Changes in surgical mortality during COVID-19 pandemic by patients' race, ethnicity and socioeconomic status among US older adults: a quasi-experimental event study model.

OBJECTIVES: To examine changes in the 30-day surgical mortality rate after common surgical procedures during the COVID-19 pandemic and investigate whether its impact varies by urgency of surgery or patient race, ethnicity and socioeconomic status. DESIGN: We used a quasi-experimental event study design to examine the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on surgical mortality rate, using patients who received the same procedure in the prepandemic years (2016-2019) as the control, adjusting for patient characteristics and hospital fixed effects (effectively comparing patients treated at the same hospital). We conducted stratified analyses by procedure urgency, patient race, ethnicity and socioeconomic status (dual-Medicaid status and median household income). SETTING: Acute care hospitals in the USA. PARTICIPANTS: Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries aged 65-99 years who underwent one of 14 common surgical procedures from 1 January 2016 to 31 December 2020. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: 30-day postoperative mortality rate. RESULTS: Our sample included 3 620 689 patients. Surgical mortality was higher during the pandemic, with peak mortality observed in April 2020 (adjusted risk difference (aRD) +0.95 percentage points (pp); 95% CI +0.76 to +1.26 pp; p<0.001) and mortality remained elevated through 2020. The effect of the pandemic on mortality was larger for non-elective (vs elective) procedures (April 2020: aRD +0.44 pp (+0.16 to +0.72 pp); p=0.002 for elective; aRD +1.65 pp (+1.00, +2.30 pp); p<0.001 for non-elective). We found no evidence that the pandemic mortality varied by patients' race and ethnicity (p for interaction=0.29), or socioeconomic status (p for interaction=0.49). CONCLUSIONS: 30-day surgical mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic peaked in April 2020 and remained elevated until the end of the year. The influence of the pandemic on surgical mortality did not vary by patient race and ethnicity or socioeconomic status, indicating that once patients were able to access care and undergo surgery, surgical mortality was similar across groups.

Association between patient-surgeon gender concordance and mortality after surgery in the United States: retrospective observational study.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether patient-surgeon gender concordance is associated with mortality of patients after surgery in the United States. DESIGN: Retrospective observational study. SETTING: Acute care hospitals in the US. PARTICIPANTS: 100% of Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries aged 65-99 years who had one of 14 major elective or non-elective (emergent or urgent) surgeries in 2016-19. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Mortality after surgery, defined as death within 30 days of the operation. Adjustments were made for patient and surgeon characteristics and hospital fixed effects (effectively comparing patients within the same hospital). RESULTS: Among 2 902 756 patients who had surgery, 1 287 845 (44.4%) had operations done by surgeons of the same gender (1 201 712 (41.4%) male patient and male surgeon, 86 133 (3.0%) female patient and female surgeon) and 1 614 911 (55.6%) were by surgeons of different gender (52 944 (1.8%) male patient and female surgeon, 1 561 967 (53.8%) female patient and male surgeon). Adjusted 30 day mortality after surgery was 2.0% for male patient-male surgeon dyads, 1.7% for male patient-female surgeon dyads, 1.5% for female patient-male surgeon dyads, and 1.3% for female patient-female surgeon dyads. Patient-surgeon gender concordance was associated with a slightly lower mortality for female patients (adjusted risk difference -0.2 percentage point (95% confidence interval -0.3 to -0.1); P<0.001), but a higher mortality for male patients (0.3 (0.2 to 0.5); P<0.001) for elective procedures, although the difference was small and not clinically meaningful. No evidence suggests that operative mortality differed by patient-surgeon gender concordance for non-elective procedures. CONCLUSIONS: Post-operative mortality rates were similar (ie, the difference was small and not clinically meaningful) among the four types of patient-surgeon gender dyads.

Application of the ratio of the radiopaque calcified area to the dental follicle (RCA/DF) for dental age assessment on orthopantomograms.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed at exploring a new tooth development evaluation method for age assessment and investigating the dynamic alteration and potential trend of tooth development by orthopantomograms (OPGs), in order to provide references for tooth development prediction and forensic purpose. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 132 OPGs of children aged 3-8 years were collected. The developmental stages of the permanent mandibular second molar (M2)were evaluated by experienced examiners according to the Nolla method and Mimics software, respectively. Quantitative analysis of the ratio of the radiopaque calcified area to the dental follicle (RCA/DF) in different stages, ages, sexes and quadrants were evaluated and compared via descriptive statistics and Spearman's correlation coefficient analysis. RESULTS: There was a strong, positive correlation between the examiners' evaluation and mimics analysis results. With the age increased, the Nolla stage of M2 observed by OPGs increased, and the RCA/DF showed increased trends both in males and females. There were significant differences of the RCA/DF of the M2 at various ages. The tooth calcification development of female was 9.08% earlier than that of male between 3 and 8 years old. However, teeth of male seemed to develop faster than that of female during this period. There was no significant difference between left and right quadrant either according to the Nolla stage or RCA/DF. CONCLUSIONS: The RCA/DF value obtained from OPGs of the developmental mandibular second permanent molars could be used as a reliable indicator for tooth maturity and age estimation in children aged 3-8 years. CLINICAL RELEVANCE: Age assessment based on radiographs is considered as a reliable and efficient indicator for judging different types of malocclusion, making suitable orthodontic treatment plan, deciding the extraction time of retained deciduous teeth in clinic practice.

Kidney Transplantation, Immunosuppression and the Risk of Fracture: Clinical and Economic Implications.

Rationale & Objective: Disorders of bone and mineral metabolism frequently develop with advanced kidney disease, may be exacerbated by immunosuppression after kidney transplantation, and increase the risk of fractures. Study Design: Retrospective database study. Setting & Participants: Kidney-only transplant recipients aged ≥18 years from 2005 to 2016 in the United States captured in US Renal Data System records, which integrate Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network/United Network for Organ Sharing records with Medicare billing claims. Exposures: Various immunosuppression regimens in the first 3 months after kidney transplantation. Outcomes: The development of fractures, as ascertained using diagnostic codes on Medicare billing claims. Analytical Approach: We used multivariable Cox regression with inverse propensity weighting to compare the incidence of fractures >3 months-to-3 years after kidney transplantation associated with various immunosuppression regimens compared to a reference regimen of antithymocyte globulin (TMG) or alemtuzumab (ALEM) with tacrolimus + mycophenolic acid + prednisone using inverse probability treatment weighting. Results: Overall, fractures were identified in 7.5% of kidney transplant recipients (women, 8.8%; men, 6.7%; age < 55 years, 5.9%; age ≥ 55 years, 9.3%). In time-varying regression, experiencing a fracture was associated with a substantially increased risk of subsequent death within 3 months (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 3.06; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.45-3.81). Fractures were also associated with increased Medicare spending (first year: $5,122; second year: $10,890; third year: $11,083; [P < 0.001]). Induction with TMG or ALEM and the avoidance or early withdrawal of steroids significantly reduced the risk of fractures in younger (aHR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.54-0.73) and older (aHR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.74-0.94) patients. The avoidance or early withdrawal of steroids with any induction was associated with a reduced risk of fractures in women. Limitations: This was a retrospective study which lacked data on immunosuppression levels. Conclusions: Fractures after kidney transplantation are associated with significantly increased mortality risk and costs. The early avoidance or early withdrawal of steroids after induction with TMG or ALEM reduces the risk of fractures after kidney transplantation and should be considered for patients at high-risk of this complication, including older adults and women.