The Impact of Anaemia on Outcomes, Admissions, and Costs in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease in Two Public Nephrology Practices in Queensland: A CKD.QLD Registry Study.

Aim: Anaemia among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) leads to poor overall outcomes. This study explores anaemia and its impact on nondialysis CKD (NDD-CKD) patients. Methods: 2,303 adults with CKD from two CKD.QLD Registry sites were characterised at consent and followed until start of kidney replacement therapy (KRT), death, or censor date. Mean follow-up was 3.9 (SD 2.1) years. Analysis explored the impact of anaemia on death, KRT start, cardiovascular events (CVE), admissions, and costs in these NDD-CKD patients. Results: At consent, 45.6% patients were anaemic. Males were more often anaemic (53.6%) than females, and anaemia was significantly more common over the age of 65 years. The prevalence of anaemia was highest among CKD patients with diabetic nephropathy (27.4%) and renovascular disease (29.2%) and lowest in patients with genetic renal disease (3.3%). Patients with admissions for gastrointestinal bleeding had more severe anaemia, but accounted for only the minority of cases overall. Administration of ESAs, iron infusions, and blood transfusions were all correlated with more severe degrees of anaemia. The number of hospital admissions, length of stay, and hospital costs were all strikingly higher with more severe degrees of anaemia. Adjusted hazard ratios (CI 95%) of patients with moderate and severe anaemia vs. no anaemia for subsequent CVE, KRT, and death without KRT were 1.7 (1.4-2.0), 2.0 (1.4-2.9), and 1.8 (1.5-2.3), respectively. Conclusion: Anaemia is associated with higher rates of CVE, progression to KRT and death in NDD- CKD patients, and with greater hospital utilisation and costs. Preventing and treating anaemia should improve clinical and economic outcomes.

Serum Creatinine and Tacrolimus Assessment With VAMS Finger-Prick Microsampling: A Diagnostic Test Study.

Rationale & Objective: Kidney transplant recipients require frequent venipunctures. Microsampling methods that use a finger-prick draw of capillary blood, like volumetric absorptive microsamplers (VAMS), have the potential to reduce the pain, inconvenience, and volume of blood loss associated with venipuncture. This study aimed to provide diagnostic accuracy using VAMS for measurement of tacrolimus and creatinine compared to gold standard venous blood in adult kidney transplant recipients. Study Design: Diagnostic test study. Prospective blood samples for measurement of tacrolimus and creatinine were collected using Mitra VAMS and venipuncture immediately before and 2 hours after tacrolimus dosing. Setting & Participants: A convenience sample of 40 adult kidney transplant participants in the outpatient setting. Tests Compared: Method comparison was assessed by Passing-Bablok regression and Bland-Altman analysis. The predictive performance of VAMS measurement compared to venipuncture was also assessed through estimation of the median prediction error and median absolute percentage prediction error. Results: A total of 74 tacrolimus samples and 70 creatinine samples were analyzed from 40 participants. Passing-Bablok regression showed a systematic difference between VAMS and venipuncture when measuring tacrolimus and creatinine with a slope of 1.08 (95% CI, 1.03-1.13) and a slope of 0.65 (95% CI, 0.6-0.7), respectively. These values were then corrected for the systematic difference. When used for Bland-Altman analysis, corrected values of tacrolimus and creatinine showed a bias of -0.1 µg/L and 0.04 mg/dL, respectively. Tacrolimus (corrected) and creatinine (corrected) microsampling values when compared to corresponding venipuncture values met median prediction error and median absolute percentage prediction error predefined acceptability limits of <15%. Limitations: This study was conducted in a controlled environment using a trained nurse to collect VAMS samples. Conclusions: In this study, VAMS was used to reliably measured tacrolimus and creatinine. This represents a clear opportunity for more frequent and less invasive sampling for patients.

Cost-Effectiveness and Budget Impact Analysis of Implementing a 'Soft Opt-Out' System for Kidney Donation in Australia.

INTRODUCTION: There is a severe shortage of donor organs globally. There is growing interest in understanding how a 'soft opt-out' organ donation system could help bridge the supply and demand gap for donor organs. This research aims to estimate the cost-effectiveness and budget impact of implementing a 'soft opt-out' organ donation system for kidney donation. METHODS: A decision-analytic model was developed to estimate the incremental costs from a health system's perspective, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and death averted of people who have kidney failure, comparing a 'soft opt-out' organ donation system to an 'opt-in' system. This study analysed three scenarios where the 'soft opt-out' system generated a 20%, 30%, and 40% increase in deceased organ donation rates over 20 years. A 5-year time horizon was adopted for the budget impact analysis. RESULTS: A 20% increase in organ donation rates could have a cost saving of 650 million Australian dollars (A$) and a 10,400-QALY gain. A 20% increase would avert more than 1500 deaths, while a 40% increase would avert 3200 deaths over a time horizon of 20 years. Over the first 5 years, a 20% increase would have a net saving of A$53 million, increasing to A$106 million if the donation rate increases by 40%. CONCLUSION: A 'soft opt-out' organ donation system would return a cost saving for the healthcare system, a net gain in QALYs, and prevention of a significant number of deaths. Advantageous budgetary impact is important, but understanding the aversion for a 'soft opt-out' system in Australia is also important and remains a priority for further research.

Identification of factors associated with high-cost use of inpatient care in chronic kidney disease: a registry study.

OBJECTIVE: To explore factors behind inpatient admissions by high-cost users (HCUs) in pre-end-stage chronic kidney disease (CKD). DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of CKD.QLD Registry and hospital admissions of the Queensland Government Department of Health recorded between 1 July 2011 and 30 June 2016. SETTING: Queensland public and private hospitals. PARTICIPANTS: 5096 individuals with CKD who consented to the CKD.QLD Registry via 1 of 11 participating sites. MAIN OUTCOMES: Associations of HCU status with patient characteristics, pathways and diagnoses behind hospital admissions at 12 months. RESULTS: Age, advanced CKD, primary renal diagnosis, cardiovascular disease and hypertension were predictors of the high-cost outcome. HCUs were more likely than non-HCUs to be admitted by means of episode change (relative risk: 5.21; 95% CI 5.02 to 5.39), 30-day readmission (2.19; 2.13 to 2.25), scheduled readmission (1.29; 1.11 to 1.46) and emergency (1.07; 1.02 to 1.13), for diagnoses of the nervous (1.94; 1.74 to 2.15), circulatory (1.24; 1.14 to 1.34) and respiratory (1.2; 1.03 to 1.37) systems and other factors influencing health status (1.92; 1.74 to 2.09). CONCLUSIONS: The high relevance of episode change and other factors influencing health status revealed that a substantial part of excess demand for inpatient care was associated with discordant conditions often linked to frailty, decline in psychological health and social vulnerability. This suggests that multidisciplinary models of care that aim to manage discordant comorbidities and address psychosocial determinants of health, such as renal supportive care, may play an important role in reducing inpatient admissions in this population.

Time-to-event analysis in economic evaluations: a comparison of modelling methods to assess the cost-effectiveness of transplanting a marginal quality kidney.

BACKGROUND: Economic-evaluations using decision analytic models such as Markov-models (MM), and discrete-event-simulations (DES) are high value adds in allocating resources. The choice of modelling method is critical because an inappropriate model yields results that could lead to flawed decision making. The aim of this study was to compare cost-effectiveness when MM and DES were used to model results of transplanting a lower-quality kidney versus remaining waitlisted for a kidney. METHODS: Cost-effectiveness was assessed using MM and DES. We used parametric survival models to estimate the time-dependent transition probabilities of MM and distribution of time-to-event in DES. MMs were simulated in 12 and 6 monthly cycles, out to five and 20-year time horizon. RESULTS: DES model output had a close fit to the actual data. Irrespective of the modelling method, the cycle length of MM or the time horizon, transplanting a low-quality kidney as compared to remaining waitlisted was the dominant strategy. However, there were discrepancies in costs, effectiveness and net monetary benefit (NMB) among different modelling methods. The incremental NMB of the MM in the 6-months cycle lengths was a closer fit to the incremental NMB of the DES. The gap in the fit of the two cycle lengths to DES output reduced as the time horizon increased. CONCLUSION: Different modelling methods were unlikely to influence the decision to accept a lower quality kidney transplant or remain waitlisted on dialysis. Both models produced similar results when time-dependant transition probabilities are used, most notable with shorter cycle lengths and longer time-horizons.

Donor Kidney Quality and Transplant Outcome: An Economic Evaluation of Contemporary Practice.

OBJECTIVES: The study had two main aims. First, we assessed the cost-effectiveness of transplanting deceased donor kidneys of differing quality levels based on the Kidney Donor Profile Index (KDPI). Second, we assessed the cost-effectiveness of remaining on the waiting list until a high-quality kidney becomes available compared to transplanting a lower-quality kidney. METHODS: A decision analytic model to estimate cost-effectiveness was developed using a Markov process. Separate models were developed for 4 separate KDPI bands, with higher values indicating lower quality. Models were simulated in 1-year cycles for a 20-year time horizon, with transitions through distinct health states relevant to the kidney recipient from the healthcare payer's perspective. Weibull regression was used to calculate the time-dependent transition probabilities in the base analysis. The impact uncertainty arising in model parameters was included by probabilistic sensitivity analysis using the Monte Carlo simulation method. Willingness to pay was considered as Australian $28 000. RESULTS: Transplanting a kidney of any quality is cost-effective compared to remaining on a waitlist. Transplanting a lower KDPI kidney is cost-effective compared to a higher KDPI kidney. Transplanting lower KDPI kidneys to younger patients and higher KDPI kidneys to older patients is also cost-effective. Depending on dialysis in hopes of receiving a lower KDPI kidney is not a cost-effective strategy for any age group. CONCLUSION: Efforts should be made by the health systems to reduce the discard rates of low-quality kidneys with the view of increasing the transplant rates.

Deceased donor kidney allocation: an economic evaluation of contemporary longevity matching practices.

BACKGROUND: Matching survival of a donor kidney with that of the recipient (longevity matching), is used in some kidney allocation systems to maximize graft-life years. It is not part of the allocation algorithm for Australia. Given the growing evidence of survival benefit due to longevity matching based allocation algorithms, development of a similar kidney allocation system for Australia is currently underway. The aim of this research is to estimate the impact that changes to costs and health outcomes arising from 'longevity matching' on the Australian healthcare system. METHODS: A decision analytic model to estimate cost-effectiveness was developed using a Markov process. Four plausible competing allocation options were compared to the current kidney allocation practice. Models were simulated in one-year cycles for a 20-year time horizon, with transitions through distinct health states relevant to the kidney recipient. Willingness to pay was considered as AUD 28000. RESULTS: Base case analysis indicated that allocating the worst 20% of Kidney Donor Risk Index (KDRI) donor kidneys to the worst 20% of estimated post-transplant survival (EPTS) recipients (option 2) and allocating the oldest 25% of donor kidneys to the oldest 25% of recipients are both cost saving and more effective compared to the current Australian allocation practice. Option 2, returned the lowest costs, greatest health benefits and largest gain to net monetary benefits (NMB). Allocating the best 20% of KDRI donor kidneys to the best 20% of EPTS recipients had the lowest expected incremental NMB. CONCLUSION: Of the four longevity-based kidney allocation practices considered, transplanting the lowest quality kidneys to the worst kidney recipients (option 2), was estimated to return the best value for money for the Australian health system.

Cost-utility analysis in chronic kidney disease patients undergoing kidney transplant; what pays? A systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Health systems are under pressure to deliver more effective care without expansion of resources. This is particularly pertinent to diseases like chronic kidney disease (CKD) that are exacting substantial financial burden to many health systems. The aim of this study is to systematically review the Cost Utility Analysis (CUA) evidence generated across interventions for CKD patients undergoing kidney transplant (KT). METHODS: A systemic review of CUA on the interventions for CKD patients undergoing KT was carried out using a search of the MEDLINE, CINAHL, EMBASE, PsycINFO and NHS-EED. The CHEERS checklist was used as a set of good practice criteria in determining the reporting quality of the economic evaluation. Quality of the data used to inform model parameters was determined using the modified hierarchies of data sources. RESULTS: A total of 330 articles identified, 16 met the inclusion criteria. Almost all (n = 15) the studies were from high income countries. Out of the 24 characteristics assessed in the CHEERS checklist, more than 80% of the selected studies reported 14 of the characteristics. Reporting of the CUA were characterized by lack of transparency of model assumptions, narrow economic perspective and incomplete assessment of the effect of uncertainty in the model parameters on the results. The data used for the economic model were satisfactory quality. The authors of 13 studies reported the intervention as cost saving and improving quality of life, whereas three studies were cost increasing and improving quality of life. In addition to the baseline analysis, sensitivity analysis was performed in all the evaluations except one. Transplanting certain high-risk donor kidneys (high risk of HIV and Hepatitis-C infected kidneys, HLA mismatched kidneys, high Kidney Donor Profile Index) and a payment to living donors, were found to be cost-effective. CONCLUSIONS: The quality of economic evaluations reviewed in this paper were assessed to be satisfactory. Implementation of these strategies will significantly impact current systems of KT and require a systematic implementation plan and coordinated efforts from relevant stakeholders.

Utilization and Costs of Health Care in a Kidney Supportive Care Program.

Kidney supportive care (KSC) is a patient-centered model of multidisciplinary care designed for patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) and end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). Our goal was to characterize the types, frequencies, and costs of services accessed by patients enrolled in a KSC program. We analyzed health care utilization data prospectively collected from 102 patients who enrolled in the KSC program during the first 52 weeks of its existence. The data comprised program appointments, emergency department presentations, ambulance service use, outpatient visits, inpatient episodes, and dialysis treatments made within the Brisbane area of Metro North. Costs of resource use were estimated using Queensland Health funding principles and guidelines. Analyses included descriptive statistics, correlations, and multivariate regressions. During the median program participation of 22 weeks, patients had 3975 contacts with health care, with the total value of services amounting to nearly A$3 million. Dialysis treatments accounted for 70% of visits and 49% of costs. Patients receiving dialysis had higher utilization of outpatient services and associated cost, compared to patients who were not dialyzed. The presence of diabetes and the choice of conservative pathway were both predictors of higher frequency and cost of services. Longer program participation was associated with lower weekly utilization and cost. The program attracted patients representing various characteristics, pathways, needs, and outcomes. Exploring these patterns will enable better understanding of the patient population and improved service planning, in KSC and similar programs that aim to comprehensively address the needs of patients with advanced CKD and ESKD.

Health service utilisation during the last year of life: a prospective, longitudinal study of the pathways of patients with chronic kidney disease stages 3-5.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a growing global problem affecting around 10% of many countries' populations. Providing appropriate palliative care services (PCS) to those with advanced kidney disease is becoming paramount. Palliative/supportive care alongside usual CKD clinical treatment is gaining acceptance in nephrology services although the collaboration with and use of PCS is not consistent. METHODS: The goal of this study was to track and quantify the health service utilisation of people with CKD stages 3-5 over the last 12 months of life. Patients were recruited from a kidney health service (Queensland, Australia) for this prospective, longitudinal study. Data were collected for 12 months (or until death, whichever was sooner) during 2015-17 from administrative health sources. Emergency department presentations (EDP) and inpatient admissions (IPA) (collectively referred to as critical events) were reviewed by two Nephrologists to gauge if the events were avoidable. RESULTS: Participants (n = 19) with a median age of 78 years (range 42-90), were mostly male (63%), 79% had CKD stage 5, and were heavy users of health services during the study period. Fifteen patients (79%) collectively recorded 44 EDP; 61% occurred after-hours, 91% were triaged as imminently and potentially life-threatening and 73% were admitted. Seventy-four IPA were collectively recorded across 16 patients (84%); 14% occurred on weekends or public holidays. Median length of stay was 3 days (range 1-29). The median number of EDP and IPA per patient was 1 and 2 (range 0-12 and 0-20) respectively. The most common trigger to both EDP (30%) and IPA (15%) was respiratory distress. By study end 37% of patients died, 63% were known to PCS and 11% rejected a referral to a PCS. All critical events were deemed unavoidable. CONCLUSIONS: Few patients avoided using acute health care services in a 12 month period, highlighting the high service needs of this cohort throughout the long, slow decline of CKD. Proactive end-of-life care earlier in the disease trajectory through integrating renal and palliative care teams may avoid acute presentations to hospital through better symptom management and planned care pathways.

Tracking patients with advanced kidney disease in the last 12 months of life.

BACKGROUND: There is increasing recognition of the clinical need for timely and coordinated supportive and palliative care for those with terminal organ failure. OBJECTIVE: To describe symptoms, quality of life and supportive care needs in the anticipated 12-month period prior to death in adults with chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages 4 or 5. METHOD: An observational, prospective, longitudinal design was used to follow 19 patients. The measures used were the Chronic Kidney Disease-Symptom Burden Index (CKD-SBI), the Australian Karnofsky Performance Scale (AKPS), the Functional Assessment of Chronic illness Therapy Palliative-14 (FACIT PAL-14), the Assessment of Quality of Life 6 Dimensions (AQoL-6D) and the Sheffield Profile for Assessment and Referral for Care (SPARC). Data were collected at study entry and three monthly until death or study end. RESULTS: Patients' median age was 78 years (range 42-90), most were male (63%), 10 were receiving dialysis and seven died during the study. The most prevalent symptoms reported differed from those that were most troublesome. The median AKPS score did not change over time (60). Quality of life remained steady over time [FACIT-PAL median range: 43.5-46; AQoL-6D means range: 0.66 (SD 0.19) to 0.75 (SD 0.2)]. Supportive care needs were few. CONCLUSION: We found a substantial symptom burden and slow functional decline in this group of patients. Regular assessment of both symptoms and QOL is warranted particularly if clinical experience indicates that the person is likely to be in their last year of life. Integrated supportive care programmes could assist with easing symptom burden during this time.

Assessment of arterial stiffness, oxidative stress and inflammation in acute kidney injury.

BACKGROUND: It is well know that arterial stiffness, oxidative stress and inflammation are features of chronic kidney disease. The arterial changes have a multitude of potential interconnected causes including endothelial dysfunction, oxidative stress, inflammation, atherosclerosis and vascular calcification. There is evidence that arterial stiffness becomes progressively worse as CKD progresses. The contribution of the biochemical changes of uremic toxicity to arterial stiffness is less clear. The aim of this study is to elucidate the vascular changes in acute kidney injury. We hypothesise that arterial stiffness will be increased during acute kidney injury and this will return to normal after kidney function recovers. METHODS/DESIGN: One hundred and forty four patients with acute kidney injury defined as an acute increase in serum creatinine to > 133 micromol/l or urea > 14.3 mmol/l or urine output < 410 ml/day will be recruited. Baseline measures of aortic pulse wave velocity, augmentation index, and brachial and central blood pressure will be recorded along with blood measures for oxidative stress and inflammation. Repeat measures will be taken at six and 12 months after the onset of the acute kidney injury. DISCUSSION: The role and contribution of the biochemical changes to arterial stiffness in the acute phase of kidney disease is not known. This study will primarily assess the time course changes in pulse wave velocity from the onset of acute kidney injury and after recovery. In addition it will assess augmentation index, central blood pressure and oxidative stress and inflammation. This may shed light on the contribution of biochemical kidney toxins on arterial stiffness in both acute kidney injury and chronic kidney disease. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ACTRN 12609000285257.

Growing up ready: a shared management approach.

In order to help youth with physical disabilities and their families to plan for the transition to adulthood, well-planned service delivery is essential. This paper provides an account of the work of a children's rehabilitation centre to develop a transition framework reflecting evidence-based practice. Examination of current transition practices, a review of the literature, and site visits to health care facilities and universities were conducted to identify promising practices in the field of transition to adult services. A transition framework was designed to facilitate the adoption of a shared management approach for helping families and their children to grow up ready. Key elements of the transition framework are described and future plans discussed.