RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Readmissions cost an estimated $41 billion in the United States each year. To address this, a single institution recently developed a new risk model predictive of 30-day readmission after adult cardiac surgery. The purpose of this study is to validate and refine this new readmission risk model using a statewide database. METHODS: A total of 19,964 patients were analyzed using a statewide Society of Thoracic Surgeons database (2014-2017). The aforementioned multivariate model was replicated (model 1): race, hospital length of stay, chronic lung disease, operation type, and renal failure. Model 2 also included discharge location. Thirty-day readmission risk scores and low-risk (0%-10%), moderate-risk (10%-13%), and high-risk (≥13%) categories were calculated. RESULTS: The overall 30-day readmission rate was 11.1% with both models 1 and 2 predicting readmission (odds ratio, 1.09; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-1.11 vs odds ratio, 1.10; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-1.11). Statistically significant differences were observed across all risk categories in discharge location and total cost. For models 1 and 2, 86% of low-risk patients were discharged to home vs 66.9% and 42.9% of patients in high-risk groups, respectively (P < .001). The largest increases were observed with a hospice discharge location for both model 1 (from $37,930 to $89,285) and model 2 (from $37,930 to $89,230). CONCLUSIONS: Both risk models significantly predicted 30-day readmission in our multiinstitutional dataset, confirming the score is valid and a generalizable quality improvement tool. The addition of discharge location and total cost adds valuable information of the ongoing efforts to identify patients at high risk for readmission.
Assuntos
Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos , Doenças Cardiovasculares/cirurgia , Custos Hospitalares , Alta do Paciente/tendências , Readmissão do Paciente/tendências , Idoso , Doenças Cardiovasculares/economia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Bases de Dados Factuais , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Razão de Chances , Alta do Paciente/economia , Readmissão do Paciente/economia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Following coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery, mortality rates are significantly higher among black patients who experience postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF). Perioperative inotropic therapy (PINOT) was associated with POAF in previous reports, but the extent to which race influences this association is unknown. In the present study, the relationship between PINOT, race, and POAF was examined in patients undergoing CABG surgery. METHODS AND SETTING: Clinical records were examined from a prospectively maintained cohort of 11,855 patients (median age 64 yrs; 70% male; 16% black) undergoing primary isolated CABG at a large cardiovascular institute in the southeastern region of the United States. Relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were computed using log-binomial regression. MAIN RESULTS: The association between PINOT and POAF was significantly increased among black patients (adjusted RR 1.7, CI 1.4-2.0) compared with white patients (adjusted RR 1.3, CI 1.2-1.4) (pinteraction = 0.013). CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that PINOT may be disproportionately associated with POAF among black patients undergoing CABG surgery. Additional studies are needed to examine further the potential underlying mechanisms of this association.