A novel approach to accurately measuring the burden of hospitalisations for cardiovascular disease in people with diabetes: A pilot study.

AIM: To determine the reliability of hospital discharge codes for heart failure (HF), acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and stroke compared with adjudicated diagnosis, and to pilot a scalable approach to adjudicate records on a population-based sample. METHODS: A population-based sample of 685 people with diabetes admitted (1274 admissions) to one of three Australian hospitals during 2018-2020 were randomly selected for this study. All medical records were reviewed and adjudicated. RESULTS: Cardiovascular diseases were the most common primary reason for hospitalisation in people with diabetes, accounting for ~17% (215/1274) of all hospitalisations, with HF as the leading cause. ICD-10 codes substantially underestimated HF prevalence and had the lowest agreement with the adjudicated diagnosis of HF (Kappa = 0.81), compared with AMI and stroke (Kappa ≥ 0.91). While ICD-10 codes provided suboptimal sensitivity (72%) for HF, the performance was better for AMI (sensitivity 84%; specificity 100%) and stroke (sensitivity 85%; specificity 100%). A novel approach to screen possible HF cases only required adjudicating 8% (105/1274) of records, correctly identified 78/81 of HF admissions and yielded 96% sensitivity and 98% specificity. CONCLUSIONS: While ICD-10 codes appear reliable for AMI or stroke, a more complex diagnosis such as HF benefits from a two-stage process to screen for suspected HF cases that need adjudicating. The next step is to validate this novel approach on large multi-centre studies in diabetes.

Cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging for sequential assessment of cardiac fibrosis in mice: technical advancements and reverse translation.

Cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging has become an essential technique for the assessment of cardiac function and morphology, and is now routinely used to monitor disease progression and intervention efficacy in the clinic. Cardiac fibrosis is a common characteristic of numerous cardiovascular diseases and often precedes cardiac dysfunction and heart failure. Hence, the detection of cardiac fibrosis is important for both early diagnosis and the provision of guidance for interventions/therapies. Experimental mouse models with genetically and/or surgically induced disease have been widely used to understand mechanisms underlying cardiac fibrosis and to assess new treatment strategies. Improving the appropriate applications of CMR to mouse studies of cardiac fibrosis has the potential to generate new knowledge, and more accurately examine the safety and efficacy of antifibrotic therapies. In this review, we provide 1) a brief overview of different types of cardiac fibrosis, 2) general background on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), 3) a summary of different CMR techniques used in mice for the assessment of cardiac fibrosis including experimental and technical considerations (contrast agents and pulse sequences), and 4) provide an overview of mouse studies that have serially monitored cardiac fibrosis during disease progression and/or therapeutic interventions. Clinically established CMR protocols have advanced mouse CMR for the detection of cardiac fibrosis, and there is hope that discovery studies in mice will identify new antifibrotic therapies for patients, highlighting the value of both reverse translation and bench-to-bedside research.

The cost-effectiveness of coronary calcium score-guided statin therapy initiation for Australians with family histories of premature coronary artery disease.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the cost-effectiveness of coronary artery calcium (CAC) score-guided statin therapy criteria and American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) guidelines (10-year pooled cohort equation [PCE] risk ≥ 7.5%) with selection according to Australian guidelines (5-year absolute cardiovascular disease risk [ACVDR] ≥ 10%), for people with family histories of premature coronary artery disease. STUDY DESIGN, SETTING: Markov microsimulation state transition model based on data from the Coronary Artery calcium score: Use to Guide management of Hereditary Coronary Artery Disease (CAUGHT-CAD) trial and transition probabilities derived from published statin prescribing and adherence outcomes and clinical data. PARTICIPANTS: 1083 people with family histories of premature coronary artery disease but no symptomatic cardiovascular disease. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Relative cost-effectiveness over fifteen years, from the perspective of the Australian health care system, compared with usual care (Australian guidelines), assessed as incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), with a notional willingness-to-pay threshold of $50 000 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. RESULTS: Applying the Australian guidelines, 77 people were eligible for statin therapy (7.1%); with ACVDR 5-year risk ≥ 2% and CAC score > 0, 496 people (46%); with ACVDR 5-year risk ≥ 2% and CAC score ≥ 100, 155 people (14%); and with the ACC/AHA guidelines, 256 people (24%). The ICERs for CAC-guided selection were $33 108 (CAC ≥ 100) and $53 028 per QALY gained (CAC > 0); the ACC/AHA guidelines approach (ICER, $909 241 per QALY gained) was not cost-effective. CAC score-guided selection (CAC ≥ 100) was cost-effective for people with 5-year ACVDR of at least 5%. CONCLUSION: Expanding the number of people at low to intermediate CVD risk eligible for statin therapy should selectively target people with subclinical atherosclerosis identified by CAC screening. This approach can be more cost-effective than simply lowering treatment eligibility thresholds.

Current Applications of Robot-Assisted Ultrasound Examination.

Despite advances in miniaturization and automation, the need for expert acquisition of a full echocardiogram, including Doppler, has restricted access in remote areas. Recent developments in robotics, teleoperation, and upgraded telecommunications infrastructure may provide a solution to this deficiency. Robot-assisted teleoperated ultrasound examination can aid medical diagnosis in remote locations and may improve health inequalities between rural and urban settings. This review aimed to analyze the status of teleoperated robotic systems for ultrasound examinations, evaluate clinical and preclinical applications, identify limitations, and outline future directions for clinical use. Overall, robot-assisted teleoperated ultrasound is feasible and safe in the reported clinical and preclinical studies, with the robots able to follow the hand movements performed by sonographers and researchers from a distance or in local networks. Moreover, multiple types of ultrasound examinations have been performed in remote areas, with a high success rate nearly comparable to that of conventional sonography. The studies showed that although a low-bandwidth link can be used to control a robot, the bandwidth requirements for real-time transmission of video and ultrasound images are significantly higher. Furthermore, if haptic feedback is implemented, the bandwidth requirements are increased. Haptically enabled systems that improve robotic control are necessary for accelerating the introduction to clinical use. Haptic feedback and enhanced front-end interface control for remote users are vital aspects required for clinical application. The incorporation of artificial intelligence through either aiding in window acquisition (knowledge of anatomical landmarks to adjust scanning planes) or through measurement and disease identification is yet to be researched. However, it has the potential to lead to dramatic advances. A new generation of robots is in development, and several projects in the preclinical stage reveal a promising future to overcome the shortage of health professionals in remote areas.

Cost-effectiveness of screening for paroxysmal atrial fibrillation in patients undergoing echocardiography.

BACKGROUND: Screening for atrial fibrillation is recommended for patients > 65 years on current guidelines. Targeted screening may be more efficient, however the appropriate location for screening programs has not been well defined. Our aim was to compare the cost-effectiveness of unselected electrocardiographic (ECG) screening for atrial fibrillation (AF), and selective screening based on an abnormal echocardiogram. METHODS: Two strategies of portable ECG screening for AF were compared in the base case of a hypothetical asymptomatic 65-year-old man (CHA2 DS2 -VASC = 3 based on hypertension and diabetes mellitus) with previous echocardiography but without a cause for AF (e.g. mitral valve disease, left ventricular (LV) dysfunction). With age-based screening (AgeScreen; 3% AF detection rate) all patients underwent ECG. With imaging-guided screening (ImagingScreen; 5% detection rate), only patients with left atrial (LA) volume ≥34 mL/m2 and LA reservoir strain <34% or LV global longitudinal strain > -18% underwent ECG screening. A Markov model was informed by published transition probabilities, costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALY). Costs, effects and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio were assessed for each screening strategy over a 20-year period. The willingness-to-pay threshold was $53 000/QALY. RESULTS: ImagingScreen dominated AgeScreen, with a lower cost ($54 823 vs $57842) and better outcome (11.56 vs 11.52 QALY over 20 years). Monte Carlo simulation demonstrated that 61% of observations were more efficacious with ImagingScreen, with cost below willingness to pay. The main cost determinants were annual costs of stroke or heart failure and AF detection rates. ImagingScreen was more cost-effective for AF detection rates up to 14%, and more cost-effective across a range of annual stroke ($24 000-$102 000) and heart failure ($4000-$12 000) costs. CONCLUSION: In patients with a previous echocardiogram, AF screening of those with baseline clinical and imaging risk parameters is more cost-effective than age-based screening.

New Cardiovascular Risk Assessment Techniques for Primary Prevention: JACC Review Topic of the Week.

Risk factor-based models fail to accurately estimate risk in select populations, in particular younger individuals. A sizable number of people are also classified as being at intermediate risk, for whom the optimal preventive strategy could be more precise. Several personalized risk prediction tools, including coronary artery calcium scoring, polygenic risk scores, and metabolic risk scores may be able to improve risk assessment, pending supportive outcome data from clinical trials. Other tools may well emerge in the near future. A multidimensional approach to risk prediction holds the promise of precise risk prediction. This could allow for targeted prevention minimizing unnecessary costs and risks while maximizing benefits. High-risk individuals could also be identified early in life, creating opportunities to arrest the development of nascent coronary atherosclerosis and prevent future clinical events.

Nurse-Provided Lung and Inferior Vena Cava Assessment in Patients With Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: Residual congestion detected using handheld ultrasound may be associated with increased risk of readmission and death after hospitalization for acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF). However, effective application necessitates routine use by nonexperts delivering clinical care. OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to determine the ability of heart failure (HF) nurses to deliver a predischarge lung and inferior vena cava (IVC) assessment (LUICA) to predict 90-day outcomes. METHODS: In this multisite, prospective, observational study, HF nurses scanned 240 patients with ADHF (median age: 77 years; 56% men) using a 9-zone LUICA protocol. Obtained images were reviewed by independent nurses who were blinded to clinical characteristics and outcomes. Based on a B-line cut-off of 10, patients were dichotomized as congested (n = 115) or not congested (n = 125). RESULTS: Congested patients were more likely to have previous cardiac operations, long-standing HF (>6 months), and renal impairment. At 90 days, HF readmission or mortality occurred in 42 congested patients (37%) compared with 18 noncongested patients (14%). Pulmonary congestion increased at 30-day (OR: 3.86; 95% CI: 1.65-8.99; P < 0.01) and 90-day (OR: 3.42; 95% CI: 1.82-6.4; P < 0.01) HF readmission or mortality risk and 90-day mortality (OR: 5.18; 95% CI: 1.44-18.69; P < 0.01). Pulmonary congestion increased the 90-day odds of HF readmission and/or death by 3.3- to 4.2-fold (P < 0.01), independent of demographics, HF characteristics, comorbidities, and event risk score. Over 90 days, days alive out of hospital were fewer (78.3 ± 21.4 days vs 85.5 ± 12.4 days; P < 0.01) in congested patients. CONCLUSIONS: LUICA can be a powerful tool for detection of predischarge residual congestion. HF nurses can obtain images and provide diagnostic reports that are predictive of ADHF outcomes.

Absolute risk assessment for guiding cardiovascular risk management in a chest pain clinic.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the efficacy of a pro-active, absolute cardiovascular risk-guided approach to opportunistically modifying cardiovascular risk factors in patients without coronary ischaemia attending a chest pain clinic. DESIGN: Prospective, randomised, open label, blinded endpoint study. SETTING: The rapid access chest pain clinic of Royal Hobart Hospital, a tertiary hospital. PARTICIPANTS: Patients who presented to the chest pain clinic between 1 July 2014 and 31 December 2017 who had intermediate to high absolute cardiovascular risk scores (5-year risk ≥ 8%). Patients with known cardiac disease or from groups with clinically determined high risk of cardiovascular disease were excluded. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary endpoint was change in 5-year absolute risk score (Australian absolute risk calculator) at follow-up (at least 12 months after baseline assessment). Secondary endpoints were changes in lipid profile, blood pressure, smoking status, and body mass index, and major adverse cardiovascular events. RESULTS: The mean change in risk at follow-up was +0.4 percentage points (95% CI, -0.8 to 1.5 percentage points) for the 98 control group patients and -2.4 percentage points (95% CI, -1.5 to -3.4 percentage points) for the 91 intervention group patients; the between-group difference in change was 2.7 percentage points (95% CI, 1.2-4.1 percentage points). Mean changes in lipid profile, systolic blood pressure, and smoking status were larger for the intervention group, but not statistically different from those for the control group. CONCLUSIONS: An absolute cardiovascular risk-guided, pro-active risk factor management strategy employed opportunistically in a chest pain clinic significantly improved 5-year absolute cardiovascular risk scores. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Australia New Zealand Clinical Trial Registry, ACTRN12617000615381 (retrospective).

Cost-Effectiveness of Coronary Artery Calcium Scoring in People With a Family History of Coronary Disease.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the cost effectiveness of coronary artery calcium (CAC) compared with traditional risk factor-based prediction alone in those with an family history of premature coronary artery disease (FHCAD). BACKGROUND: The use of CAC scoring to guide primary prevention statin therapy in those with a FHCAD is inconsistently recommended in guidelines, and usually not reimbursed by insurance. METHODS: A microsimulation model was constructed in TreeAge Healthcare Pro using data from 1,083 participants in the CAUGHT-CAD (Coronary Artery Calcium Score: Use to Guide Management of HerediTary Coronary Artery Disease) trial. Outcomes assessed were quality-adjusted life years (QALYs): cost-effectiveness was assessed over a 15-year time horizon from the perspective of the US health care sector using real-world statin prescribing, accounting for the effect of knowledge of subclinical disease on adherence to guideline-directed therapies. Costs were assessed in 2020 USD, with discounting undertaken at 3%. RESULTS: Statins were indicated in 45% of the cohort using the CAC strategy and 27% using American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (2019) treatment strategies. Compared with applying a statin treatment threshold of 7.5%, the CAC strategy was more costly ($145) and more effective (0.0097 QALY) with an incremental cost-effective ratio (ICER) of $15,014/QALY. CAC ICER was driven by CAC acquisition and statin prescription cost and improved with certain patient subgroups: male, age >60 years, and 10-year risk pooled cohort equation risk ≥7.5%. CAC scanning of low-risk patients (10-year risk <5%) or those 40 to 50 years of age was not cost-effective. CONCLUSIONS: Systematic CAC screening and treatment of those with FHCAD and subclinical disease was more cost-effective than management using statin treatment thresholds, in the US health care system.

Cost-effectiveness of combined catheter ablation and left atrial appendage closure for symptomatic atrial fibrillation in patients with high stroke and bleeding risk.

BACKGROUND: Combined catheter ablation (CA) and left atrial appendage closure (LAAC) have been proposed for management of symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with high stroke and bleeding risk. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of combined CA and LAAC compared with CA and standard oral anticoagulation (OAC) in symptomatic AF. METHODS: A Markov model was developed to assess total costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio among 2 post-CA strategies: (1) standard OAC and (2) LAAC (combined CA and LAAC procedure). The base-case used a 10-year time horizon and consisted of a hypothetical cohort of patients aged 65 years with symptomatic AF, with high thrombotic (CHA2DS2-VASc = 3) and bleeding risk (HAS-BLED = 3), and planned for AF ablation. Values for transition probabilities, utilities, and costs were derived from the literature. Costs were converted to 2020 US dollars. Half-cycle correction was applied, and costs and QALYs were discounted at 3% annually. Sensitivity analyses were performed for significant variables and scenario analyses for higher embolic risk. RESULTS: In the base-case cohort of 10,000 patients followed for 10 years, total costs for the LAAC strategy were $29,027 and for OAC strategy were $27,896. The LAAC strategy was associated with 122 fewer disabling strokes and 203 fewer intracranial hemorrhages per 10,000 patients compared with the OAC strategy. The LAAC strategy had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $11,072/QALY. In sensitivity analyses, although cost-effectiveness was highly dependent on the risk of intracranial hemorrhage in the LAAC strategy and the cost of the combined procedure, LAAC was superior to OAC under the most circumstances. Scenario analyses demonstrated that the combined procedure was more cost-effective in patients with higher stroke risk. CONCLUSIONS: In symptomatic AF patients with high stroke and bleeding risk who are planned for CA, the combined CA and LAAC procedure may be a cost-effective therapeutic option and be more beneficial to patients with CHA2DS2-VASc risk score ≥3.

Feasibility, Reproducibility, and Clinical Implications of the Novel Fully Automated Assessment for Global Longitudinal Strain.

BACKGROUND: Despite evidence of its usefulness, measurement of global longitudinal strain (GLS) has not been widely accepted as a clinical routine, because it requires proficiency and is time consuming. Automated assessment of GLS may be the solution for this situation. The aim of this study was to investigate the feasibility, reproducibility, and predictive value of automated strain analysis compared with semiautomated and manual assessment of GLS. METHODS: In this validation study, different methods for the assessment of GLS were applied to echocardiograms from 561 asymptomatic subjects (mean age, 71 ± 5 years) with heart failure risk factors, recruited from the community. All patients had both data on follow-up outcomes (new heart failure and cardiac death) and interpretable echocardiographic images for strain analysis. Measurement of GLS was repeated using the same apical images with three different measurement packages as follows: (1) fully automated GLS (AutoStrain), (2) semiautomated GLS (automated, corrected by a trained investigator), and (3) manual GLS (standard manual assessment by a trained investigator). RESULTS: AutoStrain measurements were technically feasible in 99.5% of patients. Calculation times for automated (0.5 ± 0.1 min/patient) and semiautomated assessment (2.7 ± 0.6 min/patient) were significantly shorter than for manual assessment (4.5 ± 1.6 min/patient; P < .001 for both). Approximately 40% of patients were thought to need manual correction after automatic calculation of GLS. Therefore, there was considerable discordance between automated and semiautomated and manual GLS. Over a median of 12 months of follow-up, cardiovascular events (new heart failure and cardiac death) occurred in 66 patients (11.8%). Automated GLS showed the potential to correctly detect normal and abnormal systolic function and predict cardiac events; the predictive value was inferior to that of semiautomated GLS. CONCLUSIONS: A novel fully automated assessment for GLS may provide a technically feasible, rapidly reproducible, and clinically applicable means of assessing left ventricular function, but a substantial number of automatic traces still need manual correction by experts. At the present stage, the semiautomated approach using this novel automated software seems to provide a better balance between feasibility and clinical relevance.

Coronary artery calcium scoring in cardiovascular risk assessment of people with family histories of early onset coronary artery disease.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the predictive value of the Australian absolute cardiovascular disease risk (ACVDR) calculator and other assessment tools for identifying Australians with family histories of early onset coronary artery disease (CAD) who have coronary artery calcification. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS: People without known CAD were recruited at seven Australian hospitals, October 2016 - January 2019. Participants were aged 40-70 years, had a family history of early onset CAD, and a 5-year ACVDR of 2-15%. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: CT coronary artery calcium score greater than zero (any coronary calcification) or greater than 100 (calcification warranting lipid therapy). RESULTS: 1059 participants were recruited; 477 (45%) had non-zero coronary artery calcium scores (median 5-year ACVDR, 4.8% [IQR, 2.9-7.6%]; median coronary artery calcium score, 41.7 [IQR, 8-124]); 582 (55%) did not (median 5-year ACVDR, 3.2% [IQR, 2.0-4.6%]). Of 151 participants with calcium scores of 100 or more, 116 (77%) were deemed to be at low cardiovascular risk by Australian guidelines, while 14 of 75 participants at intermediate risk (19%) had zero calcium scores. The sensitivity of the ACVDR calculator for identifying people with non-zero calcium scores (area under receiver operator curve [AUC], 0.674) was lower than that of the pooled cohort equation (AUC, 0.711; P < 0.001). ACVDR (10-year)- and Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)-predicted risk categories concurred for 511 participants (48%); classifications were concordant for 925 participants (87%) when the ACVDR was supplemented by calcium scores. CONCLUSIONS: Coronary artery calcium scoring should be considered as part of the heart health check for patients at intermediate ACVDR risk and with family histories of early onset CAD. Alternative risk calculators may better select such patients for further diagnostic testing and primary prevention therapy. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry, ACTRN 12614001294640; 11 December 2014 (prospective).