Global prevalence of hepatitis C virus in women of childbearing age in 2019: a modelling study.

BACKGROUND: Treatment for infection with hepatitis C virus (HCV) during pregnancy has not yet been approved; however, interventions specifically targeting women, especially those of childbearing age (15-49 years), could prevent vertical transmission and community spread. To assess the impact of such interventions, improved prevalence estimates in this group are needed. We aimed to estimate the global prevalence of viraemic HCV in 2019 among women of childbearing age. METHODS: In this modelling study, we used previously developed models for 110 countries inputted with country-specific demographic and HCV epidemiology data. We did a literature review, searching PubMed, Embase, and grey literature for studies published between Jan 1, 2000, and June 30, 2018, reporting HCV antibody or viraemic prevalence in women of childbearing age. Studies from the literature review and studies in models were compared by use of a data quality scoring system and models were updated, as appropriate, when a better study was identified. We used these HCV disease burden models to calculate the 2019 prevalence of viraemic HCV in women of childbearing age. In countries without a model, prevalence was extrapolated by Global Burden of Disease (GBD) region. FINDINGS: An estimated 14 860 000 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 9 667 000-18 282 000) women aged 15-49 years had HCV infection worldwide in 2019, corresponding to a viraemic prevalence of 0·78% (95% UI 0·62-0·86). Globally, HCV prevalence increased with age, rising from 0·25% (95% UI 0·20-0·27) in women aged 15-19 years to 1·21% (0·97-1·34) in women aged 45-49 years. China (16% of total infections) and Pakistan (15%) had the greatest numbers of viraemic infections, but viraemic prevalence was highest in Mongolia (5·14%, 95% CI 3·46-6·28) and Burundi (4·91%, 3·80-18·75). Of the countries with 500 cases or more, viraemic prevalence was lowest in Chile (0·07%, 95% UI 0·04-0·12). Among the GBD regions, eastern Europe had the highest viraemic prevalence (3·39%, 95% UI 1·88-3·54). By WHO region, the Eastern Mediterranean region had the highest viraemic prevalence (1·75%, 95% UI 1·26- 1·90). INTERPRETATION: Most research on HCV disease burden among women aged 15-49 years focuses on pregnant women. Using modelling, this analysis provides global and national estimates of HCV prevalence in all women of childbearing age. These data can inform preconception test-and-treat strategies to reduce vertical transmission and total disease burden. FUNDING: Gilead Sciences, John C Martin Foundation, private donors.

A pilot study to expand treatment of chronic hepatitis C in resource-limited settings.

The past five years have seen a revolution in the treatment of chronic hepatitis C, as short duration oral regimens of direct-acting antiviral drugs (DAAs), with nearly 100% cure rates for all genotypes, have replaced longer courses of ribavirin and injected interferon. Although initially very expensive, these DAAs are now becoming available in generic equivalents in countries with large numbers of chronically infected people, such as India. However, a number of obstacles may hinder the delivery of these drugs in resource-limited settings, including lack of access to diagnostic testing and the restriction of treatment to a small number of medical specialists. New approaches are therefore needed to make DAAs available to the estimated 71 million infected people, many of whom disproportionately live in low- or middle-income countries. A recent pilot study (ASCEND) of hepatitis C management in a low-income population in Washington, D.C., demonstrated that trained nurse practitioners, primary care physicians and hepatologists were equally successful in diagnosing and treating patients, indicating that such an approach might be successful in resource-limited regions of the world. Members of the Global Virus Network have received funding to carry out a similar training project in a region of India with a high prevalence of hepatitis C. This paper reviews the challenges of delivering DAA therapy in low- and middle-income countries, describes plans for performing and evaluating the effectiveness of a training program in India, and discusses future needs for the eventual elimination of hepatitis C.