Life expectancy and healthy life expectancy of Japan: the fastest graying society in the world.

BACKGROUND: We appraised time trends of Japanese life expectancy (LE) and healthy life expectancy (HALE) by gender, LE-HALE and (LE-HALE)/LE figures, along with the women-men's differences. METHODS: Using the Japanese LE and HALE values from 1990 through 2013 by gender in the article by the GBD 2013 DALYs and HALE Collaborators, we examined trends of LE and HALE, and their 5- or 3-year changes. We also probed LE-HALE and (LE-HALE)/LE values, and the women-men's differences. RESULTS: LE consistently elongated as reported 76.0, 76.5, 77.6, 78.7, 79.3 and 80.1 years for men from 1990 to 2013; and 82.0, 82.8, 84.3, 85.5, 86.1 and 86.4 years for women, respectively. Both time trends demonstrated a significant linear increase (p for trend < 0.001). LE changes were 0.4, 1.1, 1.1, 0.7 and 0.7 years for men, and 0.9, 1.5, 1.2, 0.6 and 0.3 years for women. The trends were statistically significant (p < 0.001), except for 2010-2013 partly due to 3-year interval. HALE also steadily lengthened as seen 68.1, 68.4, 69.1, 69.9, 70.8 and 71.1 years for men from 1990 through 2013; and 72.2, 72.9, 74.0, 74.8, 75.4 and 75.6 years for women. Both time trends showed almost a linear increase (p < 0.05). HALE changes were 0.4, 0.6, 0.8, 0.9 and 0.3 years for men, and 0.7, 1.0, 0.8, 0.6 and 0.2 years for women, without statistical significant trends. LE-HALE values were 8.0, 8.0, 8.5, 8.8, 8.6 and 8.9 years for men; and 9.7, 9.9, 10.4, 10.7, 10.7 and 10.8 years for women. (LE-HALE)/LE figures were 10.5, 10.5, 10.9, 11.1, 10.8 and 11.2% for men, and 11.9, 12.0, 12.3, 12.5, 12.4 and 12.5% for women. LE women-men's differences were 5.9, 6.4, 6.8, 6.8, 6.8 and 6.3 years, and the HALE figures were 4.2, 4.5, 4.9, 4.9, 4.6 and 4.5 years. CONCLUSIONS: LE and HALE consistently linearly elongated for both sexes over the study period. Not only LE-HALE but also (LE-HALE)/LE values were still growing for both sexes. Public health measures, nursing-care/services as well as social security schemes are called for to further elevate longevities, HALE in particular, and enhance quality of life and well-being.

Effects of walking on medical cost: A quantitative evaluation by simulation focusing on diabetes.

AIMS/INTRODUCTION: Recently, the prevalence of lifestyle-related disease has increased, and its associated medical costs have become considerable. Although walking is thought to prevent lifestyle-related disease, few studies have evaluated its effect on medical costs in Japanese subjects. We aimed at evaluating the effect of walking on medical costs by simulation mainly focusing on diabetes in the Japanese population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A Markov model focusing on diabetes was constructed. As complications of diabetes, 'dialysis', 'ischemic heart disease' and 'stroke' were included. The model has four states: 'non-diabetes', 'diabetes', 'dialysis' and 'dead', and 'ischemic heart disease' and 'stroke' were included as events that occurred in each state. The effect of walking was included as changing the rate of transition and incident rates of events. RESULTS: After 10 years, the numbers of subjects with diabetes were 4.3 and 7.3% lower for daily increase of 3,000 and 5,000 steps, respectively. The numbers of cases of ischemic heart disease and stroke also decreased. Lower medical costs were also seen according to the daily increase in steps. In 10 years, the total medical costs were 5.2 and 8.4% lower for 3,000 and 5,000 steps increase, respectively. The cost reduction associated with a daily increase of 3,000 steps walked was calculated as ¥0.00146 for each step. CONCLUSIONS: Walking is one of the most common and accessible forms of exercises. The present results suggested that walking reduced the medical costs associated with lifestyle-related disease, which will have a large impact on health policy.

[The prevention of the fragility, and senility in the long term care insurance in Japan].

As a purpose of the long term care insurance in Japan, which was inaugurated in 2000, the achievement of "self-support" of aged people was stressed, which means, the prevention of fragility and senility. This system incorporated the new prevention service of "yo-shien" since its beginning. After 5 years experience since 2000, this preventive service was not always found to be effective. Therefore a new procedure of rehabilitation was introduced in 2006, mainly to strengthen the impaired muscle strength to achieve self-support. This new service was evaluated after few years experience and found to be effective in preventing the aggravation of disability and in suppressing the total cost of insurance, compared with control group. To prevent the fragility and senility of aged people, this preventive procedure in the long term care insurance will be effective.

[Fall risk assessment in regular exercising elderly women].

AIM: Fall prevention is important for elderly people to maintain their functional independence. We made a longitudinal fall-risk assessment using our "Fall-predicting score" of women who are 60 years or older and who exercised regularly. METHODS: We sent "fall-predicting questionnaires" to 632 elderly women aged 60 years or older (mean 65.0+/-4.3), members of "Miishima gymnastics program", and asked about their fall history of falling in the past year in 2004 and 2005. We performed a logistic regression analysis to determine the future risk factor of falling in 2005. RESULTS: The number of people who fell was 134 (21.2%) in 2004 and 121 (19.1%) in 2005. The number of people who fell decreased in the seventh decade, but increased in the eighth decade, and members for 6-10 years showed most decreased fall rates. Logistic regression analysis revealed that age, falls in 2004, "tripping", "cannot squeeze a towel", and "walk steep slope around the house" were significant independent risk factors of "falls in 2005". Logistic regression analysis of non-fallers in 2004 showed that age and "tripping" were the significant independent risk factors of "falls in 2005", and the analysis of people who fell in 2004 showed that age, "tripping", "cannot squeeze a towel", "walk steep slope around the house", and "taking more than 5 medicines" were significant independent risk factors for falls in 2005. CONCLUSIONS: In regular exercising elderly women, exercise appears to prevent falls in people in the seventh decade and in the members of 6-10 years. Age, past history of falls, and fall-predicting questionnaire were important risk predictors of future falls.

["Activity scale for the elderly" as a measurement for the QOL of local elderly individuals and the assessment of the influence of age and exercise].

AIM: To study the influence of exercise on the QOL of local elderly individuals, we created an activity scale for the elderly (ASE) and investigated its reliability and validity. METHODS: We created 36-item ASE and performed factor analysis. The reliability of the ASE was tested by determining Cronbach's coefficient alpha and confirmatory factor analysis in a cohort of 5,280 people, living in the community. The validity of the ASE was assessed by analyzing the interrelationship between the subdomains, age, and exercise. RESULTS: By factor analysis, four subdomains and 20 items remained significant for measuring ASE. The average ASE in the 5,280 people was 27.18+/-5.28 points, with no sex difference. Confirmatory factor analysis showed the stability of the four subdomains. Cronbach's alpha demonstrated the internal consistency of the scale. Regarding the relationship between the four subdomains, age, and exercise, a significant difference was found between those who exercised and those who did not exercise, and between the 4 different age groups. By means of two-way ANOVA, significant interaction was found between exercise and age; ASE decreased from 26.3 points in the sixth decade of life to 23.9 in the seventh decade of life in those who did not exercise, while no decrease was found in those who exercised. Furthermore, ASE was significantly higher in those who exercised than those who did not non-exercise in each age decade group. These results suggest that exercise prevents age-associated decline in ASE. CONCLUSION: ASE provides a reliable and valid measure for the QOL of elderly individuals living in the community, and exercise appears beneficial for preventing age-associated decline in ASE.