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1.
Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi ; 45(4): 513-519, 2024 Apr 10.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38678346

RESUMO

Objective: To analyze the spatial-temporal distribution of etiologically positive pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) at the county (city, district) unit in Jiangsu Province from 2011 to 2021 to provide evidence for the implementation and adjustment of prevention and control strategies of PTB in Jiangsu Province. Methods: The registration data of etiologically positive PTB patients in Jiangsu Province from 2011 to 2021 were collected from the Tuberculosis Management Information System in the China Information System of Disease Control and Prevention. Data on the permanent population were from the statistical yearbook of each county (city, district) in Jiangsu Province. Geoda 1.18.0 software was used to analyze the global and local spatial autocorrelation and explore the spatial clustering. SaTScan 10.1 software was used to analyze the spatial-temporal clusters, and ArcGIS 10.7 software was used to visualize the spatial-temporal clusters. Results: A total of 128 240 etiological positive PTB cases were registered in Jiangsu Province from 2011 to 2021, with an average annual registration rate of 13.99/100 000. The registration rate showed an overall upward trend (trend χ2=63.49, P<0.001) after 2017, and the etiologically positive rate showed an overall upward trend (trend χ2=3 710.86, P<0.001). The annual Moran's I values ranged from 0.107 to 0.343, which showed a spatial clustering distribution. The results of local spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that there were "high-high" clustering areas in Jiangsu Province each year, showing a dynamic distribution, and most of the areas were distributed in the central and southern regions of Jiangsu Province, with the largest number (7) in 2015 and the smallest number (1) in 2011. A total of 4 spatial-temporal clustering areas were explored by spatial-temporal scanning analysis (all P<0.001), among which the first-level clustering area covered 3 counties (cities, districts), namely Changshu, Taicang, and Xiangcheng District of Suzhou, and the clustering time was from 2011 to 2015. The secondary clustering areas covered 24 counties (cities, districts), mainly covering Jiangsu's central and northern regions, such as Huai'an, Suqian, and Yancheng. The third-level clustering areas covered 26 counties (cities, districts); the fourth-level clustering area was the Gaochun District of Nanjing, with the clustering period from 2017 to 2021. Conclusions: From 2011 to 2021, the etiologically positive PTB registration rate at the county (city, district) level in Jiangsu Province had obvious spatial-temporal clustering characteristics. The clustering areas included the northern areas with relatively backward economies and the southern areas with better economic development. Multiple measures should be taken to prevent and control PTB according to the specific situation in different regions.


Assuntos
Análise Espaço-Temporal , Tuberculose Pulmonar , Humanos , China/epidemiologia , Tuberculose Pulmonar/epidemiologia , Análise por Conglomerados , Sistemas de Informação Geográfica
2.
Eur Rev Med Pharmacol Sci ; 28(1): 231-241, 2024 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38235874

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: HER2-positive breast cancer is a high-risk malignant tumor, and trastuzumab is an effective targeted therapy drug, but its optimal duration remains uncertain. To compare the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of different durations (6 months, 9 months, 12 months, and 18 months) of trastuzumab combined with chemotherapy in patients with early breast cancer by meta-analysis and Bayesian decision analysis. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Randomized controlled trials comparing the effectiveness of different durations of trastuzumab combination chemotherapy in early-stage breast cancer patients were collected by searching multiple databases. Data synthesis was performed using the R software, and a decision tree model was constructed to simulate the expected outcomes and anticipated costs associated with different treatment durations. RESULTS: This study included 9 randomized controlled trials involving 11,328 early-stage breast cancer patients. The meta-analysis results demonstrated that, compared to the control group, trastuzumab combination chemotherapy at different durations significantly improved disease-free survival and overall survival in early-stage breast cancer patients. Among the various treatment durations, it was observed that 12 months of trastuzumab combination chemotherapy, in comparison to other durations, significantly reduced the risk of recurrence and mortality in early-stage breast cancer patients while maintaining a favorable cost-effectiveness ratio. Bayesian decision analysis also confirmed that 12 months of trastuzumab combination chemotherapy is the optimal treatment duration. CONCLUSIONS: It is recommended to use 12 months of trastuzumab combination chemotherapy as the standard treatment for early-stage breast cancer patients.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama , Humanos , Feminino , Trastuzumab/uso terapêutico , Neoplasias da Mama/patologia , Teorema de Bayes , Receptor ErbB-2 , Quimioterapia Adjuvante , Intervalo Livre de Doença , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/uso terapêutico , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto
3.
Environ Pollut ; 335: 122272, 2023 Oct 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37506806

RESUMO

Bioavailability has become a critical factor in improving ecological risk assessment and environmental remediation efficiency in contaminated soil research. However, the soil environmental quality standards and risk assessment procedures used in most countries are still based on the total amount of pollutants for lacking sufficient understanding of the exposure pathways and action mechanisms of pollutants. we collected relevant literature from the Web of Science database, spanning the period from 1950 to 2021 by using Citespace to analyze the scientific development of bioavailability. As of January 09, 2022, the database contained 118,813 publications on bioavailability. The review summarizes the progress in bioavailability research and emerging trends, including exploring advanced analytical techniques, advancing modeling approaches, and integrating interdisciplinary approaches to better understand the fate and behavior of pollutants in complex environmental matrices. In particular, the review emphasizes the need for better integration of bioavailability concepts into soil environmental reference, risk assessment procedures, and environmental remediation strategies. Overall, this review emphasized the necessity of incorporating the concept of bioavailability into soil environmental reference, risk assessment procedures, and environmental remediation strategies.


Assuntos
Poluentes Ambientais , Recuperação e Remediação Ambiental , Poluentes do Solo , Disponibilidade Biológica , Solo , Poluentes do Solo/análise , Medição de Risco
4.
Beijing Da Xue Xue Bao Yi Xue Ban ; 55(3): 480-487, 2023 Jun 18.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37291924

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To compare the expected population impact of benefit and risk of aspirin treatment strategies for the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases recommended by different guidelines in the Chinese Electronic Health Records Research in Yinzhou (CHERRY) study. METHODS: A decision-analytic Markov model was used to simulate and compare different strategies of aspirin treatment, including: Strategy ①: Aspirin treatment for Chinese adults aged 40-69 years with a high 10-year cardiovascular risk, recommended by the 2020 Chinese Guideline on the Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Diseases; Strategy ②: Aspirin treatment for Chinese adults aged 40-59 years with a high 10-year cardiovascular risk, recommended by the 2022 United States Preventive Services Task Force Recommendation Statement on Aspirin Use to Prevent Cardiovascular Disease; Strategy ③: Aspirin treatment for Chinese adults aged 40-69 years with a high 10-year cardiovascular risk and blood pressure well-controlled (< 150/90 mmHg), recommended by the 2019 Guideline on the Assessment and Management of Cardio-vascular Risk in China. The high 10-year cardiovascular risk was defined as the 10-year predicted risk over 10% based on the 2019 World Health Organization non-laboratory model. The Markov model simulated different strategies for ten years (cycles) with parameters mainly from the CHERRY study or published literature. Quality-adjusted life year (QALY) and the number needed to treat (NNT) for each ischemic event (including myocardial infarction and ischemic stroke) were calculated to assess the effectiveness of the different strategies. The number needed to harm (NNH) for each bleeding event (including hemorrhagic stroke and gastrointestinal bleeding) was calculated to assess the safety. The NNT for each net benefit (i.e., the difference of the number of ischemic events could be prevented and the number of bleeding events would be added) was also calculated. One-way sensitivity analysis on the uncertainty of the incidence rate of cardiovascular diseases and probabilistic sensitivity analysis on the uncertainty of hazard ratios of interventions were conducted. RESULTS: A total of 212 153 Chinese adults, were included in this study. The number of people who were recommended for aspirin treatment Strategies ①-③ was 34 235, 2 813, and 25 111, respectively. The Strategy ③ could gain the most QALY of 403 [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 222-511] years. Compared with Strategy ①, Strategy ③ had similar efficiency but better safety, with the extra NNT of 4 (95%UI: 3-4) and NNH of 39 (95%UI: 19-132). The NNT per net benefit was 131 (95%UI: 102-239) for Strategy ①, 256 (95%UI: 181-737) for Strategy ②, and 132 (95%UI: 104-232) for Strategy ③, making Strategy ③ the most favorable option with a better QALY and safety, along with similar efficiency in terms of net benefit. The results were consistent in the sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: The aspirin treatment strategies recommended by the updated guidelines on the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases showed a net benefit for high-risk Chinese adults from developed areas. However, to balance effectiveness and safety, aspirin is suggested to be used for primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases with consideration for blood pressure control, resulting in better intervention efficiency.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Infarto do Miocárdio , Adulto , Humanos , Aspirina/uso terapêutico , Doenças Cardiovasculares/prevenção & controle , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal , Infarto do Miocárdio/prevenção & controle , Prevenção Primária/métodos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso
5.
Zhonghua Yan Ke Za Zhi ; 59(6): 460-466, 2023 Jun 11.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37264576

RESUMO

Objective: To compare the accuracy of different corneal curvature parameters in assessing the corneal refractive status and tracking corneal power changes after small incision lenticule extraction (SMILE). Methods: This prospective cross-sectional study tracked and recorded total corneal curvature parameters measured by different instruments before and three months after SMILE for myopia. These parameters, including total keratometry (TK) from the IOLMaster 700, total corneal refractive power (TCRP) from the Pentacam AXL, real keratometry (RK) from the CASIA 2, and corrected parameters calculated using the Haigis, Shammas, and Maloney methods, were compared with data obtained using the clinical history method (CHM). Surgically induced changes in TK, TCRP, and RK were analyzed and compared with those in spherical equivalent on the corneal plane (ΔSEco). Results: The study included 40 eyes (40 participants). After SMILE, the difference was smallest between TK [(0.08±0.38) D] and CHM values (P>0.05). However, TCRP, RK, KHaigis, KShammas, and KMaloney were significantly different from CHM data (P<0.05). The width of the 95% limits of agreement of TK (1.49 D) was narrowest, followed by that of RK (1.57 D). Pearson analysis showed that each parameter had a good correlation with CHM data. The differences between the changes in TK, TCRP and RK caused by surgery and ΔSEco were (0.03±0.39) D, (0.17±0.43) D, and (-0.19±0.46) D, respectively. The width of the 95% limits of agreement of ΔTK (1.54 D) was narrowest, and the correlation coefficient of ΔTK (0.951) was highest. Conclusion: The parameter TK of the IOLMaster 700 can provide accurate and objective corneal power evaluation after SMILE.


Assuntos
Cirurgia da Córnea a Laser , Miopia , Humanos , Estudos Prospectivos , Estudos Transversais , Córnea/cirurgia , Refração Ocular , Miopia/cirurgia , Topografia da Córnea
6.
Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi ; 44(3): 463-469, 2023 Mar 10.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36942343

RESUMO

Discrete event simulation (DES) model is based on individual data, by which discrete events over time are simulated to reflect disease progression. The effects of individual characteristics on disease progression could be considered in the DES model. Moreover, unlike state-transition models, DES model without setting of fixed cycle can contribute to more accurate estimation of event time, especially in the evaluation of the long-term effectiveness of screening strategies for complex diseases in which time dimension needs to be considered. This article introduces the general principles, construction steps, analytic methods and other relevant issues of the DES model. Based on a research case of estimating the cost-effectiveness of screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms in women aged 65 years and above in the United Kingdom, key points in applications of the DES model in analysis on effectiveness of complex disease screening are discussed in detail, including model construction and analysis and interpretation of the results. DES model can predict occurring time of discrete events accurately by establishing the distribution function of their occurring time and is increasingly used to evaluate the screening strategies for complex diseases in which time dimension needs to be considered. In the construction of DES model, it is necessary to pay close attention to the clear presentation of model structure and simulation process and follow the relevant reporting specification to conduct cost-effectiveness analysis to ensure the transparency and repeatability of the research.


Assuntos
Análise de Custo-Efetividade , Humanos , Feminino , Análise Custo-Benefício , Progressão da Doença
7.
Beijing Da Xue Xue Bao Yi Xue Ban ; 54(3): 443-449, 2022 Jun 18.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35701120

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effectiveness of statin treatment strategies based on risk assessment for the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases by the Western guidelines in a community-based Chinese population from economically developed areas using data from the Chinese electronic health records research in Yinzhou (CHERRY) study. METHODS: A Markov model was used to evaluate the effectiveness of the following statin treatment strategies, including: (1) usual care without cardiovascular risk assessment(Strategy 0); (2) using the World Health Organization (WHO) non-laboratory-based risk charts with statin treatment for high-risk group (risk ≥ 20%) (Strategy 1); (3) using the WHO laboratory-based risk charts with statin treatment for high-risk group (risk ≥ 20%) (Strategy 2); and (4) using the Prediction for Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease Risk in China (China-PAR) model with statin treatment for high-risk group (risk ≥ 10%, Strategy 3). According to the guidelines, adults in the medium-risk group received lifestyle intervention, and adults in the high-risk group received life-style intervention and statin treatment under these strategies. The Markov model simulated different strategies for ten years (cycles) using parameters from the CHERRY study, published data, meta-analyses and systematic reviews for Chinese. The number of cardiovascular events or deaths, as well as the number need to treat (NNT) with statin per cardiovascular event or death prevented, were calculated to compare the effectiveness of different strategies. One-way sensitivity analysis on the uncertainty of incidence rate of cardiovascular diseases, and probabilistic sensitivity analysis on the uncertainty of hazard ratios of interventions were conducted. RESULTS: Totally 225 811 Chinese adults aged 40-79 years without cardiovascular diseases at baseline were enrolled. In contrast to the usual care without risk assessment-based statin treatment strategy, Strategy 1 using the WHO non-laboratory-based risk charts could prevent 3 482 [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 2 110-4 661] cardiovascular events, Strategy 2 using the WHO laboratory-based risk charts could prevent 3 685 (95%UI: 2 255-4 912) events, and Strategy 3 using the China-PAR model could prevent 3 895 (95%UI: 2 396-5 181) events. NNTs with statin per cardiovascular event prevented were 22 (95%UI: 14-54), 21 (95%UI: 14-52), and 27 (95%UI: 17-67), respectively. Strategy 3 could prevent more cardiovascular events, while Strategies 1 and 2 required fewer numbers need to treat with statin per cardiovascular event prevented. The results were consistent in the sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: The statin treatment strategies based on risk assessment for the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases recommended by the Western guidelines could achieve substantive health benefits in adults from developed areas of China. Using the China-PAR model for cardiovascular risk assessment could prevent more cardiovascular diseases while using the WHO risk charts seems more efficient.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Inibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Redutases , Adulto , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/prevenção & controle , China/epidemiologia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Humanos , Inibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Redutases/uso terapêutico , Prevenção Primária
8.
Beijing Da Xue Xue Bao Yi Xue Ban ; 54(3): 450-457, 2022 Jun 18.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35701121

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effectiveness of different screening strategies for type 2 diabetes to prevent cardiovascular disease in a community-based Chinese population from economically developed areas based on the Chinese electronic health records research in Yinzhou (CHERRY) study. METHODS: A Markov model was used to simulate different systematic diabetes screening strategies, including: (1) screening among Chinese adults aged 40-70 years recommended by the 2020 Chinese Guideline for the prevention and Treatment of Type 2 Diabetes (Strategy 1); (2) screening among Chinese adults aged 35 to 70 years recommended by the 2022 American Diabetes Association Standard of Medical Care in Diabetes (Strategy 2); and (3) screening among Chinese adults aged 35-70 years with overweight or obesity recommended by the 2021 United States Preventive Services Task Force Recommendation Statement on Screening for Prediabetes and Type 2 Diabetes (Strategy 3). According to the guidelines, individuals who were screened positively (fasting plasma glucose ≥ 7.0 mmol/L) would be introduced to intensive glycemic targets management (glycated hemoglobin < 7.0%).The Markov model simulated different screening scenarios for ten years (cycles) with parameters mainly from the CHERRY study or published literature. Number of cardiovascular disease events or deaths could be prevented and number needed to screen (NNS) were calculated to compare the effectiveness of the different strategies. One-way sensitivity analysis on the sensitivity of screening methods and probabilistic sensitivity analysis on uncertainties of diabetes incidence, the sensitivity of screening methods, and intensive glycemic management effects were conducted. RESULTS: Totally 289 245 Chinese adults aged 35-70 years without cardiovascular diseases or diagnosed diabetes at baseline were enrolled. In terms of the number of cardiovascular disease events could be prevented, Strategy 1 for systematic diabetes screening among the adults aged 35-70 years was 222 (95%UI: 180-264), Strategy 2 for systematic diabetes screening among the adults aged 40-70 years was 227 (95%UI: 185-271), and Strategy 3 for systematic diabetes screening among the adults aged 35-70 years with obesity or overweight (body mass index ≥ 24 kg/m2) was 131 (95%UI: 98-164), compared with opportunistic screening. NNS per cardiovascular disease event for the strategies 1, 2 and 3 were 1 184 (95%UI: 994-1 456), 1 274 (95%UI: 1 067-1 564) and 814 (95%UI: 649-1 091), respectively. Compared with Strategy 1, NNS per cardiovascular disease event for Strategy 2 increased by 90 (95%UI: -197-381) with similar effectiveness of cardiovascular prevention; however, NNS per cardiovascular disease event for Strategy 3 was reduced by 460 (95%UI: 185-724) in contrast to the Strategy 2, suggesting that the Strategy 3 was more efficient. The results were consistent in multiple sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: Systematic screening for diabetes based on the latest guidelines in economically developed areas of China can reduce cardiovascular events and deaths. However, merely lowering the starting age of screening from 40 to 35 years seems ineffective for preventing cardiovascular disease, while screening strategy for Chinese adults aged 35-70 years with overweight or obesity is recommended to improve efficiency.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Adulto , Doenças Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/prevenção & controle , China/epidemiologia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/prevenção & controle , Humanos , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos , Obesidade , Sobrepeso , Estados Unidos
9.
Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi ; 43(6): 931-937, 2022 Jun 10.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35725352

RESUMO

Microsimulation model simulates individuals and estimates transition probabilities within the population using individual participant data. This approach could deal with the heterogeneous characteristics among the people or personal history of diseases and may be relevant in addressing cost-effectiveness problems of screening for complex conditions in epidemiology. This paper introduces the general principles, basic steps involved in implementation, analytic methods, and other related issues of the microsimulation model. Based on a practical research case of estimating the cost-effectiveness of microalbuminuria screening for chronic kidney disease in the United States, critical points in applications of the microsimulation model for cost-effectiveness analysis of screening were discussed in detail, including model development, model analysis, and the interpretation of the results. The microsimulation model considers the dynamic nature of complex diseases by estimating a broad range of individual characteristics and increasingly used to provide insights into complex problems that the Markov model does not efficiently address. For better supporting evidence-informed decision-making in public health, future studies should be aware of the accuracy of parameters in the decision-analytic model and the transparency of the models and results, as well as complying with the relevant reporting standards.


Assuntos
Programas de Rastreamento , Insuficiência Renal Crônica , Análise Custo-Benefício , Humanos , Estados Unidos
10.
Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi ; 42(4): 728-734, 2021 Apr 10.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34814459

RESUMO

Cost-effectiveness analysis of screening in epidemiology is essential for public health decision-making. This paper describes the general principles, basic steps involved in implementation, analytic methods and other related issues of Markov model. Based on a practical research case of evaluating the cost-effectiveness of primary open-angle glaucoma screening in a Chinese population, key points in applications of Markov model for cost-effectiveness analysis of screening were discussed in detail, including model development, parameters definition, available software, base case analysis, sensitivity analysis and the interpretation of the results. For better supporting evidence-informed decision making in public health, future studies should be aware of the accuracy of parameters in Markov models and the transparency of the models and results, as well as complying with the relevant reporting standards.


Assuntos
Glaucoma de Ângulo Aberto , Análise Custo-Benefício , Humanos , Cadeias de Markov , Programas de Rastreamento , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida
11.
Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi ; 42(4): 745-748, 2021 Apr 10.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34814462

RESUMO

Risk assessment plays an essential role in the prevention and control of infectious diseases. A sound index system is critical to obtain accurate risk assessment results. The spread of different types of infectious diseases in various situations has complex influencing factors. Thus, the results of different risk assessment index system of infectious disease transmission could be varying. This paper summarizes the risk assessment index systems of infectious disease transmission established at home and abroad according to the transmission route and the specific situations in which they occur. This paper also quoted China's references to formulate a new index system for risk assessment of infectious disease transmission.


Assuntos
Doenças Transmissíveis , China/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis/epidemiologia , Humanos , Medição de Risco
12.
Beijing Da Xue Xue Bao Yi Xue Ban ; 53(3): 460-466, 2021 Jun 18.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34145845

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the potential effectiveness of different screening strategies for cardiovascular diseases prevention in a community-based Chinese population from economically developed area of China. METHODS: Totally 202 179 adults aged 40 to 74 years without cardiovascular diseases at baseline (January 1, 2010) were enrolled from the Chinese electronic health records research in Yinzhou (CHERRY) study. Three scenarios were considered: the screening strategy based on risk charts recommended by the 2020 Chinese guideline on the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases in Chinese adults aged 40-74 years (Strategy 1); the screening strategy based on the prediction for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk in China (China-PAR) models recommended by the 2019 Guideline on the assessment and management of cardiovascular risk in China in Chinese adults aged 40-74 years (Strategy 2); and the screening strategy based on the China-PAR models in Chinese adults aged 50-74 years (Strategy 3). According to the guidelines, individuals who were classified into medium- or high-risk groups after cardiovascular risk assessment by the corresponding strategies would be introduced to lifestyle intervention, while high-risk population would take medication in addition. Markov model was used to simulate different screening scenarios for 10 years (cycles), using parameters mainly from the CHERRY study, as well as published data, Meta-analyses and systematic reviews for Chinese populations. The life year gained, quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained, number of cardiovascular disease events/deaths could be prevented and number needed to be screened (NNS) were calculated to compare the effectiveness between the different strategies. One-way sensitivity analysis on uncertainty of cardiovascular disease incidence rate and probabilistic sensitivity analysis on uncertainty of distributions for the hazard ratios were conducted. RESULTS: Compared with non-screening strategy, QALYs gained were 1 433 [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 969-1 831], 1 401 (95%UI: 936-1 807), and 716 (95%UI: 265-1 111) for the Strategies 1, 2, and 3; and the NNS per QALY in the above strategies were 141 (95%UI: 110-209), 144 (95%UI: 112-216), and 198 (95%UI: 127-529), respectively. The Strategies 1 and 2 based on different guidelines showed similar effectiveness, while more benefits were found for screening using China-PAR models in adults aged 40-74 years than those aged 50-74 years. The results were consistent in the sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: Screening for cardiovascular diseases in Chinese adults aged above 40 years seems effective in coastal developed areas of China, and the different screening strategies based on risk charts by the 2020 Chinese guideline on the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases or China-PAR models by the 2019 Guideline on the assessment and management of cardiovascular risk in China may have similar effectiveness.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Adulto , Doenças Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/prevenção & controle , China/epidemiologia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Humanos , Programas de Rastreamento , Prevenção Primária , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida
13.
BJOG ; 128(8): 1313-1323, 2021 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33619817

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To determine the prevalence, risk factors and burden of symptomatic pelvic organ prolapse (POP) in adult Chinese women. DESIGN: A nationwide cross-sectional study. SETTING: Six geographic regions of mainland China. PARTICIPANTS: Women aged ≥20 years old were included using a multistage, stratified, cluster sampling method from February 2014 through March 2016. METHODS: We conducted a nationwide epidemiological survey. 'Symptomatic POP' was determined by a screening questionnaire and physical examination. MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: Prevalence, odds ratio (OR). RESULTS: A total of 55 477 women (response rate, 92.5%; mean age, 45.1 years old) were included. The prevalence of symptomatic POP was 9.6% (95% CI 9.3-9.8%) and it increased with age in each stage (P < 0.05). Symptomatic POP-Q stage II, which mainly involved anterior compartment prolapse, was the most common (7.52%). Minor/moderate burden of symptomatic POP was the most common, with a prevalence of 9.7% (95% CI 9.5-10.0%). The odds for each type of symptomatic POP increased with age (>50 vs 20-29 years old in symptomatic POP-Q stage II or higher, OR increased from 1.34 [95% CI 1.32-1.45] to 7.34 [95% CI 4.34-12.41]) and multiple vaginal deliveries (multiparous [≥3] vs nulliparous in symptomatic POP-Q stage II or higher, OR increased from 1.91 [1.71-2.13] to 2.78 [2.13-3.64]). CONCLUSIONS: We found a lower prevalence of symptomatic POP than that found in other surveys. The main type of symptomatic POP was anterior compartment prolapse, indicating that it should be considered first. Older age and multiple vaginal deliveries increased the odds of each type of symptomatic POP. TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: The prevalence of female symptomatic pelvic organ prolapse (POP) was 9.6% in China. It is related to old age and multiple vaginal deliveries.


Assuntos
Prolapso de Órgão Pélvico/epidemiologia , Adulto , Idade de Início , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , China/epidemiologia , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Exame Ginecológico , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Paridade , Prolapso de Órgão Pélvico/complicações , Prevalência , Qualidade de Vida , Fatores de Risco , Transtornos Urinários/etiologia , Adulto Jovem
14.
Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi ; 41(10): 1668-1673, 2020 Oct 10.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33297624

RESUMO

Objective: To describe the regional and demographic differences on passive non-smokers from 10 regions involved in the China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) study. Methods: Detailed information regarding passive smoking behaviors related to 317 486 non-smokers who were 30-79 years old from the 10 study regions were gathered and analyzed. Results: Following the standardization of the 2010 China national population, the prevalence rate of passive smoking was 56.7%, and the prevalence rate of living with smokers was 66.5% among the Chinese adults. Both of the aforementioned rates were higher in rural than in urban areas. Meanwhile, the regional distribution of weekly passive smoking frequency and cumulative duration of passive smoking per week and cumulative duration of passive smoking per day were significantly different. The cumulative passive smoking duration per week increased along with the weekly frequency in people living in urban areas. Among women, the weekly passive smoking frequency was the highest, and the cumulative durations per week and per day appeared the lowest in Hunan, opposite to the situation in Henan. The prevalence of passive smoking among participants living with smokers was 2.27 times (95%CI: 2.24-2.29) of those who were not and the association appeared stronger in women (OR=2.61, 95%CI: 2.58-2.64) but not in men (OR=1.01, 95%CI: 0.95-1.06). Almost all the indicators seemed higher in women than those in men, except for the cumulative duration per day. Furthermore, these indicators appeared higher among those who were at younger age or with less education. The prevalence rates of passive smoking and living with smokers were lower but the cumulative duration per day was higher among those with lower household income. And the two rates were higher in married women and lower in married men, as compared to their counterparts. Conclusion: Regional and demographic differences in passive smoking were noticed among study population of CKB in the 10 regions.


Assuntos
Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , não Fumantes , Poluição por Fumaça de Tabaco , Adulto , Idoso , China/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , não Fumantes/estatística & dados numéricos , Prevalência , Poluição por Fumaça de Tabaco/estatística & dados numéricos
15.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32629582

RESUMO

Objective: To find the risk assessment model of [di (2-ethylhexyl) phthalate, DEHP] fitting well for producing companies. Methods: The Cluster Sampling method was used in selecting a DEHP producing company in the occupational health and workplace environment monitoring study conducted between July and August in 2017. Data was collected by site evaluating and workplace environment monitoring. According to GBZ/T 298-2017《Technical Guidelines for Occupational Health Risk Assessment of Chemical Hazards in the Workplace》, a qualitative assessment method and a semi-quantitative comprehensive index method were chosen as the models and were compared. Results: The occupational health risk of the two methods rated 4 (high risk) and 2 (negligible risk) . Conclusion: The semi-quantitative comprehensive index method is more comprehensive and accurate when used to assess the occupational health risk caused by DEHP.


Assuntos
Dietilexilftalato/toxicidade , Saúde Ocupacional , Monitoramento Ambiental , Medição de Risco , Local de Trabalho
16.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31914302

RESUMO

Objective:To analyze the hearing assessment characteristics and follow-up of some deafness gene screening homozygous infants in Zhuhai. Method:The clinical data of 28 newborns with homozygous mutations transferred to Zhuhai Maternal and Child Health Hospital from Feb. 1, 2015 to Oct. 25, 2018 in hospitals of Zhuhai City were retrospectively analyzed. All the children were screened for hearing. The hearing characteristics and long-term follow-up results of homozygous mutations at different gene sites were analyzed by auditory diagnosis and behavioral follow-up from 1 to 3 years. Result:Fourteen cases of GJB2 c.109G>A with a homozygous mutation, 11 cases passed the hearing screening, the audiological diagnosis was normal, and the behavior test and follow-up were normal from 1 to 3 years. Hearing screening was not passed in 3 newborns, mild to moderate abnormalities of single or bilateral ears were diagnosed by audiology, 1 000 Hz without positive, and middle ear lesions were diagnosed. Eight cases of GJB2 c.235del C homozygous mutation were followed up by behavioral audiometry and follow-up from 1 to 3 years after cure. Among them, 5 cases were diagnosed as severe hearing impairment of bilateral ears and 3 cases as mild and moderate hearing impairment. One case of GJB3 547G>A homozygous mutation was followed up for 1-3 years, and all of them failed to pass the follow-up of behavioral audiometry and follow-up. Four cases of SLC26A4 IVS7-2A>G, 1 case of SLC26A4 1229C>T homozygous mutation, all of them failed to pass the neonatal hearing screening. All the patients were diagnosed as severe hearing impairment of binaural hearing, and the follow-up of 1-3 years' follow-up did not pass the follow-up tests. Conclusion:GJB2 C.235del C, SLC26A4 IVS7-2A>G locus homozygous mutation infant hearing impairment was mainly severe hearing impairment in bilateral ears, and there was no change in 1-3 years follow-up. GJB2 C.109G A homozygous mutant infants had normal hearing, and it was suggested that they should be followed up closely. It is very important to give correct and reasonable genetic counseling to parents with GJB2 C.109G A homozygous mutation without unnecessary panic.


Assuntos
Conexinas , Surdez , Criança , Seguimentos , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Mutação , Estudos Retrospectivos
17.
Zhonghua Yu Fang Yi Xue Za Zhi ; 52(6): 601-607, 2018 Jun 06.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29886681

RESUMO

Objective: To understand the pollution characteristics and assess the pollution health risks of heavy metals in atmospheric PM(2.5) in Lanzhou. Methods: According to the regional characteristics of air pollution and industrial distribution characteristics in Lanzhou, atmospheric PM(2.5) was sampled monthly in Chengguan and Xigu Districts from January, 2015 to December, 2016. Detected the concentration of PM(2.5) and 12 kinds of elements (Sb, Al, As, Be, Cd, Cr, Hg, Pb, Mn, Ni, Se and Tl) by weighing method and inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry. Enrichment factor and geo-accumulation index were used to describe the pollution characteristics, while health risk assessment was conducted using the recommended United States Environmental Protection Agency (USA EPA) model. The health risks of non-carcinogens were evaluated by non-cancer hazard quotient (HQ), the non-carcinogenic risk was considered to be negligible when HQ<1, HQ>1 meant a health risk. With a single contaminant cancer Risk value to evaluate the health risks of carcinogens, when the Risk value between 10(-6) to10(-4) as an acceptable level. Results: The daily average concentrations of PM(2.5) was 83.0 µg/m(3), 77.0 µg/m(3) in Chengguan and Xigu Districts, respectively, during the sampling periods, and the concentration of PM(2.5) in winter/spring was higher than summer/fall in both districts. The concentration of Al in PM(2.5) was the highest and other elements in descending order: Pb, Mn, As, Sb/Cd, Tl in both districts. Enrichment factor results showed that Al and Mn were mainly affected by natural factors, the rest of five elements were all typical man-made pollution elements and according to geo-accumulation index pollution level of Cd was the strongest in the winter. The results of health risk assessment showed that Mn had the highest non-cancer risks (HQ>1) and affected the health of the children seriously. HQ reached up to 2.44 and 1.79 in Chengguan and Xigu Districts, respectively. Pb, As, Sb, Cd had slight health impact (HQ<1), could be negligible. The cancer risks range of As, Cr were 6.33×10(-6) to 6.46×10(-5) between the acceptable level of risk (10(-6) to 10(-4)), which indicated that As and Cd had potential cancer-risks. Conclusions: The pollution level of atmospheric PM(2.5) and the heavy metals in it was still grim;the non-cancer risks caused by multiple metals on children deserved attention. Although the cancer risks of As and Cd were between the acceptable level of risk, the potential cancer risk still shall not be ignored.


Assuntos
Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Poluição do Ar/análise , Metais Pesados/efeitos adversos , Metais Pesados/análise , Material Particulado/efeitos adversos , Material Particulado/análise , Criança , China/epidemiologia , Humanos , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , Medição de Risco
18.
Zhonghua Lao Dong Wei Sheng Zhi Ye Bing Za Zhi ; 36(12): 899-903, 2018 Dec 20.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30812074

RESUMO

Objective: To investigate the current status of prevention and control of occupational hazards in a city in 2017, to understand the capability to prevent and control occupational hazards and the level of occupational health supervision and management, and to propose measures to urge employers to assume the main responsibility for the prevention and control of occupational diseases. Methods: An analysis of the main factors influencing the prevention and control of occupational hazards in the city was performed to screen out six semi-quantitative assessment indicators (including the training of the main responsible persons and occupational health management personnel in companies) and four qualitative assessment indicators (including the coverage of supervision and inspection of occupational hazards performed by the district safety supervision department) , which could be used to measure the prevention and control effects of regional occupational hazards. Each indicator was scored. The typical investigation method was used to do data review and on-site inspection of 170 companies, 17 district-level occupational health supervision departments, and 16 sub-district (township) occupational health supervision departments in the city from October to December, 2017. The prevention and control of occupational diseases in each district was scored, and the completion rate and completion situation of each indicator in the city were analyzed. Results: The mean score of prevention and control of occupational hazards in the city was 84.9. The scores of two districts were relatively high, being 88.9 and 88.7, respectively; the scores of 9 (52.9%) districts were higher than 85. The pass rate of training for the main responsible persons and occupational health management personnel in companies in the city was 95.9%, the pass rate of occupational health training for workers was 84.7%, the pass rate of occupational health examination for workers was 96.5%, the pass rate for the inspection of occupational hazardous factors in workplaces was 95.3%, the pass rate for notifying occupational hazards in workplaces is 95.9%, and the pass rate for applying the warning signs of occupational hazards in workplaces was 76.5%. Conclusion: The awareness of the importance of prevention and control of occupational hazards in all districts of the city has been increased, but the effectiveness of occupational health training for workers needs to be strengthened. The supply and demand of occupational health technical services are still not matched, and the ways and methods of occupational health supervision and inspection need to be improved.


Assuntos
Doenças Profissionais/prevenção & controle , Saúde Ocupacional , Gestão da Segurança/organização & administração , China , Cidades , Humanos
19.
RSC Adv ; 8(22): 12146-12151, 2018 Mar 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35539412

RESUMO

Flexible transparent electrodes (TEs) are important for new electronic devices. This paper reports a scalable, cost effective Ag nanowires (AgNWs) TE, which is made of a SnO2·xH2O and AgNWs composite layer and a flexible polyethylene terephthalate (PET) bottom layer by a solution method at room temperature. The AgNWs/SnO2·xH2O composite TEs reveal a significant reduction of four orders in magnitude of sheet resistance, from 90 kΩ sq-1 to 12 Ω sq-1, while retaining transmittance of about 92% at 550 nm. This could be owing to the significant reduction of contact resistance for the weld-like junction of bound AgNWs. Compared with others, this method is characterized by filling gaps of the silver nanowire network with SnO2·xH2O. In addition, the adhesive forces between the AgNWs and the substrate are improved. This could be attributed to strong adhesion of SnO2·xH2O with the substrate. Moreover, this foldable transparent electrode is applicable for any non-planar surfaces and ultimately for future wearable optoelectronic devices.

20.
AJNR Am J Neuroradiol ; 38(9): 1716-1722, 2017 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28684455

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: High-resolution 3T MR imaging can visualize intracranial atherosclerotic plaque. However, histologic validation is still lacking. This study aimed to evaluate the ability of 3T MR imaging to identify and quantitatively assess intracranial atherosclerotic plaque components ex vivo with histologic validation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Fifty-three intracranial arterial specimens with atherosclerotic plaques from 20 cadavers were imaged by 3T MR imaging with T1, T2, and proton-density-weighted FSE and STIR sequences. The signal characteristics and areas of fibrous cap, lipid core, calcification, fibrous tissue, and healthy vessel wall were recorded on MR images and compared with histology. Fibrous cap thickness and maximum wall thickness were also quantified. The percentage of areas of the main plaque components, the ratio of fibrous cap thickness to maximum wall thickness, and plaque burden were calculated and compared. RESULTS: The signal intensity of the lipid core was significantly lower than that of the fibrous cap on T2-weighted, proton-density, and STIR sequences (P < .01) and was comparable on T1-weighted sequences (P = 1.00). Optimal contrast between the lipid core and fibrous cap was found on T2-weighted images. Plaque component mean percentages were comparable between MR imaging and histology: fibrous component (81.86% ± 10.59% versus 81.87% ± 11.59%, P = .999), lipid core (19.51% ± 10.76% versus 19.86% ± 11.56%, P = .863), and fibrous cap (31.10% ± 11.28% versus 30.83% ± 8.51%, P = .463). However, MR imaging overestimated mean calcification (9.68% ± 5.21% versus 8.83% ± 5.67%, P = .030) and plaque burden (65.18% ± 9.01% versus 52.71% ± 14.58%, P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Ex vivo 3T MR imaging can accurately identify and quantitatively assess intracranial atherosclerotic plaque components, providing a direct reference for in vivo intracranial plaque imaging.


Assuntos
Arteriosclerose Intracraniana/diagnóstico por imagem , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Placa Aterosclerótica/diagnóstico por imagem , Idoso , Vasos Sanguíneos/diagnóstico por imagem , Cadáver , Calcinose/diagnóstico por imagem , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Feminino , Humanos , Processamento de Imagem Assistida por Computador , Lipídeos/química , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade
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