The current and future costs of colorectal cancer attributable to red and processed meat consumption in Brazil.

BACKGROUND: Compelling evidence supports the association between red and processed meat consumption and increased risk of colorectal cancer. Herein, we estimated the current (2018) and future (2030) federal direct healthcare costs of colorectal cancer in the Brazilian Unified Health System attributable to red and processed meat consumption. Considering reduced red and processed meat consumption, we also projected attributable costs of colorectal cancer in 2040. METHODS: We retrieved information on red and processed meat consumption from two nationally representative dietary surveys, the Household Budget Survey 2008-2009 and 2017-2018; relative risks for colorectal cancer from a meta-analysis; direct healthcare costs of inpatient and outpatient procedures in adults ≥ 30 years with colorectal cancer (C18-C20) from 2008-2019 by sex. RESULTS: Attributable costs of colorectal cancer were calculated via comparative risk assessment, assuming a 10-year lag. In 2018, US$ 20.6 million (8.4%) of direct healthcare costs of colorectal cancer were attributable to red and processed meat consumption. In 2030, attributable costs will increase to US$ 86.6 million (19.3%). Counterfactual scenarios of reducing red and processed meat consumption in 2030 suggested that US$ 2.2 to 11.9 million and US$ 13 to 74 million could be saved in 2040, respectively. CONCLUSION: Red and processed meat consumption has an escalating economic impact on the Brazilian Unified Health System. Our findings support interventions and policies focused on primary prevention and cancer.

Correction: Current and future costs of cancer attributable to insufficient leisure-time physical activity in Brazil.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0287224.].

Current and future costs of cancer attributable to insufficient leisure-time physical activity in Brazil.

OBJECTIVES: Cancer is an increasing cause of death and disability in Brazil and a pivotal vector for growing health expenditures. Lower levels of leisure-time physical activity are associated with a higher risk of some cancers. We quantified the current and future cancer direct healthcare costs attributable to insufficient leisure-time physical activity in Brazil. METHODS: We performed a macrosimulation model using: (i) relative risks from meta-analyses; (ii) prevalence data of insufficient leisure-time physical activity in adults ≥ 20 years; (iii) national registries of healthcare costs of adults ≥ 30 years with cancer. We used simple linear regression to predict cancer costs as a function of time. We calculated the potential impact fraction (PIF) considering the theoretical-minimum-risk exposure and other counterfactual scenarios of physical activity prevalence. RESULTS: We projected that the costs of breast, endometrial, and colorectal cancers may increase from US$ 630 million in 2018 to US$ 1.1 billion in 2030 and US$ 1.5 billion in 2040. The costs of cancer attributable to insufficient leisure-time physical activity may increase from US$ 43 million in 2018 to US$ 64 million in 2030. Increasing leisure-time physical activity could potentially save US$ 3 million to US$ 8.9 million in 2040 by reducing the prevalence of insufficient leisure-time physical activity in 2030. CONCLUSION: Our results may be helpful to guide cancer prevention policies and programs in Brazil.

The effect modification of occupational social class in the association between sex and type 2 diabetes: results from the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil).

We evaluated data from 14,156 baseline participants of the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil) collected from 2008 to 2010, to analyze the effect modification of occupational social class on the association between sex and prevalence of type 2 diabetes. The crude and age-adjusted prevalence, according to sex and occupational social class, were estimated using generalized linear models with binomial distribution and logarithmic link function. This model was also used to estimate prevalence ratios (PR), adjusting for age group, race/skin color, and maternal education. The effect modification was measured in the multiplicative and additive scales. Males had higher crude and age-adjusted prevalence in all occupational social class strata. As occupational social class increases, the prevalence among males and females decreases. The PR of males to females decreased according to occupational class: 66% (PR = 1.66; 95%CI: 1.44; 1.90), 39% (PR = 1.39; 95%CI: 1.02; 1.89), and 28% (PR = 1.28; 95%CI: 0.94; 1.75) in the high, middle, and low occupational social classes, respectively. We found an inverse effect of the occupational social class on the association between sex and type 2 diabetes on the multiplicative scale, suggesting that it acts as an effect modifier.

Análise temporal da inserção de Profissionais e Residentes de Educação Física no Sistema Único de Saúde de 2009 a 2021 / Temporal analysis of the inclusion of Physical Education Professionals and Residents in the Brazilian Unified Health System (SUS) from 2009 to 2021

Resumo Dentre as categorias que fazem parte da força de trabalho do SUS está a Educação Física. Por meio de estudo ecológico de séries temporais, com base no Cadastro Nacional de Estabelecimentos de Saúde, os objetivos do artigo foram analisar a inserção de Profissionais de Educação Física (PEF) e residentes no SUS entre 2009 e 2021 com vistas a traçar um panorama da inserção da Educação Física e analisar a distribuição de PEF e residentes entre as diferentes regiões. Foi revelado um aumento de 476,01% no número de PEF e de 10.366,67% entre os residentes. A taxa de PEF por 100.000 habitantes aumentou 13,7% ao ano entre 2009 e 2021, com aumento de 28,1% entre 2009 e 2014 e de 7,8% entre 2014 e 2019, e redução de 3,4% entre 2019 e 2021. A taxa de residentes aumentou 36,2% ao ano entre 2009 a 2021, com aumento de 45,9% entre 2009 e 2017 e de 18,7% entre 2017 e 2021. Foram reveladas desigualdades regionais na distribuição de PEF e residentes, com maior concentração, em 2021, respectivamente nas regiões Nordeste e Sul. O aumento de PEF e residentes no SUS pode ser relacionado com políticas e programas de práticas corporais e atividades físicas, enquanto o decréscimo, possivelmente, se relaciona com o Programa Previne Brasil e à pandemia de COVID-19.

Abstract Physical Education is one of the categories featured in the SUS workforce. An ecological time series study, based on the National Registry of Health Establishments, was conducted to analyze the inclusion of Physical Education Professionals (PEFs) and residents in the SUS between 2009 and 2021. The scope of the article was to establish a panorama of the inclusion of Physical Education and analyze the distribution of PEFs and residents in the different regions. An increase of 476.01% in the number of PEFs and 10,366.67% among residents was revealed. The PEF rate per 100,000 inhabitants increased by 13.7% per year from 2009 to 2021, with an increase of 28.1% between 2009 and 2014 and 7.8% between 2014 and 2019, and a decrease of 3.4% between 2019 and 2021. The resident rate increased by 36.2% per year between 2009 and 2021, with a 45.9% increase between 2009 and 2017 and 18.7% between 2017 and 2021. Regional inequalities in the distribution of PEFs and residents were revealed, with the highest concentration, in 2021, in the Northeast and South regions, respectively. The increase in PEFs and residents in the SUS can be linked to policies and programs of physical exercise and activities, while the decrease is possibly related to the Previne Brasil Program and the COVID-19 pandemic.

The effect modification of occupational social class in the association between sex and type 2 diabetes: results from the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil) / O efeito da modificação da classe social ocupacional na associação entre sexo e diabetes tipo 2: resultados do Estudo Longitudinal de Saúde do Adulto no Brasil (ELSA-Brasil) / El efecto del cambio de clase social ocupacional en la asociación entre sexo y diabetes tipo 2: resultados del Estudio Longitudinal de Salud del Adulto en Brasil (ELSA-Brasil)

We evaluated data from 14,156 baseline participants of the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil) collected from 2008 to 2010, to analyze the effect modification of occupational social class on the association between sex and prevalence of type 2 diabetes. The crude and age-adjusted prevalence, according to sex and occupational social class, were estimated using generalized linear models with binomial distribution and logarithmic link function. This model was also used to estimate prevalence ratios (PR), adjusting for age group, race/skin color, and maternal education. The effect modification was measured in the multiplicative and additive scales. Males had higher crude and age-adjusted prevalence in all occupational social class strata. As occupational social class increases, the prevalence among males and females decreases. The PR of males to females decreased according to occupational class: 66% (PR = 1.66; 95%CI: 1.44; 1.90), 39% (PR = 1.39; 95%CI: 1.02; 1.89), and 28% (PR = 1.28; 95%CI: 0.94; 1.75) in the high, middle, and low occupational social classes, respectively. We found an inverse effect of the occupational social class on the association between sex and type 2 diabetes on the multiplicative scale, suggesting that it acts as an effect modifier.

Nós avaliamos dados de 14.156 participantes do Estudo Longitudinal de Saúde do Adulto no Brasil (ELSA-Brasil) coletados entre 2008 e 2010 para analisar o efeito de modificação da classe social ocupacional na associação entre sexo e prevalência de diabetes tipo 2. A prevalência bruta e ajustada por idade, de acordo com sexo e classe social ocupacional, foram estimadas usando modelos lineares generalizados com distribuição binomial e função de ligação de logaritmo. Esse modelo também foi utilizado para estimar razões de prevalência (RP), ajustando para faixa etária, raça e escolaridade materna. Medimos a modificação do efeito nas escalas multiplicativa e aditiva. Os homens apresentaram prevalência bruta e ajustada por idade mais alta em todos os estratos de classe social ocupacional. À medida que a classe social ocupacional aumenta, há uma redução na prevalência entre homens e mulheres. A RP de homens para mulheres diminuiu de acordo com a classe ocupacional: foi de 66% (RP = 1,66; IC95%: 1,44; 1,90), 39% (RP = 1,39; IC95%: 1,02; 1,89) e 28% (RP = 1,28; IC95%: 0,94; 1,75) nas classes sociais ocupacionais alta, média e baixa, respectivamente. Houve um efeito inverso da classe social ocupacional na associação entre sexo e diabetes tipo 2 na escala multiplicativa, sugerindo que ela atua como um modificador de efeito.

Evaluamos datos de 14.156 participantes del Estudio Longitudinal de Salud de Adultos en Brasil (ELSA-Brasil) recopilados entre 2008 y 2010 para analizar el efecto del cambio de clase social ocupacional en la asociación entre género y prevalencia de diabetes tipo 2. La prevalencia bruta y ajustada por edad según el sexo y la clase social ocupacional se estimaron utilizando modelos lineales generalizados con distribución binomial y función de enlace logarítmico. Este modelo también se utilizó para estimar las razones de prevalencia (RP) ajustando por grupo de edad, raza y educación materna. Medimos la modificación del efecto en las escalas multiplicativa y aditiva. Los hombres tuvieron mayor prevalencia bruta y ajustada por edad en todos los estratos de clase social ocupacional. A medida que aumenta la clase social ocupacional, se reduce la prevalencia entre hombres y mujeres. La RP de hombres a mujeres disminuyó de acuerdo con la clase ocupacional: fue del 66% (RP = 1,66; IC95%: 1,44; 1,90), 39% (RP = 1,39; IC95%: 1,02; 1,89) y 28% (RP = 1,28; IC95%: 0,94; 1,75) en las clases sociales ocupacionales alta, media y baja, respectivamente. Hubo un efecto inverso de la clase social ocupacional en la asociación entre el sexo y la diabetes tipo 2 en la escala multiplicativa, lo que sugiere que actúa como un modificador del efecto.

The future costs of cancer attributable to excess body weight in Brazil, 2030-2040.

BACKGROUND: Excess body weight (EBW), herein defined as body mass index (BMI) ≥25 kg/m2, is a well-known modifiable risk factor for cancer and a pivotal vector for growing healthcare costs. We estimated the future (2030) federal direct healthcare costs of cancer in the Brazilian Unified Health System (SUS) attributable to EBW. We also projected direct healthcare costs of cancer that could be potentially saved in 2040, considering counterfactual (alternative) scenarios of population-wide reductions in the BMI to be achievedin 2030. METHODS: We developed a macrosimulation model by sex using self-reported BMI data in adults ≥ 20 years who relied exclusively on the public health system from the Brazilian National Health Survey (PNS) 2019; relative risks for 12 types of cancer from the World Cancer Research Fund/American Institute Cancer Research (WCRF/AICR) meta-analysis; and nationwide registries of federal direct healthcare costs of inpatient and outpatient procedures in adults ≥30 years with cancer from 2008-2019. We calculated the attributable costs of cancer via comparative risk assessment, assuming a 10-year lag between exposure and outcome. We used the potential impact fraction (PIF) equation and the Monte Carlo simulation method to estimate the attributable costs and 95% uncertainty intervals, considering the theoretical-minimum-risk exposure and other counterfactual (alternative) scenarios of the EBW prevalence. We assessed the cancer costs attributable to EBW, multiplying PIF by the direct healthcare costs of cancer. RESULTS: In 2030, 2.4% or US$ 62.8 million in direct healthcare costs of cancer may be attributable to EBW. We projected potential savings of approximately US$ 10.3 to 26.6 million in 2040 by reducing the prevalence of EBW in 2030. CONCLUSIONS: We estimated high future costs of cancer attributable to EBW in Brazil. Our findings may support interventions and policies focused on the primary prevention of EBW and cancer.

Costs of cancer attributable to excess body weight in the Brazilian public health system in 2018.

OBJECTIVES: The prevalence of excess body weight (EBW) has increased over the last decades in Brazil, where 55.4% of the adult population was overweight in 2019. EBW is a well-known risk factor for several types of cancer. We estimated the federal cost of EBW-related cancers in adults, considering the medical expenditures in the Brazilian Public Health System. METHODS: We calculated the costs related to 11 types of cancer considering the procedures performed in 2018 by all organizations that provide cancer care in the public health system. We obtained data from the Hospital and Ambulatory Information Systems of the Brazilian Public Health System. We calculated the fractions of cancer attributable to EBW using the relative risks from the literature and prevalence from a nationally representative survey. We converted the monetary values in Reais (R$) to international dollars (Int$), considering the purchasing power parity (PPP) of 2018. RESULTS: In Brazil, the 2018 federal cost for all types of cancers combined was Int$ 1.73 billion, of which nearly Int$ 710 million was spent on EBW-related cancer care and Int$ 30 million was attributable to EBW. Outpatient and inpatient expenditures reached Int$ 20.41 million (of which 80% was for chemotherapy) and Int$ 10.06 million (of which 82% was for surgery), respectively. Approximately 80% of EBW-attributable costs were due to breast, endometrial and colorectal cancers. CONCLUSION: A total of 1.76% of all federal cancer-related costs could be associated with EBW, representing a substantial economic burden for the public health system. We highlight the need for integrated policies for excess body weight control and cancer prevention.

Cost of diseases related to alcohol consumption in the Brazilian Unified Health System.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the direct costs associated to outpatient and hospital care of diseases related to alcohol consumption in the Brazilian Unified Health System. METHODS: Attributable populational risks were estimated for the selected diseases related to the use of 25 g/day or more of ethanol (risk consumption), considering a relative risk (RR) ≥ 1.20. The RR estimates were obtained from three meta-analysis. The risk consumption rates of the Brazilian population ≥ 18 years old were obtained by a national survey. Data from the Hospital Information System of SUS (HIS-SUS) were used to estimate the annual costs of the health system with the diseases included in the analysis. RESULTS: The total estimated costs for a year regarding diseases related to risk consumption were U$8,262,762 (US$4,413,670 and US$3,849,092, for outpatient and hospital care, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Risk consumption of alcohol is an important economic and health problem, impacting significantly the health system and society.

Cost of diseases related to alcohol consumption in the Brazilian unified health system / Custos de doenças relacionadas ao consumo de álcool no sistema único de saúde

ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE To estimate the direct costs associated to outpatient and hospital care of diseases related to alcohol consumption in the Brazilian Unified Health System. METHODS Attributable populational risks were estimated for the selected diseases related to the use of 25 g/day or more of ethanol (risk consumption), considering a relative risk (RR) ≥ 1.20. The RR estimates were obtained from three meta-analysis. The risk consumption rates of the Brazilian population ≥ 18 years old were obtained by a national survey. Data from the Hospital Information System of SUS (HIS-SUS) were used to estimate the annual costs of the health system with the diseases included in the analysis. RESULTS The total estimated costs for a year regarding diseases related to risk consumption were U$8,262,762 (US$4,413,670 and US$3,849,092, for outpatient and hospital care, respectively). CONCLUSIONS Risk consumption of alcohol is an important economic and health problem, impacting significantly the health system and society.

RESUMO OBJETIVO Estimar os custos diretos associados ao atendimento ambulatorial e hospitalar de doenças relacionadas com o consumo de álcool no Sistema Único de Saúde brasileiro. MÉTODOS Riscos atribuíveis populacionais foram calculados para doenças selecionadas relacionadas ao uso de 25 g/dia ou mais de etanol (consumo de risco), considerando-se o risco relativo (RR) ≥ 1,.20. As estimativas de RR foram obtidas a partir de três meta-análises e as taxas de consumo de risco em brasileiros ≥ 18 anos obtidos em pesquisa nacional. Os dados do Sistema de Informações Hospitalares do SUS (SIH-SUS) e do Sistema de Informações Ambulatoriais do SUS (SIA-SUS) foram utilizados para estimar os custos anuais do SUS com as doenças incluídas na análise. RESULTADOS Os custos totais estimados em um ano com todas as doenças relacionadas com consumo de risco foram US$8.262.762 (US$4.413.670 e US$3.849.092 para pacientes ambulatoriais e internados, respectivamente). CONCLUSÕES Consumo de risco de álcool representa importante problema econômico e de saúde, com um impacto significativo para o sistema de saúde e para a sociedade.

The costs of overweight and obesity-related diseases in the Brazilian public health system: cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Obesity is a major global epidemic and a burden to society and health systems. It is well known risk factor for a number of chronic medical conditions with high morbidity and mortality. This study aimed to provide an estimate of the direct costs associated to outpatient and inpatient care of overweight and obesity related diseases in the perspective of the Brazilian Health System (SUS). METHODS: Population attributable risk (PAR) was calculated for selected diseases related to overweight and obesity and with the following parameters: Relative risk (RR) ≥ 1.20 or RR ≥ 1.10 and < 1.20, but important problem of public health due its high prevalence. After a broad search in the literature, two meta-analysis were selected to provide RR for PAR calculation. The prevalence rates of overweight and obesity in Brazilians with ≥ 18 years were obtained from large national survey. The national health database (DATASUS) was used to estimate the annual cost of the Brazilian Unified Health System (SUS) with the diseases included in the analysis. The extracted values were stratified by sex, type of service (inpatient or outpatient care) and year. Data were collected from 2008 to 2010 and the results reflect the average of 3 years. Brazilian costs were converted into US dollars during the analysis using a purchasing power parity basis (2010). RESULTS: The estimated total costs in one year with all diseases related to overweight and obesity are US$ 2,1 billion; US$ 1,4 billion (68.4% of total costs) due to hospitalizations and US$ 679 million due to ambulatory procedures. Approximately 10% of these cost is attributable to overweight and obesity. CONCLUSION: The results confirm that overweight and obesity carry a great economic burden for Brazilian health system and for the society. The knowledge of these costs will be useful for future economic analysis of preventive and treatment interventions.

[A socio-economic profile of exposed populations to petroleum exploration residues]. / Perfil socioeconômico das populações expostas a resíduos da exploração de petróleo.

INTRODUCTION: Environmental Macro-Area Five (EMA-5) is located in Rio de Janeiro. Their municipalities are suffering the consequences of rapid urbanization, especially after the discovery of large reserves of petroleum and natural gas (PNG) in the Campos Basin. OBJECTIVE: To describe the socio-economic profile of the region and compare their indicators in space and time. METHODS: This is an ecological study, which made comparisons between the 11 municipalities of EMA-5. It is based on the behavior of the indicators before and after the increase in royalties and special participatioms (RPE) and the division of the production areas of PNG (main production area - MPA - and the border zone of MPA, BZMPA). The period of analysis of the indicators ranged from 1991 to 2005. RESULTS: Higher values of gross domestic product per capita were found in the municipalities of MPA, especially Macaé. The same occurred in the RPE per capita, especially Rio das Ostras (higher value) and Nova Friburgo (lower value). In 2004, more than 50% of total revenues of municipalities were dependent on the funds derived from royalties. In 2000, Nova Friburgo had the best Human Development Index. The highest value of the Quality Index of Municipalities Potential for Development was found in Macaé. The major indexes of Social Exclusion was found in Macaé, Nova Friburgo and Rio das Ostras. CONCLUSION: It was found, in the municipalities of MPA, economic growth with great exclusive reliance on royalties. It should invest in alternative economic activities for which there is no damage to the population with the completion of these resources.

Perfil socioeconômico das populações expostas a resíduos da exploração de petróleo / A socio-economic profile of exposed populations to petroleum exploration residues

INTRODUÇÃO: A Macrorregião Ambiental Cinco (MRA-5) está situada no Rio de Janeiro. Seus municípios vêm sofrendo as consequências da acelerada urbanização, especialmente após a descoberta de grandes reservas de petróleo e gás natural (PGN) na Bacia de Campos. OBJETIVO: Descrever o perfil socioeconômico dessa região e comparar os seus indicadores no espaço e no tempo. MÉTODOS: Trata-se de um estudo ecológico, onde se realizaram comparações entre os 11 municípios da MRA-5, baseadas no comportamento dos indicadores antes e após o incremento dos royalties e participações especiais (RPE); e na divisão das zonas de produção de PGN (zona de produção principal - ZPP - e zona limítrofe à ZPP - ZLZPP). O período de análise dos indicadores variou de 1991 a 2005. RESULTADOS: Valores mais elevados do Produto Interno Bruto per capita foram encontrados nos municípios da ZPP, especialmente Macaé. O mesmo ocorreu nos RPE per capita, destacando-se Rio das Ostras (maior valor) e Nova Friburgo (menor valor). Em 2004, mais de 50 por cento das receitas totais dos municípios eram dependentes dos recursos provenientes dos royalties. Em 2000, Nova Friburgo apresentou o melhor Índice de Desenvolvimento Humano. Quanto ao Índice de Qualidade dos Municípios Potencial para o Desenvolvimento, o maior valor foi encontrado em Macaé. Os maiores Índices de Exclusão Social foram encontrados em Macaé, Nova Friburgo e Rio das Ostras. CONCLUSÃO: Verificou-se, nos municípios da ZPP, um crescimento econômico excludente com grande dependência dos royalties. Deve-se investir em atividades econômicas alternativas para que não haja prejuízos à população com o término desses recursos.

INTRODUCTION: Environmental Macro-Area Five (EMA-5) is located in Rio de Janeiro. Their municipalities are suffering the consequences of rapid urbanization, especially after the discovery of large reserves of petroleum and natural gas (PNG) in the Campos Basin. OBJECTIVE: To describe the socio-economic profile of the region and compare their indicators in space and time. METHODS: This is an ecological study, which made comparisons between the 11 municipalities of EMA-5. It is based on the behavior of the indicators before and after the increase in royalties and special participatioms (RPE) and the division of the production areas of PNG (main production area - MPA - and the border zone of MPA, BZMPA). The period of analysis of the indicators ranged from 1991 to 2005. RESULTS: Higher values of gross domestic product per capita were found in the municipalities of MPA, especially Macaé. The same occurred in the RPE per capita, especially Rio das Ostras (higher value) and Nova Friburgo (lower value). In 2004, more than 50 percent of total revenues of municipalities were dependent on the funds derived from royalties. In 2000, Nova Friburgo had the best Human Development Index. The highest value of the Quality Index of Municipalities Potential for Development was found in Macaé. The major indexes of Social Exclusion was found in Macaé, Nova Friburgo and Rio das Ostras. CONCLUSION: It was found, in the municipalities of MPA, economic growth with great exclusive reliance on royalties. It should invest in alternative economic activities for which there is no damage to the population with the completion of these resources.