Using Decision Tree Methodology to Predict Employment After Moderate to Severe Traumatic Brain Injury.

OBJECTIVE: To build decision tree prediction models for long-term employment outcomes of individuals after moderate to severe closed traumatic brain injury (TBI) and assess model accuracy in an independent sample. SETTING: TBI Model Systems Centers. PARTICIPANTS: TBI Model Systems National Database participants injured between January 1997 and January 2017 with moderate to severe closed TBI. Sample sizes were 7867 (year 1 postinjury), 6783 (year 2 postinjury), and 4927 (year 5 postinjury). DESIGN: Cross-sectional analyses using flexible classification tree methodology and validation using an independent subset of TBI Model Systems National Database participants. MAIN MEASURES: Competitive employment at 1, 2, and 5 years postinjury. RESULTS: In the final employment prediction models, posttraumatic amnesia duration was the most important predictor of employment in each outcome year. Additional variables consistently contributing were age, preinjury education, productivity, and occupational category. Generally, individuals spending fewer days in posttraumatic amnesia, who were competitively employed preinjury, and more highly educated had better outcomes. Predictability in test data sets ranged from a C-statistic of 0.72 (year 5; confidence interval: 0.68-0.76) to 0.77 (year 1; confidence interval: 0.74-0.80). CONCLUSION: An easy-to-use decision tree tool was created to provide prognostic information on long-term competitive employment outcomes in individuals with moderate to severe closed TBI. Length of posttraumatic amnesia, a clinical marker of injury severity, and preinjury education and employment status were the most important predictors.

Family Needs on an Inpatient Brain Injury Rehabilitation Unit: A Quantitative Assessment.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the needs of family members in an inpatient setting and factors predicting extent to which needs are perceived as met. SETTING: University health system inpatient rehabilitation unit. PARTICIPANTS: Adult survivors of traumatic brain injury and family members (n = 85). DESIGN: Prospective, cross-sectional. MAIN MEASURE: Family Needs Questionnaire-Revised (FNQ-R). RESULTS: Needs related to the Health Information subscale were most frequently rated as met, whereas needs related to the Instrumental Support and Emotional Support subscales were most frequently rated as unmet. Predictors related to the FNQ-R included family income, gender, and ethnicity. For 4 of 6 subscales, white family members were more likely to rate needs as unmet than minority members. For 3 subscales, females were more likely to rate needs as unmet than males. Greater household income was associated with fewer met needs for 2 subscales. CONCLUSIONS: The ranking of met and unmet needs in the present study was remarkably similar to previous studies within and outside the United States. Clinicians should not assume that families with relatively higher incomes will experience fewer unmet needs. Through structured assessment, clinicians can reveal perceived needs that might have otherwise been unrecognized and facilitate appropriate supports. Findings provide direction for inpatient program development.

The traumatic brain injury model systems: history and contributions to clinical service and research.

The model systems (MSs) of care for traumatic brain injury (TBI) is a demonstration program started by the National Institute on Disability and Rehabilitation Research in 1987 to improve care and outcomes for individuals with TBI, from emergency services through life-long follow-up. Over the next 20 years, the program increased in size, and the emphasis shifted from demonstration to research. The focal point of that research is the National Data Base, a longitudinal database including nearly 9000 individuals who were admitted for inpatient acute TBI rehabilitation. In addition to preinjury, injury, acute care, and rehabilitation information, the database includes reports of outcomes at 1, 2, 5, 10, 15, etc, years postinjury. The National Data Base criteria, main contents, and mechanisms used to improve data quantity and quality are described. The MSs' other research is described: local (site-specific), module, and collaborative, with illustrative glimpses of the content. The impact of the TBI MSs program, through dissemination, knowledge translation, training of clinicians and researchers, as well as consulting with policy makers, administrators, clinicians, and researchers is discussed.

Complicated mild traumatic brain injury on the inpatient rehabilitation unit: a multicenter analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To determine characteristics of patients with complicated mild traumatic brain injury (CMTBI) on the inpatient rehabilitation unit and to accentuate limits of current classification systems for patients with mild TBI. DESIGN: Multicenter analysis of individuals with a Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score of 13 to 15 (lowest score in 24 h) and positive computed tomography findings admitted to inpatient rehabilitation for TBI. SETTING: 16 TBI Model System centers funded by the National Institute on Disability and Rehabilitation Research. PARTICIPANTS: 373 adults with CMTBI. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Functional Independence Measure (FIM) and Disability Rating Scale (DRS) scores, length of stay, and medical complications. RESULTS: 16% of the sample experienced serious cranial complications (eg, cerebrospinal fluid leak, intracranial hypertension), with seizures being the most common during the course of inpatient rehabilitation. Most patients demonstrated substantial improvements on functional outcome measures during rehabilitation (mean admission FIM 68.2, discharge FIM 100.6; admission DRS 9.1, discharge DRS 4.8). Age, acute length of stay, and FIM score on rehabilitation admission were significant predictors of rehabilitation length of stay. Factors not predictive of rehabilitation duration were GCS score, ethnicity, gender, incidence of fractures, and incidence of cranial/noncranial complications. CONCLUSION: Despite favorable GCS scores, some patients with CMTBI suffer a variety of serious cranial and noncranial complications. Such patients appear to benefit from additional brain injury services offered in inpatient rehabilitation. Further study of the unique treatment needs of these patients is warranted.