Child Health Needs and the Pediatric Critical Care Medicine Workforce: 2020-2040.

This article, focused on the current and future pediatric critical care medicine (PCCM) workforce, is part of a supplement in Pediatrics anticipating the future supply of the pediatric subspecialty workforce. It draws on information available in the literature, data from the American Board of Pediatrics, and findings from a model that estimates the future supply of pediatric subspecialists developed by the American Board of Pediatrics Foundation in collaboration with the Carolina Workforce Research Center at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill's Cecil G. Sheps Center for Health Services Research and Strategic Modeling and Analysis Ltd. A brief history of the field of PCCM is provided, followed by an in-depth examination of the current PCCM workforce and a subsequent evaluation of workforce forecasts from 2020 to 2040. Under baseline conditions, the PCCM workforce is expected to increase by 105% during the forecasted period, more than any other pediatric subspecialty. Forecasts are modeled under a variety of multifactorial conditions meant to simulate the effects of changes to the supply of PCCM subspecialists, with only modest changes observed. Future PCCM workforce demand is unclear, although some suggest an oversupply may exist and that market forces may correct this. The findings generate important questions regarding the future state of the PCCM workforce and should be used to guide trainees considering a PCCM career, subspecialty leaders responsible for hosting training programs, staffing ICUs, and governing bodies that oversee training program accreditation and subspecialist certification.

Assessment of Dynamic Intracranial Compliance in Children with Severe Traumatic Brain Injury: Proof-of-Concept.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Intracranial compliance refers to the relationship between a change in intracranial volume and the resultant change in intracranial pressure (ICP). Measurement of compliance is useful in managing cardiovascular and respiratory failure; however, there are no contemporary means to assess intracranial compliance. Knowledge of intracranial compliance could complement ICP and cerebral perfusion pressure (CPP) monitoring in patients with severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) and may enable a proactive approach to ICP management. In this proof-of-concept study, we aimed to capitalize on the physiologic principles of intracranial compliance and vascular reactivity to CO2, and standard-of-care neurocritical care monitoring, to develop a method to assess dynamic intracranial compliance. METHODS: Continuous ICP and end-tidal CO2 (ETCO2) data from children with severe TBI were collected after obtaining informed consent in this Institutional Review Board-approved study. An intracranial pressure-PCO2 Compliance Index (PCI) was derived by calculating the moment-to-moment correlation between change in ICP and change in ETCO2. As such, "good" compliance may be reflected by a lack of correlation between time-synched changes in ICP in response to changes in ETCO2, and "poor" compliance may be reflected by a positive correlation between changes in ICP in response to changes in ETCO2. RESULTS: A total of 978 h of ICP and ETCO2 data were collected and analyzed from eight patients with severe TBI. Demographic and clinical characteristics included patient age 7.1 ± 5.8 years (mean ± SD); 6/8 male; initial Glasgow Coma Scale score 3 [3-7] (median [IQR]); 6/8 had decompressive surgery; 7.1 ± 1.4 ICP monitor days; ICU length of stay (LOS) 16.1 ± 6.8 days; hospital LOS 25.9 ± 8.4 days; and survival 100%. The mean PCI for all patients throughout the monitoring period was 0.18 ± 0.04, where mean ICP was 13.7 ± 2.1 mmHg. In this cohort, PCI was observed to be consistently above 0.18 by 12 h after monitor placement. Percent time spent with PCI thresholds > 0.1, 0.2, and 0.3 were 62% [24], 38% [14], and 23% [15], respectively. The percentage of time spent with an ICP threshold > 20 mmHg was 5.1% [14.6]. CONCLUSIONS: Indirect assessment of dynamic intracranial compliance in TBI patients using standard-of-care monitoring appears feasible and suggests a prolonged period of derangement out to 5 days post-injury. Further study is ongoing to determine if the PCI-a new physiologic index, complements utility of ICP and/or CPP in guiding management of patients with severe TBI.

Factors Associated With Neurobehavioral Complications in Pediatric Abdominal Organ Transplant Recipients Identified Using Computable Composite Definitions.

OBJECTIVES: Neurologic complications occur in up to 40% of adult abdominal solid organ transplant recipients and are associated with increased mortality. Comparable pediatric data are sparse. This study describes the occurrence of neurologic and behavioral complications (neurobehavioral complications) in pediatric abdominal solid organ transplant recipients. We examine the association of these complications with length of stay, mortality, and tacrolimus levels. DESIGN: The electronic health record was interrogated for inpatient readmissions of pediatric abdominal solid organ transplant recipients from 2009 to 2017. A computable composite definition of neurobehavioral complication, defined using structured electronic data for neurologic and/or behavioral phenotypes, was created. SETTING: Quaternary children's hospital with an active transplant program. PATIENTS: Pediatric abdominal solid organ transplant recipients. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Computable phenotypes demonstrated a specificity 98.7% and sensitivity of 63.0% for identifying neurobehavioral complications. There were 1,542 readmissions among 318 patients, with 65 (20.4%) having at least one admission with a neurobehavioral complication (total 109 admissions). Median time from transplant to admission with neurobehavioral complication was 1.2 years (interquartile range, 0.52-2.28 yr). Compared to encounters without an identified neurobehavioral complication, encounters with a neurobehavioral complication were more likely to experience ICU admission (odds ratio, 3.9; 2.41-6.64; p < 0.001), have longer ICU length of stay (median 10.3 vs 2.2 d; p < 0.001) and hospital length of stay (8.9 vs 4.3 d; p < 0.001), and demonstrate higher maximum tacrolimus level (12.3 vs 9.8 ng/mL; p = 0.001). Patients with a neurobehavioral complication admission were more likely to die (odds ratio, 5.04; 1.49-17.09; p = 0.009). In a multivariable analysis, type of transplant, ICU admission, and tacrolimus levels were independently associated with the presence of a neurobehavioral complication. CONCLUSIONS: Common electronic health record variables can be used to accurately identify neurobehavioral complications in the pediatric abdominal solid organ transplant population. Late neurobehavioral complications are associated with increased hospital resource utilization, mortality, and tacrolimus exposure. Additional studies are required to delineate the relationship between maximum tacrolimus level and neurobehavioral complications to guide therapeutic drug monitoring and dosing.

Opioid e-prescribing trends at discharge in a large pediatric health system.

OBJECTIVE: Legitimate opioid prescriptions have been identified as a risk factor for opioid misuse in pediatric patients. In 2014, Pennsylvania legislation expanded a prescription drug monitoring program (PDMP) to curb inappropriate controlled substance prescriptions. The authors' objective was to describe recent opioid prescribing trends at a large, pediatric health system situated in a region with one of the highest opioid-related death rates in the United States and examine the impact of the PDMP on prescribing trends. DESIGN: Quasi-experimental assessment of trends of opioid e-prescriptions, from 2012 to 2017. Multivariable Poisson segmented regression examined the effect of the PDMP. Period prevalence comparison of opioid e-prescriptions across the care continuum in 2016. RESULTS: There were 62,661 opioid e-prescriptions identified during the study period. Combination opioid/non-opioid prescriptions decreased, while oxycodone prescriptions increased. Seasonal variation was evident. Of 110,884 inpatient encounters, multivariable regression demonstrated lower odds of an opioid being prescribed at discharge per month of the study period (p < 0.001) and a significant interaction between passage of the PDMP legislation and time (p = 0.03). Black patients had lower odds of receiving an opioid at discharge compared to white patients. Inpatients had significantly greater odds of receiving an opioid compared to emergency department (Prevalence Odds Ratio 7.1 [95% confidence interval: 6.9-7.3]; p < 0.001) and outpatient (398.9 [355.5-447.5]; p < 0.001) encounters. CONCLUSION: In a large pediatric health system, oxycodone has emerged as the most commonly prescribed opioid in recent years. Early evidence indicates that a state-run drug monitoring program is associated with reduced opioid prescribing. Additional study is necessary to examine the relationship between opioid prescriptions and race.