Mean cost of a first combination antiretroviral therapy in HIV-infected patients in France, and determinants of expensive drugs prescription.

To estimate the cost of the first combination antiretroviral drug therapy (cART) in HIV-infected patients and to determine factors associated with expensive prescriptions, 1698 patients starting cART between September 2002 and September 2007 were selected from the Dat'AIDS cohort. A multivariate linear regression model was used to assess associations between the cost of first cART and patient characteristics, clinical centre and cART adequacy. At cART initiation, the median age was 39 years, median CD4 count was 223 cells/mm(3), median viral load (VL) was 5.2 log copies/mL and 18.3% presented with AIDS. cART was concordant with the French guidelines in 88.7%. The mean cost of cART varied from €26.69/day/person in 2002-2003 to €32.23 in 2006-2007 (P < 0.0001), cost was associated with previous AIDS diagnosis (€31.83/day/person) versus (29.49; P < 0.0001), baseline VL > 5 log copies/mL (€30.99/day/person) versus (28.33; P < 0.0001) and centre. cART regimen not concordant with guidelines were more expensive (€38.31/day/person) versus (29.07; P < 0.0001). After adjusting for the year of initiation, the previous AIDS diagnosis, VL and recommended cART regimen, differences were still found between centres (from €27.81/day/person) to (33.12; P < 0.0001). Cost should be considered when choosing a first cART regimen, especially when considering clinically equivalent regimens.

Markov modelling of changes in HIV-specific cytotoxic T-lymphocyte responses with time in untreated HIV-1 infected patients.

HIV-specific cytotoxic CD8(+) T-lymphocytes (CTL) appear to be the cornerstone of the immune response to HIV infection. Recent studies show that CTL activity reflects patients' anti-HIV immune status and slows disease progression. However, the dynamics of the diversity of this response also appears as a key parameter for immune control but the dynamics of this diversity is largely undocumented. We modelled changes in CTL responses against the seven principal HIV proteins over time. We also studied the influence of plasma viral load on temporal changes in HIV protein recognition by memory CTL. The generic model we developed is based on a continuous time homogeneous Markov process with reversible states. Those states are defined by the number of proteins recognized by memory CTL in a given patient at a given time. This approach was developed within a Bayesian framework. Full Bayesian inference is implemented using Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations (MCMC). The Gibbs sampling algorithm was used to estimate the marginal posterior distributions of the transition intensities between stages of CTL responses. We applied our model to data of 152 HIV-infected patients included in the IMMUNOCO cohort. The model suggested that the diversity of HIV protein recognition by memory CTL in treatment-naive patients decreases as the disease progresses. Namely, the loss of T cytotoxic responses is globally faster than their acquisition. Indeed, these patients' T cytotoxic responses were characterized by marked individual turnover and a gradual loss of multiple protein recognition over time, this loss accelerating as viral load increased.