A panel vector autoregression analysis for the dynamics of medical and long-term care expenditures.

Although medical and long-term care expenditures for older adults are closely related, providing rigorous statistical analysis for their dynamic relationship is challenging. In this research, we propose a novel approach using the panel vector autoregression model to reveal the realized patterns of the interdependence. As an empirical application, we analyze monthly panel data on individuals in a city of Japan, where social insurance covers many formal services for long-term care. Our estimation results indicate the existence of intertemporal transition from expensive acute medical care to reasonable at-home medical care, then to at-home long-term care. Under this context, the enhancement of formal long-term care sector in Japan might have played an important role in the suppression of the total care cost in spite for its rapid aging over the past 2 decades. Additionally, we find that daycare plays multiple roles in Japanese long-term care, such as respite and rehabilitation, but there is no considerable transition from outpatient rehabilitation to daycare in the long-term care sector.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of adult living-donor liver transplantation in Japan.

AIM: Living-donor liver transplantation (LDLT) is a highly effective life-saving procedure; however, it requires substantial medical resources, and the cost-effectiveness of LDLT versus conservative management (CM) for adult patients with end-stage liver disease (ESLD) remains unclear in Japan. METHODS: We performed a cost-effectiveness analysis using the Diagnostic Procedure Combination (DPC) data from the nationwide database of the DPC research group. We selected adult patients (18 years or older) who were admitted or discharged between 2010 and 2021 with a diagnosis of ESLD with Child-Pugh class C or B. A decision tree and Markov model were constructed, and all event probabilities were computed in 3-month cycles over a 10-year period. The willingness-to-pay per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) was set at 5 million Japanese yen (JPY) (49,801 US dollars [USD]) from the perspective of the public health-care payer. RESULTS: After propensity score matching, we identified 1297 and 111,849 patients in the LDLT and CM groups, respectively. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for LDLT versus CM for Child-Pugh classes C and B was 2.08 million JPY/QALY (20,708 USD/QALY) and 5.24 million JPY/QALY (52,153 USD/QALY), respectively. The cost-effectiveness acceptability curves showed the probabilities of being below the willingness-to-pay of 49,801 USD/QALY as 95.4% in class C and 48.5% in class B. Tornado diagrams revealed all variables in class C were below 49,801 USD/QALY while their ranges included or exceeded 49,801 USD/QALY in class B. CONCLUSIONS: Living-donor liver transplantation for adult patients with Child-Pugh class C was cost-effective compared with CM, whereas LDLT versus CM for class B patients was not cost-effective in Japan.

Impact of the cefazolin shortage on the selection and cost of parenteral antibiotics during the supply disruption period in Japan: A controlled interrupted time series analysis.

BACKGROUND: A serious shortage of cefazolin (CEZ) occurred in Japan in 2019. We compared the impact of the CEZ shortage on the selection of parenteral antibiotics at affected and non-affected hospitals. METHODS: The data were extracted from a nationwide Japanese administrative database and included all hospitalized cases between April 2016 and December 2020. We defined 'hospitals with shortage' as those hospitals with a statistically significant decrease in the use of CEZ during the supply disruption period compared to the same months of the previous year; other hospitals as 'hospitals without shortage'. We determined the proportion of each selected parenteral antibiotic use to the sum of all selected antibiotic use in the two groups of hospitals during the supply disruption period and during the same months of the previous year. A controlled interrupted time series (CITS) analysis was conducted to estimate the impact of the CEZ shortage on each antibiotic use and the cost of all parenteral antibiotics per patient day in hospitals with shortage as compared to those without shortage. RESULTS: In the hospitals with shortage, the proportion of CEZ use to the sum of all selected antibiotics decreased (23.5-11.1%). The decrease in CEZ use was mainly offset by the use of ceftriaxone, ceftriaxone, and ampicillin/sulbactam. The CITS analysis showed a statistically significant increase in the use of broader-spectrum beta-lactams and clindamycin during the supply disruption period (flomoxef up 58.1%, cefotiam up 63.1%, cefmetazole up 14.5%, ceftriaxone up 13.9%, and clindamycin up 20.1%). The analysis showed no statistically significant change in the cost of all parenteral antibiotics per patient day. CONCLUSIONS: During the CEZ supply disruption, there was a statistically significant increase in the use of broader-spectrum beta-lactams and clindamycin in hospitals with shortage compared with those without shortage.

Individual and Nationwide Costs for Cancer Care During the First Year After Diagnosis Among Children, Adolescents, and Young Adults in Japan.

PURPOSE: There has been limited information on the economic evaluation of children, adolescents, and young adults (AYAs) with cancer. The aim of this study was to estimate the individual and nationwide costs for cancer care during the first year after diagnosis among children and AYAs in Japan. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We estimated the direct health care costs for children (0-14 years old) and AYAs (15-29 years old) from the perspective of the public payer. Children and AYAs with newly diagnosed cancer between April 2016 and March 2018 were identified from the Diagnosis Procedure Combination Study Group database to calculate the cost per patient. The nationwide cost was estimated by the bottom-up approach, using stratification by age group, sex, and cancer classification, based on Population Estimates and Cancer Statistics data. RESULTS: A total of 2,939 children and 5,512 AYAs were identified. The median 1-year cost per patient after diagnosis was 2,832,840 (interquartile range, 927,490-9,222,780) JPY (in USD: median, 28,047; interquartile range, 9,183-91,310). The median 1-year cost per patient was higher in children than in AYAs in all cancer classifications. Leukemia, treatment in cancer centers, and early death as well as longer hospital stay were identified to have an impact on 1-year cost per patient after diagnosis. The 1-year nationwide cost after diagnosis was estimated as 34.83 × 109 JPY (344.8 × 106 USD). CONCLUSION: We showed that cancer treatments for both children and AYAs were highly cost-intensive in Japan. Our results suggest the need for further financial and policy evaluation.

Trajectories of end-of-life medical and long-term care expenditures for older adults in Japan: retrospective longitudinal study using a large-scale linked database of medical and long-term care claims.

BACKGROUND: An accurate understanding of the current state of end-of-life care is important for healthcare planning. The objectives of this study were to examine the trajectories of end-of-life medical and long-term care expenditures and associated factors. METHODS: This was a retrospective longitudinal study using a large-scale linked database of medical and long-term care claims-National Health Insurance, Advanced Elderly Medical Insurance, and long-term care insurance-covering Prefecture A in Japan. Patients aged ≥70 years who died between April 1, 2016, and March 31, 2017, were included (N = 16,084 patients; mean age = 85.1 ± 7.5 years; 7804 men (48.5%) and 8280 women (51.5%)). The outcome measures were medical expenditures (inpatient, outpatient, and prescription), long-term care expenditures, and total healthcare expenditures (the sum of medical and long-term care expenditures) during the 60 months before the date of death. We calculated each patient's monthly medical and long-term care expenditures for 60 months before the date of death and applied group-based trajectory modeling to identify distinct trajectories. Factors associated with spending trajectories were examined via multinomial logistic regression analyses. Explanatory variables included age, sex, diseases, and the medical services used. RESULTS: We identified six distinct spending trajectories for the total healthcare expenditures: high persistent (45.6%), medium-to-high persistent (26.1%), early rise then high persistent (9.8%), late rise (6.4%), low persistent then very late rise (i.e., when spending starts increasing later than "late rise"; 6.4%), and progressive increase (5.7%). Factors associated with the high-persistent trajectory were chronic illnesses, various organ failures, neurodegenerative diseases, fractures, and tube feeding. The trajectory pattern of medical expenditures was similar to that of total healthcare expenditures; however, a different pattern was seen for long-term care expenditures. CONCLUSIONS: Regarding combined medical and long-term care spending of the last 5 years, most patients belonged to a pattern in which the healthcare expenditures remained high, and a combination of multiple factors contributed to these patterns. This finding can offer healthcare providers a longer-term perspective on end-of-life care.

The impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on hospital admissions for alcohol-related liver disease and pancreatitis in Japan.

During the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, there have been health concerns related to alcohol use and misuse. We aimed to examine the population-level change in cases of alcohol-related liver disease and pancreatitis that required admission during the COVID-19 epidemic by interrupted time series (ITS) analysis using claims data. We defined the period from April 2020, when the Japanese government declared a state of emergency, as the beginning of the COVID-19 epidemic. This ITS analysis included 3,026,389 overall admissions and 10,242 admissions for alcohol-related liver disease or pancreatitis from 257 hospitals between July 2018 and June 2020. The rate of admissions per 1000 admissions during the COVID-19 epidemic period (April 2020-June 2020) was 1.2 times (rate ratio: 1.22, 95% confidence interval: 1.12-1.33) compared to the pre-epidemic period. Analyses stratified by sex revealed that the increases in admission rates of alcohol-related liver disease or pancreatitis for females were higher than for males during the COVID-19 epidemic period. The COVID-19 epidemic in Japan might associates an increase in hospital admissions for alcohol-related liver disease and pancreatitis. Our study could support the concern of alcohol consumption and health problems during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Effects of periodontal management for patients with type 2 diabetes on healthcare expenditure, hospitalization and worsening of diabetes: an observational study using medical, dental and pharmacy claims data in Japan.

AIMS: To investigate the effects of regular periodontal management for people with type 2 diabetes on total healthcare expenditure, hospitalization and the introduction of insulin. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We collected data of individuals who were prescribed diabetes medications during the fiscal year 2015 from the claims database of a prefecture in Japan. We fitted generalized linear models that had sex, age, comorbidities and the status of periodontal management during the previous two years as predictors. RESULTS: A total of 16,583 individuals were enrolled. The annual healthcare expenditure in the third year was 4% less (adjusted multiplier 0.96, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.92-1.00) in the group receiving periodontal management every year. The adjusted odds ratio (aOR) for all-cause hospitalization was 0.90 (95% CI: 0.82-0.98). The aOR of introducing insulin in the third year for those who had not been prescribed insulin during the previous two years (n = 13,222) was 0.77 (95% CI: 0.64-0.92) in the group receiving periodontal management every year. CONCLUSION: Regular periodontal management for diabetic people was associated with reduced healthcare expenditure, all-cause hospitalization and the introduction of insulin therapy.

Code-Sharing in Cost-of-Illness Calculations: An Application to Antibiotic-Resistant Bloodstream Infections.

Background: More data-driven evidence is needed on the cost of antibiotic resistance. Both Japan and England have large surveillance and administrative datasets. Code sharing of costing models enables reduced duplication of effort in research. Objective: To estimate the burden of antibiotic-resistant Staphylococcus aureus bloodstream infections (BSIs) in Japan, utilizing code that was written to estimate the hospital burden of antibiotic-resistant Escherichia coli BSIs in England. Additionally, the process in which the code-sharing and application was performed is detailed, to aid future such use of code-sharing in health economics. Methods: National administrative data sources were linked with voluntary surveillance data within the Japan case study. R software code, which created multistate models to estimate the excess length of stay associated with different exposures of interest, was adapted from previous use and run on this dataset. Unit costs were applied to estimate healthcare system burden in 2017 international dollars (I$). Results: Clear supporting documentation alongside open-access code, licensing, and formal communication channels, helped the re-application of costing code from the English setting within the Japanese setting. From the Japanese healthcare system perspective, it was estimated that there was an excess cost of I$6,392 per S. aureus BSI, whilst oxacillin resistance was associated with an additional I$8,155. Conclusions:S. aureus resistance profiles other than methicillin may substantially impact hospital costs. The sharing of costing models within the field of antibiotic resistance is a feasible way to increase burden evidence efficiently, allowing for decision makers (with appropriate data available) to gain rapid cost-of-illness estimates.

Economic impact of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on acute care hospitals in Japan.

BACKGROUND: In response to the coronavirus diseases 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, the Japanese government declared a state of emergency on April 7, 2020. Six days earlier, the Japan Surgical Society had recommended postponing elective surgical procedures. Along with the growing public fear of COVID-19, hospital visits in Japan decreased. METHODS: Using claims data from the Quality Indicator/Improvement Project (QIP) database, this study aimed to clarify the impact of the first wave of the pandemic, considered to be from March to May 2020, on case volume and claimed hospital charges in acute care hospitals during this period. To make year-over-year comparisons, we considered cases from July 2018 to June 2020. RESULTS: A total of 2,739,878 inpatient and 53,479,658 outpatient cases from 195 hospitals were included. In the year-over-year comparisons, total claimed hospital charges decreased in April, May, June 2020 by 7%, 14%, and 5%, respectively, compared to the same months in 2019. Our results also showed that per-case hospital charges increased during this period, possibly to compensate for the reduced case volumes. Regression results indicated that the hospital charges in April and May 2020 decreased by 6.3% for hospitals without COVID-19 patients. For hospitals with COVID-19 patients, there was an additional decrease in proportion with the length of hospital stay of COVID-19 patients including suspected cases. The mean additional decrease per COVID-19 patient was estimated to 5.5 million JPY. CONCLUSION: It is suggested that the hospitals treating COVID-19 patients were negatively incentivized.

New outcome-specific comorbidity scores excelled in predicting in-hospital mortality and healthcare charges in administrative databases.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the most reliable comorbidity measure, we adapted and validated outcome-specific comorbidity scores to predict mortality and hospital charges using the comorbidities composing the Charlson and Elixhauser measures and the combination of these two used in developing Gagne's combined comorbidity scores (CC, EC, and GC, respectively). STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: We divided cases of patients discharged in 2016-17 from the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database (n = 2,671,749) into two: one to derive weights for the scores, and the other for validation. We further validated them in subgroups, such as that with a selected diagnosis. RESULTS: The c-statistics of the models predicting in-hospital mortality using new mortality scores using the CC, EC, and GC were 0.780, 0.795, and 0.794, respectively. Among them, that using the EC showed the best calibration. To predict hospital charges and the length of hospital stay (LOS), the models using variables indicating the GC performed the best. The performances of the mortality and expenditure scores were considerably different in predicting each outcome. CONCLUSION: The new score using the EC performed the best in predicting in-hospital mortality for most situations. For hospital charges and the LOS, the binary variables of the GC showed the best results. The outcome-specific comorbidity scores should be considered for different outcomes.

Factors associated with high-dose antipsychotic prescriptions in outpatients with schizophrenia: An analysis of claims data from a Japanese prefecture.

BACKGROUND: Antipsychotics are commonly prescribed in high doses in combination with multiple psychotropic drugs. This study focused on the high-dose antipsychotic prescriptions in patients with schizophrenia, while aiming to identify their associations with patients' characteristics and concurrent psychotropic prescriptions. METHODS: This cross-sectional study used claims data from a prefecture in Japan, between October 2014 and March 2015, to investigate antipsychotic prescriptions in adult outpatients with schizophrenia. The objective variable was the presence/absence of a high-dose prescription. The explanatory variables included sex, age (category), presence of comorbid conditions, and the use of psychiatrist's therapy. RESULTS: After exclusion, a total of 13 471 patients with schizophrenia were analyzed. The frequency of high-dose prescriptions was higher in men, with chlorpromazine-equivalent values highest in the age ranges of 45-54 and 35-44 years for men and women, respectively. Patients aged below 65 years with cerebrovascular diseases showed a decrease in high-dose prescriptions. There was a high frequency of polypharmacy psychotropic drug use in combination with a high-dose antipsychotic prescription in patients aged below 65 years. CONCLUSION: High-dose antipsychotics are often used in combination with several psychotropic agents in patients with schizophrenia. Our findings emphasize the need to evaluate the prescribing behavior of physicians to avoid high-dose antipsychotic prescriptions for improved patient care.

Public needs for information disclosure on healthcare performance: Different determinants between Japan and the Netherlands.

The accumulated healthcare performance data related to unwarranted practice variations are not necessarily disseminated to patients and citizens. To clarify the needs for public disclosure, we explored Japanese and Dutch citizens' preferences and values towards information disclosure and healthcare disparity.Online opt-in survey was conducted and we asked citizens their preference to know about the healthcare performance indicators of regions and hospitals, and their attitudes towards healthcare equity. After a descriptive statistical analysis, Chi-squared automatic interaction detection tree analysis was performed to explore the socio-demographic determinants which were associated with positive value for information disclosure and healthcare equity. Then, we compared the combination of attributes of the highest and the lowest subgroups of each country and compared within and between countries. Last, logistic regression analysis was performed to further evaluate the impact of each determinant.Significant differences were observed between the 2 countries (Japan [JPN] 1038; Netherlands [NL] 1040). The crucial attributes identified were age, sex, educational background, and living area (JPN), along with age and sex (NL). Japanese comprised multiple subgroups with heterogeneous values, showed relatively low interest in knowing the information, and seemed to accept healthcare inequality, especially among urban males aged 20 to 59 years. Contrarily, Dutch people mostly showed high interest in both items. Female and older respondents valued information disclosure highly across countries.To share healthcare performance knowledge and empowering the public, historical, cultural, and socio-demographic context including health literacy of citizens' subgroups should be considered in making comprehensive public reports.

Classification tree model of the personal economic burden of dementia care by related factors of both people with dementia and caregivers in Japan: a cross-sectional online survey.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to clarify the microlevel determinants of the economic burden of dementia care at home in Japanese community settings by classifying them into subgroups of factors related to people with dementia and their caregivers. DESIGN: A cross-sectional online survey. PARTICIPANTS: 4313 panels of Japanese research company who fulfilled the following criteria: (1) aged 30 years or older, (2) non-professional caregiver of someone with dementia, (3) caring for only one person with dementia and (4) having no conflicts of interest with advertising or marketing research entities. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Informal care costs and out-of-pocket payments for long-term care (LTC) services. RESULTS: From 4313 respondents, only 1383 caregivers in community-settings were included in this analysis. We conducted a χ² automatic interaction detection analysis to identify the factors related to each cost (informal care costs and out-of-pocket payments for LTC services) divided into subcategories. In the resultant classifications, informal care cost was mainly related to caregivers' employment status. When caregivers acquired family care leave, informal care costs were the highest. On the other hand, out-of-pocket payments for LTC were related to care-need levels and family economic status. Activities of Daily Living and Instrumental Activities of Daily Living functions such as bathing, toileting and cleaning were related to all costs. CONCLUSION: This study clarified the difference in dementia care costs between classified subgroups by considering the combination of the situations of both people with dementia and their caregivers. Informal care costs were related to caregivers' employment and cohabitation status rather to the situations of people with dementia. On the other hand, out-of-pocket payments for LTC services were related to care-need levels and family economic status. These classifications will be useful in understanding which situation represents a greater economic burden and helpful in improving the sustainability of the dementia care system in Japan.

Effects of preoperative oral management by dentists on postoperative outcomes following esophagectomy: Multilevel propensity score matching and weighting analyses using the Japanese inpatient database.

The purpose of this study was to investigate the effects of preoperative oral management (POM) by dentists on the incidence of postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs), length of hospital stay, medical costs, and days of antibiotics administration following both open and thoracoscopic esophagectomy.Dental plaque is an established risk factor for postoperative pneumonia, which could be reduced by POM. However, few clinical guidelines for cancer treatment, including those for esophageal cancer, recommend POM as routine perioperative care.We extracted data of esophagectomy cases from the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database. We subsequently conducted propensity score (PS) analyses for multilevel data, including matching, inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW), and standardized mortality ratio weighting (SMRW), to estimate the effect of POM by dentists on the outcomes of esophagectomy.We analyzed 3412 esophagectomy cases of which 812 were open, and 2600 were thoracoscopic surgery. In IPTW analysis to estimate the average treatment effect, the risk difference of postoperative aspiration pneumonia ranged from -2.49% to -2.02% between the POM and control groups of both open and thoracoscopic esophagectomy cases. IPTW analyses indicated that the total medical costs of thoracoscopic esophagectomy were reduced by 221,200 to 253,100 Japanese Yen (equivalent to about $2000-$2200). In PS matching and SMRW analyses to estimate average treatment effect on treated, there was no difference in outcomes between the POM and control groups.Our results suggested that in patients undergoing open or thoracoscopic esophagectomy, POM by dentists prevented the occurrence of postoperative aspiration pneumonia. It could also reduce the total medical costs of thoracoscopic esophagectomy. Thus, POM by dentists can be considered as a routine perioperative care for all patients undergoing esophagectomy, regardless of the expected risk for PPC.

Future projection of the physician workforce and its geographical equity in Japan: a cohort-component model.

INTRODUCTION: The geographical inequity of physicians is a serious problem in Japan. However, there is little evidence of inequity in the future geographical distribution of physicians, even though the future physician supply at the national level has been estimated. In addition, possible changes in the age and sex distribution of future physicians are unclear. Thus, the purpose of this study is to project the future geographical distribution of physicians and their demographics. METHODS: We used a cohort-component model with the following assumptions: basic population, future mortality rate, future new registration rate, and future in-migration and out-migration rates. We examined changes in the number of physicians from 2005 to 2035 in secondary medical areas (SMAs) in Japan. To clarify the trends by regional characteristics, SMAs were divided into four groups based on urban or rural status and initial physician supply (lower/higher). The number of physicians was calculated separately by sex and age strata. RESULTS: From 2005 to 2035, the absolute number of physicians aged 25-64 will decline by 6.1% in rural areas with an initially lower physician supply, but it will increase by 37.0% in urban areas with an initially lower supply. The proportion of aged physicians will increase in all areas, especially in rural ones with an initially lower supply, where it will change from 14.4% to 31.3%. The inequity in the geographical distribution of physicians will expand despite an increase in the number of physicians in rural areas. CONCLUSIONS: We found that the geographical disparity of physicians will worsen from 2005 to 2035. Furthermore, physicians aged 25-64 will be more concentrated in urban areas, and physicians will age more rapidly in rural places than urban ones. The regional disparity in the physician supply will worsen in the future if new and drastic measures are not taken.

The personal cost of dementia care in Japan: A comparative analysis of residence types.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to quantify the personal economic burden of dementia care in Japan according to residence type. METHODS: A cross-sectional online survey was conducted on 3841 caregivers of people with dementia. An opportunity cost approach was used to calculate informal care costs. All costs and the observed/expected (OE) ratio of costs were adjusted using patient sex, age, and care-needs levels, and compared among the residence types. RESULTS: The mean daily informal care time was 8.2 hours, and the mean monthly informal care costs for community-dwelling people with dementia were US$1559. The OE ratio for informal care costs in community-dwelling patients was higher than in institutionalized patients. CONCLUSION: The inclusion of informal care costs reduced the differences in total personal costs among the residence types. The economic burden of informal care should be considered when quantifying dementia care costs.

Cost-Effectiveness of Second-Line Endocrine Therapies in Postmenopausal Women with Hormone Receptor-positive and Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2-negative Metastatic Breast Cancer in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Exemestane (EXE), exemestane + everolimus (EXE + EVE), toremifene (TOR), and fulvestrant (FUL) are second-line endocrine therapies for postmenopausal hormone receptor-positive (HR +)/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2 -) metastatic breast cancer (mBC) in Japan. Although the efficacy of these therapies has been shown in recent studies, cost-effectiveness has not yet been determined in Japan. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to examine the cost-effectiveness of second-line endocrine therapies for the treatment of postmenopausal women with HR + and HER2 - mBC. METHODS: A Markov model was developed to analyze the cost-effectiveness of the therapies over a 15-year time horizon from a public healthcare payer's perspective. The efficacy and utility parameters were determined via a systematic search of the literature. Direct medical care costs were used. A discount rate of 2% was applied for costs and outcomes. Subgroup analysis was performed for non-visceral metastasis. A series of sensitivity analyses, including probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) and threshold analysis were performed. RESULTS: Base-case analyses estimated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) of 3 million and 6 million Japanese yen (JPY)/quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained for TOR and FUL 500 mg relative to EXE, respectively. FUL 250 mg and EXE + EVE were dominated. The overall survival (OS) highly influenced the ICER. With a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of 5 million JPY/QALY, the probability of TOR being cost-effective was the highest. Subgroup analysis in non-visceral metastasis revealed 0.4 and 10% reduction in ICER from the base-case results of FUL5 500 mg versus EXE and TOR versus EXE, respectively, while threshold analysis indicated EVE and FUL prices should be reduced 73 and 30%, respectively. CONCLUSION: As a second-line therapy for postmenopausal women with HR +/HER2 - mBC, TOR may be cost-effective relative to other alternatives and seems to be the most favorable choice, based on a WTP threshold of 5 million JPY/QALY. FUL 250 mg is expected to be as costly and effective as EXE. The cost-effectiveness of EXE + EVE and FUL 500 mg could be improved by a large price reduction. However, the results are highly sensitive to the hazard ratio of OS. Policy makers should carefully interpret and utilize these findings.

Effect of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) is the most common antimicrobial-resistant organism identified in Japanese health care facilities. This study analyzed the clinical and economic burdens attributable to methicillin resistance in S aureus in Japanese hospitals. METHODS: We retrospectively investigated data from 14,905 inpatients of 57 hospitals combined with data from nosocomial infection surveillance and administrative claim databases. The participants were inpatients with admission from April 1, 2014, to discharge on March 31, 2016. The outcomes were evaluated according to length of stay, hospital charges, and in-hospital mortality. We compared the disease burden of MRSA infections with methicillin-susceptible S aureus (MSSA) infections based on patients' characteristics and onset periods. RESULTS: We categorized 7,188 and 7,717 patients into MRSA and MSSA groups, respectively. The adjusted effects of the MRSA group were 1.03-fold (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.05) and 1.04-fold (95% CI, 1.01-1.06), respectively, with an odds ratio of 1.14 (95% CI, 1.02-1.27). CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study found that patient severity and onset delays were positively associated with both MRSA and burden and that the effect of methicillin resistance remained significant after adjustment.

Examining changes in the equity of physician distribution in Japan: a specialty-specific longitudinal study.

OBJECTIVES: In this longitudinal study, we examined changes in the geographical distribution of physicians in Japan from 2000 to 2014 by clinical specialty with adjustments for healthcare demand based on population structure. METHODS: The Japanese population was adjusted for healthcare demand using health expenditure per capita stratified by age and sex. The numbers of physicians per 100 000 demand-adjusted population (DAP) in 2000 and 2014 were calculated for subprefectural regions known as secondary medical areas. Disparities in the geographical distribution of physicians for each specialty were assessed using Gini coefficients. A subgroup analysis was conducted by dividing the regions into four groups according to urban-rural classification and initial physician supply. RESULTS: Over the study period, the number of physicians per 100 000 DAP decreased in all specialties assessed (internal medicine: -6.9%, surgery: -26.0%, orthopaedics: -2.1%, obstetrics/gynaecology (per female population): -17.5%) except paediatrics (+33.3%) and anaesthesiology (+21.1%). No reductions in geographical disparity were observed in any of the specialties assessed. Geographical disparity increased substantially in internal medicine, surgery and obstetrics and gynaecology(OB/GYN). Rural areas with lower initial physician supply experienced the highest decreases in physicians per 100 000 DAP for all specialties assessed except paediatrics and anaesthesiology. In contrast, urban areas with lower initial physician supply experienced the lowest decreases in physicians per 100 000 DAP in internal medicine, surgery, orthopaedics and OB/GYN, but the highest increase in anaesthesiology. CONCLUSION: Between 2000 and 2014, the number of physicians per 100 000 DAP in Japan decreased in all specialties assessed except paediatrics and anaesthesiology. There is also a growing urban-rural disparity in physician supply in all specialties assessed except paediatrics. Additional measures may be needed to resolve these issues and improve physician distribution in Japan.