RESUMO
BACKGROUND: The burden of pneumococcal disease in China is high, and a 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) recently received regulatory approval and is available to Chinese infants. PCV13 protects against the most prevalent serotypes causing invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in China, but will not provide full societal benefits until made broadly available through a national immunization program (NIP). OBJECTIVE: To estimate clinical and economic benefits of introducing PCV13 into a NIP in China using local cost estimates and accounting for variability in vaccine uptake and indirect (herd protection) effects. METHODS: We developed a population model to estimate the effect of PCV13 introduction in China. Modeled health states included meningitis, bacteremia, pneumonia (PNE), acute otitis media, death and sequelae, and no disease. Direct healthcare costs and disease incidence data for IPD and PNE were derived from the China Health Insurance and Research Association database; all other parameters were derived from published literature. We estimated total disease cases and associated costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and deaths for three scenarios from a Chinese Payer Perspective: (1) direct effects only, (2) direct+indirect effects for IPD only, and (3) direct+indirect effects for IPD and inpatient PNE. RESULTS: Scenario (1) resulted in 370.3 thousand QALYs gained and 12.8 thousand deaths avoided versus no vaccination. In scenarios (2) and (3), the PCV13 NIP gained 383.2 thousand and 3,580 thousand QALYs, and avoided 13.1 thousand and 147.5 thousand deaths versus no vaccination, respectively. In all three scenarios, the vaccination cost was offset by cost reductions from prevented disease yielding net costs of ¥29,362.32 million, ¥29,334.29 million, and ¥13,524.72 million, respectively. All resulting incremental cost-effectiveness ratios fell below a 2x China GDP cost-effectiveness threshold across a range of potential vaccine prices. DISCUSSION: Initiation of a PCV13 NIP in China incurs large upfront costs but is good value for money, and is likely to prevent substantial cases of disease among children and non-vaccinated individuals.
Assuntos
Programas de Imunização/economia , Infecções Pneumocócicas/prevenção & controle , Vacinas Pneumocócicas/economia , Vacinas Conjugadas/economia , Bacteriemia/economia , Bacteriemia/epidemiologia , Bacteriemia/prevenção & controle , China/epidemiologia , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Análise Custo-Benefício , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Humanos , Lactente , Meningite/economia , Meningite/epidemiologia , Meningite/prevenção & controle , Modelos Estatísticos , Otite Média/economia , Otite Média/epidemiologia , Otite Média/prevenção & controle , Infecções Pneumocócicas/economia , Infecções Pneumocócicas/epidemiologia , Pneumonia/economia , Pneumonia/epidemiologia , Pneumonia/prevenção & controle , Prevalência , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Vacinação/economiaRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Streptococcus pneumoniae causes mucosal and invasive diseases with high morbidity and mortality. Introduction of the 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) into routine infant immunization programs worldwide resulted in serotype 19A becoming a leading cause of the remaining pneumococcal disease burden in vaccinated and nonvaccinated individuals. This article reviews the impact of the latest generation PCVs (10-valent PCV, PCV10, and 13-valent PCV, PCV13) on serotype 19A. Areas covered: This article covers immune responses elicited by PCV7, PCV10 and PCV13 against serotype 19A and their impact on nasopharyngeal (NP) carriage and disease in vaccinated and unvaccinated populations using data from surveillance systems, randomized controlled trials, and observational studies. Expert commentary: As expected from a PCV containing serotype 19A, PCV13 elicits significantly higher functional immune responses against serotype 19A than PCV7 and PCV10. Higher responses are likely to be linked to both direct impact in vaccinated populations and reductions in 19A NP carriage in children, thus inducing herd protection and reducing 19A invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in nonvaccinated children and adults. In contrast, PCV7 and PCV10 have shown mixed evidence of direct short-lived cross-protection and little to no impact on 19A carriage, resulting in continued transmission and disease.