Hepatitis C: The beginning of the end-key elements for successful European and national strategies to eliminate HCV in Europe.

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is a major public health problem in the European Union (EU). An estimated 5.6 million Europeans are chronically infected with a wide range of variation in prevalence across European Union countries. Although HCV continues to spread as a largely "silent pandemic," its elimination is made possible through the availability of the new antiviral drugs and the implementation of prevention practices. On 17 February 2016, the Hepatitis B & C Public Policy Association held the first EU HCV Policy Summit in Brussels. This summit was an historic event as it was the first high-level conference focusing on the elimination of HCV at the European Union level. The meeting brought together the main stakeholders in the field of HCV: clinicians, patient advocacy groups, representatives of key institutions and regional bodies from across European Union; it served as a platform for one of the most significant disease elimination campaigns in Europe and culminated in the presentation of the HCV Elimination Manifesto, calling for the elimination of HCV in Europe by 2030. The launch of the Elimination Manifesto provides a starting point for action in order to make HCV and its elimination in Europe an explicit public health priority, to ensure that patients, civil society groups and other relevant stakeholders will be directly involved in developing and implementing HCV elimination strategies, to pay particular attention to the links between hepatitis C and social marginalization and to introduce a European Hepatitis Awareness Week.

Real-life cost of managing chronic HCV infection in Greece prior to Direct-Acting Antivirals (DAAs): an undeniable truth of spending more for less.

PURPOSE: Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is a major public health challenge across the world. Before the introduction of Direct-Acting Antivirals (DAAs), managing and treating the disease and its possible complications (cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma) placed a considerable financial burden on public health resources. This study estimates the financial burden of managing HCV in Greece before the introduction of DAAs. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We reviewed the clinical records of 146 consecutive patients with chronic HCV that were regularly followed-up at two tertiary hospitals in Athens. Public health resources utilization was recorded by category for consultations, hospitalizations, medications [for the pre-DAAs: pegylated interferon (PEG-IFN) and ribavirin (RBV) regimens), and laboratory and imaging tests. Overall disease burden was stratified according to fibrosis stage in four categories [F1-F2, F3-F4, decompensated cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) - liver transplantation (LT)]. All cost calculations were based on current prices in the Greek Public Health System. RESULTS: The average cost per patient on treatment was €8,629 for F1-F2 patients, €13,302 for F3-F4 patients, €14,678 for patients with decompensated cirrhosis, and €48,152 for patients with HCC or LT.  Main cost drivers were medications (75.6 % of total cost), laboratory and imaging tests (12.4 %) and hospitalizations (11.4 %). Hospitalization cost grew significantly as the disease progressed. CONCLUSIONS: Chronic hepatitis C places a substantial economic burden on the Greek Public Health System. This burden is expected to increase exponentially as patients move to more advanced disease stages. Robust interventions to deter chronic HCV infection progression should be considered beneficial from a long-term economic perspective. HIPPOKRATIA 2018, 22(3): 127-131.

Strategies to manage hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection disease burden - volume 2.

The hepatitis C virus (HCV) epidemic was forecasted through 2030 for 15 countries, and the relative impact of two scenarios was considered: (i) increased treatment efficacy while holding the treated population constant and (ii) increased treatment efficacy and increased annual treated population. Increasing levels of diagnosis and treatment, in combination with improved treatment efficacy, were critical for achieving substantial reductions in disease burden. In most countries, the annual treated population had to increase several fold to achieve the largest reductions in HCV-related morbidity and mortality. This suggests that increased capacity for screening and treatment will be critical in many countries. Birth cohort screening is a helpful tool for maximizing resources. In most of the studied countries, the majority of patients were born between 1945 and 1985.

The present and future disease burden of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections with today's treatment paradigm - volume 2.

Morbidity and mortality attributable to chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection are increasing in many countries as the infected population ages. Models were developed for 15 countries to quantify and characterize the viremic population, as well as estimate the number of new infections and HCV related deaths from 2013 to 2030. Expert consensus was used to determine current treatment levels and outcomes in each country. In most countries, viremic prevalence has already peaked. In every country studied, prevalence begins to decline before 2030, when current treatment levels were held constant. In contrast, cases of advanced liver disease and liver related deaths will continue to increase through 2030 in most countries. The current treatment paradigm is inadequate if large reductions in HCV related morbidity and mortality are to be achieved.

The state of hepatitis B and C in the Mediterranean and Balkan countries: report from a summit conference.

The burden of disease due to chronic viral hepatitis constitutes a global threat. In many Balkan and Mediterranean countries, the disease burden due to viral hepatitis remains largely unrecognized, including in high-risk groups and migrants, because of a lack of reliable epidemiological data, suggesting the need for better and targeted surveillance for public health gains. In many countries, the burden of chronic liver disease due to hepatitis B and C is increasing due to ageing of unvaccinated populations and migration, and a probable increase in drug injecting. Targeted vaccination strategies for hepatitis B virus (HBV) among risk groups and harm reduction interventions at adequate scale and coverage for injecting drug users are needed. Transmission of HBV and hepatitis C virus (HCV) in healthcare settings and a higher prevalence of HBV and HCV among recipients of blood and blood products in the Balkan and North African countries highlight the need to implement and monitor universal precautions in these settings and use voluntary, nonremunerated, repeat donors. Progress in drug discovery has improved outcomes of treatment for both HBV and HCV, although access is limited by the high costs of these drugs and resources available for health care. Egypt, with the highest burden of hepatitis C in the world, provides treatment through its National Control Strategy. Addressing the burden of viral hepatitis in the Balkan and Mediterranean regions will require national commitments in the form of strategic plans, financial and human resources, normative guidance and technical support from regional agencies and research.

Development and assessment of a novel real-time PCR assay for quantitation of hepatitis D virus RNA to study viral kinetics in chronic hepatitis D.

Hepatitis delta virus (HDV) infection is a usually severe type of viral hepatitis associated with increased mortality and rapid evolution to cirrhosis. Currently, treatment is limited to extended interferon administration and measurement of HDV RNA blood levels is essential to judge the response. The aim of this study was to develop a highly sensitive and reproducible real-time reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (real-time RT-PCR) for the quantitation of circulating HDV RNA of all clades (1-8), and assess its usefulness in the follow-up of patients. The amplification was combined with molecular beacon technology using the LightCycler 2.0 system. The assay was specific and showed linearity over a wide range from 13 to 13 × 10(10) copies/mL. The 95% detection limit was 43.2 copies/mL. Intra-assay reproducibility, as expressed by the coefficient of variation, ranged from 1.84 to 18.61%, whereas the corresponding estimates for the inter-assay variability ranged from 0.57 to 10.18%. Finally, the dynamic profiles of six patients regarding virological (HDV RNA, HBV DNA), biochemical and serological data were constructed. We were able to observe that most patients who were treated with an interferon-based regime showed a significant reduction in delta viremia. In conclusion, our real-time RT-PCR for HDV RNA quantification combines high sensitivity and reproducibility in a high dynamic range, can provide important information for patient management and can be a useful tool for monitoring the response to antiviral therapies.

Development and assessment of a multiplex real-time PCR assay for quantification of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 DNA.

Previous studies showed that high levels of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) DNA are associated with a faster progression to AIDS, an increased risk of death, and a higher risk of HIV RNA rebound in patients on highly active antiretroviral therapy. Our objective was to develop and assess a highly sensitive real-time multiplex PCR assay for the quantification of HIV-1 DNA (RTMP-HIV) based on molecular beacons. HIV-1 DNA quantification was carried out by RTMP in a LightCycler 2.0 apparatus. HIV-1 DNA was quantified in parallel with CCR5 as a reference gene, and reported values are numbers of HIV-1 DNA copies/10(6) peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs). The clinical sensitivity of the assay was assessed for 115 newly diagnosed HIV-1-infected individuals. The analytical sensitivity was estimated to be 12.5 copies of HIV-1 DNA per 10(6) PBMCs, while the clinical sensitivity was 100%, with levels ranging from 1.23 to 4.25 log(10) HIV-1 DNA copies/10(6) PBMCs. In conclusion, we developed and assessed a new RTMP-HIV assay based on molecular beacons, using a LightCycler 2.0 instrument. This multiplex assay has comparable sensitivity, reproducibility, and accuracy to single real-time PCR assays.

Development and assessment of a novel real-time PCR assay for quantitation of HBV DNA.

HBV DNA quantitation is used extensively for the monitoring of treatment of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. The aim of this study was to develop a highly sensitive and reproducible real-time PCR (RTD-PCR) assay for the quantitation of HBV DNA using the LightCycler system. The performance of this assay was assessed by analyzing serial dilutions of HBV genomic DNA of known concentration and the lower limit of detection was found to be 1 DNA copy/reaction. By using serial dilutions of plasmid standard, RTD-PCR was determined to quantify HBV DNA in a 10-log10 dynamic range. RTD-PCR was found to be more sensitive than the commercially available tests such as the Quantiplex HBV DNA and the AMPLICOR HBV MONITOR assays. The median coefficient of variation of interexperimental variability was 3.2%. The HBV DNA values obtained with RTD-PCR were highly correlated with assays available commercially. These findings suggest that our RTD-PCR assay combines high sensitivity and reproducibility for HBV DNA quantitation in an incomparable high dynamic range of quantitation.

Prevalence, risk factors and evaluation of a screening strategy for chronic hepatitis C and B virus infections in healthy company employees.

A cross-sectional study was carried out in employees of 17 Greek companies with the aim of assessing the prevalence of hepatitis B (HBV) and hepatitis C (HCV) virus, identifying associated prognostic/risk factors and evaluating the effectiveness of a questionnaire as a pre-screening tool. All participants were asked to complete a questionnaire and a random sample of them was asked to provide a blood sample for hepatitis B core antibody (anti-HBc), hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) and antibodies to hepatitis C (anti-HCV) testing. Individual questions or combinations of them were evaluated in terms of their ability to detect HBV or HCV(+) cases. Of 9085 eligible employees, 6074 (67%) completed the questionnaire. Of 990 samples obtained, 19.9% were anti-HBc(+), 2.6% HBsAg(+) and 0.5% anti-HCV(+). All anti-HCV(+) cases had multiple parenteral risk factors. Multiple logistic regression identified associations between anti-HBc and older age, family members with chronic hepatitis, job category and history of transfusion before 1992. HBsAg(+) was associated with older age and history of transfusion before 1992. None of the risk/prognostic factors had sufficient sensitivity and specificity for HBV but report of at least one risk factor identified all HCV(+) cases. Anti-HCV screening of those with at least two parenteral risk factors not only identified all anti-HCV(+) cases but also resulted in 86% decrease in the screening cost. Under the light of recent treatment advances, targeted questionnaire-based screening of asymptomatic people may prove to be a cost-effective way to face hepatitis C.

Comparison of smoothing techniques for CD4 data in a Markov model with states defined by CD4: an example on the estimation of the HIV incubation time distribution.

Multi-state models defined in terms of CD4 counts are useful for modelling HIV disease progression. A Markov model with six progressive CD4-based states and an absorbing state (AIDS) was used to estimate the cumulative probability of progressing to AIDS in 158 HIV-1 infected haemophiliacs with known seroconversion (SC) dates. A problem arising in such analysis is how to define CD4-based states, since this marker is subject to measurement error and short timescale variability. Four approaches were used: no smoothing, ad hoc smoothing (to move to a later/previous state two consecutive measurements to later/previous states are needed), kernel smoothing and random effects (RE) models. The estimates were compared with the Kaplan-Meier estimate based solely on data concerning time to AIDS. There was an apparent lack of agreement between the Kaplan-Meier and the "no smoothing" estimate. With the exception of the "no smoothing" method, "ad hoc", kernel and RE estimates fell within the range of the 95 per cent CIs of the Kaplan-Meier curve. Simulations demonstrated that the use of raw CD4 counts provides overestimated transition intensities. Compared to the kernel method, ad hoc is easier to implement and overcomes the problem of the choice of bandwidth. The RE approach leads to simple models, since it usually results in very few transitions to previous states, and can handle individuals with sparse data by smoothing their predictions towards the population mean. Ad hoc was the method that performed better, in terms of bias, than the other smoothing approaches.

Clinicopathological assessment of hepatitis C virus infection in parenteral drug abusers.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the severity of hepatic histological lesions in anti-HCV positive parenteral drug abusers and to correlate it with the level of ALT activity and HCV RNA determined by polymerase chain reaction (PCR). METHODS: Twenty-nine of the 62 anti-HCV-positive parenteral drug abusers who consecutively entered a Rehabilitation Center of Athens consented to liver biopsy and were prospectively and thoroughly followed up for a mean of 12.9 (range 6-33) months. Anti-HCV was detected by a second-generation enzyme immunoassay and confirmed by a second-generation recombinant immunoblot assay. Serum samples were tested for HCV RNA by nested PCR with primers from the highly conserved 5' untranslated region of the HCV genome. RESULTS: Liver biopsy revealed lesions compatible with chronic hepatitis in 26 (89.6%) and a normal liver in three (10.4%) of the 29 patients. In particular, 11 (37.9%) had minimal and 15 (57.1%) had mild chronic hepatitis; fibrosis was absent or mild in all cases. Histological grade and stage were significantly milder in patients with persistently normal ALT activity than in those with increased ALT activity. However, chronic hepatitis was observed in five (62.5%) of the eight patients with normal ALT levels. The presence of serum HCV RNA was not significantly correlated with the severity of histological lesions. HCV RNA was detected in 16 (57.1%) of the 28 cases tested. In particular, HCV RNA was detected in one (33.3%) of the three cases with normal liver and in three (37.5%) of the eight patients with normal ALT levels. CONCLUSIONS: Liver biopsy appears to be the method of choice for the accurate evaluation of anti-HCV positive parenteral drug abusers, irrespective of ALT activity and presence of serum HCV RNA. Chronic hepatitis is observed in the majority and the state of "healthy" carrier of HCV in the minority of this epidemiological setting.

Neuropsychological assessment of HIV-seropositive haemophiliacs.

Neuropsychological findings from investigation of 46 HIV-seropositive asymptomatic and 14 HIV-seropositive symptomatic haemophiliacs without AIDS-related complex (ARC) or AIDS, with known duration of HIV seropositivity were compared with 29 seronegative controls. Subjects were assessed blindly using a battery of sensitive computerized neuropsychological tests. They underwent a thorough neurological examination, were assessed for mood and screened for psychopathology. Symptomatic HIV-positive haemophiliacs without ARC or AIDS showed statistically significant decreased performances compared with HIV-negatives in choice reaction, visuomotor coordination and global attentional performance (P = 0.018, 0.039 and 0.044, respectively). HIV-positive asymptomatic subjects gave lower performances than HIV-negative subjects in all tests, although these differences were not statistically significant. However, there was a statistically significant trend for these findings between seronegative, asymptomatic and symptomatic groups. Impairment was not associated with mood factors. Duration of seropositivity was found to be a more important factor than Centers for Disease Control stage in the choice reaction test (P less than 0.01). These findings indicate that mild cognitive impairment observed during the natural history of HIV infection in haemophiliacs without ARC or AIDS may be a progressive phenomenon not necessarily associated with the clinical expression of HIV infection.

Cost-effectiveness of hepatitis-B vaccine in Greece. A country of intermediate HBV endemicity.

We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of (a) a vaccination program for the prevention of hepatitis B; and (b) the two commercially available vaccines (Merck Sharp and Dohme; Pasteur Institute) in Greece, a country of intermediate endemicity. We examined cases of hepatitis-B infection prevented and the expected medical costs among the high-risk groups of medical and nursing students, hospital personnel, and the general population. Employing a vaccination program reduces considerably the risk of infection, especially in the high-risk groups, while it increases the total cost. The vaccines are very comparable in terms of both health and economic outcomes. Sensitivity analysis indicated that vaccine cost, incidence of hepatitis B, and compliance were the key factors for the choice of (a) whether to undertake an extensive program to prevent hepatitis-B infection and its chronic sequelae; and (b) which vaccine to administer.

Exposure to lead and cadmium of children living near a lead smelter at Lavrion, Greece.

Exposure of children of the Greek town of Lavrion to lead and cadmium has been evaluated by determination of the levels of lead (PbB) and cadmium (CdB) in the blood of 514 children living in the town. The Lavrion area is heavily polluted by lead owing to the presence of a large lead-zinc mining and smelting industrial complex. The industrial PbB level (geometric mean) was 21.7 micrograms dl-1 (range 7.4-79.8 micrograms dl-1). The CdB levels were, on average, 0.36 micrograms l-1 (range 0.1-3.1 micrograms l-1). The results were evaluated with respect to a number of constitutional, social and environmental variables, such as age, gender, distance of the school from the lead-zinc mining and smelting complex, and occupation and education of the father.