Value of a statistical life in road safety: a benefit-transfer function with risk-analysis guidance based on developing country data.

We model a value of statistical life (VSL) transfer function for application to road-safety engineering in developing countries through an income-disaggregated meta-analysis of scope-sensitive stated preference VSL data. The income-disaggregated meta-analysis treats developing country and high-income country data separately. Previous transfer functions are based on aggregated datasets that are composed largely of data from high-income countries. Recent evidence, particularly with respect to the income elasticity of VSL, suggests that the aggregate approach is deficient because it does not account for a possible change in income elasticity across income levels. Our dataset (a minor update of the OECD database published in 2012) includes 123 scope-sensitive VSL estimates from developing countries and 185 scope-sensitive estimates from high-income countries. The transfer function for developing countries gives VSL=1.3732E-4×(GDP per capita)(∧)2.478, with VSL and GDP per capita expressed in 2005 international dollars (an international dollar being a notional currency with the same purchasing power as the U.S. dollar). The function can be applied for low- and middle-income countries with GDPs per capita above $1268 (with a data gap for very low-income countries), whereas it is not useful above a GDP per capita of about $20,000. The corresponding function built using high-income country data is VSL=8.2474E+3×(GDP per capita)(∧).6932; it is valid for high-income countries but over-estimates VSL for low- and middle-income countries. The research finds two principal significant differences between the transfer functions modeled using developing-country and high-income-country data, supporting the disaggregated approach. The first of these differences relates to between-country VSL income elasticity, which is 2.478 for the developing country function and .693 for the high-income function; the difference is significant at p<0.001. This difference was recently postulated but not analyzed by other researchers. The second difference is that the traffic-risk context affects VSL negatively in developing countries and positively in high-income countries. The research quantifies uncertainty in the transfer function using parameters of the non-absolute distribution of relative transfer errors. The low- and middle-income function is unbiased, with a median relative transfer error of -.05 (95% CI: -.15 to .03), a 25th percentile error of -.22 (95% CI: -.29 to -.19), and a 75th percentile error of .20 (95% CI: .14 to .30). The quantified uncertainty characteristics support evidence-based approaches to sensitivity analysis and probabilistic risk analysis of economic performance measures for road-safety investments.

Dual-source CT with improved temporal resolution in assessment of left ventricular function: a pilot study.

OBJECTIVE: Functional analysis using MDCT has been limited by insufficient temporal resolution. The aim of this study was to assess the performance of a dual-source CT system with improved temporal resolution in the determination of both volume- or time-dependent functional parameters and regional wall motion in comparison with cine MRI. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Twenty patients (15 of whom had previous myocardial infarction) were prospectively examined using dual-source CT. MRI was used as the standard of reference. Using the Simpson's method, ventricular volumes were determined for the whole of the cardiac cycle and results compared using Parson's correlation and Bland-Altman analysis. Regional wall motion was assessed on cine images and compared using weighted kappa statistics. RESULTS: Dual-source CT revealed a strong correlation with cine MRI regarding the quantification of end-diastolic volume (r = 0.98), end-systolic volume (r = 0.99), stroke volume (r = 0.96), and ejection fraction (r = 0.95). Good correlation was obtained for peak ejection rate (r = 0.79) and peak filling rate (r = 0.84), whereas agreement proved only moderate for time-to-peak ejection rate (r = 0.68) or time-to-peak filling rate from end-systole (r = 0.64). The mean difference for ejection fraction was negligible (bias, 0.72%). Good agreement between both techniques was likewise found for regional wall motion (kappa = 0.88). CONCLUSION: With the improvement of temporal resolution between 42 and 83 milliseconds, dual-source CT not only enables accurate assessment of global functional parameters, but it also allows for quantification of time-dependent variables and reliable evaluation of regional wall motion.

Assessment of myocardial viability in a reperfused porcine model: evaluation of different MSCT contrast protocols in acute and subacute infarct stages in comparison with MRI.

OBJECTIVE: To assess myocardial viability in acute and subacute infarcts using different multislice spiral computed tomography contrast protocols with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) correlation. METHODS: Seven pigs were studied with 64-multislice spiral computed tomography and MRI (1.5 T) at a median of 1 and 21 days after temporary occlusion of the second diagonal branch. Computed tomography was performed at 3, 5, 10, and 15 minutes after injection of contrast medium. Contrast agent was applied either as a bolus (protocol 1; n = 7 for the first; n = 5 for the second scan) or as a bolus plus 30 mL of subsequent 0.1 mL/s low-flow (protocol 2; n = 7 for the first; n = 6 for the second scan). Finally, histological sections were obtained. Volumes of infarcted myocardium were assessed as the percentage of the left ventricle. Computed tomography attenuation values were obtained, and image quality was assessed. RESULTS: When compared with protocol 1, protocol 2 provided greater Hounsfield unit attenuation difference between viable and nonviable myocardium at 5, 10, and 15 minutes (P = 0.19; 0.003; 0.0006) and an additional significant contrast between nonviable myocardium and ventricular blood at 3 and 5 minutes (P < 0.001). Image quality was rated significantly higher with the use of protocol 2 at 5, 10, and 15 minutes (P < or = 0.027) and for all time points use of protocol 2 resulted in improved correlation of acute and subacute infarct size with MRI. CONCLUSIONS: Good correlation of infarct zones with MRI was achieved for both acute and subacute infarcts. With the use of a bolus/low-flow protocol, image quality was substantially improved by means of a higher tissue contrast.

Coronary artery bypass grafts: assessment of graft patency and native coronary artery lesions using 16-slice MDCT.

The objective of this study was to evaluate the accuracy of electrocardiography (ECG)-gated 16-slice multidetector-row computed tomography (MDCT) in detection of stenosis of bypass grafts and native coronary arteries in patients who have undergone coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). ECG-gated contrast-enhanced MDCT using 12 x 0.75-mm collimation was performed in 20 patients with recurrent angina 4.75 years after undergoing CABG. A total of 50 grafts, 16 arterial and 34 venous, were examined. All graft and coronary segments were evaluated for stenosis in comparison with conventional coronary angiography (CCA). Among the 80 arterial graft segments, 62 could be assessed (77.5%). Sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values for stenosis were 96.2%, 97.2%, 96.2%, and 97.2%, respectively. In a total of 180 venous graft segments, 167 could be assessed. Sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values for stenosis were 98.5%, 93.9%, 91.8%, and 98.9%, respectively. MDCT could assess 179 of 260 native coronary artery segments (68.8%). Sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values for stenosis were 92.1%, 76.9%, 87.5%, and 84.7%, respectively. Sixteen-slice MDCT provides excellent image quality and diagnostic accuracy in detection of graft and coronary artery lesions in patients with suspected graft dysfunction.

Assessment of left ventricular myocardial function using 16-slice multidetector-row computed tomography: comparison with magnetic resonance imaging and echocardiography.

OBJECTIVE: To assess functional parameters using multidetector-row computed tomography (MDCT) and echocardiography and to compare the results with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). MATERIALS AND METHODS: End-diastolic-volume (EDV), end-systolic-volume (ESV), stroke-volume (SV), ejection-fraction (EF), and myocardial mass (MM) were calculated based on CT data sets from 52 patients. Echocardiography was performed in 24 of the 52 patients. The results from MDCT and echocardiography were compared with MRI. RESULTS: A strong correlation between MDCT and MRI (r=0.66-0.90) was found for all parameters. Echocardiography revealed a low or moderate correlation (0.05-0.59). Compared to MRI the average differences with MDCT were for EDV 15.1 ml, ESV 10.6 ml, SV 4.5 ml, EF 1.8%, and MM 8.2 g, for EDV determined by echocardiography 36.2 ml, ESV 6.8 ml, and EF 13.9%. Bland-Altman analysis revealed acceptable limits of agreement between MRI and MDCT. CONCLUSIONS: MDCT enables reliable quantification of left ventricular function. Echocardiography was found to have only a moderate agreement of functional parameters with MRI.

First performance evaluation of a dual-source CT (DSCT) system.

We present a performance evaluation of a recently introduced dual-source computed tomography (DSCT) system equipped with two X-ray tubes and two corresponding detectors, mounted onto the rotating gantry with an angular offset of 90 degrees . We introduce the system concept and derive its consequences and potential benefits for electrocardiograph [corrected] (ECG)-controlled cardiac CT and for general radiology applications. We evaluate both temporal and spatial resolution by means of phantom scans. We present first patient scans to illustrate the performance of DSCT for ECG-gated cardiac imaging, and we demonstrate first results using a dual-energy acquisition mode. Using ECG-gated single-segment reconstruction, the DSCT system provides 83 ms temporal resolution independent of the patient's heart rate for coronary CT angiography (CTA) and evaluation of basic functional parameters. With dual-segment reconstruction, the mean temporal resolution is 60 ms (minimum temporal resolution 42 ms) for advanced functional evaluation. The z-flying focal spot technique implemented in the evaluated DSCT system allows 0.4 mm cylinders to be resolved at all heart rates. First clinical experience shows a considerably increased robustness for the imaging of patients with high heart rates. As a potential application of the dual-energy acquisition mode, the automatic separation of bones and iodine-filled vessels is demonstrated.

ECG-gated 16-MDCT of the coronary arteries: assessment of image quality and accuracy in detecting stenoses.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to investigate image quality and diagnostic accuracy in detecting coronary artery lesions using a 16-MDCT scanner. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Thirty-seven patients (28 men, nine women) underwent unenhanced helical CT and MDCT angiography of the coronary arteries. After patients received oral beta-blocker medication, CT scans were obtained during a single breath-hold with a 16-MDCT scanner using ECG-gating (0.75-mm collimation, 2.8-mm table feed/rotation, 0.42-sec rotation time). The image quality was assessed in terms of artifacts and segment visibility by two reviewers. Stenosis severity was compared with the results of conventional invasive coronary angiography. RESULTS: The data evaluation of the image quality was based on a total of 488 segments, of which 380 segments were considered to have diagnostic image quality. One hundred eight segments (22.1%) could not be sufficiently evaluated because of severe calcifications (35 segments) and motion artifacts (73 segments). The mean calcium score (Agatston score equivalent [ASE]) was 524.3 +/- 807.6. Twenty-eight (75.7%) of the 37 patients had an ASE of less than 1,000 (mean ASE, 90.8 +/- 152.3 [SD]), and nine (24.3%) patients had an ASE of 1,000 or greater (mean ASE, 1,761.0 +/- 637.6). For detecting lesions 50% or greater (without any exclusion criteria), the overall sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 59%, 87%, 61%, and 87%, respectively. When limiting the number of patients to those with a calcium score of less than 1,000 ASE, the threshold-corrected sensitivity for lesions 50% or greater was 93%; specificity, 94%; positive predictive value, 68%; and negative predictive value, 99%. CONCLUSION: In patients with no or moderate coronary calcification, MDCT of coronary arteries using 16-MDCT technology allows the reliable detection of coronary artery stenoses with high diagnostic accuracy. Obtaining an initial unenhanced scan was found to be mandatory to avoid performing useless examinations in patients with severe calcifications.