Geographic disparities in trends of thyroid cancer incidence and mortality from 1990 to 2019 and a projection to 2030 across income-classified countries and territories.

Background: The rising incidence of thyroid cancer (TC) has generated growing concern globally; yet there are no studies examining whether this incidence was followed by a rise in related mortality. We aimed to comprehensively quantify current trends and future projections of TC incidence and mortality, and to explore the association between the TC burden and socioeconomic inequality in different income strata. Methods: We obtained incidence and mortality data on TC and population from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study and the United Nations' World Population Prospects 2022. We applied an age-period-cohort (APC) model to estimate the overall annual percentage change (net drift) and age, period, and cohort effects from 1990 to 2019, and also constructed a Bayesian APC model to predict the TC burden through 2030. Results: Over a third of global TC cases belonged to the high-income group. From 1990 to 2019, net drifts of TC incidence were >0 in all income groups, while a modest reduction (net drift <0) in mortality was observed in most income groups, except for the lower-middle-income group. Unfavourable age, period, and cohort effects were most notable in Vietnam, China, and Korea. The age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR) is predicted to increase whereas the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) is expected to decrease globally between 2020 and 2030, with geographic heterogeneity being detected across income groups. We observed a positive correlation between ASIR and universal health coverage index and health worker density, but a negative one between ASMR and the two indicators, primarily in upper-middle-income and high-income countries. Conclusions: Opposite patterns in incidence and mortality of TC raise concerns about overdiagnosis, particularly in upper-middle-income and high-income countries. Discrepancies in the distribution of health service accessibility, including diagnostic techniques and therapeutic care, should be addressed by narrowing health inequalities in the TC burden across countries.

A cost-effectiveness analysis of capecitabine maintenance therapy versus routine follow-up for early-stage triple-negative breast cancer patients after standard treatment from a perspective of Chinese society.

BACKGROUND: Capecitabine maintenance therapy is safe and efficacious for early-stage triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) patients, but the cost-effectiveness of its long-term use has not been investigated. Here, we evaluated the cost-effectiveness of capecitabine maintenance therapy, compared with routine follow-up, in early-stage TNBC patients after standard treatment from a perspective of Chinese society. METHODS: A three-state Markov model based on the data from the SYSUCC-001 trial was constructed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of capecitabine maintenance therapy in a month cycle over a period of 30-year time horizon. A 5% annual discount rate was set for all costs and benefits. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to explore the model uncertainties. The main outcomes include quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), and the number needed to treat (NNT) to prevent one additional event. RESULTS: Compared with routine follow-up, 1-year capecitabine maintenance therapy yielded an additional 1.29 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) at an additional cost of $3391.70, with an ICER of $2630.53 (95% CI: $1159.81-$5090.12) per QALY gained. The ICER was considerably lower than the recommended willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold (i.e., $28,130.00 per QALY). The results were sensitive to the discount rate, drug cost, and treatment cost after relapse. Further, the NNT to prevent one additional relapse case was 29.2 (95% CI: 13.2-196.6), 16.7 (95% CI: 8.4-111.6), and 12.0 (95% CI: 5.7-82.6) at 1, 2, and 5 years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: One-year capecitabine maintenance therapy for early-stage TNBC after standard treatment, compared with routine follow-up, was found to be highly cost-effective with promising clinical benefits and acceptable increased costs. Real-world studies are warranted to validate our findings in the future.

Cost-Effectiveness analysis of combining plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA testing and different surveillance imaging modalities for nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients in first remission.

BACKGROUND: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of stage-based post-radiotherapy (PRT) nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) surveillance strategies. METHODS: Four post-radiotherapy surveillance strategies were established by a Markov model based on data from 1664 patients: 1) clinical follow-up (CFP) with biannual Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA (EBV DNA strategy); 2) CFP with biannual EBV DNA, annual head and neck magnetic resonance imaging (HNMRI), chest X-ray, abdominal ultrasonography, bone scan (only for the first two years) for five years (MCWU strategy); 3) CFP with biannual EBV DNA, annual HNMRI, chest, abdomen, pelvic computerized tomography (CT) and bone scan for the first two years, followed by annual MCWU strategy (without bone scans) for the last three years (CT strategy); 4) CFP with biannual EBV DNA, annual whole-body positron emission/computerized tomography (PET/CT) for the first two years and biannual EBV DNA for the last three years (PET/CT strategy). RESULTS: Compared with the EBV DNA strategy, the MCWU, CT, and PET/CT strategies gained 0.017, 0.047, and 0.082 quality-adjusted life years (QALY) for stage I-II patients. For stage III and IVa patients, the PET/CT strategy had a favorable incremental effectiveness (ICERs) of 0.277 and 0.385 QALY, respectively. The ICERs for the MCWU, CT, and PET/CT strategies were $74,037, $34,882, and $34,696 for stage III and $62,364, $27,981, and $28,340 for stage IVa, respectively. CONCLUSION: EBV DNA strategy was cost-effective for the long-term surveillance of stage I-II NPC patients with CR. PET/CT strategy was recommeded for patients having IVa NPC. As for stage III NPC, PET/CT strategy was still acceptable with the development of economy in China.

Assessment of Statin Interactions With the Human NTCP Transporter Using a Novel Fluorescence Assay.

Sodium taurocholate cotransporting polypeptide (NTCP), which is highly expressed in the sinusoidal membrane of hepatocytes, maintains bile acid homeostasis and participates in the hepatic disposition of a variety of endogenous substances as well as xenobiotics. Manifested by the involvement of organic anion-transporting polypeptides 1B1 and 1B3 (OATP1B1 and OATP1B3) in the hepatic uptake of statin drugs, sinusoidal membrane transporters play an important role in the pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of these agents. It has been speculated that NTCP may function as an alternative pathway for statin hepatic uptake, complementary to OATP1B1 and OATP1B3. In the current study, we produced stable NTCP-expressing human embryonic kidney 293 (HEK293) cells and developed a fluorescence-based assay using flow cytometry for measuring NTCP transport with chenodeoxycholyl-(Nε-7-nitrobenz-2-oxa-1,3-diazole)-lysine (CDCA-NBD) as the substrate. NTCP-mediated CDCA-NBD transport was time-dependent and exhibited typical Michaelis-Menten kinetics, with a Km of 6.12 µM. Compounds known to interact with NTCP, including chenodeoxycholic acid and taurocholic acid, displayed concentration-dependent inhibition of NTCP-mediated CDCA-NBD transport. We report here a systematic evaluation of the interaction between statins and the NTCP transporter. Utilizing this system, several statins were either found to inhibit NTCP-dependent transport or act as substrates. We find a good correlation between the reported lipophilicity of statins and their ability to inhibit NTCP. The objective was to develop a higher-throughput system to evaluate potential inhibitors such as the statins. The in vitro assays using CDCA-NBD as fluorescent substrate are convenient, rapid, and have utility in screening drug candidates for potential drug-NTCP interactions.

Low willingness to pay for pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) among men who have sex with men (MSM) in China.

BACKGROUND: Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) is recommended as an HIV prevention strategy for key populations, in particular men who have sex with men (MSM). However, the willingness to pay market rate for PrEP is largely unknown. This study aimed to investigate the willingness to pay for PrEP and its associated factors among MSM living in Mainland China. METHODS: A cross-sectional survey was conducted among 689 MSM who were recruited through a gay-friendly health consulting service center in Chengdu, China during 2018-2019. We collected information on participants' willingness to pay for PrEP and its potential correlates (e.g., PrEP awareness and acceptability, perceived risk of HIV infection) using a structured questionnaire. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used for data analyses. RESULTS: Only 14.1% of respondents indicated they would not pay any money for PrEP, around half (49.3%) would like to pay $14-84 per month, and very few (6.8%) would like to pay ≥283 per month (market rate). We found that PrEP awareness (unadjusted odds ratio (ORu) = 1.41; 95% CI: 1.01-1.97), acceptability (ORu =1.20; 95% CI: 1.07-1.34), perceived PrEP adherence (ORu =1.23; 95% CI: 1.08-1.41), and perceived PrEP benefit in reducing condom use (ORu =1.29; 95% CI: 1.07-1.55) were all associated with participants' willingness to pay the market rate for PrEP. Other facilitators of PrEP pay willingness included full disclosure of sexual orientation to health professionals, high HIV literacy, and a high degree of HIV disclosure with sex partners. CONCLUSIONS: The overall willingness to pay for the market rate of PrEP was low among this urban sample of Chinese MSM. Programs aiming to promote PrEP pay willingness should provide enhanced counseling to improve PrEP-related cognition, deliver accurate HIV/PrEP information to increase health literacy, and decrease stigma towards sexual minorities to develop trust with health professionals.