Development and Application of the Placebo Response Model in Clinical Trials for Primary Sjögren's Syndrome.

This study aimed to develop a placebo response model for pharmaceutical clinical trials of primary Sjogren's syndrome,and to quantitatively analyze the distribution and related factors influencing the placebo response to further optimize the design of clinical trials and evaluate the results of single-arm clinical trials. Public databases, including PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library were searched for reports on randomized placebo-controlled trials for Sjögren's syndrome which used the change from baseline in ESSDAI score as the primary outcome. The model-based meta-analysis method was used to evaluate the time course and the related influencing factors of the placebo response for ESSDAI in such clinical trials. A virtual placebo control group was constructed based on the final placebo response model to determine the treatment efficacy of belimumab and cyclosporine A for primary Sjögren's syndrome in a single-arm study. A total of 12 studies involving 450 subjects were included in the analysis. The established model described the time-course characteristics of the changes in ESSDAI score from the baseline in the 48 weeks placebo group. We found that the onset time of placebo response was approximately 12 weeks, and its efficacy plateaued at 48 weeks. The baseline ESSDAI score had a significant effect on the maximum value of the placebo response; the maximum value of the placebo response decreased by 0.552 for every 1 score rise in the baseline ESSDAI score. The efficacy of belimumab and cyclosporine A in the single-arm trial was comparable to that of the placebo response at the same baseline; no significant therapeutic advantage was observed. The placebo response model established in this study could provide a basis for designing clinical trials for primary Sjogren's syndrome in the future. It may also provide a reliable external efficacy control standard for single-arm clinical trials.

The impacts of race and regimens on the efficacy and safety of paclitaxel and platinum combination treatment for patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer.

PURPOSE: Paclitaxel-platinum chemotherapy is the first-line treatment for advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. This study quantitatively evaluated the factors influencing the efficacy and safety of the paclitaxel-platinum regimen to provide the necessary reference for the development of clinical practice and clinical trials. METHODS: A literature search was performed using public databases. The parametric survival function was used to analyze the overall survival (OS) time course of patients treated with the paclitaxel-platinum regimen. The random effects model in the single-arm meta-analysis was used to analyze the objective response rate (ORR) and the incidence of grade 3-4 adverse events (AEs) under the predefined subgroups according to race and the regimen. RESULTS: A total of 31 studies consisting of 3365 participants were included in the analysis. Race was the most important determinant of efficacy and safety in the paclitaxel-platinum regimen, with the median survival time and ORR in East Asians and non-East Asians being 12.2 months (95% CI: 10.5-14.4 months) and 37% (95% CI: 32-41%) and 8.4 months (95% CI: 6.5-11.0 months) and 28% (95% CI: 25-32%), respectively. The incidence of grade 3-4 AEs such as leukopenia and neutropenia was about three times higher in East Asians compared to non-East Asians. CONCLUSIONS: The efficacy and safety of the paclitaxel-platinum regimen can vary between East Asian and non-East Asian populations and between different treatment schedules. The results of this study can provide a reliable and precise external control for the future evaluation of new treatment options for advanced NSCLC.

Quantitative efficacy of soy isoflavones on menopausal hot flashes.

AIM: This study aimed to quantitate the efficacy of soy isoflavones in the treatment of menopausal hot flashes. METHODS: Model based meta-analysis (MBMA) was used to quantitate the efficacy of soy isoflavones. We conducted a systemic literature search to build a time-effect model for placebo and soy isoflavones in treating menopausal hot flashes. Studies were identified, subjected to inclusion and exclusion criteria, and reviewed. RESULTS: From 55 articles, 16 studies of soy isoflavones met the inclusion criteria, and contained 65 and 66 mean effect values in placebo and soy isoflavone groups, respectively, from about 1710 subjects. Interestingly, the developed model was found to describe adequately the time course of hot flashes reduction after administration of placebo and soy isoflavones. Using this model, we found that the maximal percentage change of hot flashes reduction by soy isoflavones was 25.2% after elimination of the placebo effect, accounting for 57% of the maximum effects of estradiol (Emax-estradiol = 44.9%). However, a time interval of 13.4 weeks was needed for soy isoflavones to achieve half of its maximal effects, much longer than estradiol, which only required 3.09 weeks. These results suggest that treatment intervals of 12 weeks are too short for soy isoflavones, which require at least 48 weeks to achieve 80% of their maximum effects. CONCLUSIONS: Soy isoflavones show slight and slow effects in attenuating menopausal hot flashes compared with estradiol.