Exploring the factors effecting on carbon emissions in each province in China: A comprehensive study based on symbolic regression, LMDI and Tapio models.

Carbon emission (CE) has led to increasingly severe climate problems. The key to reducing CE is to identify the dominant influencing factors and explore their influence degree. The CE data of 30 provinces from 1997 to 2020 in China were calculated by IPCC method. Based on this, the importance order of six factors included GDP, Industrial Structure (IS), Total Population (TP), Population Structure (PS), Energy Intensity (EI) and Energy Structure (ES) affecting the CE of China's provinces were obtained by using symbolic regression, then the LMDI and the Tapio models were established to deeply explore the influence degree of different factors on CE. The results showed that the 30 provinces were divided into five categories according to the primary factor, GDP was the most important factor, followed by ES and EI, then IS, and the least TP and PS. The growth of per capita GDP promoted the increase of CE, while reduced EI inhibited the increase of CE. The increase of ES promoted CE in some provinces but inhibited in others. The increase of TP weakly promoted the increase of CE. These results can provide some references for governments to formulate relevant CE reduction policies under dual carbon goal.

Exploratory research on influential factors of China's sulfur dioxide emission based on symbolic regression.

The amount of China's sulfur dioxide emission remains significantly large in recent years. To further reduce sulfur dioxide emission, the key is to find out the leading factors affecting sulfur dioxide emission and then take measures to control it accordingly. In order to investigate the influential factors of sulfur dioxide emission of various provinces, the data of sulfur dioxide emission of 30 provinces in China from 2001 to 2020 were collected. We established the symbolic regression model to explore the relationship between the GDP (x1), total population (x2), total energy consumption (x3), thermal power installed capacity (x4), and sulfur dioxide emission (dependent variable) for each province. The results show that the amount of China's total sulfur dioxide emission and sulfur dioxide emission in most provinces meet the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC). The influential degree of the factors affecting China's sulfur dioxide emission are GDP, total energy consumption, thermal power installed capacity, and total population. The provinces with the primary factor of GDP have the lowest average total energy consumption and average thermal power installed capacity, and their average sulfur dioxide emissions are also relatively low. The provinces with the primary factor of GDP do not show obvious geographical characteristics, but the provinces with the primary factor of total energy consumption are all distributed in southern China. Based on the research results, some control measures are also put forward.