Look Around Me: Environmental and Socio-Economic Factors Related to Community Participation for Children with Cerebral Palsy in Québec.

Aims: This study aimed at gaining a deeper understanding of the environmental and socio-economic factors affecting participation outcomes in community and leisure activities for children with disabilities, as well as the trajectories of participation for these children to promote their health and guarantee their rights are respected.Methods: A participatory action research (PAR) approach and linear regression analysis were employed to identify contextual factors associated with the community participation of children with cerebral palsy (CP) living in Quebec, Canada. Stakeholders engaged through the entire research process supported the development of questionnaires, data collection, analysis and interpretation of results.Results: Neighborhood outings were ranked among the most practiced activities by children with CP. Only in a few cases (9%) did children participate in more than two types of activities outside of school. Factors limiting children's participation were predominantly extrinsic in origin, including financial burden and lack of information about existing opportunities.Conclusions: There is a serious need for communities and local governments to inform parents about available resources, programs and policies that can support their child's participation. Rehabilitation professionals could partner with stakeholders to inform the development of public policies that target the identified barriers and promote children's integration and fulfillment.

Taking Costs and Diagnostic Test Accuracy into Account When Designing Prevalence Studies: An Application to Childhood Tuberculosis Prevalence.

BACKGROUND: When planning a study to estimate disease prevalence to a pre-specified precision, it is of interest to minimize total testing cost. This is particularly challenging in the absence of a perfect reference test for the disease because different combinations of imperfect tests need to be considered. We illustrate the problem and a solution by designing a study to estimate the prevalence of childhood tuberculosis in a hospital setting. METHODS: All possible combinations of 3 commonly used tuberculosis tests, including chest X-ray, tuberculin skin test, and a sputum-based test, either culture or Xpert, are considered. For each of the 11 possible test combinations, 3 Bayesian sample size criteria, including average coverage criterion, average length criterion and modified worst outcome criterion, are used to determine the required sample size and total testing cost, taking into consideration prior knowledge about the accuracy of the tests. RESULTS: In some cases, the required sample sizes and total testing costs were both reduced when more tests were used, whereas, in other examples, lower costs are achieved with fewer tests. CONCLUSION: Total testing cost should be formally considered when designing a prevalence study.

Physician step prescription and monitoring to improve ARTERial health (SMARTER): A randomized controlled trial in patients with type 2 diabetes and hypertension.

AIMS: There are few proven strategies to enhance physical activity and cardiometabolic profiles in patients with type 2 diabetes and hypertension. We examined the effects of physician-delivered step count prescriptions and monitoring. METHODS: Participants randomized to the active arm were provided with pedometers and they recorded step counts. Over a 1-year period, their physicians reviewed their records and provided a written step count prescription at each clinic visit. The overall goal was a 3000 steps/day increase over 1 year (individualized rate of increase). Control arm participants were advised to engage in physical activity 30 to 60 min/day. We evaluated effects on step counts, carotid femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV, primary) and other cardiometabolic indicators including haemoglobin A1c in diabetes (henceforth abbreviated as A1c) and Homeostasis Model Assessment-Insulin Resistance (HOMA-IR) in participants not receiving insulin therapy. RESULTS: A total of 79% completed final evaluations (275/347; mean age, 60 years; SD, 11). Over 66% of participants had type 2 diabetes and over 90% had hypertension. There was a net 20% increase in steps/day in active vs control arm participants (1190; 95% CI, 550-1840). Changes in cfPWV were inconclusive; active vs control arm participants with type 2 diabetes experienced a decrease in A1c (-0.38%; 95% CI, -0.69 to -0.06). HOMA-IR also declined in the active arm vs the control arm (ie, assessed in all participants not treated with insulin; -0.96; 95% CI, -1.72 to -0.21). CONCLUSIONS: A simple physician-delivered step count prescription strategy incorporated into routine clinical practice led to a net 20% increase in step counts; however, this was below the 3000 steps/day targeted increment. While conclusive effects on cfPWV were not observed, there were improvements in both A1c and insulin sensitivity. Future studies will evaluate an amplified intervention to increase impact.

Anaphylaxis across two Canadian pediatric centers: evaluating management disparities.

BACKGROUND: There are no data on the percentage of visits due to anaphylaxis in the emergency department (ED), triggers, and management of anaphylaxis across different provinces in Canada. OBJECTIVE: To compare the percentage of anaphylaxis cases among all ED visits, as well as the triggers and management of anaphylaxis between two Canadian pediatric EDs (PEDs). METHODS: As part of the Cross-Canada Anaphylaxis Registry (C-CARE), children presenting to the British Columbia Children's Hospital (BCCH) and Montreal Children's Hospital (MCH) EDs with anaphylaxis were recruited. Characteristics, triggers, and management of anaphylaxis were documented using a standardized data entry form. Differences in demographics, triggers, and management were determined by comparing the difference of proportions and 95% confidence interval. RESULTS: Between June 2014 and June 2016, there were 346 visits due to anaphylaxis among 93,730 PED visits at the BCCH ED and 631 anaphylaxis visits among 164,669 pediatric visits at the MCH ED. In both centers, the majority of cases were triggered by food (BCCH 91.3% [88.7, 94.0], MCH 82.4% [79.7, 85.3]), of which peanuts were the most common culprit (24.7% [20.9, 29.9] and 19.0% [15.8, 22.7], respectively). Pre-hospital administration of epinephrine (BCCH 27.7% [23.2, 32.8], MCH 33.1% [29.5, 37.0]) and antihistamines (BCCH 50.6% [45.2, 56.0], MCH 47.1% [43.1, 51.0]) was similar. In-hospital management differed in terms of increased epinephrine, antihistamine, and steroid use at the BCCH (59.2% [53.9, 64.4], 59.8% [54.4, 65.0], and 60.1% [54.7, 65.3], respectively) compared to the MCH (42.2% [38.3, 46.2], 36.2% [32.5, 40.1], and 11.9% [9.5, 14.8], respectively). Despite differences in management, percentage of cases admitted to the intensive care unit was similar between the two centers. CONCLUSION: Compared to previous European and North American reports, there is a high percentage of anaphylaxis cases in two PEDs across Canada with substantial differences in hospital management practices. It is crucial to develop training programs that aim to increase epinephrine use in anaphylaxis.

Neighbourhood walkability, daily steps and utilitarian walking in Canadian adults.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the associations of neighbourhood walkability (based on Geographic Information System (GIS)-derived measures of street connectivity, land use mix, and population density and the Walk Score) with self-reported utilitarian walking and accelerometer-assessed daily steps in Canadian adults. DESIGN: A cross-sectional analysis of data collected as part of the Canadian Health Measures Survey (2007-2009). SETTING: Home neighbourhoods (500 m polygonal street network buffers around the centroid of the participant's postal code) located in Atlantic Canada, Québec, Ontario, the Prairies and British Columbia. PARTICIPANTS: 5605 individuals participated in the survey. 3727 adults (≥18 years) completed a computer-assisted interview and attended a mobile clinic assessment. Analyses were based on those who had complete exposure, outcome and covariate data (n=2949). MAIN EXPOSURE MEASURES: GIS-derived walkability (based on land use mix, street connectivity and population density); Walk Score. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Self-reported utilitarian walking; accelerometer-assessed daily steps. RESULTS: No important relationship was observed between neighbourhood walkability and daily steps. Participants who reported more utilitarian walking, however, accumulated more steps (<1 h/week: 6613 steps/day, 95% CI 6251 to 6975; 1 to 5 h/week: 6768 steps/day, 95% CI 6420 to 7117; ≥6 h/week: 7391 steps/day, 95% CI 6972 to 7811). There was a positive graded association between walkability and odds of walking ≥1 h/week for utilitarian purposes (eg, Q4 vs Q1 of GIS-derived walkability: OR=1.66, 95% CI 1.31 to 2.11; Q3 vs Q1: OR=1.41, 95% CI 1.14 to 1.76; Q2 vs Q1: OR=1.13, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.39) independent of age, sex, body mass index, married/common law status, annual household income, having children in the household, immigrant status, mood disorder, perceived health, ever smoker and season. CONCLUSIONS: Contrary to expectations, living in more walkable Canadian neighbourhoods was not associated with more total walking. Utilitarian walking and daily steps were, however, correlated and walkability demonstrated a positive graded relationship with utilitarian walking.

Imbalance of prevalence and specialty care for osteoarthritis for first nations people in Alberta, Canada.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the population-based prevalence and healthcare use for osteoarthritis (OA) by First Nations (FN) and non-First Nations (non-FN) in Alberta, Canada. METHODS: A cohort of adults with OA (≥ 2 physician claims in 2 yrs or 1 hospitalization with ICD-9-Clinical Modification code 715x or ICD-10-Canadian Adaptation code M15-19, 1993-2010) was defined with FN determination by premium payer status. Prevalence rates (2007/8) were estimated from the cohort and the population registered with the Alberta Health Care Insurance Plan. Rates of outpatient primary care and specialist visits (orthopedics, rheumatology, internal medicine), arthroplasty (hip and knee), and all-cause hospitalization were estimated. RESULTS: OA prevalence in FN was twice that of the non-FN population [16.1 vs 7.8 cases/100 population, standardized rate ratio (SRR) adjusted for age and sex 2.06, 95% CI 2.00-2.12]. The SRR (adjusted for age, sex, and location of residence) for primary care visits for OA was nearly double in FN compared with non-FN (SRR 1.88, 95% CI 1.87-1.89), and internal medicine visits were increased (SRR 1.25, 95% CI 1.25-1.26). Visit rates with an orthopedic surgeon (SRR 0.49, 95% CI 0.48-0.50) or rheumatologist (SRR 0.62, 95% CI 0.62-0.63) were substantially lower in FN with OA. Hip and knee arthroplasties were performed less frequently in FN with OA (SRR 0.48, 95% CI 0.47-0.49), but all-cause hospitalization rates were higher (SRR 1.59, 95% CI 1.58-1.60). CONCLUSION: We estimate a 2-fold higher prevalence of OA in the FN population with differential healthcare use. Reasons for higher use of primary care and lower use of specialty services and arthroplasty compared with the general population are not yet understood.

Screening polypectomy rates below quality benchmarks: a prospective study.

AIM: To estimate and compare sex-specific screening polypectomy rates to quality benchmarks of 40% in men and 30% in women. METHODS: A prospective cohort study was undertaken of patients aged 50-75, scheduled for colonoscopy, and covered by the Québec universal health insurance plan. Endoscopist and patient questionnaires were used to obtain screening and non-screening colonoscopy indications. Patient self-report was used to obtain history of gastrointestinal conditions/symptoms and prior colonoscopy. Sex-specific polypectomy rates (PRs) and 95%CI were calculated using Bayesian hierarchical logistic regression. RESULTS: In total, 45 endoscopists and 2134 (mean age = 61, 50% female) of their patients participated. According to patients, screening PRs in males and females were 32.4% (95%CI: 23.8-41.8) and 19.4% (95%CI: 13.1-25.4), respectively. According to endoscopists, screening PRs in males and females were 30.2% (95%CI: 27.0-41.9) and 16.6% (95%CI: 16.3-28.6), respectively. Sex-specific PRs did not meet quality benchmarks at all ages except for: males aged 65-69 (patient screening indication), and males aged 70-74 (endoscopist screening indication). For all patients aged 50-54, none of the CI included the quality benchmarks. CONCLUSION: Most sex-specific screening PRs in Québec were below quality benchmarks; PRs were especially low for all 50-54 year olds.

Rheumatoid arthritis prevalence in Quebec.

BACKGROUND: To estimate rheumatoid arthritis (RA) prevalence in Quebec using administrative health data, comparing across regions. METHODS: Cases of RA were ascertained from physician billing and hospitalization data, 1992-2008. We used three case definitions: 1) ≥ 2 billing diagnoses, submitted by any physician, ≥ 2 months apart, but within 2 years; 2) ≥ 1 diagnosis, by a rheumatologist; 3) ≥1 hospitalization diagnosis (all based on ICD-9 code 714, and ICD-10 code M05). We combined data across these three case definitions, using Bayesian hierarchical latent class models to estimate RA prevalence, adjusting for the imperfect sensitivity and specificity of the data. We compared urban versus rural regions. RESULTS: Using our case definitions and no adjustment for error, we defined 75,760 cases for an over-all RA prevalence of 9.9 per thousand residents. After adjusting for the imperfect sensitivity and specificity of our case definition algorithms, we estimated Quebec RA prevalence at 5.6 per 1000 females and 4.1 per 1000 males. The adjusted RA prevalence estimates for older females were the highest for any demographic group (9.9 cases per 1,000), and were similar in rural and urban regions. In younger males and females, and in older males, RA prevalence estimates were lower in rural versus urban areas. CONCLUSIONS: Without adjustment for error inherent in administrative databases, RA prevalence in Quebec was approximately 1%, while adjusted estimates are approximately half that. The lower prevalence in rural areas, seen for most demographic groups, may suggest either true regional variations in RA risk, or under-ascertainment of cases in rural Quebec.

Effects of meal preparation training on body weight, glycemia, and blood pressure: results of a phase 2 trial in type 2 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Modest reductions in weight and small increases in step- related activity (e.g., walking) can improve glycemic and blood pressure control in type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM2). We examined changes in these parameters following training in time- efficient preparation of balanced, low- energy meals combined with pedometer- based step count monitoring. METHODS: Seventy- two adults with DM2 were enrolled in a 24- week program (i.e., 15 three- hour group sessions). They prepared meals under a chef's supervision, and discussed eating behaviours/nutrition with a registered dietitian. They maintained a record of pedometer- assessed step counts. We evaluated changes from baseline to 24 weeks in terms of weight, step counts, hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c, glycemic control), blood pressure, and eating control ability (Weight Efficacy Lifestyle WEL Questionnaire). 53 participants (73.6%) completed assessments. RESULTS: There were improvements in eating control (11.2 point WEL score change, 95% CI 4.7 to 17.8), step counts (mean change 869 steps/day, 95% CI 198 to 1,540), weight (mean change -2.2%; 95% CI -3.6 to -0.8), and HbA1c (mean change -0.3% HbA1c, 95% CI -0.6 to -0.1), as well as suggestion of systolic blood pressure reduction (mean change -3.5 mm Hg, 95% CI -7.8 to 0.9). Findings were not attributable to medication changes. In linear regression models (adjusted for age, sex, ethnicity, insulin use, season), a -2.5% weight change was associated with a -0.3% HbA1c change (95% CI -0.4 to -0.2) and a -3.5% systolic blood pressure change (95% CI -5.5 to -1.4). CONCLUSIONS: In this 'proof of concept' study, persistence with the program led to improvements in eating and physical activity habits, glycemia reductions, and suggestion of blood pressure lowering effects. The strategy thus merits further study and development to expand the range of options for vascular risk reduction in DM2.

Prevalence of systemic lupus erythematosus and systemic sclerosis in the First Nations population of Alberta, Canada.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the population-based prevalence of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and systemic sclerosis (SSc) in Alberta, Canada, stratified by First Nations status. METHODS: Physician billing claims and hospitalization data for the province of Alberta (1994-2007) were used to ascertain cases of SLE and SSc using 3 case definitions. A latent class Bayesian hierarchical regression model was employed to account for the imperfect sensitivity and specificity of billing and hospitalization data in case ascertainment. We accounted for demographic factors, estimating prevalence rates for the First Nations and non-First Nations populations by sex, age group, and location of residence (urban/rural). RESULTS: Our model estimated the prevalence of SLE in Alberta to be 27.3 cases per 10,000 females (95% credible interval [95% CrI] 25.9-28.8) and 3.2 cases per 10,000 males (95% CrI 2.6-3.8). The overall prevalence of SSc in Alberta was 5.8 cases per 10,000 females (95% CrI 5.1-6.5) and 1.0 case per 10,000 males (95% CrI 0.7-1.4). First Nations females over 45 years of age had twice the prevalence of either SLE or SSc relative to non-First Nations females. There was also a trend toward higher overall SLE prevalence in urban dwellers, and higher overall SSc prevalence in rural residents. CONCLUSION: First Nations females older than 45 years of age have an increased prevalence of either SLE or SSc. This may reflect a true predominance of autoimmune rheumatic diseases in this demographic, or may indicate systematic differences in health care delivery.

Accuracy of administrative claims data for polypectomy.

BACKGROUND: The frequency of polypectomy is an important indicator of quality assurance for population-based colorectal cancer screening programs. Although administrative databases of physician claims provide population-level data on the performance of polypectomy, the accuracy of the procedure codes has not been examined. We determined the level of agreement between physician claims for polypectomy and documentation of the procedure in endoscopy reports. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study involving patients aged 50-80 years who underwent colonoscopy at seven study sites in Montréal, Que., between January and March 2007. We obtained data on physician claims for polypectomy from the Régie de l'Assurance Maladie du Québec (RAMQ) database. We evaluated the accuracy of the RAMQ data against information in the endoscopy reports. RESULTS: We collected data on 689 patients who underwent colonoscopy during the study period. The sensitivity of physician claims for polypectomy in the administrative database was 84.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] 78.6%-89.4%), the specificity was 99.0% (95% CI 97.5%-99.6%), concordance was 95.1% (95% CI 93.1%-96.5%), and the kappa value was 0.87 (95% CI 0.83-0.91). INTERPRETATION: Despite providing a reasonably accurate estimate of the frequency of polypectomy, physician claims underestimated the number of procedures performed by more than 15%. Such differences could affect conclusions regarding quality assurance if used to evaluate population-based screening programs for colorectal cancer. Even when a high level of accuracy is anticipated, validating physician claims data from administrative databases is recommended.

Therapeutic management in patients with renal failure who experience an acute coronary syndrome.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Prior reports have suggested that patients with impaired renal function receive less aggressive care after an acute coronary syndrome (ACS). The aim of this study was to determine whether this held true in a contemporary cohort, after thorough adjustment for cotreatments/comorbidities. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: Patients who were admitted for an ACS in eight participating hospitals were stratified into three groups according to estimated creatinine clearance (CrC): less than 45 ml/min, 45 to 60 ml/min, and reference >60 ml/min. RESULTS: During hospitalization, uses of reperfusion therapy in tertiary care centers [difference between CrC < or =45 ml/min and reference group (Delta): 4%, 95% confidence interval (CI): (-13%, 21%)] and systemic anticoagulation [Delta: 0%, CI (-5%, 5%)] were similar in the three groups. Coronary angiography was performed less often in patients with lower CrC [Delta: -16%, CI: (-31%, -1%)]. At discharge, nearly all patients received either an antiplatelet agent or warfarin regardless of CrC [Delta: -1%, CI: (-3%, 1%)]. Discharge use of angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors or angiotensin-receptor blockers was comparable [Delta: 7%, CI: (-1%, 15%)]. beta-blockers [Delta: -9%, CI: (-17%, -1%)] and lipid-lowering drugs (LLDs) [Delta: -7%, CI: (-13%, -1%)] were used less frequently in patients with lower CrC. In multivariate analyses, decreased CrC predicted lower coronary angiography and LLD use, but not lower beta-blocker use at discharge. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that in patients with ACS, the extent of undertreatment due to chronic kidney disease is less than reported previously, which is partially explained by more complete adjustment for cotreatments/comorbidities.

Bayesian estimation of the probability of asbestos exposure from lung fiber counts.

Asbestos exposure is a well-known risk factor for various lung diseases, and when they occur, workmen's compensation boards need to make decisions concerning the probability the cause is work related. In the absence of a definitive work history, measures of short and long asbestos fibers as well as counts of asbestos bodies in the lung can be used as diagnostic tests for asbestos exposure. Typically, data from one or more lung samples are available to estimate the probability of asbestos exposure, often by comparing the values with those from a reference nonexposed population. As there is no gold standard measure, we explore a variety of latent class models that take into account the mixed discrete/continuous nature of the data, that each subject may provide data from more than one lung sample, and that the within-subject results across different samples may be correlated. Our methods can be useful to compensation boards in providing individual level probabilities of exposure based on available data, to researchers who are studying the test properties for the various measures used in this area, and more generally, to other test situations with similar data structure.

Detecting trends in noisy data series: application to biomarker series.

It is common to define a change in health status or in a disease state on the basis of a sustained rise (or decline) in a biomarker over time. However, such observations are often subject to important variability unrelated to the underlying biologic process. The authors propose a method to evaluate rules that define an event on the basis of consecutive increases (or decreases) in the observations, given the presence of random variation. They examine how well these rules correctly identify a truly rising biomarker trajectory and, conversely, how often they can recognize a truly stable series or a slowly rising series. The method relies on simulation of realistic, sophisticated data sets that accurately reflect the systematic and random variations observed in marker series. These flexible, empirically based simulations enable estimation of the sensitivity and specificity of rules of consecutive rises as a function of the underlying trend, amount of random variation, and schedule of measurements (frequency and duration of follow-up). The authors illustrate the approach with postradiotherapy series of prostate-specific antigen, where three consecutive rises in prostate-specific antigen indicate treatment failure; the data are described by using a Bayesian hierarchical changepoint model. The method is particularly flexible and could be applied to evaluate other rules that purport to accurately detect upturns (downturns) in other noisy data series, including other medical data or other application areas.

Socioeconomic status, access to health care, and outcomes after acute myocardial infarction in Canada's universal health care system.

BACKGROUND: There is a debate as to whether universal drug coverage confers similar access to care at all socioeconomic status (SES) levels. Experiences in Canada may bring light to questions raised regarding access. OBJECTIVE: To assess associations between SES and access to cardiac care and outcomes in Canada's universal health care system. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PATIENTS: All patients admitted to acute care hospitals in Quebec (QC), Ontario (ON), and British Columbia (BC), between 1996 and either 2000 (QC) or 2001 (ON, BC) with acute myocardial infarction, were identified using provincial government administrative databases (n = 145,882). MEASUREMENTS: Variables representing SES grouped at the census area level were examined in association with use of cardiac medications and procedures, survival, and readmission, while adjusting for individual-level variables. A Bayesian hierarchical logistic regression model was used to account for the nested structure of the data. RESULTS: Despite provincial variations in SES and drug reimbursement policies, there were generally no associations between the SES variables and access to cardiac medications or invasive cardiac procedures. The few exceptions were not consistent across SES indicators and/or provinces. Similarly, the only observed effect of SES on clinical outcomes was in BC, where there was increased 1-year mortality among patients living in less-affluent regions (adjusted odds ratios per standard deviation change in proportion of low-income households, 95% Bayesian credible intervals, QC: 1.09, 0.96-1.25; ON: 1.02, 0.95-1.08; and BC: 1.18, 1.09-1.28). CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that intermediary factors other than SES, such as cardiovascular risk factors, likely account for observed "wealth-health" gradients in Canada. Implementation of a universal drug coverage policy could decrease socioeconomic disparities in access to health care.

The systemic lupus erythematosus Tri-Nation study: cumulative indirect costs.

OBJECTIVE: We previously reported that patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) in the US incurred approximately 19% and 12% higher direct medical costs than patients in Canada and the UK, respectively, without experiencing superior outcomes expressed as disease damage or quality of life. In the present study, we compared cumulative indirect costs over 4 years in these patients. METHODS: A total of 715 patients with SLE (269 US, 231 Canada, 215 UK) were surveyed semiannually for 4 years on employment status and time lost from labor and nonlabor market activities. Cross-country comparisons of indirect costs were performed. RESULTS: In the US, Canada, and the UK, mean 4-year cumulative indirect costs (95% confidence interval [95% CI]) due to diminished labor market activity were $56,745 ($49,919, $63,571), $38,642 ($32,785, $44,500), and $42,213 ($35,859, $48,567), respectively, and cumulative indirect costs due to diminished nonlabor market activity were $5,249 ($2,766, $7,732), $5,455 ($3,290, $7,620), and $8,572 ($5,626, $11,518), respectively. Regression results showed that cumulative indirect costs (95% CI) due to diminished labor market activity in the US were $6,750 ($580, $12,910) greater than in Canada and $10,430 ($4,050, $16,800) greater than in the UK. Indirect costs due to diminished nonlabor market activity in the US were $280 (-$2,950, $3,520) less than in Canada and $2,010 (-$1,490, $5,510) less than in the UK, both results insignificant due to wide CIs. CONCLUSION: Despite American patients incurring greater direct medical costs than Canadian and British patients, they do not experience superior health outcomes in terms of less productivity loss in either labor market or nonlabor market activities.

Changes to osteoporosis prevalence according to method of risk assessment.

UNLABELLED: The impact of clinical risk factor-based absolute risk methods on the prevalence of high risk for osteoporotic fracture is unknown. We applied absolute risk methods to 6646 subjects and found that the prevalence of elderly women deemed to be at high risk increased substantially, whereas the overall prevalence was highly dependent on the threshold used to designate high risk. INTRODUCTION: Many groups have advocated using absolute risk methods that incorporate clinical risk factors to target patients for osteoporosis therapy. We examined how the application of such absolute risk classification systems influences the prevalence of those considered to be at high risk for osteoporotic fracture and compared these systems to one based solely on BMD. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Using 6646 subjects from the Canadian Multicentre Osteoporosis Study (CaMos), a prospective, randomly selected, population-based cohort, we assessed three different systems for determining prevalence of high risk for osteoporotic fracture: a BMD-based system; a simplified risk factor system incorporating age, sex, BMD, and two clinical risk factors; and a comprehensive system, incorporating age, sex, BMD, and seven clinical risk factors. The 10-year absolute risks of incident fragility fracture were compared across systems using three different high-risk thresholds. RESULTS: The prevalence of a T score < or = -2.5 was 18.8% (95% CI: 17.7-19.9%) in women and 3.9% (95% CI: 3.0-4.7%) in men. Using a 15% 10-year risk of fracture threshold, the prevalence of women at high risk increased to 46.9% (95% CI: 45.4-48.4) and 42.5% (95% CI: 41.1-43.9) when the comprehensive and simplified risk factor classification systems were used, respectively. Using a 25% 10-year absolute risk threshold, the prevalence of high risk was similar to that of the BMD-based system, whereas the 20% threshold gave intermediate rates. All thresholds analyzed resulted in an increased prevalence of older women at high risk for fracture, whereas only the 15% 10-year risk of fracture threshold resulted in an increase in the prevalence of men at high risk. CONCLUSIONS: The application of risk factor-based systems results in an increased prevalence of older women at high risk. The prevalence of individuals at high risk may increase with changes to the methods used to determine those who are eligible for therapy. These data have important implications for the pattern of care and costs of treating osteoporotic fractures.

The role of global risk assessment in hypertension therapy.

To maximize the benefits of preventive therapy, lipid and hypertension guidelines increasingly recommend that high-risk individuals be targeted for treatment. An individual's risk of developing cardiovascular disease depends on many risk factors, such as age, sex, blood pressure, blood lipid levels, body weight, physical fitness, smoking habits and familial predisposition. Multivariable statistical models have therefore been developed to better estimate the global risk of future coronary events and stroke. A Canadian model is not currently available because a prospective cohort of sufficient size has not been followed in Canada. Therefore, global risk assessment among Canadians can only be completed using models developed in the United States or Europe. In the present review, cardiovascular risk tools are identified that may be appropriate for Canadians, including those based on the Framingham model, the Cardiovascular Life Expectancy Model, the United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) model and the Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) model. The accuracy of the Framingham model and the Cardiovascular Life Expectancy Model are also evaluated using data from a small, prospective Canadian cohort. Finally, a framework is proposed to assist health care professionals in choosing the global risk tool most appropriate for their patients.