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BACKGROUND: The overall benefits of the newly introduced family-based Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) infection control and management (FBCM) and screen-and-treat strategies in preventing multiple upper gastrointestinal diseases at national level in China have not been explored. We investigate the cost-effectiveness of these strategies in the whole Chinese population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Decision trees and Markov models of H. pylori infection-related non-ulcer dyspepsia (NUD), peptic ulcer disease (PUD), and gastric cancer (GC) were developed to simulate the cost-effectiveness of these strategies in the whole 494 million households in China. The main outcomes include cost-effectiveness, life years (LY), quality-adjusted life year (QALY), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). RESULTS: When compared with no-screen strategy, both FBCM and screen-and-treat strategies reduced the number of new cases of NUD, PUD, PUD-related deaths, and the prevalence of GC, and cancer-related deaths. The costs saved by these two strategies were $1467 million and $879 million, quality-adjusted life years gained were 227 million and 267 million, and life years gained were 59 million and 69 million, respectively. Cost-effectiveness analysis showed that FBCM strategy costs -$6.46/QALY and -$24.75/LY, and screen-and-treat strategy costs -$3.3/QALY and -$12.71/LY when compared with no-screen strategy. Compared to the FBCM strategy, the screen-and-treat strategy reduced the incidence of H. pylori-related diseases, added 40 million QALYs, and saved 10 million LYs, but at the increased cost of $588 million. Cost-effectiveness analysis showed that screen-and-treat strategy costs $14.88/QALY and $59.5/LY when compared with FBCM strategy. The robustness of the results was also verified. CONCLUSIONS: Both FBCM and screen-and-treat strategies are highly cost-effective in preventing NUD, PUD, and GC than the no-screen strategy in Chinese families at national level. As FBCM strategy is more practical and efficient, it is expected to play a more important role in preventing familial H. pylori infection and also serves as an excellent reference for other highly infected societies.
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Análise Custo-Benefício , Infecções por Helicobacter , Humanos , Infecções por Helicobacter/economia , Infecções por Helicobacter/prevenção & controle , Infecções por Helicobacter/diagnóstico , China/epidemiologia , Helicobacter pylori , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Neoplasias Gástricas/prevenção & controle , Neoplasias Gástricas/economia , Feminino , Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Adulto , Gastroenteropatias/microbiologia , Gastroenteropatias/prevenção & controle , Gastroenteropatias/economia , Idoso , Controle de Infecções/economia , Controle de Infecções/métodos , Úlcera Péptica/prevenção & controle , Úlcera Péptica/economia , População do Leste AsiáticoRESUMO
As one of the important paths for China to achieve the "dual carbon" strategyï¼ developing hydrogen fuel cell vehicles is currently being promoted in various regions across the countryï¼ including passenger carsï¼ coachesï¼ and heavy-duty trucks. Quantifying the carbon reduction potential of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles for different vehicle types and regions has become a hot research topic. Using a life cycle assessment method that considers future vehicle fuel economyï¼ power generation carbon emission factorsï¼ hydrogen production carbon emission factorsï¼ and regional differences in the scale and hydrogen production methodsï¼ this study quantitatively evaluated the life cycle carbon emissions of different types of vehiclesï¼ including fuel cell vehicles ï¼FCVï¼ï¼ traditional fuel vehicles ï¼ICEVï¼ï¼ and battery electric vehicles ï¼BEVï¼. We compared and analyzed the carbon reduction potential of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles at different times and in different regions and conducted an uncertainty analysis on hydrogen consumption per hundred kilometers. The results showed that by 2025ï¼ the life cycle carbon emissions of hydrogen fuel cell coaches would decrease by 36.0% compared to that of traditional fuel coachesï¼ but the reduction in carbon emissions for hydrogen fuel cell heavy-duty trucks was not significant. By 2035ï¼ as the hydrogen energy source structure in China continues to improveï¼ the life cycle carbon emissions of hydrogen fuel cell heavy-duty trucks were predicted to decrease by 36.5% compared to that of traditional fuel heavy-duty trucks. The decarbonization potential was most significant for heavy-duty trucks compared to that of passenger cars and coaches. Taking the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei demonstration group as an example in 2035ï¼ as the hydrogen consumption per hundred kilometers decreases by 20%ï¼ the carbon reduction potential of FCV passenger carsï¼ coachesï¼ and heavy-duty trucks would increase by 7.29%ï¼ 9.93%ï¼ and 19.57%ï¼ respectively. Thereforeï¼ it is recommended to prioritize the promotion of hydrogen fuel cell coaches in the short termï¼ heavy-duty trucks in the long termï¼ and passenger cars as a supplement. Promoting hydrogen fuel cell vehicles in different regions and stages will help advance the low-carbon development of the automotive industry in China.
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Mining activities aggravate the ecological degradation and emission of greenhouse gases throughout the world, thereby affecting the global climate and posing a serious threat to the ecological safety. Vegetation restoration is considered to be an effective and sustainable strategy to improve the post-mining soil quality and functions. However, we still have a limited knowledge of the impact of vegetation restoration on carbon sequestration potential in mining areas. In this pursuit, the present study was envisaged to integrate the findings from studies on soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration in mining areas under vegetation restoration with field monitoring data. The carbon sequestration potential under vegetation restoration in China's mining areas was estimated by using a machine learning model. The results showed that (1) Vegetation restoration exhibited a consistently positive impact on the changes in the SOC reserves. The carbon sequestration potential was the highest in mixed forests, followed by broad-leaved forests, coniferous forests, grassland, shrubland, and farmland; (2) The number of years of vegetation restoration and mean annual precipitation were found to be the important moderating variables affecting the SOC reserves in reclaimed soils in mining areas; (3) There were significant differences in the SOC sequestration potential under different vegetation restoration scenarios in mining areas in China. The SOC sequestration potential reached up to 9.86 million t C a-1, when the soil was restored to the initial state. Based on the meta-analysis, the maximal attainable SOC sequestration potential was found to be 4.26 million t C a-1. The SOC sequestration potential reached the highest level of 12.86 million t C a-1, when the optimal vegetation type in a given climate was restored. The results indicated the importance of vegetation restoration for improving the soil sequestration potential in mining areas. The time lag in carbon sequestration potential for different vegetation types in mining areas was also revealed. Our findings can assist the development of ecological restoration regimens in mining areas to mitigate the global climate change.
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This study uses a quantitative methodology to investigate how the rise of digital money has affected efforts to increase green energy use in China. This work contributes to the body of knowledge by using a number of empirical methods, such as regression analysis, parametric quantile estimation, stability diagnostic tests, and sensitivity analysis. This study's results further demonstrate the importance of digital financing in easing the adoption of renewable energy sources throughout China. Financing alternatives for renewable energy projects have increased as a result of digital finance's integration of digital technology with financial services. A wider range of investors has been attracted through crowdfunding, peer-to-peer lending, and other alternative financing models made possible by digital platforms, allowing the development of small and medium-sized renewable energy projects that may have had trouble securing funding through more traditional channels. The impact of digital finance on energy management and optimization is also investigated. As a result, renewable energy sources have been more widely adopted due to increased energy efficiency, better grid integration, and more efficient energy delivery. This study presents substantial evidence of the beneficial benefits of digital finance on renewable energy use in China using rigorous empirical methodologies such as regression analysis, parametric quantile estimation, stability diagnostic tests, and sensitivity analysis. The results highlight the significance of using digital money to boost the use of renewable energy, lessen reliance on fossil fuels, and help create a greener, more sustainable future.
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BACKGROUND: Asthma, the second leading cause of death from chronic respiratory diseases, is associated with climate change, especially temperature changes. It is currently unclear about the relationship between long-term temperature variability and the incidence of asthma on a global scale. METHODS: We used asthma incidence, demographic and socioeconomic data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Results Database, and environmental and geographical statistics from TerraClimate between 1990 and 2019 to determine the association between maximum temperature variability and asthma incidence. We also predicted the incidence of heat-related asthma in the future (2020-2100) under four shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs: 126, 245, 370, and 585). RESULTS: Between 1990 and 2019, the global median incidence of asthma was 402.0 per 100,000 with a higher incidence (median: 1380.3 per 100,000) in children under 10 years old. We found that every 1 °C increase in maximum temperature variability increased the risk of asthma globally by 5.0 %, and the effect was robust for individuals living in high-latitude areas or aged from 50 to 70 years. By 2100, the average incidence of asthma is estimated to be reduced by 95.55 %, 79.32 %, and 40.02 % under the SSP126, SSP245, and SSP370 scenarios, respectively, compared to the SSP585 at latitudes >60°. CONCLUSION: Our study provides evidence that maximum temperature variability is associated with asthma incidence. These findings suggest that implementing stricter mitigation and adaptation strategies may be importment in reducing asthma cases caused by climate change.
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Asma , Transtornos Respiratórios , Criança , Humanos , Carga Global da Doença , Temperatura , Incidência , Asma/epidemiologia , Mudança ClimáticaRESUMO
Construction and optimization of ecological security network is an efficient way to ensure regional ecological security and achieve sustainable development. Based on the morphological spatial pattern analysis method, circuit theory and other methods, we constructed the ecological security network of the Shule River Basin. The PLUS model was used to predict the land use change in 2030, with the aim to explore the current ecological protection direction and propose reasonable optimization strategies. The results showed that there were 20 ecological sources in the Shule River Basin, with a total area of 15774.08 km2, accounting for 12.3% of the total area of study area. The ecological sources were mainly distributed in the south part of the study area. A total of 37 potential ecological corridors were extracted, including 22 important ecological corridors, which showed the overall spatial characteristics of vertical distribution. Meanwhile, 19 ecological pinch points and 17 ecological obstacle points were identified. We predicted that the expansion of construction land would continue to squeeze the ecological space by 2030, and identified 6 warning areas of ecological protection space to effectively avoid conflicts between ecological protection and economic development. After optimization, 14 new ecological sources and 17 stepping stones were added, and the circuitry, ratio of line to node and connectivity index of the ecological security network increased by 18.3%, 15.5%, and 8.2% respectively compared with those before optimization, forming a structurally stable ecological security network. The results could provide scientific basis for ecological security network optimization and ecological restoration.
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Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Ecossistema , Rios , China , Desenvolvimento Sustentável , EcologiaRESUMO
The Party's 14th Five-Year-Plan and the 2035 Visionary Goals point out that green and sustainable development is the direction of China's road in the present age, and provide a theoretical basis for further improvement of ecological civilization. "Sponge city" is a new type of urban construction idea in China; moving from pilot to vigorous implementation at present, it is an important element of China's promotion of green development and development of ecological civilization. At present, a number of sponge city pilot projects have been built in China, and evaluation of their effects is already a matter of urgency. The overall planning of China's current policies in sponge city construction and the specific analyses conducted by experts from both subjective and objective aspects have not been able to completely fill the gap in this regard, thus making it particularly urgent to conduct in-depth studies. Based on this, this paper discusses the performance assessment of sponge cities in China on the basis of the prediction and analysis of the development trend of sponge cities in China. In the performance assessment system, the correctness and timeliness of the index system should be considered in terms of practical effects; in the city performance assessment, the ideas of new city development such as low-carbon cities and smart cities should be combined to build a comprehensive and multi-perspective intelligent assessment system, so as to provide a strong boost to promote the development of city construction and its evaluative research. Firstly, a system-dynamic model is applied to sort out and combine its internal operation mechanism, and a set of evaluation systems based on the ecological philosophical perspective of the sponge city and urban sustainable development performance is established. Second, to improve the accuracy of the research results, parallelism tests and robustness analysis were conducted on this performance index evaluation system. The study's results show that sponge city construction has achieved good results in sustainable urban development and has contributed to future development.
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Carbono , Desenvolvimento Sustentável , Cidades , China , Civilização , Desenvolvimento EconômicoRESUMO
With the recent endorsement of PrEP by the Chinese government, research is urgently needed to better understand factors impacting PrEP uptake among gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (GBMSM) in China. This study examined willingness to use PrEP for HIV prevention among GBMSM in China through structural equation modeling. We examined the relationship among PrEP-related attitudes, subjective norms, PrEP-related knowledge and beliefs about medicines and willingness to use PrEP. The analysis showed a good fit between the data and both the measurement model (RMSEA = 0.060) and structural model (RMSEA = 0.054). Knowledge, attitudes, and subjective norms were significantly related to intention to use PrEP, whereas the effect of general beliefs about medicines was insignificant. These effect mechanisms point to the importance of designing interventions to support PrEP uptake that target knowledge, enhance positive attitudes about PrEP within social networks, and build positive social norms around PrEP among sexually active GBMSM.
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Infecções por HIV , Profilaxia Pré-Exposição , Minorias Sexuais e de Gênero , Masculino , Humanos , Homossexualidade Masculina , Análise de Classes Latentes , Infecções por HIV/prevenção & controle , ChinaRESUMO
PURPOSE: To investigate the characteristics of respiratory involvement in Chinese paediatric neuromuscular disease (NMD) at early stage and to explore convenient monitoring methods. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Children with NMD (age < 18) diagnosed at a multidisciplinary joint NMD clinic at Peking University First Hospital from January 2016 to April 2021 were included. Overnight polysomnography (PSG) and pulmonary function test (PFT) data were analysed, and the characteristics of four groups: congenital muscular dystrophy (CMD), congenital myopathy, spinal muscular atrophy, and Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) were compared. RESULTS: A total of 83 children with NMD were referred for respiratory assessment, of who 80 children underwent PSG; 41 performed spirometry and 38, both. The duration of pulse oxygen saturation (SpO2) <90% over apnoea and hypopnoea index (AHI) was lowest in DMD and significantly different from CMD (p = 0.033). AHI was positively correlated with the oxygen desaturation index (ODI) (r = 0.929, p = 0.000). The peak expiratory flow (PEF) were positively correlated with forced vital capacity (FVC), both as actual values and percent pred, respectively (r = 0.820, 0.719, p = 0.000). ROC derived sensitivity and specificity of prediction of AHI > 15/h or duration of SpO2<90% ≥ 60 min from FVC <51% pred was 75.8% and 85.7%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: AHI and hypoxia burden were independent factors in children with NMD in PSG and attention needed to be paid in both. FVC might be a daytime predictor for significant sleep-disordered breathing or hypoxia. Nocturnal consecutive oximetry with diurnal peak flow measurement may be convenient and effective for home monitoring at early stage of respiratory involvement.
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Distrofia Muscular de Duchenne , Doenças Neuromusculares , Humanos , Criança , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estudos de Viabilidade , Doenças Neuromusculares/complicações , Doenças Neuromusculares/diagnóstico , Distrofia Muscular de Duchenne/complicações , Distrofia Muscular de Duchenne/diagnóstico , HipóxiaRESUMO
Stroke is the leading cause of death in China (Zhou et al. in The Lancet, 2019). A dataset from Shanxi Province is analyzed to predict the risk of patients at four states (low/medium/high/attack) and to estimate transition probabilities between various states via a SHAP DeepExplainer. To handle the issues related to an imbalanced sample set, the quadratic interactive deep model (QIDeep) was first proposed by flexible selection and appending of quadratic interactive features. The experimental results showed that the QIDeep model with 3 interactive features achieved the state-of-the-art accuracy 83.33%(95% CI (83.14%; 83.52%)). Blood pressure, physical inactivity, smoking, weight, and total cholesterol are the top five most important features. For the sake of high recall in the attack state, stroke occurrence prediction is considered an auxiliary objective in multi-objective learning. The prediction accuracy was improved, while the recall of the attack state was increased by 17.79% (to 82.06%) compared to QIDeep (from 71.49%) with the same features. The prediction model and analysis tool in this paper provided not only a prediction method but also an attribution explanation of the risk states and transition direction of each patient, a valuable tool for doctors to analyze and diagnose the disease.
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Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/diagnóstico , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/etiologia , Medição de Risco , Aprendizagem , Fumar , Pressão SanguíneaRESUMO
Background: An increasing number of patients search for medical information on the Internet if they have health problems. The reliability of the online medical information is not yet known. Baidu Encyclopedia and Wikipedia are the most widely used Chinese and English search engines. The quality of the online medical information in these websites needs to be evaluated. We perform this research study to evaluate the quality and timeliness of articles related to digestive system malignancy in articles retrieved from these encyclopedias. A 3-year follow-up was conducted to determine if the quality and timeliness of the articles improved, and comparisons were made between the 2 encyclopedias. Methods: We conducted a search of Wikipedia and Baidu Encyclopedia based on the classification codes of the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems (10th revision, version 2016), and evaluated the retrieved articles related to digestive system malignancy using the DISCERN instrument. The update timeliness of these websites were evaluated by calculating the update interval of the articles. Results: In 2019 and 2022, we retrieved 50 and 52 articles, respectively, from Baidu Encyclopedia, representing an increase of 2 articles and no deleted articles, and 30 and 31 articles, respectively, from Wikipedia, representing an increase of 1 article and no deleted articles. According to the scores calculated using the DISCERN instrument, in both 2019 and 2022, Wikipedia scored higher than Baidu Encyclopedia in Sections 1 and 2, and the difference was statistically significant. The total score of Wikipedia was higher than that of Baidu Encyclopedia, and the difference was statistically significant. The update interval of Wikipedia was shorter than that of Baidu Encyclopedia with better timeliness and statistical significance. Conclusions: The quality and timeliness of the digestive system malignancy articles on Wikipedia are better than those on Baidu Encyclopedia. The quality of both the Baidu Encyclopedia and Wikipedia articles had improved over the last 3 years. However, there is still no guarantee of the comprehensiveness or reliability of the treatment information obtained from the Internet.
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To investigate the predictive manner of N-terminal fragment of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-Pro-BNP) and echocardiography in the early assessment of cardiovascular dysfunction (CVD) in neonates with sepsis, we recruited 108 neonates with sepsis in intensive care units and divided them into a sepsis with CVD (sepsis + CVD) group (n = 48) and a sepsis only group (n = 60). Neonates with other infections (n = 65) constituted the control group. Clinical, laboratory, and bedside echocardiography findings were evaluated. Compared to both the sepsis only and control groups, the sepsis + CVD group showed an earlier onset of symptoms [52.94 (0-185.6) h], higher NT-Pro-BNP levels (P = .02), a higher Tei index (0.52 + 0.03; P = .03), and lower ejection fraction (62.61% ± 12.31%, P < .05). Compared to the control group, the sepsis + CVD group exhibited hematogenous etiology (P < .05), lower albumin (ALB) levels (P = .04), lower white blood cell counts (P = .03), a higher high-sensitivity C-reactive protein/ALB ratio, and a larger right-ventricle-inner diameter (10.74 + 2.42 mm; P = .01). CVD in the septic neonates could be predicted by either NT-Pro-BNP levels (cut-off: 12,291.5 pg/L; sensitivity, 80%; specificity, 79%; area under the curve-receiver operating characteristic, 0.81) or Tei index (cut-off: 0.45; sensitivity, 74%; specificity, 77%; area under the curve-receiver operating characteristic, 0.78). NT-Pro-BNP levels and echocardiography can be used to determine early onset of CVD in neonatal sepsis, which facilitates timely pharmacological interventions and treatment.
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Doenças Cardiovasculares , Sepse Neonatal , Proteína C-Reativa , Ecocardiografia , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Peptídeo Natriurético Encefálico , Sepse Neonatal/complicações , Sepse Neonatal/diagnósticoRESUMO
Background: Fetal ductal constriction (DC) is associated with excessive polyphenol-rich food (PRF) consumption during pregnancy. However, the effect of this hemodynamic change on fetal cardiac function still needs to be elucidated. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the cardiac function of fetuses with PRF-related DC and to describe serial observations of cardiac function changes. Methods: We compared the traditional echocardiographic indices, including morphological, hemodynamic, and functional parameters, between study fetuses and controls. For global and segmental deformation analysis of the left and right ventricles, fetalHQ with the speckle-tracking technique was used to calculate sphericity index (SI), global longitudinal strain (GLS), fractional shortening (FS), fractional area change (FAC), etc. In addition, follow-up data were compared with the generalized linear model. Results: A total of 60 DC fetuses and 60 gestational-matched controls were enrolled in our study, with 20 DC fetuses undertaking a follow-up echocardiogram after 2-3 weeks. Compared with controls, there was a distinct decrease in right ventricular GLS (RVGLS) (-13.39 ± 3.77 vs. -21.59 ± 2.51, p < 0.001), RVFAC (22.20 ± 9.56 vs. 36.01 ± 4.84, p < 0.001), left ventricular GLS (LVGLS) (-19.52 ± 3.24 vs. -23.81 ± 2.01 p < 0.001), and LVFAC (39.64 ± 7.32 vs. 44.89 ± 4.91, p = 0.004). For 24-segment FS analysis, DC fetuses showed lower FS in left ventricular (LV) segments 18-24, with no difference in LV segments 1-17. Right ventricular (RV) FS in segments 4-23 was also reduced in the DC group. The 24-segment SI analysis indicated significantly lower SI in DC than those in controls for LV segments 1-14 and RV segments 19-24. We found that the pulsatility index (PI) of ductus arteriosus (DA) was an independent variable for RVGLS (ß = -0.29, p = 0.04). In 20 DC fetuses with follow-up echocardiograms, no obvious difference in myocardial deformation was found between the initial examination and follow-up data. Conclusion: Left and right ventricular performances were both impaired in DC fetuses, along with a series of morphological and hemodynamic changes. Although the state of DA constriction improved on second examinations, cardiac function was not completely restored.
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Understanding the extent to which demographic changes may affect the prospects of sustainable development is a priority for both academics and policy makers. Accordingly, we attempted to explore the population growth limit of the Xihaigu Mountain area in China. To analyze the optimum population at the county level, the relationship curve between population size and environmental quality was fitted using panel data (2009-2018). The sustainable population size of each county was determined by integrating the population carrying capacity of land resources and optimum population. The results show that the relationship between regional population size and environmental quality conforms to an inverted N-shaped curve. To maintain sustainable development, the population size of Tongxin, Xiji, and Haiyuan should be in the range of 320,800-379,800, 315,800-416,900, and 333,500-416,900, respectively. The current population size of other counties should be maintained, and their surplus construction lands are acceptable to be used for environmentally friendly industries rather than population expansion. We demonstrated a practical approach to calculate a dynamic range of population size under the dual constraints of resource and environment, which overcomes the shortcoming of only considering the maximum carrying capacity to a limited extent. We also identified the population boundary in a "steady-state economy" and quantified planetary boundaries of population in Xihaigu Mountain area using a dynamic sustainable population size. The findings provide decision-making references for the local government.
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Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Desenvolvimento Sustentável , China , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/métodos , Densidade Demográfica , Crescimento DemográficoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The appropriate screening inclusion criteria of low-dose computed tomography screening for lung cancer in Chinese population remains unclear and the effect of combining screening with nurse-led smoking cessation intervention is poorly understood as well. OBJECTIVE: We compared the benefits and costs of lung cancer screening with and without nurse-led smoking cessation intervention in different inclusion criteria to help select optimal screening strategies. METHODS: Different screening strategies were set based on diverse starting ages, smoking pack-year and whether nurse-led smoking cessation intervention was applied. We use nationally representative data published by the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Survey, based on a microsimulation model, to predict incremental cost-effectiveness ratio and net health benefits under different strategies. RESULTS: The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios for all lung cancer screening strategies were less than three times GDP per capita, and screening combined with smoking cessation intervention had lower incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. The largest net health benefits and probability of cost-effectiveness were both obtained in the strategy which conducted screening and nurse-led smoking cessation intervention for people over 45â¯years with at least 20 pack-year smoking history. In strategies screening alone, it was obtained in screening for people over 50â¯years and with at 20 pack-year smoking history. CONCLUSIONS: Nurse-led smoking cessation intervention is recommended provided in conjunction with lung cancer screening. The optimal strategy is conducted screening with cessation intervention for current smokers or smoking quitters in the past 15â¯years who are over 45â¯years with at least 20 pack-year smoking history. For strategies screening alone, the target population should be over 50â¯years old with at least 20 pack year smoking history, when willingness to pay less than three times GPD per capita.
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Neoplasias Pulmonares , Abandono do Hábito de Fumar , Análise Custo-Benefício , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/métodos , Humanos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Pulmonares/prevenção & controle , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Papel do Profissional de Enfermagem , Abandono do Hábito de Fumar/métodosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) infection and its related diseases are substantial public health burden for highly infected areas. Recently, a novel family-based H. pylori infection control and management (FBCM) strategy is introduced for H. pylori infection prevention and control. However, its cost-effectiveness has not been evaluated. We conducted this health economic evaluation to investigate the cost-effectiveness of FBCM, screen-and-treat, and no-screen strategies in Chinese population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Cost-effectiveness analysis was performed using decision tree and Markov model. Parameters required for the model were from published literatures and public databases, including health state utility, screening characteristics, treatment effectiveness, and medical costs for the three strategies. Outcomes were cost, quality-adjusted life year (QALY), incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Uncertainty analysis was performed to verify the robustness of this model. RESULTS: To prevent gastric cancer in a cohort of 1 million asymptomatic Chinese families, FBCM and screen-and-treat strategies prevented 1010 and 1201 new gastric cancer cases, reduced 2809 and 3339 gastric cancer-related death, and saved 956,971 and 1,137,549 QALYs, respectively, when compared with no-screen strategy. Cost-effectiveness analysis showed that FBCM strategy cost $9.18/QALY, and screen-and-treat strategy cost $12.08/QALY for gastric cancer prevention when compared with no-screen strategy. One-way sensitivity analysis revealed that screening from younger age by both strategies are more cost-effective. When compared with FBCM strategy, screen-and-treat strategy saved 5.98% gastric cancer cases and 5.78% of gastric cancer deaths, but costed $9348 to reduce a gastric cancer case. Results are not sensitive to any variables, and probabilistic sensitivity analysis confirmed robustness of the results. CONCLUSIONS: Both FBCM and screen-and-treat strategies are cost-effective for gastric cancer prevention compared with no-screen strategy. Since FBCM is more practical and convenient, it may be an efficient and excellent cost-effective strategy for gastric cancer prevention in H. pylori and gastric cancer prevalent areas.
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Infecções por Helicobacter , Helicobacter pylori , Neoplasias Gástricas , Análise Custo-Benefício , Infecções por Helicobacter/diagnóstico , Infecções por Helicobacter/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por Helicobacter/epidemiologia , Humanos , Controle de Infecções , Cadeias de Markov , Neoplasias Gástricas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Gástricas/prevenção & controleRESUMO
Heavy metals pollution has thorough worldwide apprehensions due to the instantaneous growth of industries. Farming regions are irrigated mainly with wastewater which contains both municipal and industrial emancipations. Keeping in view the above scenario, a study was designed in which three sites irrigated with ground, canal, and municipal wastewater in the District Jhang were selected to determine the zinc accumulation and its transfer in the soil, plant, and animal food chain. Zinc concentration was ranged as 18.85-35.59mg/kg in the soil, 26.42-42.67 mg/kg in the forage, and 0.982-2.85mg/kg in the animal samples. Investigated zinc concentration in soil and forages was found to be within the recommended WHO/FAO limits, but blood samples exceed the standards of NRC (2007). The maximum level of pollution load index (0.427-0.805mg/kg) and enrichment factor (0.373-0.894 mg/kg) for zinc was noticed upon wastewater irrigation. Daily intake (0.039 to 0.082 mg/kg/day) and health risk index (0.130 to 0.275 mg/kg/day) of zinc metal was higher in the buffaloes that feed on wastewater-irrigated forages. Bio-concentration factor (0.840 to 2.01mg/kg) for soil-forage was >1 which represents that these plants accumulated the zinc concentration into their tissues and raised health issues in grazing animals on consumption of wastewater-contaminated forages. As animal-derived products are part of human food, then zinc toxicity prevailed in livestock tissues ultimately affects the human food chain. Overall, findings of this study concluded that animal herds should be monitored periodically to devise preventive measures regarding the toxic level of heavy metals availability to livestock.
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Metais Pesados , Poluentes do Solo , Animais , Bioacumulação , Monitoramento Ambiental , Humanos , Metais Pesados/análise , Medição de Risco , Solo , Poluentes do Solo/análise , Águas Residuárias/análise , ZincoRESUMO
Grazing animals act as a bioindicator to study the heavy metal status in the pasture lands because excessive amount of toxic metals in the animal diet either disturb their normal activity or deposit the contaminants into their tissues. The aim of this study was to appraise the chromium status in soil and pasture crops with respect to the nutritional requirement of grazing animals. Three different sites were selected to collect soil, forages, and animal samples from District Jhang. All the samples were processed through atomic absorption spectrophotometer to analyze the chromium concentration in them. Chromium concentration was varied as 0.703-4.20 mg/kg in soil, 0.45-2.85 mg/kg in forages, and 0.588-2.37 mg/kg in all collected animal samples. Both the soil and forage samples displayed the maximum chromium concentration in the Capparis decidua, whereas animal samples revealed maximum concentration in animal blood. Results of pollution load index (0.078 to 0.463 mg/kg) exhibited that all the sample values are less than unity while enrichment factor (1.57-8.25mg/kg) showed that significant level of chromium is enriched in these sites. The maximum value of daily intake (0.0007-0.0055mg/kg/day) and health risk index (0.0004-0.00370055mg/kg/day) was observed in the buffalo that feed on the Capparis decidua. Bio-concentration factor (0.398-2.09mg/kg) value was the maximum in the Medicago sativa. It is concluded that all the animal samples showed chromium concentration beyond their standards. Thus, proper measures should be taken to reduce the metal contamination in these areas that ultimately lessen the availability of toxic metals to grazing animals.
Assuntos
Metais Pesados , Poluentes do Solo , Animais , Cromo , Monitoramento Ambiental , Feminino , Metais Pesados/análise , Paquistão , Medição de Risco , Ruminantes , Solo , Poluentes do Solo/análiseRESUMO
Pulmonary fibrosis (PF) is one of the pathologic changes in COVID-19 patients in convalescence, and it is also a potential long-term sequela in severe COVID-19 patients. Qimai Feiluoping decoction (QM) is a traditional Chinese medicine formula recommended in the Chinese national medical program for COVID-19 convalescent patients, and PF is one of its indications. Through clinical observation, QM was found to improve the clinical symptoms and pulmonary function and reduce the degree of PF of COVID-19 convalescent patients. To further explore the pharmacological mechanisms and possible active components of QM in anti-PF effect, UHPLC/Q-TOF-MS was used to analyze the composition of the QM extract and the active components that can be absorbed into the blood, leading to the identification of 56 chemical compounds and 10 active components. Then, network pharmacology was used to predict the potential mechanisms and targets of QM; it predicted that QM exerts its anti-PF effects via the regulation of the epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT), extracellular matrix (ECM) degradation, and TGF-ß signaling pathway. Finally, TGF-ß1-induced A549 cells were used to verify and explore the pharmacological effects of QM and found that QM could inhibit the proliferation of TGF-ß1-induced A549 cells, attenuate EMT, and promote ECM degradation by inhibiting the TGF-ß/Smad3 pathway.
RESUMO
Background: Through collection and sorting of rare disease projects funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China, an understanding was gained of the categories of projects funded by the foundation in the field of rare diseases, types of diseases, categories of disease systems, regional distribution, distribution of supporting institutions, and their dynamic changes, followed by an analysis of focuses and influences of relevant state policies. This will help improve the rare disease-relating policies of the state in supporting the key fields, thus promoting healthy and sustainable development in the field of rare diseases. Method: Through the website of inquiry of projects funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China, a retrieval was made concerning the projects funded by the foundation in the field of rare diseases during the period from 1986 to 2019, followed by descriptive analysis of fund input of rare disease projects, number of projects, temporal and regional distribution, and the analysis of the law of their dynamic changes. Result: As of the end of 2019, there were 57 rare diseases and 678 related projects funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China, with accumulated total funding of ¥ 253,525,000. Among the categories of projects, the most-funded projects were general (¥ 150,145,000, 59.22%), followed by Youth Foundation projects (¥ 53,719,000, 21.19%) and key projects (¥ 15,870,000, 6.26%); among the categories of disease systems, the most funded disease system was the nervous system (¥ 93,186,000, 37.76%), followed by the respiratory system (¥ 35,444,000, 13.98%); the most funded diseases were multiple sclerosis (¥ 34,870,000, 13.75%), idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (¥ 29,854,000, 11.78%), and retinitis pigmentosa (¥ 27,005,000, 10.65%); the most funded regions were East China (¥ 106,987,000, 42.20%) and North China (¥ 71,844,000, 28.34%), while the least funded region was Northwest China (¥ 7,295,000, 2.88%); among the supporting institutions, the most funded institutions were Peking University (¥ 24,720,000, 9.75%), and Sun Yat-sen University (¥ 14,505,000, 5.72%). Conclusion: With the promulgation of more policies on encouragement of innovation and accelerated approval procedures, etc., the National Natural Science Foundation of China has been increasing its funding to rare diseases, covering increasingly more categories of funded projects, more types of diseases, and wider regions. Nonetheless, the support for scientific research in China is still relatively weak. Therefore, it is proposed that the healthy and sustainable development in the course of rare diseases should be promoted through the improvement of relevant rare disease policies, encouragement of R&D of medicine for rare diseases, the establishment of special funds for rare diseases, acceleration of fund circulation, and combination of balanced development and preferential funding to key regions and major diseases.