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1.
Vaccine ; 42(15): 3379-3383, 2024 May 31.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38704250

RESUMO

The Immunization and Vaccine-related Implementation Research Advisory Committee (IVIR-AC) is the World Health Organization's key standing advisory body to conduct an independent review of research, particularly of transmission and economic modeling analyses that estimate the impact and value of vaccines. From 26th February-1st March 2024, at its first of two semi-annual meetings, IVIR-AC provided feedback and recommendations across four sessions; this report summarizes the proceedings and recommendations from that meeting. Session topics included modeling of the impact and cost-effectiveness of the R21/Matrix-M malaria vaccine, meta-analysis of economic evaluations of vaccines, a global analysis estimating the impact of vaccination over the last 50 years, and modeling the impact of different RTS,S malaria vaccine dose schedules in seasonal settings.


Assuntos
Comitês Consultivos , Vacinas Antimaláricas , Organização Mundial da Saúde , Humanos , Vacinas Antimaláricas/administração & dosagem , Vacinas Antimaláricas/imunologia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Vacinação/métodos , Malária/prevenção & controle , Imunização/métodos
2.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 7823, 2024 04 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38570551

RESUMO

Prior research has predominantly focused on the overall effects of the tobacco tax increase and the COVID-19 pandemic on adolescent smoking behavior. However, there is a need to examine both the immediate and sustained associations of these two factors on subgroups of adolescents, employing an interrupted time-series model. We aimed to investigate the immediate and sustained association of tobacco tax increase and the COVID-19 pandemic on adolescent smoking prevalence. This study utilized data from the Korea Youth Risk Behavior Web-Based Survey to analyze the prevalence of current smoking among all participants (CSP) and the prevalence of daily smoking among current smokers (DSP) of Korean adolescents (n = 1,159,995; mean, age 14.99; male 51.5%) over 18 years from 2005 to 2022. The study examined 18-year trends in CSP and DSP among Korean adolescents, emphasizing the influences of the 2015 tobacco tax increase and the COVID-19 pandemic, using ß coefficients and their differences (ßdiff) from an interrupted time-series ARIMA model. While CSP exhibited a decreasing trend, DSP exhibited an increasing trend. Tobacco tax increase was associated with both the short and long terms in smoking prevalence, however, the short-term association on prevalence (CSP, - 3.076 [95% CI, - 3.707 to - 2.445]; DSP, - 4.112 [95% CI, - 6.488 to - 1.735]) was stronger. The pandemic was associated with an immediate increase in DSP (9.345 [95% CI, 5.285-13.406]). These effects were strongest among adolescents from low economic status and those exposed to familial secondhand smoking. Supportive programs for adolescents in low-income families will help overcome the effects associated with the pandemic. As a tobacco tax increase was associated with a reduction in smoking prevalence, this could be one method to overcome the effects of the pandemic.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Abandono do Hábito de Fumar , Produtos do Tabaco , Adolescente , Masculino , Humanos , Pandemias , Abandono do Hábito de Fumar/métodos , Prevalência , Impostos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Fumar/epidemiologia , Nicotiana , República da Coreia/epidemiologia
3.
BMC Public Health ; 23(1): 1776, 2023 09 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37700251

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: There have been many prediction studies for imported infectious diseases, employing air-travel volume or the importation risk (IR) index, which is the product of travel-volume and disease burden in the source countries, as major predictors. However, there is a lack of studies validating the predictability of the variables especially for infectious diseases that have rarely been reported. In this study, we analyzed the prediction performance of the IR index and air-travel volume to predict disease importation. METHODS: Rabies and African trypanosomiasis were used as target diseases. The list of rabies and African trypanosomiasis importation events, annual air-travel volume between two specific countries, and incidence of rabies and African trypanosomiasis in the source countries were obtained from various databases. RESULTS: Logistic regression analysis showed that IR index was significantly associated with rabies importation risk (p value < 0.001), but the association with African trypanosomiasis was not significant (p value = 0.923). The univariable logistic regression models showed reasonable prediction performance for rabies (area under curve for Receiver operating characteristic [AUC] = 0.734) but poor performance for African trypanosomiasis (AUC = 0.641). CONCLUSIONS: Our study found that the IR index cannot be generally applicable for predicting rare importation events. However, it showed the potential utility of the IR index by suggesting acceptable performance in rabies models. Further studies are recommended to explore the generalizability of the IR index's applicability and to propose disease-specific prediction models.


Assuntos
Doenças Transmissíveis Importadas , Raiva , Humanos , Doenças Transmissíveis Importadas/epidemiologia , Raiva/epidemiologia , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Bases de Dados Factuais , Fatores de Risco
4.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37648454

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The effect of ambient PM2.5 on the incidence of tuberculosis (TB) has been investigated in epidemiological studies. However, they did not separately study new and relapsed TB infection and focused on relatively short-term effects of PM2.5. In this regard, we examined the associations of long-term PM2.5 exposures with both new and relapsed TB incidences in South Korea, where the disease burden of TB is greatest among high-income countries. METHODS: An area-level ecological study of 250 districts was conducted from 2015 to 2019. Age- and sex-standardized TB incidence ratios for each district and year were used as outcome variables, and their associations with PM2.5 concentrations for one to five-year average were examined. Negative binomial regression models incorporating spatiotemporal autocorrelation were employed using integrated nested Laplace approximations. Stratified analyses were conducted by type of TB (total, new, and relapsed cases). RESULTS: Districts with higher PM2.5 concentrations tended to have significantly higher TB recurrence rate. The relative risks per 10 µg/m3 PM2.5 increase were 1.218 (95% credible interval 1.051-1.411), 1.260 (1.039-1.527) and 1.473 (1.015-2.137) using the two, three and five-year average PM2.5 exposures, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The results imply that interventions for reducing air pollution might help prevent TB recurrence.


Assuntos
Poluição do Ar , Tuberculose , Humanos , Tuberculose/epidemiologia , Tuberculose/etiologia , Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Renda , Material Particulado/efeitos adversos
5.
Environ Res ; 223: 115451, 2023 04 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36764437

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Both exposure monitoring and exposure prediction have played key roles in assessing individual-level long-term exposure to air pollutants and their associations with human health. While there have been notable advances in exposure prediction methods, improvements in monitoring designs are also necessary, particularly given new monitoring paradigms leveraging low-cost sensors and mobile platforms. OBJECTIVES: We aim to provide a conceptual summary of novel monitoring designs for air pollution cohort studies that leverage new paradigms and technologies, to investigate their characteristics in real-world examples, and to offer practical guidance to future studies. METHODS: We propose a conceptual summary that focuses on two overarching types of monitoring designs, mobile and non-mobile, as well as their subtypes. We define mobile designs as monitoring from a moving platform, and non-mobile designs as stationary monitoring from permanent or temporary locations. We only consider non-mobile studies with cost-effective sampling devices. Then we discuss similarities and differences across previous studies with respect to spatial and temporal representation, data comparability between design classes, and the data leveraged for model development. Finally, we provide specific suggestions for future monitoring designs. RESULTS: Most mobile and non-mobile monitoring studies selected monitoring sites based on land use instead of residential locations, and deployed monitors over limited time periods. Some studies applied multiple design and/or sub-design classes to the same area, time period, or instrumentation, to allow comparison. Even fewer studies leveraged monitoring data from different designs to improve exposure assessment by capitalizing on different strengths. In order to maximize the benefit of new monitoring technologies, future studies should adopt monitoring designs that prioritize residence-based site selection with comprehensive temporal coverage and leverage data from different designs for model development in the presence of good data compatibility. DISCUSSION: Our conceptual overview provides practical guidance on novel exposure assessment monitoring for epidemiological applications.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos , Poluição do Ar , Humanos , Material Particulado/análise , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Poluição do Ar/análise , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Características de Residência
6.
Environ Res ; 212(Pt C): 113439, 2022 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35537496

RESUMO

This study investigated seasonal trends in bioaccumulation potential and toxic effects of mercury (Hg) in Asian clams (Corbicula fluminea) and microbial community. For this, a clam-exposure experiment was performed during summer, fall, and winter seasons in four different sites (HS1: control/clean site; HS2, HS3, and HS4: contaminated sites) of Hyeongsan River estuary, South Korea. Total mercury (THg) and methylmercury (MeHg) in whole sediments were highest at HS4 site during fall, sustained similar levels during winter, but decreased during summer. Unlike whole sediment, pore water reported higher levels in summer, and gradually declined during fall and winter. Asian clams from HS4 site collected during summer presented highest bioaccumulations of THg (521.52 µg/kg, dry weight) and MeHg (161.04 µg/kg, dry weight), which also correlated with the higher levels of Hg present in pore water in the same season. Moreover, biota-sediment-pore water accumulation factor (BSpAF) were comparatively greater in clams collected from HS2∼HS4 compared to HS1 sites, suggesting that porewater was a better indicator of accumulation of Hg. Upregulation of biomarker genes responsible for detoxifying process (gsts1), scavenging oxidative stress (cat), and protein reparation (hsp70 and hsp90) were observed in clams collected from HS2∼HS4. The overexpression of these biomarkers implied that Asian clams can be considered as promising warning tools for Hg-contamination. Both bacterial and metabolic diversities were negatively affected by higher levels of THg and MeHg. Phylum Proteobacteria was enriched in HS2∼HS4 compared to HS1. In contrast, phylum Bacteroidetes showed a reverse trend. The metabolic profile was highest in HS1 and lowest in HS4, revealing higher stress of Hg in HS4 site. Overall, the outcomes of this field study broaden the information on seasonal trends of bioaccumulation of Hg and its toxic effects. These findings may be helpful in Hg monitoring and management programs in other river systems.


Assuntos
Corbicula , Mercúrio , Compostos de Metilmercúrio , Microbiota , Poluentes Químicos da Água , Animais , Bioacumulação , Corbicula/metabolismo , Monitoramento Ambiental , Sedimentos Geológicos , Mercúrio/análise , Compostos de Metilmercúrio/toxicidade , Estações do Ano , Água , Poluentes Químicos da Água/análise
7.
Environ Health Perspect ; 129(12): 127005, 2021 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34908495

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Few studies have investigated air pollution exposure disparities by race/ethnicity and income across criteria air pollutants, locations, or time. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to quantify exposure disparities by race/ethnicity and income throughout the contiguous United States for six criteria air pollutants, during the period 1990 to 2010. METHODS: We quantified exposure disparities among racial/ethnic groups (non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic (any race), non-Hispanic Asian) and by income for multiple spatial units (contiguous United States, states, urban vs. rural areas) and years (1990, 2000, 2010) for carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), ozone (O3), particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5µm (PM2.5; excluding year-1990), particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤10µm (PM10), and sulfur dioxide (SO2). We used census data for demographic information and a national empirical model for ambient air pollution levels. RESULTS: For all years and pollutants, the racial/ethnic group with the highest national average exposure was a racial/ethnic minority group. In 2010, the disparity between the racial/ethnic group with the highest vs. lowest national-average exposure was largest for NO2 [54% (4.6 ppb)], smallest for O3 [3.6% (1.6 ppb)], and intermediate for the remaining pollutants (13%-19%). The disparities varied by U.S. state; for example, for PM2.5 in 2010, exposures were at least 5% higher than average in 63% of states for non-Hispanic Black populations; in 33% and 26% of states for Hispanic and for non-Hispanic Asian populations, respectively; and in no states for non-Hispanic White populations. Absolute exposure disparities were larger among racial/ethnic groups than among income categories (range among pollutants: between 1.1 and 21 times larger). Over the period studied, national absolute racial/ethnic exposure disparities declined by between 35% (0.66µg/m3; PM2.5) and 88% (0.35 ppm; CO); relative disparities declined to between 0.99× (PM2.5; i.e., nearly zero change) and 0.71× (CO; i.e., a ∼29% reduction). DISCUSSION: As air pollution concentrations declined during the period 1990 to 2010, absolute (and to a lesser extent, relative) racial/ethnic exposure disparities also declined. However, in 2010, racial/ethnic exposure disparities remained across income levels, in urban and rural areas, and in all states, for multiple pollutants. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP8584.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos , Poluição do Ar , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Poluição do Ar/análise , Exposição Ambiental/análise , Etnicidade , Humanos , Grupos Minoritários , Material Particulado , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
8.
Clin Hemorheol Microcirc ; 79(3): 445-454, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34657880

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Assessment of platelet function is important in the management of patients who are subject to operation as well as at potential risk of hemorrhagic complications. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate a new platelet assays (Anysis-Epinephrine, Anysis-ADP) and to compare them with PFA-200 in cardiology visiting patients and inpatients. METHODS: Citrated blood samples were collected from 184 patients for ADP test and 163 patients for EPI test, who visited Korea University Guro Hospital with written consent. The PFA-200 assay gives a test result the closure time (CT) until the blood flow rate decreases to 10% of the initial value, whereas Anysis-200 assay does a blood flow migration distance (MD) until blood flow completely stops. According to the results of PFA closure time (CT), the tested samples were classified as either negative control or positive group. The measurements were simultaneously conducted with two devices and compared. RESULTS: The sensitivity and specificity of Anysis-200 C/EPI kit in comparison to PFA-200 C/EPI kit was 87.5% and 85.7%, respectively. Regarding C/ADP kit, the sensitivity and specificity of Anysis-200 was 96.9% and 87.5%, respectively. In addition, the sums of sensitivity and specificity are greater than 150% for both of EPI and ADP. Also, it was found that likelihood ratio and odd ratio for each assay provide useful additional information. Since the Cohen's kappa coefficients value between the two devices was relatively high, the equivalence between the two devices was confirmed. CONCLUSIONS: Anysis-200, a novel platelet function analyzer has showed excellent agreements with PFA-200 with high agreement rates and precision. Anysis-200 assay would be useful in assessing bleeding risk management as well as abnormal platelet reactivity at point of care.


Assuntos
Cardiologia , Testes de Função Plaquetária , Plaquetas , Hemostasia , Humanos
9.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34129408

RESUMO

Background:Presently, there are no national screening programs for cancer in Vietnam. This study aimed to analyze the cost-effectiveness of an annual colorectal cancer (CRC) screening program from the healthcare service provider's perspective for the Vietnamese population.Methods:The economic model consisted of adecision tree and aMarkov model. Adecision tree was constructed for comparing two strategies, including ascreening group with aguaiac-based fecal occult blood test (gFOBT) and ano-screening group in general populations, aged 50 years and above. The Markov model projected outcomes over a25-year horizon. The cost-effectiveness outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) represented by costs per quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs).Results:When compared with no screening, ICER was $1,388per QALY with an increased cost of $ 43.98 and again of 0.032 QALY (Willingness to pay $2,590). The uptake rate of gFOBT, cost of colonoscopy, and the total cost of screening contributed to the largest impact on the ICER. PSA showed that results were robust to variation in parameter estimates, with annual screening remaining cost-effective compared with no screening.Conclusion:Our screening strategy could be considered cost-effective compared to ano screening strategy. Our findings could be potentially used to develop aCRC national screening program.

10.
Clin Hemorheol Microcirc ; 78(4): 439-448, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33867355

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Analyzing responsiveness to P2Y12 therapy is vital to preventing thrombotic and hemorrhagic complications in patients with cardiovascular diseases. OBJECTIVE: This study evaluates a new Anysis-P2Y12 assay system against VerifyNow-P2Y12 in cardiac patients and analyzes the P2Y12 low-response rates of the two devices with various cutoff values. METHODS: In total, 125 citrated blood samples were collected from cardiac patients referred for a P2Y12 antiplatelet response test. In the Anysis assay, the test result was the migration distance (MD) until the blood flow stops, which is comparable to both P2Y12 reaction units and percent inhibition obtained using VerifyNow. RESULTS: The MDs without and with P2Y12 were 182±30 and 264±12 mm, respectively (p < 0.0001). Compared to VerifyNow-P2Y12, the sensitivity and specificity of Anysis-200 were 96.8% and 88.7%, respectively. Cohen's kappa coefficient between the two devices was 0.761, indicating a high agreement. However, there was an apparent difference in the low-response rate to P2Y12, which was 36.5% for VerifyNow and 5.9% for Anysis. CONCLUSIONS: The performance of the newly developed platelet function assay, Anysis-P2Y12 was equivalent to that of VerifyNow-P2Y12 in terms of sensitivity and specificity. The Anysis-P2Y12 assay may help screen patients with abnormal P2Y12 non-responsiveness.


Assuntos
Inibidores da Agregação Plaquetária , Ticlopidina , Plaquetas , Clopidogrel/farmacologia , Humanos , Agregação Plaquetária , Inibidores da Agregação Plaquetária/farmacologia , Inibidores da Agregação Plaquetária/uso terapêutico , Testes de Função Plaquetária , Ticlopidina/farmacologia
11.
Sci Total Environ ; 778: 146129, 2021 Jul 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33714817

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Recent evidence suggests that neurological health could be improved with the intervention of local green space. A few studies adopted cortical thickness, as an effective biomarker for neurodegenerative disorder, to investigate the association with residential greenness. However, they relied on limited data sources, definitions or applications to assess residential greenness. Our cross-sectional study assessed individual residential greenness using an alternative measure, which provides a more realistic definition of local impact and application based on the type of area, and investigated the association with cortical thickness. METHODS: The study population included 2542 subjects who participated in the medical check-up program at the Health Promotion Center of the Samsung Medical Center in Seoul, Korea, from 2008 to 2014. The cortical thickness was calculated by each of the four and global lobes from brain MRI. For greenness, we used the enhanced vegetation index (EVI) that detects canopy structural variation by adjusting background noise based on satellite imagery data. To assess individual exposure to residential greenness, we computed the maximum annual EVI before the date of a medical check-up and averaged it within 750 m from subjects' homes to represent an average walking distance. Finally, we assessed the association with cortical thickness by urban and non-urban populations using multiple linear regression adjusting for individual characteristics. RESULTS: The average global cortical thickness and EVI were 3.05 mm (standard deviation = 0.1 mm) and 0.31 (0.1), respectively. An interquartile range increase in EVI was associated with 11 µm (95% confidence interval = 3-20) and 9 µm (1-16) increases in cortical thickness of the parietal and occipital regions among the urban population. We did not find associations in non-urban subjects. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings confirm the association between residential greenness and neurological health using alternative exposure assessments, indicating that high exposure to residential greenness can prevent neurological disorders.


Assuntos
Ruído , Parques Recreativos , Adulto , Estudos Transversais , Humanos , República da Coreia , Características de Residência , Seul
12.
Clin Ther ; 43(4): 722-734, 2021 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33637332

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Tegoprazan is a potassium-competitive acid blocker used for gastric acid suppression, which may be used with Helicobacter pylori eradication therapies. The goal of this study was to evaluate the pharmacokinetic interaction between tegoprazan and triple-antibiotic therapy containing metronidazole, tetracycline, and bismuth. METHODS: An open-label, 2-cohort, randomized, multiple-dose, crossover study was conducted in healthy subjects. In cohort 1, tegoprazan (100 mg/d) was administered orally with or without triple-antibiotic therapy (1500 mg/d metronidazole, 2000 mg/d tetracycline, and 1200 mg/d bismuth) for 7 days in each period. In cohort 2, triple-antibiotic therapy was administered orally with or without tegoprazan for 7 days in each period. Pharmacokinetic blood samples were collected within 24 h after the last dose. Safety assessments were performed. FINDINGS: Eleven cohort 1 subjects and ten cohort 2 subjects were included in the pharmacokinetic analysis. The AUCτ and Cmax at steady state geometric mean ratios (90% CIs) were 0.78 (0.73-0.83) and 0.75 (0.68-0.82) for tegoprazan; 0.77 (0.68-0.88) and 0.84 (0.72-0.98) for tegoprazan metabolite M1; 1.03 (0.98-1.08) and 1.08 (0.99-1.18) for metronidazole; 0.63 (0.56-0.70) and 0.64 (0.56-0.74) for tetracycline; and 1.55 (0.99-2.44) and 1.38 (0.72-2.66) for bismuth, respectively. All reported adverse events were mild. IMPLICATIONS: Changes in the tegoprazan, tetracycline, and bismuth pharmacokinetic parameters were detected after concurrent administration. These changes were considered mainly due to the pharmacodynamic effect of tegoprazan. The adverse events were predictable and reported as frequent adverse events during triple-antibiotic therapy. There were no significant differences in safety or tolerability between quadruple therapy, including tegoprazan and triple-antibiotic therapy. ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT04066257.


Assuntos
Antibacterianos , Derivados de Benzeno , Infecções por Helicobacter , Helicobacter pylori , Imidazóis , Metronidazol , Antibacterianos/efeitos adversos , Antibacterianos/farmacocinética , Derivados de Benzeno/farmacocinética , Bismuto/farmacocinética , Bismuto/uso terapêutico , Estudos Cross-Over , Quimioterapia Combinada , Voluntários Saudáveis , Infecções por Helicobacter/tratamento farmacológico , Humanos , Imidazóis/farmacocinética , Masculino , Metronidazol/efeitos adversos , Metronidazol/farmacocinética , República da Coreia , Tetraciclina/efeitos adversos
13.
Vaccine ; 39(1): 125-136, 2021 01 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33303180

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Using dynamic transmission models we evaluated the health and cost outcomes of adding acellular pertussis (aP) vaccination of pregnant women to infant vaccination in three Brazilian states that represent different socioeconomic conditions. The primary objective was to determine whether the same model structure could be used to represent pertussis disease dynamics in differing socioeconomic conditions. METHODS: We tested three model structures (SIR, SIRS, SIRSIs) to represent population-level transmission in three socio-demographically distinct Brazilian states: São Paulo, Paraná and Bahia. Two strategies were evaluated: infant wP vaccination alone versus maternal aP immunization plus infant wP vaccination. Model projections for 2014-2029 include outpatient and inpatient pertussis cases, pertussis deaths, years of life lost, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) lost, and costs (in 2014 USD) of maternal aP vaccination, infant vaccination, and pertussis medical treatment. Incremental cost per DALY averted is presented from the perspective of the Brazilian National Health System. RESULTS: Based on goodness-of-fit statistics, the SIRSIs model fit best, although it had only a modest improvement in statistical quantitative assessments relative to the SIRS model. For all three Brazilian states, maternal aP immunization led to higher costs but also saved infant lives and averted DALYs. The 2014 USD cost/DALY averted was $3068 in Sao Paulo, $2962 in Parana, and $2022 in Bahia. These results were robust in sensitivity analyses with the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios exceeding per capita gross regional product only when the probability that a pertussis case is reported was assumed higher than base case implying more overt cases and deaths and therefore more medical costs. CONCLUSIONS: The same model structure fit all three states best, supporting the idea that the disease behaves similarly across different socioeconomic conditions. We also found that immunization of pregnant women with aP is cost-effective in diverse Brazilian states.


Assuntos
Coqueluche , Brasil , Análise Custo-Benefício , Feminino , Humanos , Imunização , Lactente , Gravidez , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Vacinação , Coqueluche/prevenção & controle
14.
Vaccine ; 39(1): 147-157, 2021 01 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33303182

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of maternal acellular pertussis (aP) immunization in low- and middle-income countries using a dynamic transmission model. METHODS: We developed a dynamic transmission model to simulate the impact of infant vaccination with whole-cell pertussis (wP) vaccine with and without maternal aP immunization. The model was calibrated to Brazilian surveillance data and then used to project health outcomes and costs under alternative strategies in Brazil, and, after adjusting model parameter values to reflect their conditions, in Nigeria and Bangladesh. The primary measure of cost-effectiveness is incremental cost (2014 USD) per disability-adjusted life-year (DALY). RESULTS: The dynamic model shows that maternal aP immunization would be cost-effective in Brazil, a middle-income country, under the base-case assumptions, but would be very expensive at infant vaccination coverage in and above the threshold range necessary to eliminate the disease (90-95%). At 2007 infant coverage (DTP1 90%, DTP3 61% at 1 year of age), maternal immunization would cost < $4,000 per DALY averted. At high infant coverage, such as Brazil in 1996 (DTP1 94%, DTP3 74% at 1 year), cost/DALY increases to $1.27 million. When the model's time horizon was extended from 2030 to 2100, cost/DALY increased under both infant coverage levels, but more steeply with high coverage. The results were moderately sensitive to discount rate, maternal vaccine price, and maternal aP coverage and were robust using the 100 best-fitting parameter sets. Scenarios representing low-income countries showed that maternal aP immunization could be cost-saving in countries with low infant coverage, such as Nigeria, but very expensive in countries, such as Bangladesh, with high infant coverage. CONCLUSION: A dynamic model, which captures the herd immunity benefits of pertussis vaccination, shows that, in low- and middle-income countries, maternal aP immunization is cost-effective when infant vaccination coverage is moderate, even cost-saving when it is low, but not cost-effective when coverage levels pass 90-95%.


Assuntos
Coqueluche , Bangladesh , Brasil , Análise Custo-Benefício , Países em Desenvolvimento , Humanos , Imunização , Programas de Imunização , Lactente , Nigéria , Vacinação , Coqueluche/prevenção & controle
15.
Vaccine ; 39(1): 158-166, 2021 01 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33303183

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: This paper compares cost-effectiveness results from two models of maternal immunization to prevent pertussis in infants in Brazil, one static, one dynamic, to explore when static models are adequate for public health decisions and when the extra effort required by dynamic models is worthwhile. METHODS: We defined two scenarios to explore key differences between static and dynamic models, herd immunity and time horizon. Scenario 1 evaluates the incremental cost/DALY of maternal acellular pertussis (aP) immunization as routine infant vaccination coverage ranges from low/moderate up to, and above, the threshold at which herd immunity begins to eliminate pertussis. Scenario 2 compares cost-effectiveness estimates over the models' different time horizons. Maternal vaccine prices of $9.55/dose (base case) and $1/dose were evaluated. RESULTS: The dynamic model shows that maternal immunization could be cost-saving as well as life-saving at low levels of infant vaccination coverage. When infant coverage reaches the threshold range (90-95%), it is expensive: the dynamic model estimates that maternal immunization costs $2 million/DALY at infant coverage > 95% and maternal vaccine price of $9.55/dose; at $1/dose, cost/DALY is $200,000. By contrast, the static model estimates costs/DALY only modestly higher at high than at low infant coverage. When the models' estimates over their different time horizons are compared at infant coverage < 90-95%, their projections fall in the same range. CONCLUSIONS: Static models may serve to explore an intervention's cost-effectiveness against infectious disease: the direction and principal drivers of change were the same in both models. When, however, an intervention too small to have significant herd immunity effects itself, such as maternal aP immunization, takes place against a background of vaccination in the rest of the population, a dynamic model is crucial to accurate estimates of cost-effectiveness. This finding is particularly important in the context of widely varying routine infant vaccination rates globally. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRY: Clinical Trial registry name and registration number: Not applicable.


Assuntos
Coqueluche , Brasil , Análise Custo-Benefício , Humanos , Imunização , Programas de Imunização , Lactente , Vacina contra Coqueluche , Vacinação , Coqueluche/prevenção & controle
16.
Patient Prefer Adherence ; 14: 2427-2437, 2020.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33304097

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Health-related quality of life (HRQoL) is an important construct in clinical settings, and it is crucial that it should be properly measured. As the EuroQol-5-dimensions-5 levels (EQ-5D-5L) is more effective for such measurement than the 3-level model, data on economic models, clinical studies, and public health evaluations previously collected through the EQ-5D-3L need to be revaluated using the EQ-5D-5L. This study evaluated colorectal cancer (CRC) patients' HRQoL scores using the Vietnamese EQ-5D-5L value set. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The cross-sectional study included CRC patients treated at a tertiary public hospital. HRQoL was assessed using the EQ-5D-5L, and HRQoL utility scores were calculated using the Vietnamese value set. Tobit regression examined factors associated with HRQoL. RESULTS: The analysis included 197 CRC patients. Ages ranged from 20 to 87 years (M = 57.64, SD = 13.5); 42.2% and 57.8% were diagnosed with cancer of the colon or rectum/anus, respectively. Mean EQ-5D-5L was 0.561 (range, -0.5115 to 1). Most participants experienced anxiety/depression (88%), followed by pain/discomfort (87%), mobility (71%), usual activity (69%), and self-care (67%). Advanced CRC stage (stage II: ß -0.303, se 0.08; stage III: ß -0.305, se 0.07; stage IV: ß -0.456, se 0.07) and surgery (ß -0.113, se 0.05) were negatively associated with EQ-5D-5L scores. Advanced education (high school: ß 0.273, se 0.07); college/vocational: ß 0.134se 0.05; university/higher: Coef 0.213, se 0.08;) and older age (age group 35-44: ß 0.253, se 0.10; 45-54: ß 0.327, se 0.09; 55-64: ß 0.355 se 0.09; 65+ ß 0.204, se 0.09) were positively associated with EQ-5D-5L scores. CONCLUSION: Patients in advanced CRC stages or undergoing surgery experienced lower HRQoL and higher prevalence of anxiety/depression and pain/discomfort. Older age and high educational attainment predicted high HRQoL. This study provides information on CRC patients' health utility based on various patient characteristics, which can be used in future economic evaluations.

17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33375113

RESUMO

The incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer (CRC) has increased rapidly in Vietnam, but the economic burden of this disease has never been estimated. We estimate the direct and indirect cost of CRC patients in Vietnam in 2018 using a prevalence-based approach and human capital method. The total economic cost of CRC was VND 3041.88 billion (~$132.9 million), representing 0.055% of the 2018 gross domestic product. Notably, indirect costs comprised 83.58 % of the total cost, 82.61% of which is future income loss, because CRC occurs during productive years. The economic burden of CRC in Vietnam is substantial. The medical cost for CRC diagnosis and treatment is higher for younger patients and for those in advanced stages. Strategies to decrease the economic burden of CRC at the patient and national level, such as screening programs, should be developed and implemented in Vietnam.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Colorretais/economia , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Adulto , Idoso , Neoplasias Colorretais/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Vietnã/epidemiologia
18.
BMJ Open ; 10(4): e035573, 2020 04 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32327477

RESUMO

PURPOSE: The purpose of the Korean Frailty and Aging Cohort Study (KFACS) is to initiate a nationwide, population-based prospective cohort study of older adults living in the community to assess their frailty status and explore transitions between frailty states over time in Korea. PARTICIPANTS: The KFACS is a multicentre longitudinal study with the baseline survey conducted from May 2016 to November 2017. Each centre recruited participants using quota sampling stratified by age and sex. The number of participants recruited through 2 years of baseline study from 10 centres was 3014, with each site accounting for approximately 300 participants. The inclusion criteria were: having an age of 70-84 years, currently living in the community, having no plans to move out in the next 2 years, having no problems with communication and no prior dementia diagnosis. FINDINGS TO DATE: To define physical frailty, the KFACS used a modified version of the Fried Frailty Phenotype (FFP) consisting of five components of frailty: unintended weight loss, weakness, self-reported exhaustion, slowness and low physical activity. In the baseline study of 2016-2017, 2907 of 3014 individuals fulfilled all five components of FFP. The results indicated that 7.8% of the participants (n=228) were frail, 47.0% (n=1366) were prefrail and 45.2% (n=1313) were robust. The prevalence of frailty increased with age in both sexes; in the group aged 70-74 years, 1.8% of men and 3.7% of women were frail, whereas in the 80-84 years age group, 14.9% of men and 16.7% of women were frail. Women tended to exhibit a higher prevalence of frailty than men in all age groups. FUTURE PLANS: The KFACS plans to identify outcomes and risk factors associated with frailty by conducting a 10-year cohort study, with a follow-up every 2 years, using 3014 baseline participants.


Assuntos
Atividades Cotidianas , Envelhecimento , Cognição , Fragilidade/epidemiologia , Interação Social , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Escolaridade , Exercício Físico , Feminino , Humanos , Vida Independente , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Estado Civil/estatística & dados numéricos , Testes Neuropsicológicos , Desempenho Físico Funcional , Estudos Prospectivos , Assistência Pública/estatística & dados numéricos , República da Coreia/epidemiologia , População Rural/estatística & dados numéricos , População Suburbana/estatística & dados numéricos , População Urbana/estatística & dados numéricos
19.
Arch Gerontol Geriatr ; 87: 103966, 2020.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31778938

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: While health-related quality of life (HRQoL) has clinical value, its determinants, particularly objective health-related measurements, have not been fully explored. This study seeks to identify the biological indicators that relate to HRQoL among a group of older Korean adults using a machine-learning approach. METHODS: We used physical and mental scores from the 36-item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36) to measure HRQoL among older Korean adults who participated in the Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging (KLoSA) biomarker pilot study (N = 385). The variables for the multivariate penalized regression analysis included demographic factors, medical measurements, physical performance, and health-related behaviors. RESULTS: The multivariate profiles identified several significant biomarkers that relate to quality of life. Among the 20 variables, handgrip strength was the most powerful indicator in both men and women for the SF-36 physical scores, followed by walking speed. Age and total sleep duration exclusively were significantly associated with the SF-36 physical scores only in women, whereas body mass index, blood pressure, and sit-to-stand times were unique elements in men. CONCLUSIONS: The present study suggests significant physical indicators that explain quality of life in elderly populations, using a data-driven approach. Based on these findings, maintaining a good level of physical performance is considered a key element of successful aging.


Assuntos
Envelhecimento/psicologia , Biomarcadores/análise , Força da Mão , Qualidade de Vida/psicologia , Idoso/psicologia , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Envelhecimento/etnologia , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Avaliação Geriátrica , Nível de Saúde , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Aprendizado de Máquina , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Projetos Piloto , República da Coreia , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Inquéritos e Questionários , Velocidade de Caminhada
20.
Environ Int ; 131: 105022, 2019 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31362154

RESUMO

Recent studies have demonstrated that mobile sampling can improve the spatial granularity of land use regression (LUR) models. Mobile sampling campaigns deploying low-cost (<$300) air quality sensors could potentially offer an inexpensive and practical approach to measure and model air pollution concentration levels. In this study, we developed LUR models for street-level fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentration levels in Seoul, South Korea. 169 h of data were collected from an approximately three week long campaign across five routes by ten volunteers sharing seven AirBeams, a low-cost ($250 per unit), smartphone-based particle counter, while geospatial data were extracted from OpenStreetMap, an open-source and crowd-generated geographical dataset. We applied and compared three statistical approaches in constructing the LUR models - linear regression (LR), random forest (RF), and stacked ensemble (SE) combining multiple machine learning algorithms - which resulted in cross-validation R2 values of 0.63, 0.73, and 0.80, respectively, and identification of several pollution 'hotspots.' The high R2 values suggest that study designs employing mobile sampling in conjunction with multiple low-cost air quality monitors could be applied to characterize urban street-level air quality with high spatial resolution, and that machine learning models could further improve model performance. Given this study design's cost-effectiveness and ease of implementation, similar approaches may be especially suitable for citizen science and community-based endeavors, or in regions bereft of air quality data and preexisting air monitoring networks, such as developing countries.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Poluição do Ar , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Aplicativos Móveis , Poluição do Ar/análise , Monitoramento Ambiental/economia , Humanos , Modelos Lineares , Material Particulado/análise , República da Coreia , Seul , População Urbana
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