What was the Epidemiology and Global Burden of Disease of Hip Fractures From 1990 to 2019? Results From and Additional Analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

BACKGROUND: Hip fractures are associated with a high risk of death; among those who survive a hip fracture, many experience substantial decreases in quality of life. A comprehensive understanding of the epidemiology and burden of hip fractures by country, age, gender, and sociodemographic factors would provide valuable information for healthcare policymaking and clinical practice. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2019 was a global-level study estimating the burden of 369 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories. An exploration and additional analysis of the GBD 2019 would provide a clearer picture of the incidence and burden of hip fractures. QUESTIONS/PURPOSES: Using data from the GBD 2019, we asked, (1) What are the global, regional, and national incidences of hip fractures, and how did they change over a recent 30-year span? (2) What is the global, regional, and national burden of hip fractures in terms of years lived with disability, and how did it change over that same period? (3) What is the leading cause of hip fractures? (4) How did the incidence and years lived with disability of patients with hip fractures change with age, gender, and sociodemographic factors? METHODS: This was a cross-sectional study. Participant data were obtained from the GBD 2019 ( http://ghdx.healthdata.org/gbd-results-tool ). The GBD study is managed by the WHO, coordinated by the Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation, and funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. It estimates the burden of disease and injury for 204 countries by age, gender, and sociodemographic factors, and can serve as a valuable reference for health policymaking. All estimates and their 95% uncertainty interval (UI) were produced using DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool in the GBD 2019. In this study, we directly pulled the age-standardized incidence rate and years lived with disability rate of hip fractures by location, age, gender, and cause from the GBD 2019. Based on these data, we analyzed the association between the incidence rate and latitude of each country. Then, we calculated the estimated annual percentage change to represent trends from 1990 to 2019. We also used the Spearman rank-order correlation analysis to determine the correlation between the incidence or burden of hip fractures and the sociodemographic index, a composite index of the income per capita, average years of educational attainment, and fertility rates in a country. RESULTS: Globally, hip fracture incidences were estimated to be 14.2 million (95% UI 11.1 to 18.1), and the associated years lived with disability were 2.9 million (95% UI 2.0 to 4.0) in 2019, with an incidence of 182 (95% UI 142 to 231) and 37 (95% UI 25 to 50) per 100,000, respectively. A strong, positive correlation was observed between the incidence rate and the latitude of each country (rho = 0.65; p < 0.001). From 1990 to 2019, the global incidence rate for both genders remained unchanged (estimated annual percentage change 0.01 [95% confidence interval -0.08 to 0.11]), but was slightly increased in men (estimated annual percentage change 0.11 [95% CI 0.01 to 0.2]). The years lived with disability rate decreased slightly (estimated annual percentage change 0.66 [95% CI -0.73 to -0.6]). These rates were standardized by age. Falls were the leading cause of hip fractures, accounting for 66% of all patients and 55% of the total years lived with disability. The incidence of hip fractures was tightly and positively correlated with the sociodemographic index (rho 0.624; p < 0.001), while the years lived with disability rate was slightly negatively correlated (rho -0.247; p < 0.001). Most hip fractures occurred in people older than 70 years, and women had higher incidence rate (189.7 [95% UI 144.2 to 247.2] versus 166.2 [95% UI 133.2 to 205.8] per 100,000) and years lived with disability (38.4 [95% UI 26.9 to 51.6] versus 33.7 [95% UI 23.1 to 45.5] per 100,000) than men. CONCLUSION: Hip fractures are common, devastating to patients, and economically burdensome to healthcare systems globally, with falls being the leading cause. The age-standardized incidence rate has slightly increased in men. Many low-latitude countries have lower incidences, possibly because of prolonged sunlight exposure. Policies should be directed to promoting public health education about maintaining bone-protective lifestyles, enhancing the knowledge of osteoporosis management in young resident physicians and those in practice, increasing the awareness of osteoporosis screening and treatment in men, and developing more effective antiosteoporosis drugs for clinical use. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III, prognostic study.

Spinal Cord Injury: The Global Incidence, Prevalence, and Disability From the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study. OBJECTIVE: The authors aimed to estimate the incidence, prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs) of spinal cord injury (SCI) by location, sex, age, injury site and socio-demographic index (SDI) based on the data of the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: GBD 2019 estimates the burden of 369 diseases and injuries worldwide in 2019 and the temporal trends in the past 30 years. SCI is estimated as a result of injury from various causes. METHODS: A Bayesian meta-regression tool, DisMod-MR2.1, was used to produce the estimates. Estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was calculated based on a linear regression mode of the age standardized rates and the calendar year to represent the temporal trends of the age standardized rates. Spearman rank order correlation was used to determine the correlation between SDI and the incidence and burden of SCI. RESULTS: Globally, there were 0.9 [95% uncertainty interval (UI), 0.7 to 1.2] million incident cases, 20.6 (95% UI, 18.9-23.6) million prevalent cases and 6.2 (95% UI, 4.5-8.2) million YLDs of total SCI in 2019. The ASPR increased (EAPC, 0.1; 95% confidence interval, -0.01 to 0.2), while the age standardized incidence rate (ASIR) (EAPC, -0.08; 95% UI, -0.24 to 0.09) and age standardized YLD rate (ASYR) (EAPC, -0.08; 95% confidence interval, -0.24 to 0.09) decreased. Males had higher ASIR and ASYR, and the rate of incidence, prevalence and YLD increased with age. Spinal injuries at neck level caused higher ASYR than injuries below neck level. A positive correlation existed between SDI and ASIR (ρ=0.1626, P <0.05), while a negative correlation was observed between SDI and EAPC of ASYR (ρ=-0.2421, P <0.01). CONCLUSION: Conclusively, the incidence and burden of SCI has increased over the last 30 years. Males and the elderly were affected to a greater degree than females and younger individuals. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III.

Global, Regional, and National Burden of Low Bone Mineral Density From 1990 to 2019: Results From the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

Objective: We aim to explore the global spatial prevalence and temporal trends of the burden of low bone mineral density (LBMD) worldwide, due to a lack of related studies. Design: Cross-sectional study. Methods: We used data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 to conduct this study. LBMD in the GBD study includes both osteopenia and osteoporosis. The estimation for the prevalence, measured by the summary exposure value (SEV), and burden of LBMD was made in DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool. Correlation analysis was performed using the Spearman rank order correlation methods. The temporal trends were represented by the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC). Results: In 2019, there were 438 thousand deaths and 16.6 million DALYs attributable to LBMD, increasing by 111.1% and 93.8% respectively, compared to that in 1990. From 1990 to 2019, the prevalence of LBMD has decreased worldwide, but has increased in high-income North America. Some countries, such as the United States, Australia, Canada, and China had increased disability and mortality rates of LBMD with time. Countries with low socio-demographic index (SDI) had higher incidence and mortality rate than those with high SDI. The prevalence of LBMD was lower in males, but the attributable disability and mortality were higher in males in all years from 1990 to 2019. Conclusion: With population aging, countries worldwide, especially those with low-SDI, will face increasing challenges in reducing the burden attributable to LBMD and osteoporosis. The treatment of osteoporosis has been overlooked in men for a long time. Effective measures are warranted to control the prevalence and burden of LBMD.

Global incidence, prevalence, and disability of vertebral fractures: a systematic analysis of the global burden of disease study 2019.

BACKGROUND CONTEXT: In the context of the population growing and aging worldwide, the epidemiology, and burden of vertebral fracture have not been comprehensively analyzed. PURPOSE: To delineate the global number and rate of incidence, prevalence and burden of vertebral fracture in 2019, and the temporal trends from 1990 to 2019 by location, age, sex, and the socio-demographic index (SDI). STUDY DESIGN/SETTING: A cross-sectional study using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD study 2019). PATIENT SAMPLE: Patients with vertebral fracture documented in medical records or registrations and included in the GBD study 2019 from different countries worldwide. OUTCOME MEASURES: Age standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), and age standardized years lived with disability (YLDs). METHODS: The GBD study 2019 was used to obtain data for this analysis. The incidence, prevalence and disability were analyzed by location, year, sex, age, and SDI. DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool, was used to produce the estimates for each value after adjustment for age, sex, and other variables. Estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was calculated to represent the temporal trends from 1990 to 2019. Spearman's rank order correlation was used to determine the correlation between SDI and the incidence and burden of vertebral fracture. This work was supported by the Key Research and Development Program of Hubei Province of China (No. 2020BCB049), and no conflicts of interest-associated biases existed in this study. RESULTS: Globally, there were 8.6 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 6,6-11,3 million) incident cases, 5.3 million (95% UI, 4.6-6.2 million) prevalent cases, and 0.55 million (95% UI, 0.37-0.77 million) YLDs of vertebral fracture. Compared with 1990, the number of incident cases and YLDs in 2019 increased by 38% (95% UI, 23%-48%) and 75% (95% UI, 65%-85%), respectively, while the ASIR (EAPC, -0.28; 95% CI, -0.41 to -0.14), ASPR (EAPC, -0.12; 95% CI, -0.22 to -0.02) and age standardized YLD rate (ASYR) (EAPC, -0.13; 95% CI, -0.23 to -0.04) decreased during this period. High ASIR, ASPR and ASYR were commonly seen in high-SDI countries, such as high-income North America, Australia, Central and Eastern Europe. In the country level, positive correlations were observed between SDI and ASIR (rho, 0.596; p<.001) and ASYR (rho, 0.413; p<.001). Males had higher ASIR and ASYR worldwide in each year from 1990 to 2019. However, the incidence, and YLD rates in females surpassed that in males after 65 years of age. Increasing trends were observed for both incidence and YLD rates with age. Falls were the leading cause for vertebral fracture across all ages. CONCLUSIONS: The past thirty years have seen increasing numbers but decreasing rates of global incidence, prevalence, and disability of vertebral fractures, resulting from the growing population worldwide. With population aging, efforts are still in urgent need to address vertebral fracture related health outcomes.