Optimizing health risk assessment for soil trace metals under low-precision sampling conditions: A case study of agricultural soil.

Cost limitations often lead to the adoption of lower precision grids for soil sampling in large-scale areas, potentially causing deviations in the observed trace metal (TM) concentrations from their true values. Therefore, in this study, an enhanced Health Risk Assessment (HRA) model was developed by combining Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) and Empirical Bayesian kriging (EBK), aiming to improve the accuracy of health risk assessment under low-precision sampling conditions. The results showed that the increased sampling scale led to an overestimation of the non-carcinogenic risk for children, resulting in potential risks (the maximum Hazard index value was 1.08 and 1.64 at the 500 and 1000 m sampling scales, respectively). EBK model was suitable for predicting soil TM concentrations at large sampling scale, and the predicted concentrations were closer to the actual value. Furthermore, we found that the improved HRA model by combining EBK and MCS effectively reduced the possibility of over- or under-estimation of risk levels due to the increasing sampling size, and enhanced the accuracy and robustness of risk assessment. This study provides an important methodology support for health risk assessment of soil TMs under data limitation.

Human health risks of heavy metal(loid)s mediated through crop ingestion in a coal mining area in Eastern China.

The heavy metal(loid)s (HMs) in soils can be accumulated by crops grown, which is accompanied by crop ingestion into the human body and then causes harm to human health. Hence, the health risks posed by HMs in three crops for different populations were assessed using Health risk assessment (HRA) model coupled with Monte Carlo simulation. Results revealed that Zn had the highest concentration among three crops; while Ni was the main polluting element in maize and soybean, and As in rice. Non-carcinogenic risk for all populations through rice ingestion was at an "unacceptable" level, and teenagers suffered higher risk than adults and children. All populations through ingestion of three crops might suffer Carcinogenic risk, with the similar order of Total carcinogenic risk (TCR): TCRAdults > TCRTeenagers > TCRChildren. As and Ni were identified as priority control HMs in this study area due to their high contribution rates to health risks. According to the HRA results, the human health risk was associated with crop varieties, HM species, and age groups. Our findings suggest that only limiting the Maximum allowable intake rate is not sufficient to prevent health risks caused by crop HMs, thus more risk precautions are needed.

Impact of economic development on soil trace metal(loid)s pollution: A case study of China.

Recently, intensive anthropogenic activities, while promoting economic growth, have also exacerbated soil trace metal(loid) (TM) pollution. To explore the impact of economic development on soil TM pollution, a time-weighted method was introduced to calculate the average concentrations of eight TMs in Chinese topsoil from 2001 to 2020, and panel data on TMs and economic factors of 31 provinces were used for regression analysis. The results revealed that the average concentrations of soil TMs all exceeded their respective soil background values. Meanwhile, the spatial distribution of soil TMs was characterized by obvious regional heterogeneity, with economically developed areas being heavily polluted and having high ecological risks. In addition, the results derived from panel data models showed that the relationship between soil TM pollution and economic development in China presented a continuous growth curve, but with an N-shaped pattern in eastern China, a U-shaped pattern in central China, and a positive linearity in western China. Four control variables were also introduced to evaluate their impact on TM pollution, and the results indicated that the proportion of secondary industry and the road area per capita were the major influencing factors. Ultimately, the inflection point estimation results suggested that the soil TM pollution level will increase in eastern China, central China and western China with ongoing economic growth. Our findings contribute to the current understanding of the relationship between soil TM pollution and anthropogenic activities, and provide a scientific basis for adjusting and planning industrial development and layout according to the characteristics of soil TM pollution.

New insights into health risk assessment on soil trace metal(loid)s: Model improvement and parameter optimization.

Trace metal(loid)s (TMs) in soils may pose potential health risks to humans. Due to model uncertainty and variability of exposure parameters, the traditional health risk assessment (HRA) model may lead to inaccurate risk assessment results. Therefore, this study developed an improved HRA model to assess health risks by combining two-dimensional Monte Carlo simulation (2-D MCS) with a Logistic Chaotic sequence based on published data from 2000 to 2021. The results showed children and adult females were the high-risks populations for Non-carcinogenic risk and Carcinogenic risk, respectively. Meanwhile, children's Ingestion rate (IngR < 160.233 mg/day) and adult females' Skin adherence factor (0.026 mg/(cm2•d) < AF < 0.263 mg/(cm2•d)) were used as recommended exposure to make the health risk within acceptable range. Additionally, when performing risk assessment using actual exposure parameters, priority control TMs were identified, with As being the priority control TM for Southwest China and Inner Mongolia, whereas Cr and Pb for Tibet and Yunnan, respectively. Compared to health risk assessment, improved models increased risk assessment accuracy and provided recommended exposure parameter for high-risk populations. This study will provide new insights for soil-related health risk assessment.

Risk assessment and driving factors of trace metal(loid)s in soils of China.

Recently, with the rapid development of China's economy, the pollution of trace metal(loid)s (TMs) in soils has become increasingly severe and attracted widespread attention. Based on 1,402 published papers from 2000 to 2021, this study aimed to analyze the pollution intensity, ecological risk and driving factors for eight TMs (As, Cd, Cr, Cu, Hg, Ni, Pb, and Zn) in Chinese soils. Results showed that the average concentrations of eight TMs in Chinese soils all exceeded background values, and the pollution of Cd and Hg was the most serious. Based on Principal component analysis of pollution intensity and ecological risk, the priority control TMs were identified for the heavily polluted provinces. The results of Geo-detector model suggested that Urban development factors contributed most to the TM accumulation in Chinese soils. Further, spatial analysis using bivariate Moran's I indicated that industrial activities contributed most to soil TM accumulation in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, while soil TM pollution in the southwest and northwest provinces was mainly caused by mining and metal smelting. This study investigated the relationship between soil TM pollution and anthropogenic activities, thus providing a scientific basis for controlling soil TM pollution at a large-scale level.