maternal disorders and substantial reductions in DALYs of overall maternal disorders and their main subcategories were found from 2007 to 2017, especially in low-income countries and the sub-Saharan region. Maternal hemorrhage, hypertensive disorders, and indirect maternal death were the top three causes of maternal disorders disease burden.

Global, Regional, and National Burden of Ischemic Stroke, 1990-2019.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: To the best of our knowledge, no comprehensive update of the descriptive epidemiology and trends of ischemic stroke has been released since Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017. Thus, our objective was to examine ischemic stroke burden at the global, regional, and national levels in terms of sex, age, and social development index (SDI). METHODS: Data were extracted from the GBD 2019 datasets. Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to assess the incidence rate, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALY) trends of ischemic stroke. Measures were stratified by sex, region, country, age, and SDI. RESULTS: The global age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of ischemic stroke decreased from 1990 to 2019, with an EAPC of -0.43 (95% confidence interval [CI] -0.54 to -0.32). High-middle and middle SDI regions had much higher ASIR, age-standardized death rate (ASDR), and age-standardized DALY rates due to ischemic stroke than other SDI regions. Regionally, East Asia had the highest ASIR of ischemic stroke in 2019 and the largest increase in the ASIR from 1990 to 2019. Nationally, Egypt (EAPC 1.40, 95% CI 1.27-1.52) and China (EAPC 1.10, 95% CI 1.00-1.20) had the most pronounced increases in the ASIR of ischemic stroke. Globally, there was an increase in ischemic stroke incidence with increasing age, especially in women 50 to 69 years of age or older. The global ASDR decreased from 1990 to 2019, with an EAPC of -1.63 (95% CI -1.72 to -1.53). The ASDR and age-standardized DALY rates increased most in southern sub-Saharan Africa, eastern sub-Saharan Africa, and southeast Asia. DISCUSSION: The ASIR, ASDR, and age-standardized DALY rates remained high in high-middle and middle SDI regions. East Asia, southern sub-Saharan Africa, eastern sub-Saharan Africa, and Southeast Asia had the greatest burden of ischemic stroke.

Global, regional, and national burden of cervical cancer for 195 countries and territories, 2007-2017: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.

BACKGROUND: Cervical cancer is one of the most common cancers among women worldwide. The formulation or evaluation on prevention strategies all require an accurate understanding of the burden for cervical cancer burden. We aimed to report the up-to-date estimates of cervical cancer burden at global, regional, and national levels. METHODS: Data were extracted from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017 study. The counts, age-standardized rates, and percentage changes of incidence, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and death attributed to cervical cancer at the global, regional, and national levels in all 195 countries and territories from 21 regions during 2007 to 2017 by age and by Socio-demographic Index (SDI) were measured. All estimates were reported with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). RESULTS: In 2017, 601,186 (95% UI 554,455 to 625,402) incident cases of cervical cancer were reported worldwide, which caused 8,061,667 (7,527,014 to 8,401,647) DALYs and 259,671 (241,128 to 269,214) deaths. The age-standardized rates for incidence, DALYs and death decreased by - 2.8% (- 7.8% to 0.6%), - 7.1% [- 11.8% to - 3.9%] and - 6.9% [- 11.5% to - 3.7%] from 2007 to 2017, respectively. The highest age-standardized incidence, DALYs and death rates in 2017 were observed in the low SDI quintile, Oceania, Central and Eastern Sub-Saharan Africa. During 2007 to 2017, only East Asia showed increase in these rates despite not significant. At the national level, the highest age-standardized rates for incidence, DALYs, and death in 2017 were observed in Kiribati, Somalia, Eritrea, and Central African Republic; and Georgia showed the largest increases in all these rates during 2007 to 2017. CONCLUSION: Although the age-standardized rates for incidence, DALYs, and death of cervical cancer have decreased in most parts of the world from 2007 to 2017, cervical cancer remains a major public health concern in view of the absolute number of cervical cancer cases, DALYs, and deaths increased during this period. The challenge is more prone to in the low SDI quintile, Oceania, Central and Eastern Sub-Saharan Africa, East Asia, and some countries, suggesting an urgent to promote human papillomavirus vaccination in these regions.

Measuring the global disease burden of polycystic ovary syndrome in 194 countries: Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.

STUDY QUESTION: What is the current burden of polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) at the global, regional, and country-specific levels in 194 countries and territories according to age and socio-demographic index (SDI)? SUMMARY ANSWER: Slight increases in age-standardized incidence of PCOS and associated disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were evidenced among women of reproductive age (15-49 years) from 2007 to 2017 at the global level, and in most regions and countries. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: No detailed quantitative estimates of the PCOS incidence and DALYs by age and SDI in these 194 countries and territories have been published previously. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: An age- and SDI-stratified systematic analysis of the PCOS incidence and DALYs across 194 countries and territories has been performed. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: We used data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017 to estimate the total and age-standard PCOS incidence rates and DALYs rates among women of reproductive age in both 2007 and 2017, and the trends in these parameters from 2007 to 2017. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Globally, women of reproductive age accounted for 1.55 million (95% uncertainty intervals (UIs): 1.19-2.08) incident cases of PCOS and 0.43 million (0.19-0.82) associated DALYs. The global age-standardized PCOS incidence rate among women of reproductive age increased to 82.44 (64.65-100.24) per 100 000 population in 2017, representing an increase of 1.45% (1.43-1.47%) from 2007 to 2017. The rate of age-standardized DALYs increased to 21.96 (12.78-31.15) per 100 000 population in 2017, representing an increase of 1.91% (1.89-1.93%) from 2007 to 2017. Over the study period, the greatest increase in the age-standardized PCOS incidence and DALYs rates were observed in the middle-SDI and high-middle SDI regions, respectively. At the GBD regional level, the highest age-standardized incidence and DALY rates in 2017 were observed in Andean Latin America, whereas the largest percentage increases in both rates from 2007 to 2017 were observed in Tropical Latin America. At the national level, Ecuador, Peru, Bolivia, Japan, and Bermuda had the highest age-standardized incidence rates and DALYs rates in both 2007 and 2017. The highest increases in both the age-standardized incidence rates and DALYs rates from 2007 to 2017 were observed in Ethiopia, Brazil, and China. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: Although the GBD (2017) study aimed to gather all published and unpublished data, the limited availability of data in some regions might have led to the estimation of wide UIs. Additionally, the PCOS phenotype is complicated and the diagnostic criteria are constantly changing. Consequently, the incidence of PCOS might have been underestimated. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: Knowledge about the differences in the PCOS burden across various locations will be valuable for the allocation of resources and formulation of effective preventive strategies. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): The study was supported by grants from the Innovative Talent Support Plan of the Medical and Health Technology Project in Zhejiang Province (2021422878), Ningbo Science and Technology Project (202002N3152), Ningbo Health Branding Subject Fund (PPXK2018-02), Sanming Project of Medicine in Shen-zhen (SZSM201803080), and National Social Science Foundation (19AZD013). No potential conflicts of interest relevant to this article were reported. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.

Current issues facing the introduction of human papillomavirus vaccine in China and future prospects.

The introduction of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination in China aims to prevent HPV infection in all women. The issues that China might face include high cost of vaccines made in other countries, shortage in HPV vaccine supply, negative events attributed to vaccination (whether justified or not) that jeopardizes the general public's confidence in the HPV vaccine, cultural and literacy barriers, and sensitivity to receiving a vaccine for a sexually transmitted disease. Ensuring the effective delivery of the HPV vaccine in China, a country with vast economic, geographical, and cultural complexities, will require a commitment of significant resources. In light of the high price of imported vaccines, the availability of locally manufactured HPV vaccines would greatly facilitate the national HPV vaccination program. New evidence supporting the efficacy of a two-dose regime in younger adolescents would also be advantageous in terms of affordability and logistical simplicity of vaccine administration. Furthermore, it would potentially enhance the compliance and uptake, especially for hard to reach women in remote regions.

Perceived challenges to achieving universal health coverage: a cross-sectional survey of social health insurance managers/administrators in China.

OBJECTIVE: China has achieved over 96% health insurance coverage. However, universal health coverage (UHC) entails population coverage and the range of services covered and the extent to which health service costs are covered. This study aimed to determine the performance of the health insurance system in China in terms of its role in UHC and to identify challenges in the progress of UHC as perceived by health insurance managers/administrators. METHODS: A cross-sectional questionnaire survey was conducted in Beijing, Ningbo, Harbin and Chongqing over the period of 2014 and 2015. A stratified cluster random sampling strategy was adopted to select study participants. A total of 1277 (64.8%) respondents who reported familiarity with the current health insurance system and the requirements of UHC provided valid data for analyses. They gave a rating on the role of the current health insurance system in achieving UHC. A multivariate logistic regression model was developed to determine the associations between the rating and the features of insurance arrangements. RESULTS: There was consensus among the respondents on the performance of the current health insurance system in terms of its role in UHC, regardless who they were and what responsibility they held in their organisation (ie, policy development, managing fund transactions, and so on). Overall, about 45% of the respondents believed that there is a long way to go to achieve UHC. The low rating was found to be associated with limited financial protection (OR=1.656, 95% CI 1.279 to 2.146), healthcare inequity (OR=1.607, 95% CI 1.268 to 2.037), poor portability (OR=1.347, 95% CI 1.065 to 1.703) and ineffective supervision and administration of funds (OR=1.339, 95% CI 1.061 to 1.692) as perceived by the respondents. CONCLUSION: Health insurance managers/administrators in China are pessimistic about the achievements of the current health insurance system. They are concerned about the overall lack of benefit that insurance programmes bring to members, including low levels of entitlements, large healthcare inequity, limited financial protection and poor portability. A singular amendment of the structural design of the existing funds may not be enough to offer a satisfactory solution to these identified barriers. There is a need to increase funding capacities, to develop unified and consistent policies and to increase the level of fund pooling.

Cost-Performance Analysis of Perovskite Solar Modules.

Perovskite solar cells (PSCs) are promising candidates for the next generation of solar cells because they are easy to fabricate and have high power conversion efficiencies. However, there has been no detailed analysis of the cost of PSC modules. We selected two representative examples of PSCs and performed a cost analysis of their productions: one was a moderate-efficiency module produced from cheap materials, and the other was a high-efficiency module produced from expensive materials. The costs of both modules were found to be lower than those of other photovoltaic technologies. We used the calculated module costs to estimate the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of PSCs. The LCOE was calculated to be 3.5-4.9 US cents/kWh with an efficiency and lifetime of greater than 12% and 15 years respectively, below the cost of traditional energy sources.