VOC and IVOC emission features and inventory of motorcycles in China.

How did the motorcycle emissions evolve during the economic development in China? To address data gaps, this study firstly measured the volatile organic compound (VOC) and intermediate-volatility organic compound (IVOC) emissions from motorcycles. The results confirmed that the emission control of motorcycles, especially small-displacement motorcycles, significantly lagged behind other gasoline-powered vehicles. For the China IV motorcycles, the average VOC and IVOC emission factors (EFs) were 2.74 and 7.78 times higher than the China V-VI light-duty gasoline vehicles, respectively. The notable high IVOC emissions were attributed to a dual influence from gasoline and lubricating oil. Furthermore, based on the complete EF dataset and economy-related activity data, a county-level emission inventory was developed in China. Motorcycle VOC and IVOC emissions changed from 2536.48 Gg and 197.19 Gg in 2006 to 594.21 Gg and 12.66 Gg in 2020, respectively. The absence of motorcycle IVOC emissions in the existed vehicular inventories led to an underestimation of up to 20%. Across the 15 years, the motorcycle VOC and IVOC emission hotspots were concentrated in the undeveloped regions, with the rural emissions reaching 5.81-10.14 times those of the urban emissions. This study provides the first-hand and close-to-realistic data to support motorcycle emission management and accurate air quality simulations.

Vehicular volatile organic compounds losses due to refueling and diurnal process in China: 2010-2050.

Volatile organic compounds (VOCs) are crucial to control air pollution in major Chinese cities since VOCs are the dominant factor influencing ambient ozone level, and also an important precursor of secondary organic aerosols. Vehicular evaporative emissions have become a major and growing source of VOC emissions in China. This study consists of lab tests, technology evaluation, emissions modeling, policy projections and cost-benefit analysis to draw a roadmap for China for controlling vehicular evaporative emissions. The analysis suggests that evaporative VOC emissions from China's light-duty gasoline vehicles were approximately 185,000 ton in 2010 and would peak at 1,200,000 ton in 2040 without control. The current control strategy implemented in China, as shown in business as usual (BAU) scenario, will barely reduce the long-term growth in emissions. Even if Stage II gasoline station vapor control policies were extended national wide (BAU+extended Stage II), there would still be over 400,000 ton fuel loss in 2050. In contrast, the implementation of on-board refueling vapor recovery (ORVR) on new cars could reduce 97.5% of evaporative VOCs by 2050 (BAU+ORVR/BAU+delayed ORVR). According to the results, a combined Stage II and ORVR program is a comprehensive solution that provides both short-term and long-term benefits. The net cost to achieve the optimal total evaporative VOC control is approximately 62 billion CNY in 2025 and 149 billion CNY in 2050.