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1.
Environ Res ; 149: 113-121, 2016 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27200477

RESUMO

Lakes are vitally important, because they perform a multitude of functions, such as water supply, recreation, fishing, and habitat. However, eutrophication limits the ability of lakes to perform these functions. In order to reduce eutrophication, the first step is its evaluation. The process of evaluation entails randomness and fuzziness which must therefore be incorporated. This study proposes an eutrophication evaluation method, named Multidimension Normal Cloud Model (MNCM). The model regards each evaluation factor as a one-dimension attribute of MNCM, chooses reasonable parameters and determines the weights of evaluation factors by entropy. Thus, all factors of MNCM belonging to each eutrophication level are generated and the final eutrophication level is determined by the certainty degree. MNCM is then used to evaluate eutrophication of 12 typical lakes and reservoirs in China and its results are compared with those of the reference method, one-dimension normal cloud model, related weighted nutrition state index method, scoring method, and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. Results of MNCM are found to be consistent with the actual water status; hence, MNCM can be an effective evaluation tool. With respect to the former one-dimension normal cloud model, parameters of MNCM are improved without increasing its complexity. MNCM can directly determine the eutrophication level according to the degree of certainty and can determine the final degree of eutrophication; thus, it is more consistent with the complexity of water eutrophication evaluation.


Assuntos
Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Eutrofização , Lagos/análise , Modelos Teóricos , Qualidade da Água , China
2.
Environ Res ; 148: 24-35, 2016 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26995351

RESUMO

Water quality assessment entails essentially a multi-criteria decision-making process accounting for qualitative and quantitative uncertainties and their transformation. Considering uncertainties of randomness and fuzziness in water quality evaluation, a cloud model-based assessment approach is proposed. The cognitive cloud model, derived from information science, can realize the transformation between qualitative concept and quantitative data, based on probability and statistics and fuzzy set theory. When applying the cloud model to practical assessment, three technical issues are considered before the development of a complete cloud model-based approach: (1) bilateral boundary formula with nonlinear boundary regression for parameter estimation, (2) hybrid entropy-analytic hierarchy process technique for calculation of weights, and (3) mean of repeated simulations for determining the degree of final certainty. The cloud model-based approach is tested by evaluating the eutrophication status of 12 typical lakes and reservoirs in China and comparing with other four methods, which are Scoring Index method, Variable Fuzzy Sets method, Hybrid Fuzzy and Optimal model, and Neural Networks method. The proposed approach yields information concerning membership for each water quality status which leads to the final status. The approach is found to be representative of other alternative methods and accurate.


Assuntos
Eutrofização , Modelos Teóricos , Qualidade da Água , Lagos , Abastecimento de Água
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