Troponin and Other Biomarker Levels and Outcomes Among Patients Hospitalized With COVID-19: Derivation and Validation of the HA2T2 COVID-19 Mortality Risk Score.

Background The independent prognostic value of troponin and other biomarker elevation among patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) are unclear. We sought to characterize biomarker levels in patients hospitalized with COVID-19 and develop and validate a mortality risk score. Methods and Results An observational cohort study of 1053 patients with COVID-19 was conducted. Patients with all of the following biomarkers measured-troponin-I, B-type natriuretic peptide, C-reactive protein, ferritin, and d-dimer (n=446) -were identified. Maximum levels for each biomarker were recorded. The primary end point was 30-day in-hospital mortality. Multivariable logistic regression was used to construct a mortality risk score. Validation of the risk score was performed using an independent patient cohort (n=440). Mean age of patients was 65.0±15.2 years and 65.3% were men. Overall, 444 (99.6%) had elevation of any biomarker. Among tested biomarkers, troponin-I ≥0.34 ng/mL was the only independent predictor of 30-day mortality (adjusted odds ratio, 4.38; P<0.001). Patients with a mortality score using hypoxia on presentation, age, and troponin-I elevation, age (HA2T2) ≥3 had a 30-day mortality of 43.7% while those with a score <3 had mortality of 5.9%. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the HA2T2 score was 0.834 for the derivation cohort and 0.784 for the validation cohort. Conclusions Elevated troponin and other biomarker levels are commonly seen in patients hospitalized with COVID-19. High troponin levels are a potent predictor of 30-day in-hospital mortality. A simple risk score can stratify patients at risk for COVID-19-associated mortality.

Sex-based differences in outcomes, 30-day readmissions, and costs following catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation: the United States Nationwide Readmissions Database 2010-14.

AIMS: Although catheter ablation has emerged as an important therapy for patients with symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF), there are limited data on sex-based differences in outcomes. We sought to compare in-hospital outcomes and 30-day readmissions of women and men undergoing AF ablation. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using the United States Nationwide Readmissions Database, we analysed patients undergoing AF ablation between 2010 and 2014. Based on ICD-9-CM codes, we identified co-morbidities and outcomes. Multivariable logistic regression and inverse probability-weighting analysis were performed to assess female sex as a predictor of endpoints. Of 54 597 study patients, 20 623 (37.7%) were female. After adjustment for age, co-morbidities, and hospital factors, women had higher rates of any complication [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1.39; P < 0.0001], cardiac perforation (aOR 1.39; P = 0.006), and bleeding/vascular complications (aOR 1.49; P < 0.0001). Thirty-day all-cause readmission rates were higher for women compared to men (13.4% vs. 9.4%; P < 0.0001). Female sex was independently associated with readmission for AF/atrial tachycardia (aOR 1.48; P < 0.0001), cardiac causes (aOR 1.40; P < 0.0001), and all causes (aOR 1.25; P < 0.0001). Similar findings were confirmed with inverse probability-weighting analysis. Despite increased complications and readmissions, total costs for AF ablation were lower for women than men due to decreased resource utilization. CONCLUSIONS: Independent of age, co-morbidities, and hospital factors, women have higher rates of complications and readmissions following AF ablation. Sex-based differences and disparities in the management of AF need to be explored to address these gaps in outcomes.

Outcomes, Costs, and 30-Day Readmissions After Catheter Ablation of Myocardial Infarct-Associated Ventricular Tachycardia in the Real World: Nationwide Readmissions Database 2010 to 2015.

BACKGROUND: Patients undergoing catheter ablation of myocardial infarction-associated ventricular tachycardia (VT) have significant comorbidities that can increase the risks of adverse outcomes. The rates of readmissions after VT ablation are unknown. We sought to examine in-hospital outcomes, costs, and 30-day readmissions after catheter ablation of myocardial infarction-associated VT. METHODS: Using the Nationwide Readmissions Database, we evaluated 4109 admissions for catheter ablation of myocardial infarction-associated VT occurring between 2010 and 2015. On the basis of International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification and Clinical Classification Software codes, we identified comorbidities, procedural complications, 30-day readmissions, and costs associated with VT ablation. RESULTS: The index admission in-hospital mortality rate and procedural complication rate after VT ablation were 2.7% and 11.5%, respectively. Independent predictors of mortality included pulmonary hypertension, lung disease, obesity, and coagulopathy. Following discharge after VT ablation, the 30-day readmission rate was 19.2% with a median time to readmission of 10.0 days (IQR, 3.8-17.6 days) and an in-hospital mortality rate of 2.9%. Cardiac causes accounted for 74% of readmissions, with VT and congestive heart failure constituting 41% and 14% of all readmissions, respectively. Pulmonary hypertension, congestive heart failure, smoking, chronic pulmonary disease, and prolonged index hospitalization were significant independent predictors of 30-day readmission. After adjustment, 30-day readmissions were associated with a 38.9% increase in cumulative hospitalization costs. CONCLUSIONS: Thirty-day readmissions after catheter ablation of VT occur in nearly 1 out of 5 cases, with the majority of readmissions being caused by recurrent VT or congestive heart failure. Baseline comorbidities are significant predictors of procedural mortality, complications, and readmissions. Strategies to reduce recurrent VT postablation by improving procedural success, optimizing postablation heart failure treatment, and ensuring close postdischarge follow-up may help reduce readmissions and healthcare costs.

T-wave alternans and ST depression assessment identifies low risk individuals with ischemic cardiomyopathy in the absence of left ventricular hypertrophy.

BACKGROUND: Although ECG left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) by Cornell product (CP) predicts increased mortality in patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy (ICM), those without CP LVH remain at relatively high risk. We examined whether T-wave alternans (TWA) testing and ST depression can improve risk stratification in these patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: This study examined 317 patients with ICM, nonsustained ventricular tachycardia, and a resting ECG in sinus rhythm, who presented for electrophysiology and TWA testing, and potential implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) implantation. LVH was defined by CP :[(RaVL + SV3 ) +6 mm in women] × QRS duration > 2440 mm * msec. ST depression was examined as a categorical variable using an established threshold of depression of ≥50 µV in V5 or V6 . In Cox multivariate models, abnormal TWA testing and ST depression were independent predictors of mortality in patients without CP LVH (HR 2.52, CI 1.09-5.80, P = 0.030 and HR 2.87, CI 1.41-5.81, P = 0.004, respectively). Individuals with no LVH by CP, normal TWA, and no significant ST depression, comprised 23% of the study population and had a 5.6% 3-year mortality, compared to an overall 20% mortality. CONCLUSIONS: TWA and ST depression testing are strong predictors of mortality among ICM patients without CP LVH, with normal testing conversely predicting low 3-year mortality. Thus, risk assessment with TWA testing and a resting ECG can identify ICM patients at low risk who may be less likely to benefit from ICD implantation.

Effect of oral beta-blocker therapy on microvolt T-wave alternans and electrophysiology testing in patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy.

BACKGROUND: Prior investigation has shown that intravenous beta-blockers decrease T-wave alternans (TWA) positivity in patients undergoing electrophysiology study (EPS). The present study examined whether oral beta-blocker use within 24 hours of TWA influences yield and predictive value of TWA and EPS. METHODS: We prospectively evaluated 387 patients (312 [81%] men, mean age 67 +/- 11 years) with coronary artery disease, left ventricular ejection fraction < or = 40%, and nonsustained ventricular tachycardia who underwent EPS and were followed for a mean of 2.8 +/- 1.4 years. T-Wave alternans was performed using an atrial pacing protocol and interpreted using standard criteria. Beta-blocker status was determined based on oral beta-blocker use in the 24 hours preceding the test: beta-blocker (-) (n = 62), beta-blocker (+) (n = 325). Follow-up for ventricular tachycardia, ventricular fibrillation, and death was obtained from chart review, device interrogation, and the Social Security Death Index. Estimated sensitivity and specificity of TWA and EPS stratified by beta-blocker use were calculated based on event-free 2-year survival. RESULTS: There was no difference in EPS (31 [50%] inducible off beta-blockers vs 166 [51%] on beta-blockers [P = .89]) or TWA (26 [42%] positive, 17 [27%] indeterminate off beta-blockers vs 136 [42%] positive, 81 [25%] indeterminate on beta-blockers [P = .89]). Beta-blocker use within 24 hours of testing did not affect the predictive value of TWA or EPS for overall or 2-year event-free survival. CONCLUSIONS: Oral beta-blocker therapy appears to have no effect on yield or predictive value of EPS or TWA in patients with coronary artery disease, diminished left ventricular function, and a history of nonsustained ventricular tachycardia.