TAVR in Older Adults: Moving Toward a Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment and Away From Chronological Age: JACC Family Series.

Calcific aortic stenosis can be considered a model for geriatric cardiovascular conditions due to a confluence of factors. The remarkable technological development of transcatheter aortic valve replacement was studied initially on older adult populations with prohibitive or high-risk for surgical valve replacement. Through these trials, the cardiovascular community has recognized that stratification of these chronologically older adults can be improved incrementally by invoking the concept of frailty and other geriatric risks. Given the complexity of the aging process, stratification by chronological age should only be the initial step but is no longer sufficient to optimally quantify cardiovascular and noncardiovascular risk. In this review, we employ a geriatric cardiology lens to focus on the diagnosis and the comprehensive management of aortic stenosis in older adults to enhance shared decision-making with patients and their families and optimize patient-centered outcomes. Finally, we highlight knowledge gaps that are critical for future areas of study.

Hip Fracture Treatment and Outcomes Among Community-Dwelling People Living With Dementia.

Importance: The decision for surgical vs nonsurgical treatment for hip fracture can be complicated among community-dwelling people living with dementia. Objective: To compare outcomes of community-dwelling people living with dementia treated surgically and nonsurgically for hip fracture. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cross-sectional study undertook a population-based analysis of national Medicare fee-for-service data. Participants included community-dwelling Medicare beneficiaries with dementia and an inpatient claim for hip fracture from January 1, 2017, to June 30, 2018. Analyses were conducted from November 10, 2022, to October 17, 2023. Exposure: Surgical vs nonsurgical treatment for hip fracture. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was mortality within 30, 90, and 180 days. Secondary outcomes consisted of selected post-acute care services. Results: Of 56 209 patients identified with hip fracture (73.0% women; mean [SD] age, 86.4 [7.0] years), 33 142 (59.0%) were treated surgically and 23 067 (41.0%) were treated nonsurgically. Among patients treated surgically, 73.3% had a fracture of the femoral head and neck and 40.2% had moderate to severe dementia (MSD). Among patients with MSD and femoral head and neck fracture, 180-day mortality was 31.8% (surgical treatment) vs 45.7% (nonsurgical treatment). For patients with MSD treated surgically vs nonsurgically, the unadjusted odds ratio (OR) of 180-day mortality was 0.56 (95% CI, 0.49-0.62; P < .001) and the adjusted OR was 0.59 (95% CI, 0.53-0.66; P < .001). Among patients with mild dementia and femoral head and neck fracture, 180-day mortality was 26.5% (surgical treatment) vs 34.9% (nonsurgical treatment). For patients with mild dementia who were treated surgically vs nonsurgically for femoral head and neck fracture, the unadjusted OR of 180-day mortality was 0.67 (95% CI, 0.60-0.76; P < .001) and the adjusted OR was 0.71 (95% CI, 0.63-0.79; P < .001). For patients with femoral head and neck fracture, there was no difference in admission to a nursing home within 180 days when treated surgically vs nonsurgically. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of community-dwelling patients with dementia and fracture of the femoral head and neck, patients with MSD and mild dementia treated surgically experienced lower odds of death compared with patients treated nonsurgically. Although avoiding nursing home admission is important to persons living with dementia, being treated surgically for hip fracture did not necessarily confer a benefit in that regard. These data can help inform discussions around values and goals with patients and caregivers when determining the optimal treatment approach.

Claims-Based Frailty Index and Its Relationship With Commonly Used Clinical Frailty Measures.

BACKGROUND: The relationship of claims-based frailty index (CFI), a validated measure to identify frail individuals using Medicare data, and frailty measures used in clinical practice has not yet been fully explored. METHODS: We identified community-dwelling participants of the 2015 National Health and Aging Trends Study (NHATS) whose CFI scores could be calculated using linked Medicare claims. We calculated 9 commonly used clinical frailty measures from their NHATS in-person examination: Study of Osteoporotic Fracture Index (SOF), FRAIL Scale, Frailty Phenotype, Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS), Vulnerable Elder Survey-13 (VES-13), Tilburg Frailty Indicator (TFI), Groningen Frailty Indicator (GFI), Edmonton Frail Scale (EFS), and 40-item Frailty Index (FI). Using equipercentile method, CFI scores were linked to clinical frailty measures. C-statistics and test characteristics of CFI to identify frailty as defined by each clinical frailty measure were calculated. RESULTS: Of the 3 963 older adults, 44.5% were ≥75 years, 59.4% were female, and 82.3% were non-Hispanic White. A CFI of 0.25 was equipercentile to the following clinical frailty measure scores: SOF 1.4, FRAIL 1.8, Phenotype 1.8, CFS 5.4, VES-13 5.7, TFI 4.6, GFI 5.0, EFS 6.0, and FI 0.26. The C-statistics of using CFI to identify frailty as defined by each clinical measure were ≥0.70, except for CFS and VES-13. The optimal CFI cutpoints to identify frailty per clinical frailty measure ranged from 0.212 to 0.242, with sensitivity and specificity of 0.37-0.83 and 0.66-0.84, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Understanding the relationship of CFI and commonly used clinical frailty measures can enhance the interpretability and potential utility of CFI.

Performance of a Claims-Based Frailty Proxy Using Varying Frailty Ascertainment Lookback Windows.

BACKGROUND: Frailty is an aging-related syndrome of reduced physiological reserve to maintain homeostasis. The Faurot frailty index has been validated as a Medicare claims-based proxy for predicting frailty using billing information from a user-specified ascertainment window. OBJECTIVES: We assessed the validity of the Faurot frailty index as a predictor of the frailty phenotype and 1-year mortality using varying frailty ascertainment windows. RESEARCH DESIGN: We identified older adults (66+ y) in Round 5 (2015) of the National Health and Aging Trends Study with Medicare claims linkage. Gold standard frailty was assessed using the frailty phenotype. We calculated the Faurot frailty index using 3, 6, 8, and 12 months of claims prior to the survey or all-available lookback. Model performance for each window in predicting the frailty phenotype was assessed by quantifying calibration and discrimination. Predictive performance for 1-year mortality was assessed by estimating risk differences across claims-based frailty strata. RESULTS: Among 4253 older adults, the 6 and 8-month windows had the best frailty phenotype calibration (calibration slopes: 0.88 and 0.87). All-available lookback had the best discrimination (C-statistic=0.780), but poor calibration. Mortality associations were strongest using a 3-month window and monotonically decreased with longer windows. Subgroup analyses revealed worse performance in Black and Hispanic individuals than counterparts. CONCLUSIONS: The optimal ascertainment window for the Faurot frailty index may depend on the clinical context, and researchers should consider tradeoffs between discrimination, calibration, and mortality. Sensitivity analyses using different durations can enhance the robustness of inferences. Research is needed to improve prediction across racial and ethnic groups.

Identifying Functional Status Impairment in People Living With Dementia Through Natural Language Processing of Clinical Documents: Cross-Sectional Study.

BACKGROUND: Assessment of activities of daily living (ADLs) and instrumental ADLs (iADLs) is key to determining the severity of dementia and care needs among older adults. However, such information is often only documented in free-text clinical notes within the electronic health record and can be challenging to find. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to develop and validate machine learning models to determine the status of ADL and iADL impairments based on clinical notes. METHODS: This cross-sectional study leveraged electronic health record clinical notes from Mass General Brigham's Research Patient Data Repository linked with Medicare fee-for-service claims data from 2007 to 2017 to identify individuals aged 65 years or older with at least 1 diagnosis of dementia. Notes for encounters both 180 days before and after the first date of dementia diagnosis were randomly sampled. Models were trained and validated using note sentences filtered by expert-curated keywords (filtered cohort) and further evaluated using unfiltered sentences (unfiltered cohort). The model's performance was compared using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC). RESULTS: The study included 10,000 key-term-filtered sentences representing 441 people (n=283, 64.2% women; mean age 82.7, SD 7.9 years) and 1000 unfiltered sentences representing 80 people (n=56, 70% women; mean age 82.8, SD 7.5 years). Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was high for the best-performing ADL and iADL models on both cohorts (>0.97). For ADL impairment identification, the random forest model achieved the best AUPRC (0.89, 95% CI 0.86-0.91) on the filtered cohort; the support vector machine model achieved the highest AUPRC (0.82, 95% CI 0.75-0.89) for the unfiltered cohort. For iADL impairment, the Bio+Clinical bidirectional encoder representations from transformers (BERT) model had the highest AUPRC (filtered: 0.76, 95% CI 0.68-0.82; unfiltered: 0.58, 95% CI 0.001-1.0). Compared with a keyword-search approach on the unfiltered cohort, machine learning reduced false-positive rates from 4.5% to 0.2% for ADL and 1.8% to 0.1% for iADL. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, we demonstrated the ability of machine learning models to accurately identify ADL and iADL impairment based on free-text clinical notes, which could be useful in determining the severity of dementia.

Use of Diabetes Medications before and after a Heart Failure-Related Hospitalization among Nursing Home Residents.

OBJECTIVES: Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2is) and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) offer cardiovascular benefits, whereas thiazolidinediones (TZDs) and sulfonylureas (SUs) increase cardiovascular risk. The objective of this study was to describe the use of SGLT-2is, GLP-1RAs, TZDs, and SUs before and after a heart failure (HF)-related hospitalization in nursing home (NH) residents with type 2 diabetes (T2D). DESIGN: This was a cohort study using a 20% sample of Medicare claims linked with Minimum Data Set resident assessments. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: The study population was long-stay NH residents with T2D and an HF-related hospitalization between January 1, 2013, and August 31, 2018. For individuals with multiple HF hospitalizations, 1 hospitalization was randomly selected. METHODS: We ascertained diabetes medications using Medicare Part D claims during the 120 days before and after hospital discharge (or skilled nursing facility discharge, where applicable). We calculated (1) the proportion of study participants who received a medication class of interest during pre- and posthospitalization periods; (2) the proportion of continuous users; and (3) the proportion of posthospitalization users who were new users. RESULTS: A total of 12,990 NH residents with T2D and an HF-related hospitalization were included (mean age 78 years, 66% female, 19% Black). Before hospitalization, 1.5% received TZDs, 14.1% received SUs, 1.2% received GLP-1RAs, and 0.3% received SGLT-2is. Among prehospitalization users of TZDs, SUs, GLP-1RAs, and SGLT-2is, 49%, 62%, 60%, and 40% continued the medications, respectively. Among posthospitalization users of TZDs, SUs, GLP-1RAs, and SGLT-2is, 37%, 10%, 28%, and 11%, respectively, were new users. CONCLUSIONS: Among NH residents with hospitalized HF, GLP-1RAs and SGLT-2is were seldom used. TZDs and SUs were still used by many residents with T2D after HF hospitalizations. IMPLEMENTATIONS: Barriers may exist in the use of newer diabetes medications to prevent heart failure in NH residents with T2D, which warrants further studies in older adults with multimorbidity.

Comparative Safety and Effectiveness of Warfarin or Rivaroxaban Versus Apixaban in Patients With Advanced CKD and Atrial Fibrillation: Nationwide US Cohort Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Head-to-head data comparing the effectiveness and safety of oral anticoagulants in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) are lacking. We compared the safety and effectiveness of warfarin or rivaroxaban versus apixaban in patients with AF and non-dialysis-dependent CKD stage 4/5. STUDY DESIGN: Propensity score-matched cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 2 nationwide US claims databases, Medicare and Optum's deidentified Clinformatics Data Mart Database, were searched for the interval from January 1, 2013, through March 31, 2022, for patients with nonvalvular AF and CKD stage 4/5 who initiated warfarin versus apixaban (matched cohort, n=12,488) and rivaroxaban versus apixaban (matched cohort, n = 5,720). EXPOSURES: Warfarin, rivaroxaban, or apixaban. OUTCOMES: Primary outcomes included major bleeding and ischemic stroke. Secondary outcomes included all-cause mortality, major gastrointestinal bleeding, and intracranial bleeding. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Cox regression was used to estimate HRs, and 1:1 propensity-score matching was used to adjust for 80 potential confounders. RESULTS: Compared with apixaban, warfarin initiation was associated with a higher rate of major bleeding (HR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.59-2.15), including major gastrointestinal bleeding (1.86; 1.53-2.25) and intracranial bleeding (2.15; 1.42-3.25). Compared with apixaban, rivaroxaban was also associated with a higher rate of major bleeding (1.69; 1.33-2.15). All-cause mortality was similar for warfarin (1.08; 0.98-1.18) and rivaroxaban (0.94; 0.81-1.10) versus apixaban. Furthermore, no statistically significant differences for ischemic stroke were observed for warfarin (1.14; 0.83-1.57) or rivaroxaban (0.71; 0.40-1.24) versus apixaban, but the CIs were wide. Similar results were observed for warfarin versus apixaban in the positive control cohort of patients with CKD stage 3, consistent with randomized trial findings. LIMITATIONS: Few ischemic stroke events, potential residual confounding. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with AF and advanced CKD, rivaroxaban and warfarin were associated with higher rates of major bleeding compared with apixaban, suggesting a superior safety profile for apixaban in this high-risk population. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Different anticoagulants have been shown to reduce the risk of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation, such as warfarin and direct oral anticoagulants like apixaban and rivaroxaban. Unfortunately, the large-scale randomized trials that compared direct anticoagulants versus warfarin excluded patients with advanced chronic kidney disease. Therefore, the comparative safety and effectiveness of warfarin, apixaban, and rivaroxaban are uncertain in this population. In this study, we used administrative claims data from the United States to answer this question. We found that warfarin and rivaroxaban were associated with increased risks of major bleeding compared with apixaban. There were few stroke events, with no major differences among the 3 drugs in the risk of stroke. In conclusion, this study suggests that apixaban has a better safety profile than warfarin and rivaroxaban.

Low-Cost Angle Sensor for Robotics Applications Using Plastic Optical Fiber Based on Optical Loss Mechanism.

Robotic systems and the human body consist of numerous joint structures, all of which require precise angle adjustments. At present, encoder, strain gauge, and electrical resistance-based sensors are commonly used for angle measurement. However, these sensors have limitations when used in underwater or in environments with strong electromagnetic waves. Therefore, we have developed an angle sensor based on step-index profile plastic optical fiber (SI-POF), which is cost-effective and highly durable, in this study in order to overcome the limitations of existing angle measurement sensors. To this end, the amount of light loss according to the gab and angle changes that occur when the POF angle sensor is applied to the robot arm was experimentally measured, and based on the results, a simulation of the amount of light loss when the two losses occurred at the same time was conducted. In addition, the performance of the POF angle sensor was evaluated by measuring sensitivity and resolution, and comparative verification with a commonly used encoder was conducted to verify the reliability of sensors in extreme environments, such as those with electromagnetic fields and those that are underwater. Through this, the reliability and practicality of the POF angle sensor were confirmed. The results obtained in this study suggest that POF-based angle sensors can contribute to the development of the biomimetic robot industry as well as ordinary robots, especially in environments where existing sensors are difficult to apply, such as areas with underwater or electromagnetic interference (EMI).

Benefits and Harms of Standard Versus Reduced-Dose Direct Oral Anticoagulant Therapy for Older Adults With Multiple Morbidities and Atrial Fibrillation.

Background Dose reduction of direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) medications is inconsistently applied to older adults with multiple morbidities, potentially due to perceived harms and unknown benefits of standard dosing. Methods and Results Using 2013 to 2017 US Medicare claims linked to Minimum Data Set records, we conducted a retrospective cohort study. We identified DOAC initiators (apixaban, dabigatran, rivaroxaban) aged ≥65 years with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation residing in a nursing home. We estimated inverse-probability of treatment weights for DOAC dose using propensity scores. We examined safety (hospitalization for major bleeding) and effectiveness outcomes (all-cause mortality, thrombosis [myocardial infarction, stroke, systemic embolism, venous thromboembolism]). We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs using cause-specific hazard-regression models. Of 21 878 DOAC initiators, 48% received reduced dosing. The mean age of residents was 82.0 years, 66% were female, and 31% had moderate/severe cognitive impairment. After estimating inverse-probability of treatment weights, standard dosing was associated with a higher rate of bleeding (HR, 1.18 [95% CI, 1.03-1.37]; 9.4 versus 8.0 events per 100 person-years). Standard-dose therapy was associated with the highest rates of bleeding among those aged >80 years (9.1 versus 6.7 events per 100 person-years) and with a body mass index <30 kg/m2 (9.4 versus 7.4 events per 100 person-years). There was no association of dosing with mortality (HR, 0.99 [95% CI, 0.96-1.06]) or thrombotic events (HR, 1.16 [95% CI, 0.96-1.41]). Conclusions In this nationwide study of nursing home residents with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation, we found a higher rate of bleeding and little difference in effectiveness of standard versus reduced-dose DOAC treatment. Our results support the use of reduced-dose DOACs for many older adults with multiple morbidities.

Frailty, Home Time, and Health Care Costs in Older Adults With Atrial Fibrillation Receiving Oral Anticoagulants.

Importance: There are no data on patient-centered outcomes and health care costs by frailty in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) taking oral anticoagulants (OACs). Objective: To compare home time, clinical events, and health care costs associated with OACs by frailty levels in older adults with AF. Design, Setting, and Participants: This community-based cohort study assessed Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries 65 years or older with AF from January 1, 2013, to December 31, 2019. Data analysis was performed from January to December 2022. Exposures: Apixaban, rivaroxaban, and warfarin use were measured from prescription claims. Frailty was measured using a validated claims-based frailty index. Main outcomes and measures: Outcome measures were (1) home time (days alive out of the hospital and skilled nursing facility) loss greater than 14 days; (2) a composite end point of ischemic stroke, systemic embolism, major bleeding, or death; and (3) total cost per member per year after propensity score overlap weighting. Results: The weighted population comprised 136 551 beneficiaries, including 45 950 taking apixaban (mean [SD] age, 77.6 [7.3] years; 51.3% female), 45 320 taking rivaroxaban (mean [SD] age, 77.6 [7.3] years; 51.9% female), and 45 281 taking warfarin (mean [SD] age, 77.6 [7.3] years; 52.0% female). Compared with apixaban, rivaroxaban was associated with increased risk of home time lost greater than 14 days (risk difference per 100 persons, 1.8 [95% CI, 1.5-2.1]), composite end point (rate difference per 1000 person-years, 21.3 [95% CI, 16.4-26.2]), and total cost (mean difference, $890 [95% CI, $652-$1127]), with greater differences among the beneficiaries with frailty. Use of warfarin relative to apixaban was associated with increased home time lost (risk difference per 100 persons, 3.2 [95% CI, 2.9-3.5]) and composite end point (rate difference per 1000 person-years, 29.4 [95% CI, 24.5-34.3]), with greater differences among the beneficiaries with frailty. Compared with apixaban, warfarin was associated with lower total cost (mean difference, -$1166 [95% CI, -$1396 to -$937]) but higher cost when excluding OAC cost (mean difference, $1409 [95% CI, $1177 to $1642]) regardless of frailty levels. Conclusions and Relevance: In older adults with AF, apixaban was associated with increased home time and lower rates of clinical events than rivaroxaban and warfarin, especially for those with frailty. Apixaban was associated with lower total cost compared with rivaroxaban but higher cost compared with warfarin due to higher OAC cost. These findings suggest that apixaban may be preferred for older adults with AF, particularly those with frailty.

Comparative Cardiovascular Effectiveness and Safety of SGLT-2 Inhibitors, GLP-1 Receptor Agonists, and DPP-4 Inhibitors According to Frailty in Type 2 Diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the comparative cardiovascular effectiveness and safety of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT-2is), glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs), and dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitors (DPP-4is) in older adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) across different frailty strata. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We performed three 1:1 propensity score-matched cohort studies, each stratified by three frailty strata, using data from Medicare beneficiaries (2013-2019) with T2D who initiated SGLT-2is, GLP-1RAs, or DPP-4is. In time-to-event analyses, we assessed the primary cardiovascular effectiveness composite outcome of acute myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, hospitalization for heart failure, and all-cause mortality. The primary safety outcome was a composite of severe adverse events that have been linked to SGLT-2i or GLP-1RA use. RESULTS: Compared with DPP-4is, the overall hazard ratio (HR) for the primary effectiveness outcome associated with SGLT-2is (n = 120,202 matched pairs) was 0.72 (95% CI 0.69-0.75), corresponding to an incidence rate difference (IRD) of -13.35 (95% CI -15.06 to -11.64). IRD ranged from -6.74 (95% CI -8.61 to -4.87) in nonfrail to -27.24 (95% CI -41.64 to -12.84) in frail people (P for interaction < 0.01). Consistent benefits were observed for GLP-1RAs compared with DPP-4is (n = 113,864), with an overall HR of 0.74 (95% CI 0.71-0.77) and an IRD of -15.49 (95% CI -17.46 to -13.52). IRD in the lowest frailty stratum was -7.02 (95% CI -9.23 to -4.81) and -25.88 (95% CI -38.30 to -13.46) in the highest (P for interaction < 0.01). Results for SGLT-2is versus GLP-1RAs (n = 89,865) were comparable. Severe adverse events were not more frequent with SGLT-2is or GLP-1RAs than DPP-4is. CONCLUSIONS: SGLT-2is and GLP-1RAs safely improved cardiovascular outcomes and all-cause mortality, with the largest absolute benefits among frail people.

Utilization of P2Y12 Inhibitors in Older Adults With ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction and Frailty.

Choosing optimal P2Y12 inhibitor in frail older adults is challenging because they are at increased risk of both ischemic and bleeding events. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of Medicare Advantage Plan beneficiaries who were prescribed clopidogrel, prasugrel, or ticagrelor after percutaneous coronary intervention-treated ST-elevation myocardial infarction from January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2020. Frailty was defined using claims-based frailty index ≥0.25. We conducted multivariable logistic regression to identify factors associated with using potent P2Y12 inhibitors and multivariable-adjusted competing risk analyses to compare the rate of discontinuation of potent P2Y12 inhibitors in frail versus non-frail patients. There were 11,239 patients (mean age 74 years, 39% women). The prevalence of cardiovascular and geriatric co-morbidities was as follows: 32% chronic kidney disease, 28% heart failure, 10% previous myocardial infarction, 6% dementia, 20% anemia, and 12% frailty. The proportion of patients receiving clopidogrel decreased from 78.3% in 2010 to 2013 to 42.1% in 2018 to 2020, with a concurrent increase in those receiving potent P2Y12 inhibitors (mostly ticagrelor) from 21.7% to 57.9%. Frailty was independently associated with reduced odds of initiation (odds ratio 0.78, 95% confidence interval 0.67 to 0.90) but not with discontinuation of potent P2Y12 inhibitors (subdistribution hazard ratio 1.09, 95% confidence interval 0.98 to 1.22). In conclusion, frail older adults are less likely to receive potent P2Y12 inhibitors after percutaneous coronary intervention-treated ST-elevation myocardial infarction, but they are as likely as non-frail patients to continue with the prescribed P2Y12 inhibitor.

Construct validity of the electronic Veterans Affairs Frailty Index against clinician frailty assessment.

BACKGROUND: Electronic frailty indices (eFIs) can expand measurement of frailty in research and practice and have demonstrated predictive validity in associations with clinical outcomes. However, their construct validity is less well studied. We aimed to assess the construct validity of the VA-FI, an eFI developed for use in the U.S. Veterans Affairs Healthcare System. METHODS: Veterans who underwent comprehensive geriatric assessments between January 31, 2019 and June 6, 2022 at VA Boston and had sufficient data documented for a comprehensive geriatric assessment-frailty index (CGA-FI) were included. The VA-FI, based on diagnostic and procedural codes, and the CGA-FI, based on geriatrician-measured deficits, were calculated for each patient. Geriatricians also assessed the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS), functional status (ADLs and IADLs), and 4-meter gait speed (4MGS). RESULTS: A total of 132 veterans were included, with median age 81.4 years (IQR 75.8-88.7). Across increasing levels of VA-FI (<0.2; 0.2-0.4; >0.4), mean CGA-FI increased (0.24; 0.30; 0.40). The VA-FI was moderately correlated with the CGA-FI (r 0.45, p < 0.001). Every 0.1-unit increase in the VA-FI was associated with an increase in the CGA-FI (linear regression beta 0.05; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.03-0.06), higher CFS category (ordinal regression OR 1.69; 95% CI 1.24-2.30), higher odds of ADL dependency (logistic regression OR 1.59; 95% CI 1.20-2.11), IADL dependency (logistic regression OR 1.68; 95% CI 1.23-2.30), and a decrease in 4MGS (linear regression beta -0.07, 95% CI -0.12 to -0.02). All models were adjusted for age and race, and associations held after further adjustment for the Charlson Comorbidity Index. CONCLUSION: Our results demonstrate the construct validity of the VA-FI through its associations with clinical measures of frailty, including summary frailty measures, functional status, and objective physical performance. Our findings complement others' in showing that eFIs can capture functional and mobility domains of frailty beyond just comorbidity and may be useful to measure frailty among populations and individuals.

Claims-Based Frailty Index as a Measure of Dementia Severity in Medicare Claims Data.

BACKGROUND: Dementia severity is unavailable in administrative claims data. We examined whether a claims-based frailty index (CFI) can measure dementia severity in Medicare claims. METHODS: This cross-sectional study included the National Health and Aging Trends Study Round 5 participants with possible or probable dementia whose Medicare claims were available. We estimated the Functional Assessment Staging Test (FAST) scale (range: 3 [mild cognitive impairment] to 7 [severe dementia]) using information from the survey. We calculated CFI (range: 0-1, higher scores indicating greater frailty) using Medicare claims 12 months prior to the participants' interview date. We examined C-statistics to evaluate the ability of the CFI in identifying moderate-to-severe dementia (FAST stage 5-7) and determined the optimal CFI cut-point that maximized both sensitivity and specificity. RESULTS: Of the 814 participants with possible or probable dementia and measurable CFI, 686 (72.2%) patients were ≥75 years old, 448 (50.8%) were female, and 244 (25.9%) had FAST stage 5-7. The C-statistic of CFI to identify FAST stage 5-7 was 0.78 (95% confidence interval: 0.72-0.83), with a CFI cut-point of 0.280, achieving the maximum sensitivity of 76.9% and specificity of 62.8%. Participants with CFI ≥0.280 had a higher prevalence of disability (19.4% vs 58.3%) and dementia medication use (6.0% vs 22.8%) and higher risk of mortality (10.7% vs 26.3%) and nursing home admission (4.5% vs 10.6%) over 2 years than those with CFI <0.280. CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests that CFI can be useful in identifying moderate-to-severe dementia from administrative claims among older adults with dementia.

Frailty and uptake of angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitor for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.

BACKGROUND: Frail older adults may be less likely to receive guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT)-renin-angiotensin blockers, beta-blockers, and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists-for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). We aimed to examine the uptake of angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitor (ARNI) and GDMT in frail older adults with HFrEF. METHODS: Using 2015-2019 Medicare data, we estimated the proportion of beneficiaries with HFrEF receiving ARNI and GDMT each year by frailty status, defined by a claims-based frailty index. Logistic regression was used to identify clinical characteristics associated with ARNI initiation. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to examine the association of GDMT use in 2015 and death or heart failure hospitalization in 2016-2019. RESULTS: Among 147,506-180,386 beneficiaries with HFrEF (mean age: 77 years; 27% women; 42.6-49.1% frail) in 2015-2019, the proportion of patients receiving ARNI increased in both non-frail (0.4%-16.4%) and frail (0.3%-13.7%) patients (p for yearly-trend-by-frailty = 0.970). Among those not receiving a renin-angiotensin system blocker, patients with age ≥ 85 years (odds ratio [95% CI], 0.89 [0.80-0.99]), dementia (0.88 [0.81-0.96]), and frailty (0.87 [0.81-0.94]) were less likely to initiate ARNI. The proportion of patients receiving all 3 GDMT classes increased in non-frail patients (22.0%-27.0%) but changed minimally in frail patients (19.6%-21.8%). Regardless of frailty status, treatment with at least 1 class of GDMT was associated with lower death or heart failure hospitalization than no GDMT medications (hazard ratio [95% CI], 0.94 [0.91-0.97], 0.92 [0.89-0.94], 0.94 [0.91-0.97] for 1, 2, and 3 classes, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest an evidence-practice gap in the use of ARNI and GDMT in Medicare beneficiaries with HFrEF, particularly those with frailty. Efforts to narrow this gap are needed to reduce the burden of HFrEF in older adults.

Predicting Treatment Effects of a New-to-Market Drug in Clinical Practice Based on Phase III Randomized Trial Results.

Trial results may not be generalizable to target populations treated in clinical practice with different distributions of baseline characteristics that modify the treatment effect. We used outcome models developed with trial data to predict treatment effects in Medicare populations. We used data from the Randomized Evaluation of Long-Term Anticoagulation Therapy trial (RE-LY), which investigated the effect of dabigatran vs. warfarin on stroke or systemic embolism (stroke/SE) among patients with atrial fibrillation. We developed outcome models by fitting proportional hazards models in trial data. Target populations were trial-eligible Medicare beneficiaries who initiated dabigatran or warfarin in 2010-2011 ("early") and 2010-2017 ("extended"). We predicted 2-year risk ratios (RRs) and risk differences (RDs) for stroke/SE, major bleeding, and all-cause death in the Medicare populations using the observed baseline characteristics. The trial and early target populations had similar mean (SD) CHADS2 scores (2.15 (SD 1.13) vs. 2.15 (SD 0.91)) but different mean ages (71 vs. 79 years). Compared with RE-LY, the early Medicare population had similar predicted benefit of dabigatran vs. warfarin for stroke/SE (trial RR = 0.63, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.50 to 0.76 and RD = -1.37%, -1.96% to -0.77%, Medicare RR = 0.73, 0.65 to 0.82 and RD = -0.92%, -1.26% to -0.59%) and risks for major bleeding and all-cause death. The time-extended target population showed similar results. Outcome model-based prediction facilitates estimating the average treatment effects of a drug in different target populations when treatment and outcome data are unreliable or unavailable. The predicted effects may inform payers' coverage decisions for patients, especially shortly after a drug's launch when observational data are scarce.

Common non-cardiovascular multimorbidity groupings and clinical outcomes in older adults with major cardiovascular disease.

BACKGROUND: Among older adults, non-cardiovascular multimorbidity often coexists with cardiovascular disease (CVD) but their clinical significance is uncertain. We identified common non-cardiovascular comorbidity patterns and their association with clinical outcomes in Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries with acute myocardial infarction (AMI), congestive heart failure (CHF), or atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS: Using 2015-2016 Medicare data, we took 1% random sample to create 3 cohorts of beneficiaries diagnosed with AMI (n = 24,808), CHF (n = 57,285), and AF (n = 36,277) prior to 1/1/2016. Within each cohort, we applied latent class analysis to classify beneficiaries based on 9 non-cardiovascular comorbidities (anemia, cancer, chronic kidney disease, chronic lung disease, dementia, depression, diabetes, hypothyroidism, and musculoskeletal disease). Mortality, cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular hospitalizations, and home time lost over a 1-year follow-up period were compared across non-cardiovascular multimorbidity classes. RESULTS: Similar non-cardiovascular multimorbidity classes emerged from the 3 CVD cohorts: (1) minimal, (2) depression-lung, (3) chronic kidney disease (CKD)-diabetes, and (4) multi-system class. Across CVD cohorts, multi-system class had the highest risk of mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 2.7-3.9), cardiovascular hospitalization (HR, 1.6-3.3), non-cardiovascular hospitalization (HR, 3.1-7.2), and home time lost (rate ratio, 2.7-5.4). Among those with AMI, the CKD-diabetes class was more strongly associated with all the adverse outcomes than the depression-lung class. In CHF and AF, differences in risk between the depression-lung and CKD-diabetes classes varied per outcome; and the depression-lung and multi-system classes had double the rates of non-cardiovascular hospitalizations than cardiovascular hospitalizations. CONCLUSION: Four non-cardiovascular multimorbidity patterns were found among Medicare beneficiaries with CHF, AMI, or AF. Compared to the minimal class, the multi-system, CKD-diabetes, and depression-lung classes were associated with worse outcomes. Identification of these classes offers insight into specific segments of the population that may benefit from more than the usual cardiovascular care.

Outcomes for patients with dementia undergoing emergency and elective colorectal surgery: A large multi-institutional comparative cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Alzheimer's Disease and Related Dementias (ADRD) may result in poor surgical outcomes. The current study aims to characterize the risk of ADRD on outcomes for patients undergoing colorectal surgery. METHODS: Colorectal surgery patients with and without ADRD from 2007 to 2017 were identified using electronic health record-linked Medicare claims data from two large health systems. Unadjusted and adjusted analyses were performed to evaluate postoperative outcomes. RESULTS: 5926 patients (median age 74) underwent colorectal surgery of whom 4.8% (n = 285) had ADRD. ADRD patients were more likely to undergo emergent operations (27.7% vs. 13.6%, p < 0.001) and be discharged to a facility (49.8% vs 28.9%, p < 0.001). After multi-variable adjustment, ADRD patients were more likely to have complications (61.1% vs 48.3%, p < 0.001) and required longer hospitalization (7.1 vs 6.1 days, p = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The diagnosis of ADRD is an independent risk factor for prolonged hospitalization and postoperative complications after colorectal surgery.

Risk of Severe Hypoglycemia With Newer Second-line Glucose-lowering Medications in Older Adults With Type 2 Diabetes Stratified by Known Indicators of Hypoglycemia Risk.

BACKGROUND: Severe hypoglycemia is associated with adverse clinical outcomes. We evaluated the risk of severe hypoglycemia in older adults initiating newer glucose-lowering medications overall and across strata of known indicators of high hypoglycemia risk. METHODS: We conducted a comparative-effectiveness cohort study of older adults aged >65 years with type 2 diabetes initiating sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) versus dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4i) or SGLT2i versus glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) using Medicare claims (3/2013-12/2018) and Medicare-linked-electronic health records. We identified severe hypoglycemia requiring emergency or inpatient visits using validated algorithms. After 1:1 propensity score matching, we estimated hazard ratios (HR) and rate differences (RD) per 1,000 person-years. Analyses were stratified by baseline insulin, sulfonylurea, cardiovascular disease (CVD), chronic kidney disease (CKD), and frailty. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 7 (interquartile range: 4-16) months, SGLT2i was associated with a reduced risk of hypoglycemia versus DPP-4i (HR 0.75 [0.68, 0.83]; RD -3.21 [-4.29, -2.12]), and versus GLP-1RA (HR 0.90 [0.82, 0.98]; RD -1.33 [-2.44, -0.23]). RD for SGLT2i versus DPP-4i was larger in patients using baseline insulin than in those not, although HRs were similar. In patients using baseline sulfonylurea, the risk of hypoglycemia was lower in SGLT2i versus DPP-4i (HR 0.57 [0.49, 0.65], RD -6.80 [-8.43, -5.16]), while the association was near-null in those without baseline sulfonylurea. Results stratified by baseline CVD, CKD and frailty were similar to the overall cohort findings. Findings for the GLP-1RA comparison were similar. CONCLUSIONS: SGLT2i was associated with a lower hypoglycemia risk versus incretin-based medications, with larger associations in patients using baseline insulin or sulfonylurea.

Assessment of Frailty Index at 66 Years of Age and Association With Age-Related Diseases, Disability, and Death Over 10 Years in Korea.

Importance: A frailty index has been proposed as a measure of aging among older individuals. However, few studies have examined whether a frailty index measured at the same chronologic age at younger ages could forecast the development of new age-related conditions. Objective: To examine the association of the frailty index at 66 years of age with incident age-related diseases, disability, and death over 10 years. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective nationwide cohort study used the Korean National Health Insurance database to identify 968 885 Korean individuals who attended the National Screening Program for Transitional Ages at 66 years of age between January 1, 2007, and December 31, 2017. Data were analyzed from October 1, 2020, to January 2022. Exposures: Frailty was defined using a 39-item frailty index ranging from 0 to 1.00 as robust (<0.15), prefrail (0.15-0.24), mildly frail (0.25-0.34), and moderately to severely frail (≥0.35). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was all-cause death. Secondary outcomes were 8 age-related chronic diseases (congestive heart failure, coronary artery disease, stroke, type 2 diabetes, cancer, dementia, fall, and fracture) and disability qualifying for long-term care services. Cox proportional hazards regression and cause-specific and subdistribution hazards regression were used to examine hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for the outcomes until the earliest of date of death, the occurrence of relevant age-related conditions, 10 years from the screening examination, or December 31, 2019. Results: Among the 968 885 participants included in the analysis (517 052 women [53.4%]), the majority were classified as robust (65.2%) or prefrail (28.2%); only a small fraction were classified as mildly frail (5.7%) or moderately to severely frail (1.0%). The mean frailty index was 0.13 (SD, 0.07), and 64 415 (6.6%) were frail. Compared with the robust group, those in the moderately to severely frail group were more likely to be women (47.8% vs 61.7%), receiving medical aid insurance for low income (2.1% vs 18.9%), and less active (median, 657 [IQR, 219-1133] vs 319 [IQR, 0-693] metabolic equivalent task [min/wk]). After adjusting for sociodemographic and lifestyle characteristics, moderate to severe frailty was associated with increased rates of death (HR, 4.43 [95% CI, 4.24-4.64]) and new diagnosis of all chronic diseases, including congestive heart failure (adjusted cause-specific HR, 2.90 [95% CI, 2.67-3.15]), coronary artery disease (adjusted cause-specific HR, 1.98 [95% CI, 1.85-2.12]), stroke (adjusted cause-specific HR, 2.22 [95% CI, 2.10-2.34]), diabetes (adjusted cause-specific HR, 2.34 [95% CI, 2.21-2.47]), cancer (adjusted cause-specific HR, 1.10 [95% CI, 1.03-1.18]), dementia (adjusted cause-specific HR, 3.59 [95% CI, 3.42-3.77]), fall (adjusted cause-specific HR, 2.76 [95% CI, 2.29-3.32]), fracture (adjusted cause-specific HR, 1.54 [95% CI, 1.48-1.62]), and disability (adjusted cause-specific HR, 10.85 [95% CI, 10.00-11.70]). Frailty was associated with increased 10-year incidence of all the outcomes, except for cancer (moderate to severe frailty adjusted subdistribution HR, 0.99 [95% CI, 0.92-1.06]). Frailty at 66 years of age was associated with greater acquisition of age-related conditions (mean [SD] conditions per year for the robust group, 0.14 [0.32]; for the moderately to severely frail group, 0.45 [0.87]) in the next 10 years. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this cohort study suggest that a frailty index measured at 66 years of age was associated with accelerated acquisition of age-related conditions, disability, and death over the next 10 years. Measuring frailty at this age may offer opportunities to prevent age-related health decline.