A pragmatic lab-based tool for risk assessment in cardiac critical care: data from the Critical Care Cardiology Trials Network (CCCTN) Registry.

AIMS: Contemporary cardiac intensive care unit (CICU) outcomes remain highly heterogeneous. As such, a risk-stratification tool using readily available lab data at time of CICU admission may help inform clinical decision-making. METHODS AND RESULTS: The primary derivation cohort included 4352 consecutive CICU admissions across 25 tertiary care CICUs included in the Critical Care Cardiology Trials Network (CCCTN) Registry. Candidate lab indicators were assessed using multivariable logistic regression. An integer risk score incorporating the top independent lab indicators associated with in-hospital mortality was developed. External validation was performed in a separate CICU cohort of 9716 patients from the Mayo Clinic (Rochester, MN, USA). On multivariable analysis, lower pH [odds ratio (OR) 1.96, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.72-2.24], higher lactate (OR 1.40, 95% CI 1.22-1.62), lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (OR 1.26, 95% CI 1.10-1.45), and lower platelets (OR 1.18, 95% CI 1.05-1.32) were the top four independent lab indicators associated with higher in-hospital mortality. Incorporated into the CCCTN Lab-Based Risk Score, these four lab indicators identified a 20-fold gradient in mortality risk with very good discrimination (C-index 0.82, 95% CI 0.80-0.84) in the derivation cohort. Validation of the risk score in a separate cohort of 3888 patients from the Registry demonstrated good performance (C-index of 0.82; 95% CI 0.80-0.84). Performance remained consistent in the external validation cohort (C-index 0.79, 95% CI 0.77-0.80). Calibration was very good in both validation cohorts (r = 0.99). CONCLUSION: A simple integer risk score utilizing readily available lab indicators at time of CICU admission may accurately stratify in-hospital mortality risk.

Unplanned Readmissions After Acute Myocardial Infarction: 1-Year Trajectory Following Discharge From a Safety Net Hospital.

BACKGROUND: Financial penalties rendered by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services have brought about new challenges for safety net hospitals that serve a vulnerable patient population with risk factors associated with high readmission rates. Our goal was to determine the 1-year trajectory of unplanned readmissions in post-myocardial infarction (MI) patients, and to identify factors associated with readmission. METHODS: A total of 261 acute MI patients admitted from April 2015 to April 2016 were evaluated in a multidisciplinary cardiology clinic within 10 days of hospital discharge and baseline characteristics and medical comorbidities were collected. Readmission and mortality data were obtained at 1 year through chart review and telephone follow-up. RESULTS: At 1 year, there were 90 (34%) unplanned readmissions of which half were for noncardiac diagnoses. Of these, 69 patients (77%) were readmitted once, 16 (18%) were readmitted twice, 2 (2%) were readmitted 3 times, and 3 (3%) were readmitted 4 times over the subsequent year. Cardiac causes of 1-year readmission included recurrent MI in 23 (9%) and decompensated heart failure in 18 (7%) patients. Depressed left ventricular systolic function (hazard ratio, 2.23; 95% confidence interval, 2.00-2.44; P = 0.0003) and diabetes mellitus (hazard ratio, 1.60; 95% confidence interval, 1.38-1.82; P = 0.029) were associated with a significantly higher risk of readmission at 1 year. CONCLUSION: Following acute MI, patients are readmitted for cardiac and noncardiac diagnoses well beyond the 30-day mark. This is likely a function of the vulnerability of the patient population rather than a reflection of the medical care provided. More frequent surveillance may attenuate this problem.