Cost-effectiveness of opportunistic QCT-based osteoporosis screening for the prediction of incident vertebral fractures.

Objectives: Opportunistic quantitative computed tomography (oQCT) derived from non-dedicated routine CT has demonstrated high accuracy in diagnosing osteoporosis and predicting incident vertebral fractures (VFs). We aimed to investigate the cost-effectiveness of oQCT screening compared to dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) as the standard of care for osteoporosis screening. Methods: Three screening strategies ("no osteoporosis screening", "oQCT screening", and "DXA screening") after routine CT were simulated in a state-transition model for hypothetical cohorts of 1,000 patients (women and men aged 65 years) over a follow-up period of 5 years (base case). The primary outcomes were the cumulative costs and the quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) estimated from a U.S. health care perspective for the year 2022. Cost-effectiveness was assessed based on a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $70,249 per QALY. The secondary outcome was the number of prevented VFs. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to test the models' robustness. Results: Compared to DXA screening, oQCT screening increased QALYs in both sexes (additional 2.40 per 1,000 women and 1.44 per 1,000 men) and resulted in total costs of $3,199,016 and $950,359 vs. $3,262,934 and $933,077 for women and men, respectively. As a secondary outcome, oQCT screening prevented 2.6 and 2.0 additional VFs per 1,000 women and men, respectively. In the probabilistic sensitivity analysis, oQCT screening remained cost-effective in 88.3% (women) and 90.0% (men) of iterations. Conclusion: oQCT screening is a cost-effective ancillary approach for osteoporosis screening and has the potential to prevent a substantial number of VFs if considered in daily clinical practice.

Assessment of paraspinal muscle characteristics, lumbar BMD, and their associations in routine multi-detector CT of patients with and without osteoporotic vertebral fractures.

PURPOSE: To investigate paraspinal muscle characteristics and lumbar bone mineral density (BMD) and their associations in routine abdominal multi-detector computed tomography (MDCT) as well as the impact of osteoporotic vertebral fractures on such associations. METHOD: 116 patients (69.7 ± 8.1 years, 72 males) who underwent routine abdominal MDCT (oncological staging and/or follow-up for tumor recurrence) were retrospectively included and assigned to a fracture and control group (age- and gender-matched), depending on the presence or absence of lumbar osteoporotic vertebral fractures. BMD was derived from lumbar vertebrae using a conversion equation, and the cross-sectional area (CSA), CSA ratio (CSA psoas muscles divided by CSA erector spinae muscles), and muscle attenuation were measured for the psoas and erector spinae muscles at the levels L2 and L4/5 without dedicated software. RESULTS: Males showed significantly higher BMD, CSA, and CSA ratios at the levels L2 and L4/5, while females had decreased erector spinae muscle attenuation at L4/5 (p < 0.05). No significant differences between patients with versus without fractures were observed except for BMD (68.5 ± 37.2 mg/ml vs. 91.4 ± 26.8 mg/ml; p < 0.01). Age-adjusted partial correlation testing revealed significant correlations of BMD and the CSA ratio at level L4/5 (r = 0.20; p = 0.03), but not with muscle attenuation (p > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Paraspinal muscle characteristics and lumbar BMD can be assessed seamlessly in routine abdominal MDCT without dedicated software. There are level-dependent interactions between paraspinal muscle characteristics as well as lumbar BMD. Vertebral fracture status was independent of paraspinal muscle characteristics.