Transportation Factors and Postoperative Attendance and Weight Loss Through 24 Months.

PURPOSE: Transportation, access to follow-up care, and association with weight loss are understudied in the bariatric population. The objective of this study was to determine how transportation variables associate with postoperative attendance and weight loss through 24 months. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Seven hundred eighty-seven patients (81.3% female; 59.1% White) who had primary surgery (48.6% gastric bypass) from 2015 to 2019 were included. Sidewalk coverage and number of bus stops from patients' homes, driving distance in miles and minutes from patients' homes to the nearest bus stop and the clinic were measured. Bivariate analyses were conducted with the transportation variables and attendance and %TWL at 2 or 3, 6, 12, and 24 months. One mixed multilevel model was conducted with dependent variable %TWL over 24 months with visits as the between-subjects factor and covariates: race, insurance, surgical procedure, and driving distance to the clinic in minutes, attendance, and %TWL over 24 months; an interaction between distance, attendance, and visits. RESULTS: There were no significant differences between the majority of the transportation variables and postoperative attendance or %TWL. Patients who had perfect attendance had improved %TWL at 12 months [t(534)=-1.92, p=0.056] and 24 months [t(393)=-2.69, p=0.008] compared to those who missed at least one appointment. Patients with perfect attendance and who had shorter driving times (under 20 min) to the clinic had greater weight loss through 24 months [F(10, 1607.50)=2.19, p=0.016)]. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, transportation factors were not associated with attendance and weight loss, with the exception of the interaction between shorter driving minutes to follow-up and perfect attendance.

Geriatric assessment-derived deficit accumulation and patient-reported treatment burden in older adults with bladder cancer.

BACKGROUND: When a person's workload of healthcare exceeds their resources, they experience treatment burden. At the intersection of cancer and aging, little is known about treatment burden. We evaluated the association between a geriatric assessment-derived Deficit Accumulation Index (DAI) and patient-reported treatment burden in older adults with early-stage, non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional survey of older adults with NMIBC (≥65 years). We calculated DAI using the Cancer and Aging Research Group's geriatric assessment and measured urinary symptoms using the Urogenital Distress Inventory-6 (UDI-6). The primary outcome was Treatment Burden Questionnaire (TBQ) score. A negative binomial regression with LASSO penalty was used to model TBQ. We further conducted qualitative thematic content analysis of responses to an open-ended survey question ("What has been your Greatest Challenge in managing medical care for your bladder cancer") and created a joint display with illustrative quotes by DAI category. RESULTS: Among 119 patients, mean age was 78.9 years (SD 7) of whom 56.3% were robust, 30.3% pre-frail, and 13.4% frail. In the multivariable model, DAI and UDI-6 were significantly associated with TBQ. Individuals with DAI above the median (>0.18) had TBQ scores 1.94 times greater than those below (adjusted IRR 1.94, 95% CI 1.33-2.82). Individuals with UDI-6 greater than the median (25) had TBQ scores 1.7 times greater than those below (adjusted IRR 1.70, 95% CI 1.16-2.49). The top 5 themes in the Greatest Challenge question responses were cancer treatments (22.2%), cancer worry (19.2%), urination bother (18.2%), self-management (18.2%), and appointment time (11.1%). CONCLUSIONS: DAI and worsening urinary symptoms were associated with higher treatment burden in older adults with NMIBC. These data highlight the need for a holistic approach that reconciles the burden from aging-related conditions with that resulting from cancer treatment.

Race- and Gender-Specific Associations between Neighborhood-Level Socioeconomic Status and Body Mass Index: Evidence from the Southern Community Cohort Study.

Obesity and a low socioeconomic status (SES), measured at the neighborhood level, are more common among Americans of Black race and with a low individual-level SES. We examined the association between the neighborhood SES and body mass index (BMI) using data from 80,970 participants in the Southern Community Cohort Study, a cohort that oversamples Black and low-SES participants. BMI (kg/m2) was examined both continuously and categorically using cut points defined by the CDC. Neighborhood SES was measured using a neighborhood deprivation index composed of census-tract variables in the domains of education, employment, occupation, housing, and poverty. Generally, the participants in lower-SES neighborhoods were more likely to have a higher BMI and to be considered obese. We found effect modification by race and sex, where the neighborhood-BMI association was most apparent in White female participants in all the quintiles of the neighborhood SES (ORQ2 = 1.55, 95%CI = 1.34, 1.78; ORQ3 = 1.71, 95%CI = 1.48, 1.98; ORQ4 = 1.76, 95%CI = 1.52, 2.03; ORQ5 = 1.64, 95%SE = 1.39, 1.93). Conversely, the neighborhood-BMI association was mostly null in Black male participants (ORQ2 = 0.91, 95%CI = 0.72, 1.15; ORQ3 = 1.05, 95%CI = 0.84, 1.31; ßQ4 = 1.00, 95%CI = 0.81, 1.23; ORQ5 = 0.76, 95%CI = 0.63, 0.93). Within all the subgroups, the associations were attenuated or null in participants residing in the lowest-SES neighborhoods. These findings suggest that the associations between the neighborhood SES and BMI vary, and that other factors aside from the neighborhood SES may better predict the BMI in Black and low-SES groups.

Understanding the spatiotemporal evolution of opioid overdose events using a regionalized sequence alignment analysis.

BACKGROUND: Opioid overdose events and deaths have become a serious public health crisis in the United States, and understanding the spatiotemporal evolution of the disease occurrences is crucial for developing effective prevention strategies, informing health systems policy and planning, and guiding local responses. However, current research lacks the capability to observe the dynamics of the opioid crisis at a fine spatial-temporal resolution over a long period, leading to ineffective policies and interventions at the local level. METHODS: This paper proposes a novel regionalized sequential alignment analysis using opioid overdose events data to assess the spatiotemporal similarity of opioid overdose evolutionary trajectories within regions that share similar socioeconomic status. The model synthesizes the shape and correlation of space-time trajectories to assist space-time pattern mining in different neighborhoods, identifying trajectories that exhibit similar spatiotemporal characteristics for further analysis. RESULTS: By adopting this methodology, we can better understand the spatiotemporal evolution of opioid overdose events and identify regions with similar patterns of evolution. This enables policymakers and health researchers to develop effective interventions and policies to address the opioid crisis at the local level. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed methodology provides a new framework for understanding the spatiotemporal evolution of opioid overdose events, enabling policymakers and health researchers to develop effective interventions and policies to address this growing public health crisis.

Multimorbidity in patients with monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance.

Monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS), a precursor to multiple myeloma, is present in over 5% of adults aged 70 and older, a population with a high prevalence of multimorbidity. MGUS is often diagnosed incidentally when patients seek care for unrelated conditions. Our study sought to examine patterns of multimorbidity among MGUS patients, as overall health may impact patient care and the prioritization of MGUS surveillance. We examined patterns of comorbidities in 429 patients diagnosed with MGUS (2007-2015) and 1287 matched controls. Twenty-seven conditions were defined at diagnosis/index date using algorithms developed by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Chronic Conditions Warehouse. Patterns of common comorbidities were identified individually, in dyads and triads, and compared between MGUS cases and controls. We conducted a latent class analysis to identify comorbidity patterns among cases only. We also examined comorbidity patterns among a subset of 32 MGUS cases who progressed to cancer during the study period. The most common comorbidities among both MGUS cases and controls included hypertension and hyperlipidemia. Anemia (cases: 43%; controls: 16%) and chronic kidney disease (CKD; cases: 36%; controls: 18%), and dyads and triads containing those conditions, were more common among cases. Latent class analysis identified three classes of comorbidity among MGUS cases: hypertension-hyperlipidemia plus anemia and CKD (31%); low comorbidity burden (17%); and hypertension-hyperlipidemia alone (52%). The higher prevalence among cases of anemia and CKD, which may be involved in the pathogenesis of, or surveillance for, MGUS, warrants additional investigation.

Read-across and new approach methodologies applied in a 10-step framework for cosmetics safety assessment - A case study with parabens.

Parabens are esters of para-hydroxybenzoic acid that have been used as preservatives in many types of products for decades including agrochemicals, pharmaceuticals, food and cosmetics. This illustrative case study with propylparaben (PP) demonstrates a 10-step read-across (RAX) framework in practice. It aims at establishing a proof-of-concept for the value added by new approach methodologies (NAMs) in read-across (RAX) for use in a next-generation risk assessment (NGRA) in order to assess consumer safety after exposure to PP-containing cosmetics. In addition to structural and physico-chemical properties, in silico information, toxicogenomics, in vitro toxicodynamic, toxicokinetic data from PBK models, and bioactivity data are used to provide evidence of the chemical and biological similarity of PP and analogues and to establish potency trends for observed effects in vitro. The chemical category under consideration is short (C1-C4) linear chain n-alkyl parabens: methylparaben, ethylparaben, propylparaben and butylparaben. The goal of this case study is to illustrate how a practical framework for RAX can be used to fill a hypothetical data gap for reproductive toxicity of the target chemical PP.

Sociocultural Factors, Access to Healthcare, and Lifestyle: Multifactorial Indicators in Association with Colorectal Cancer Risk.

Black Americans of low socioeconomic status (SES) have higher colorectal cancer incidence than other groups in the United States. However, much of the research that identifies colorectal cancer risk factors is conducted in cohorts of high SES and non-Hispanic White participants. Adult participants of the Southern Community Cohort Study (N = 75,182) were followed for a median of 12.25 years where 742 incident colorectal cancers were identified. The majority of the cohort are non-Hispanic White or Black and have low household income. Cox models were used to estimate HRs for colorectal cancer incidence associated with sociocultural factors, access to and use of healthcare, and healthy lifestyle scores to represent healthy eating, alcohol intake, smoking, and physical activity. The association between Black race and colorectal cancer was consistent and not diminished by accounting for SES, access to healthcare, or healthy lifestyle [HR = 1.34; 95% confidence interval (CI),1.10-1.63]. Colorectal cancer screening was a strong, risk reduction factor for colorectal cancer (HR = 0.65; 95% CI, 0.55-0.78), and among colorectal cancer-screened, Black race was not associated with risk. Participants with high school education were at lower colorectal cancer risk (HR = 0.81; 95% CI, 0.67-0.98). Income and neighborhood-level SES were not strongly associated with colorectal cancer risk. Whereas individual health behaviors were not associated with risk, participants that reported adhering to ≥3 health behaviors had a 19% (95% CI, 1-34) decreased colorectal cancer risk compared with participants that reported ≤1 behaviors. The association was consistent in fully-adjusted models, although HRs were no longer significant. Colorectal cancer screening, education, and a lifestyle that includes healthy behaviors lowers colorectal cancer risk. Racial disparities in colorectal cancer risk may be diminished by colorectal cancer screening. PREVENTION RELEVANCE: Colorectal cancer risk may be reduced through screening, higher educational attainment and performing more health behaviors. Importantly, our data show that colorectal cancer screening is an important colorectal cancer prevention strategy to eliminate the racial disparity in colorectal cancer risk. See related Spotlight, p. 561.

Geriatric conditions and treatment burden following diagnosis of non-muscle- invasive bladder cancer in older adults: A population-based analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Treatment burden is emerging as an important patient-centered outcome for older adults with cancer who concurrently manage geriatric conditions. Our objective was to evaluate the contribution of geriatric conditions to treatment burden in older adults with non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). METHODS: We identified 73,395 Medicare beneficiaries age 66+ diagnosed with NMIBC (Stage

COVID-19 exacerbates unequal food access.

Inequality to food access has always been a serious problem, yet it became even more critical during the COVID-19 pandemic, which exacerbated social inequality and reshaped essential travel. This study provides a holistic view of spatio-temporal changes in food access based on observed travel data for all grocery shopping trips in Columbus, Ohio, during and after the state-wide stay-at-home period. We estimated the decline and recovery patterns of store visits during the pandemic to identify the key socio-economic and built environment determinants of food shopping patterns. The results show a disparity: during the lockdown, store visits to dollar stores declined the least, while visits to big-box stores declined the most and recovered the fastest. Visits to stores in low-income areas experienced smaller changes even during the lockdown period. A higher percentage of low-income customers was associated with lower store visits during the lockdown period. Furthermore, stores with a higher percentage of white customers declined the least and recovered faster during the reopening phase. Our study improves the understanding of the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on food access disparities and business performance. It highlights the role of COVID-19 and similar disruptions on exposing underlying social problems in the US.

311 service requests as indicators of neighborhood distress and opioid use disorder.

Opioid use disorder and overdose deaths is a public health crisis in the United States, and there is increasing recognition that its etiology is rooted in part by social determinants such as poverty, isolation and social upheaval. Limiting research and policy interventions is the low temporal and spatial resolution of publicly available administrative data such as census data. We explore the use of municipal service requests (also known as "311" requests) as high resolution spatial and temporal indicators of neighborhood social distress and opioid misuse. We analyze the spatial associations between georeferenced opioid overdose event (OOE) data from emergency medical service responders and 311 service request data from the City of Columbus, OH, USA for the time period 2008-2017. We find 10 out of 21 types of 311 requests spatially associate with OOEs and also characterize neighborhoods with lower socio-economic status in the city, both consistently over time. We also demonstrate that the 311 indicators are capable of predicting OOE hotspots at the neighborhood-level: our results show code violation, public health, and street lighting were the top three accurate predictors with predictive accuracy as 0.92, 0.89 and 0.83, respectively. Since 311 requests are publicly available with high spatial and temporal resolution, they can be effective as opioid overdose surveillance indicators for basic research and applied policy.

Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Modeling in Risk Assessment: Case Study With Pyrethroids.

The assessment of potentially sensitive populations is an important application of risk assessment. To address the concern for age-related sensitivity to pyrethroid insecticides, life-stage physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling supported by in vitro to in vivo extrapolation was conducted to predict age-dependent changes in target tissue exposure to 8 pyrethroids. The purpose of this age-dependent dosimetry was to calculate a Data-derived Extrapolation Factor (DDEF) to address age-related pharmacokinetic differences for pyrethroids in humans. We developed a generic human PBPK model for pyrethroids based on our previously published rat model that was developed with in vivo rat data. The results demonstrated that the age-related differences in internal exposure to pyrethroids in the brain are largely determined by the differences in metabolic capacity and in physiology for pyrethroids between children and adults. The most important conclusion from our research is that, given an identical external exposure, the internal (target tissue) concentration is equal or lower in children than in adults in response to the same level of exposure to a pyrethroid. Our results show that, based on the use of the life-stage PBPK models with 8 pyrethroids, DDEF values are essentially close to 1, resulting in a DDEF for age-related pharmacokinetic differences of 1. For risk assessment purposes, this indicates that no additional adjustment factor is necessary to account for age-related pharmacokinetic differences for these pyrethroids.

Application of a combined aggregate exposure pathway and adverse outcome pathway (AEP-AOP) approach to inform a cumulative risk assessment: A case study with phthalates.

Advancements in measurement and modeling capabilities are providing unprecedented access to estimates of chemical exposure and bioactivity. With this influx of new data, there is a need for frameworks that help organize and disseminate information on chemical hazard and exposure in a manner that is accessible and transparent. A case study approach was used to demonstrate integration of the Adverse Outcome Pathway (AOP) and Aggregate Exposure Pathway (AEP) frameworks to support cumulative risk assessment of co-exposure to two phthalate esters that are ubiquitous in the environment and that are associated with disruption of male sexual development in the rat: di(2-ethylhexyl) phthalate (DEHP) and di-n-butyl phthalate (DnBP). A putative AOP was developed to guide selection of an in vitro assay for derivation of bioactivity values for DEHP and DnBP and their metabolites. AEPs for DEHP and DnBP were used to extract key exposure data as inputs for a physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model to predict internal metabolite concentrations. These metabolite concentrations were then combined using in vitro-based relative potency factors for comparison with an internal dose metric, resulting in an estimated margin of safety of ~13,000. This case study provides an adaptable workflow for integrating exposure and toxicity data by coupling AEP and AOP frameworks and using in vitro and in silico methodologies for cumulative risk assessment.

Development and Application of a Life-Stage Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic (PBPK) Model to the Assessment of Internal Dose of Pyrethroids in Humans.

To address concerns around age-related sensitivity to pyrethroids, a life-stage physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model, supported by in vitro to in vivo extrapolation (IVIVE) was developed. The model was used to predict age-dependent changes in target tissue exposure of 8 pyrethroids; deltamethrin (DLM), cis-permethrin (CPM), trans-permethrin, esfenvalerate, cyphenothrin, cyhalothrin, cyfluthrin, and bifenthrin. A single model structure was used based on previous work in the rat. Intrinsic clearance (CLint) of each individual cytochrome P450 or carboxylesterase (CES) enzyme that are active for a given pyrethroid were measured in vitro, then biologically scaled to obtain in vivo age-specific total hepatic CLint. These IVIVE results indicate that, except for bifenthrin, CES enzymes are largely responsible for human hepatic metabolism (>50% contribution). Given the high efficiency and rapid maturation of CESs, clearance of the pyrethroids is very efficient across ages, leading to a blood flow-limited metabolism. Together with age-specific physiological parameters, in particular liver blood flow, the efficient metabolic clearance of pyrethroids across ages results in comparable to or even lower internal exposure in the target tissue (brain) in children than that in adults in response to the same level of exposure to a given pyrethroid (Cmax ratio in brain between 1- and 25-year old = 0.69, 0.93, and 0.94 for DLM, bifenthrin, and CPM, respectively). Our study demonstrated that a life-stage PBPK modeling approach, coupled with IVIVE, provides a robust framework for evaluating age-related differences in pharmacokinetics and internal target tissue exposure in humans for the pyrethroid class of chemicals.

Association of Race and Socioeconomic Status With Colorectal Cancer Screening, Colorectal Cancer Risk, and Mortality in Southern US Adults.

Importance: Colorectal cancer (CRC) screening is rarely studied in populations who may face additional barriers to participate in cancer screening, such as African American individuals and individuals with low socioeconomic status (SES). Objective: To examine the associations of CRC screening and modalities with CRC incidence and mortality by race and SES. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used data from the Southern Community Cohort Study, which enrolled more than 85 000 participants from community health centers or stratified random sampling of the general population in 12 states in the southeastern United States. The present study included data from cohort members who were eligible for CRC screening as recommended by expert organizations based on age and family history. Participants completed questionnaires from 2002 to 2009 and were contacted again from 2008 to 2012. Linkages to state cancer registries and the National Death Index as of December 31, 2016, identified incident CRC and vital status. Data analysis was performed from January 1, 2018, to October 30, 2019. Main Outcomes and Measures: Incident CRC (n = 632) and mortality (n = 10 003). Cox proportional hazards regression models evaluated associations between screening modalities and CRC risk and mortality. Information on fecal occult blood test use was only obtained on the follow-up questionnaire. Self-identified race was measured as African American/black, white, or other, and SES was defined by household income. Results: This study included 47 596 participants (median baseline age, 54 years [interquartile range, 10 years]; 32 185 [67.6%] African American; 28 884 [60.7%] female; and 26 075 [54.8%] with household income <$15 000). A total of 24 432 participants (63.9%) had never undergone CRC testing at baseline. The CRC testing assessed at baseline and follow-up interviews was associated with significant CRC risk reduction (hazard ratio [HR], 0.55; 95% CI, 0.44-0.70 for ever colonoscopy at baseline). Results were similar in analyses stratified by race (African American: HR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.50-0.85; white: HR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.27-0.70) and household income (<$15 000: HR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.46-0.86, ≥$15 000: HR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.35-0.69). Ever sigmoidoscopy at baseline was associated with CRC risk reduction (HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.51-0.87), and undergoing fecal occult blood test in the interval between baseline and follow-up interview was associated with CRC risk reduction (HR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.57-0.98). Inverse associations were also observed between CRC mortality and receipt of colonoscopy (HR for women, 0.39; 95% CI, 0.21-0.73; HR for men, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.40-1.18) and sigmoidoscopy (HR for women, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.16-0.85; HR for men, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.46-1.47); however, the association did not extend to fecal occult blood test (HR for women, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.62-1.70; HR for men, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.55-1.93). Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, CRC test rates were low among African American individuals and those with low SES. The findings suggest that screening, particularly with colonoscopy, is significantly associated with reduced risk of CRC and mortality. The CRC disparities experienced by individuals with low SES and African American individuals may be lessened by improving access to and uptake of CRC screening.

A model of functional thyroid disease status over the lifetime.

Mathematical models of the natural history of disease can predict incidence rates based on prevalence data and support simulations of populations where thyroid function affects other aspects of physiology. We developed a Markov chain model of functional thyroid disease status over the lifetime. Subjects were in one of seven thyroid disease states at any given point in their lives [normal, subclinical hypothyroidism, overt hypothyroidism, treated thyroid disease (ever), subclinical hyperthyroidism, overt hyperthyroidism, and reverted to normal thyroid status]. We used a Bayesian approach to fitting model parameters. A priori probabilities of changing from each disease state to another per unit time were based on published data and summarized using meta-analysis, when possible. The probabilities of changing state were fitted to observed prevalence data based on the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2007-2012. The fitted model provided a satisfactory fit to the observed prevalence data for each disease state, by sex and decade of age. For example, for males 50-59 years old, the observed prevalence of ever having treated thyroid disease was 4.4% and the predicted value was 4.6%. Comparing the incidence rates of treated disease predicted from our model with published values revealed that 82% were within a 4-fold difference. The differences seemed to be systematic and were consistent with expectation based on national iodine intakes. The model provided new and comprehensive estimates of functional thyroid disease incidence rates for the U.S. Because the model provides a reasonable fit to national prevalence data and predicts thyroid disease status over the lifetime, it is suitable for simulating populations, thereby making possible quantitative bias analyses of selected epidemiologic data reporting an association of thyroid disease with serum concentrations of environmental contaminants.

Considerations for refining the risk assessment process for formaldehyde: Results from an interdisciplinary workshop.

Anticipating the need to evaluate and integrate scientific evidence to inform new risk assessments or to update existing risk assessments, the Formaldehyde Panel of the American Chemistry Council (ACC), in collaboration with the University of North Carolina, convened a workshop: "Understanding Potential Human Health Cancer Risk - From Data Integration to Risk Evaluation" in October 2017. Twenty-four (24) invited-experts participated with expertise in epidemiology, toxicology, science integration and risk evaluation. Including members of the organizing committee, there were 29 participants. The meeting included eleven presentations encompassing an introduction and three sessions: (1) "integrating the formaldehyde science on nasal/nasopharyngeal carcinogenicity and potential for causality"; (2) "integrating the formaldehyde science on lymphohematopoietic cancer and potential for causality; and, (3) "formaldehyde research-data suitable for risk assessment". Here we describe key points from the presentations on epidemiology, toxicology and mechanistic studies that should inform decisions about the potential carcinogenicity of formaldehyde in humans and the discussions about approaches for structuring an integrated, comprehensive risk assessment for formaldehyde. We also note challenges expected when attempting to reconcile divergent results observed from research conducted within and across different scientific disciplines - especially toxicology and epidemiology - and in integrating diverse, multi-disciplinary mechanistic evidence.