Class II/III Obesity Prevalence in Residents of US Nursing Homes: Cross-sectional Study and Forecasting 2030 with COVID-19 Perspective.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to better understand Class II/III obesity prevalence trends among older adults residing in nursing homes (NH) nationwide. METHODS: Our retrospective cross-sectional study evaluated Class II/III obesity (BMI ≥35 kg/m²) prevalence among NH residents in two independent national NH cohorts. We used databases from Veterans Administration NHs called Community Living Centers (CLCs) covering 7 years to 2022, and Rhode Island Medicare data covering 20 years ending in 2020. We also performed forecasting regression analysis of obesity trends. RESULTS: While VA CLC resident obesity prevalence was less overall and dipped during the COVID-19 pandemic, obesity prevalence increased in NH residents in both cohorts over the last decade and is predicted to do so through 2030. CONCLUSION: Obesity prevalence in NHs is on the rise. It will be important to understand clinical, functional, and financial implications for NHs, particularly if predictions on increases materialize.

Cardiac Rehabilitation and the COVID-19 Pandemic: Persistent Declines in Cardiac Rehabilitation Participation and Access Among US Medicare Beneficiaries.

BACKGROUND: The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on participation in and availability of cardiac rehabilitation (CR) is unknown. METHODS: Among eligible Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries, we evaluated, by month, the number of CR sessions attended per 100 000 beneficiaries, individuals eligible to initiate CR, and centers offering in-person CR between January 2019 and December 2021. We compared these outcomes between 2 periods: December 1, 2019 through February 28, 2020 (period 1, before declaration of the pandemic-related national emergency) and October 1, 2021 through December 31, 2021 (period 2, the latest period for which data are currently available). RESULTS: In period 1, Medicare beneficiaries participated in (mean±SD) 895±84 CR sessions per 100 000 beneficiaries each month. After the national emergency was declared, CR participation sharply declined to 56 CR sessions per 100 000 beneficiaries in April 2020. CR participation recovered gradually through December 2021 but remained lower than prepandemic levels (period 2: 698±29 CR sessions per month per 100 000 beneficiaries, P=0.02). Declines in CR participation were most marked among dual Medicare and Medicaid enrollees and patients residing in rural areas or socially vulnerable communities. There was no statistically significant change in CR eligibility between the 2 periods. Compared with 2618±5 CR centers in period 1, there were 2464±7 in period 2 (P<0.01). Compared with CR centers that survived the pandemic, 220 CR centers that closed were more likely to be affiliated with public hospitals, located in rural areas, and serve the most socially vulnerable communities. CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 pandemic was associated with a persistent decline in CR participation and the closure of CR centers, which disproportionately affected rural and low-income patients and the most socially vulnerable communities. Innovation in CR financing and delivery is urgently needed to equitably enhance CR participation among Medicare beneficiaries.

US nursing home residents receiving PCV13 in the SNF by recorded pneumococcal vaccination up-to-date status, 2014-2018.

BACKGROUND: Since PCV13 was recommended in 2014, the characteristics of nursing home (NH) residents (and their facilities) recorded by facilities as not up-to-date with pneumococcal vaccination upon admission were unknown, and it is unknown if they received PCV13 in the NH. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort of NH residents of Centers for Medicare and Medicaid (CMS)-certified skilled nursing facilities from October 1, 2014, through September 22, 2018. CMS' Minimum Data Set (MDS) was linked to Medicare Part B Carrier claims to corroborate pneumococcal vaccination up-to-date status in the MDS with pneumococcal vaccination claims. The primary outcome of interest was vaccination with PCV13 versus nonreceipt among those identified as "not up to date" according to facility MDS records. We estimated generalized estimating equation (GEE) models. RESULTS: Of the 1,459,814 residents recorded not up-to-date, (78.2%) had no Part B claims for PCV13 before or in the NH, the majority of whom (71.5%) were reported to have refused the vaccine when offered. Only 1.3% subsequently received PCV13 within 99 days after NH admission. In adjusted analyses, residents less likely to receive PCV13 in the NH than those who did included: residence in a for-profit facility (OR: 0.94 [95% CI: 0.89, 0.99]); male (OR: 0.92 [95% CI:0.89, 0.95]); black race (OR: 0.71 (95%CI: 0.66, 0.77); Hispanic ethnicity (OR: 0.69 [95%CI: 0.59, 0.75]); severely cognitively impaired compared with any lesser degree of impairment; had diabetes (OR: 0.93 [95%CI: 0.89, 0.97]); long-stay (≥100 days) compared with short-stay residents (OR: 0.17 (95%CI: 0.15, 0.20); and did not receive the influenza vaccine (OR: 0.74 (95%CI: 0.71, 0.77). CONCLUSIONS: Due to refusals, few NH residents recorded not up-to-date on pneumococcal vaccinations from 2014 to 2018 received PCV13 within three months of admission. Strategies to promote newly recommended PCV15 or PCV20 vaccination upon NH admission may be needed.

Risk factors for pneumonia and influenza hospitalizations in long-term care facility residents: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Older adults who reside in long-term care facilities (LTCFs) are at particularly high risk for infection, morbidity and mortality from pneumonia and influenza (P&I) compared to individuals of younger age and those living outside institutional settings. The risk factors for P&I hospitalizations that are specific to LTCFs remain poorly understood. Our objective was to evaluate the incidence of P&I hospitalization and associated person- and facility-level factors among post-acute (short-stay) and long-term (long-stay) care residents residing in LTCFs from 2013 to 2015. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, we used Medicare administrative claims linked to Minimum Data Set and LTCF-level data to identify short-stay (< 100 days, index = admission date) and long-stay (100+ days, index = day 100) residents who were followed from the index date until the first of hospitalization, LTCF discharge, Medicare disenrollment, or death. We measured incidence rates (IRs) for P&I hospitalization per 100,000 person-days, and estimated associations with baseline demographics, geriatric syndromes, clinical characteristics, and medication use using Cox regression models. RESULTS: We analyzed data from 1,118,054 short-stay and 593,443 long-stay residents. The crude 30-day IRs (95% CI) of hospitalizations with P&I in the principal position were 26.0 (25.4, 26.6) and 34.5 (33.6, 35.4) among short- and long-stay residents, respectively. The variables associated with P&I varied between short and long-stay residents, and common risk factors included: advanced age (85+ years), admission from an acute hospital, select cardiovascular and respiratory conditions, impaired functional status, and receipt of antibiotics or Beers criteria medications. Facility staffing and care quality measures were important risk factors among long-stay residents but not in short-stay residents. CONCLUSIONS: Short-stay residents had lower crude 30- and 90-day incidence rates of P&I hospitalizations than long-stay LTCF residents. Differences in risk factors for P&I between short- and long-stay populations suggest the importance of considering distinct profiles of post-acute and long-term care residents in infection prevention and control strategies in LTCFs. These findings can help clinicians target interventions to subgroups of LTCF residents at highest P&I risk.

Association Between Bisphosphonates and Hospitalized Clostridioides difficile Infection Among Frail Older Adults.

OBJECTIVES: Clostridioides difficile infection is a major source of morbidity and mortality among frail older adults, especially those in nursing homes (NHs). Safety reports have signaled that bisphosphonate use may be a contributing cause. We therefore evaluated the risk of C difficile hospitalization associated with oral bisphosphonate use in the NH. DESIGN: Observational, retrospective new-user cohort study. SETTING: The cohort included US NH residents aged ≥65 years who became a long-stay resident (>100 days in the NH) between January 1, 2008 and December 31, 2009. METHODS: We conducted a study of NH residents using linked Medicare claims and Minimum Data Set records. Residents were new users of an oral bisphosphonate 1:1 matched to new calcitonin users ("active" comparator) on propensity scores controlling for more than 100 covariates. The outcome was risk of hospitalization for C difficile infection in a Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for previous antibiotic and proton pump inhibitor use. RESULTS: Our final analytical cohort included 17,753 bisphosphonate and 5348 calcitonin users. In the matched cohort, 84/5209 (1.6%) vs 71/5209 (1.4%) C difficile-related hospitalizations occurred in bisphosphonate and calcitonin users, respectively. We observed no significant difference in the risk of hospitalization among bisphosphonate users (hazard ratio: 1.11, 95% confidence interval: 0.80-1.51). Antibiotic and proton pump inhibitor exposure before and after osteoporosis treatment was also similar between bisphosphonate and calcitonin users. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: C difficile infection should not be a consideration when prescribing bisphosphonates to frail older adults given the lack of a significant association.

Hospital Influenza Admissions as a Harbinger for Nursing Home Influenza Cases.

OBJECTIVES: To determine temporal associations of local measures of influenza morbidity and mortality by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) with influenza hospitalizations in nursing home residents. DESIGN: Retrospective, longitudinal panel study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Long-stay nursing home residents, aged 65 years or older in 823 nursing homes from 2011 to 2015. MEASURES: CDC-reported rates of influenza and pneumonia mortality and laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations. We compared the CDC measures to nursing home resident hospitalizations due to (1) all-cause, (2) a primary diagnosis of respiratory or circulatory illness, and (3) a primary diagnosis of pneumonia or influenza based on Medicare Part A Claims data. RESULTS: Our final sample included 273,743 unique residents in 819 nursing homes in 108 cities. National laboratory-confirmed influenza-associated hospitalizations for the group aged 65 and older occurred 0 to 1 week prior to nursing home resident influenza-related hospitalizations (Spearman ρ = 0.54). CDC-reported influenza hospitalizations occurred 3 weeks prior to CDC-reported influenza deaths (ρ = 0.59). Nursing home resident influenza hospitalizations occurred 2 weeks before local CDC-reported pneumonia and influenza deaths occurred (ρ = 0.44). CONCLUSIONS/IMPLICATIONS: Publicly reported CDC measures correlate well with nursing home hospitalizations for pneumonia and influenza. Rates of laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations (as reported by the CDC) may be a useful surrogate for nursing home influenza outbreaks but should be considered along with local indicators of disease outbreaks. Early community signals could be clinically leveraged as a trigger for increased infection control measures in nursing homes.

The burden of respiratory infections among older adults in long-term care: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory infections among older adults in long-term care facilities (LTCFs) are a major global concern, yet a rigorous systematic synthesis of the literature on the burden of respiratory infections in the LTCF setting is lacking. To address the critical need for evidence regarding the global burden of respiratory infections in LTCFs, we assessed the burden of respiratory infections in LTCFs through a systematic review of the published literature. METHODS: We identified articles published between April 1964 and March 2019 through searches of PubMed (MEDLINE), EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library. Experimental and observational studies published in English that included adults aged ≥60 residing in LTCFs who were unvaccinated (to identify the natural infection burden), and that reported measures of occurrence for influenza, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), or pneumonia were included. Disagreements about article inclusion were discussed and articles were included based on consensus. Data on study design, population, and findings were extracted from each article. Findings were synthesized qualitatively. RESULTS: A total of 1451 articles were screened for eligibility, 345 were selected for full-text review, and 26 were included. Study population mean ages ranged from 70.8 to 90.1 years. Three (12%) studies reported influenza estimates, 7 (27%) RSV, and 16 (62%) pneumonia. Eighteen (69%) studies reported incidence estimates, 7 (27%) prevalence estimates, and 1 (4%) both. Seven (27%) studies reported outbreaks. Respiratory infection incidence estimates ranged from 1.1 to 85.2% and prevalence estimates ranging from 1.4 to 55.8%. Influenza incidences ranged from 5.9 to 85.2%. RSV incidence proportions ranged from 1.1 to 13.5%. Pneumonia prevalence proportions ranged from 1.4 to 55.8% while incidence proportions ranged from 4.8 to 41.2%. CONCLUSIONS: The reported incidence and prevalence estimates of respiratory infections among older LTCF residents varied widely between published studies. The wide range of estimates offers little useful guidance for decision-making to decrease respiratory infection burden. Large, well-designed epidemiologic studies are therefore still necessary to credibly quantify the burden of respiratory infections among older adults in LTCFs, which will ultimately help inform future surveillance and intervention efforts.

Effect of Bisphosphonates on Fracture Outcomes Among Frail Older Adults.

BACKGROUND: Bisphosphonates are seldom used in frail, older adults, in part due to lack of direct evidence of efficacy in this population and increasing concerns about safety. OBJECTIVE: We estimated the effects of bisphosphonates on hip fractures, nonvertebral fractures, and severe esophagitis among frail, older adults. DESIGN: Population-based retrospective cohort using 2008 to 2013 linked national Minimum Data Set assessments; Online Survey Certification and Reporting System records; and Medicare claims. SETTING: US nursing homes (NHs). PARTICIPANTS: Long-stay NH residents 65 years and older without recent osteoporosis medication use (N = 24,571). Bisphosphonate initiators were 1:1 propensity score matched to calcitonin initiators (active comparator). MEASUREMENTS: Hospitalized hip fracture, nonvertebral fracture, and esophagitis outcomes were measured using part A claims. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated, controlling for over 100 baseline characteristics. RESULTS: The matched cohort included 5209 new bisphosphonate users and an equal number of calcitonin users (mean age [SD] = 85 [8] years; 87% female; 52% moderate-severe cognitive impairment). Over a mean follow-up of 2.5 (SD = 1.7) years, 568 residents (5.5%) had a hip fracture, 874 (8.4%) had a nonvertebral fracture, and 199 (1.9%) had a hospitalized esophagitis event. Users of bisphosphonates were less likely than calcitonin users to experience hip fracture (HR = 0.83; 95% CI = 0.71-0.98), with an average gain in time without fracture of 28.4 days (95% CI = 6.0-50.8 days). Bisphosphonate and calcitonin users had similar rates of nonvertebral fracture (HR = 0.91; 95% CI = 0.80-1.03) and esophagitis events (HR = 1.11; 95% CI = 0.84-1.47). The effects of bisphosphonates on fractures and esophagitis were generally homogeneous across subgroups, including those defined by age, sex, history of prior fracture, and baseline fracture risk. CONCLUSIONS: Use of bisphosphonates is associated with a meaningful reduction in hip fracture among frail, older adults, but little difference in nonvertebral fracture or severe esophagitis. J Am Geriatr Soc 67:768-776, 2019.

Facility and State Variation in Hip Fracture in U.S. Nursing Home Residents.

OBJECTIVES: To quantify the variation in hip fracture incidence across U.S. nursing home (NH) facilities and states and examine how hip fracture incidence varies according to facility- and state-level characteristics. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort using linked national Minimum Data Set assessments; Online Survey, Certification and Reporting records; and Medicare claims. SETTING: U.S. NHs with 100 or more beds. PARTICIPANTS: Long-stay NH residents between May 1, 2007, and April 30, 2008, from 1,481 facilities and 46 U.S. states (N = 201,892). MEASUREMENTS: Incident hip fractures were ascertained using Medicare Part A diagnostic codes. Each resident was followed for up to 2 years. RESULTS: The mean adjusted incidence rate of hip fractures for all facilities was 3.13 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 3.01-3.26) per 100 person-years (range 1.20, 95% CI = 1.15-1.26 to 6.40, 95% CI = 6.07-6.77). Facilities with the highest rates of hip fracture had greater percentages of residents taking psychoactive medications (top tertile 27.2%, bottom tertile 24.8%), and fewer nursing (top tertile 3.43, bottom tertile 3.53) and direct care (top tertile 3.22, bottom tertile 3.29) hours per day per resident. The combination of state and facility characteristics explained 6.7% of the variation in hip fracture, and resident characteristics explained 7.6%. CONCLUSION: Much of the variation in hip fracture incidence remained unexplained, although these findings indicate that potentially modifiable state and facility characteristics such as psychoactive drug prescribing and minimum staffing requirements could be addressed to help reduce the rate of hip fracture in U.S. NHs.

Pain Treatments After Hip Fracture Among Older Nursing Home Residents.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the association between use of opioids versus other analgesics with death and functioning after hip fracture in older nursing home (NH) residents. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort using national Medicare fee-for-service claims linked to the Minimum Data Set. SETTING: US NHs. PARTICIPANTS: NH residents aged ≥65 years who became a long-stay resident (>100 days in the NH) between January 2008 and December 2009, had a hospitalized hip fracture, and returned to the NH. EXPOSURE: New use of opioid versus nonopioid analgesics (acetaminophen or nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs) within 14 days post hip fracture. MEASUREMENTS: Follow-up began on the index date and continued until the first occurrence of death, significant functional decline (3-point increase on MDS Activities of Daily Living scale), or 120 days of follow-up. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for outcomes were estimated using inverse probability of treatment-weighted multinomial logistic regression models. RESULTS: Among the 2755 NH residents with a hip fracture included in our study, 1155 (41.9%) were opioid users, and 1600 (58.1%) were nonopioid analgesic users. The mean age was 86.3 years, 73.8% were female, and 86.0% were white. Opioid use was associated with a significantly lower likelihood of death (OR = 0.47, 95% CI 0.39-0.56) and a nonsignificant decrease in functional decline (OR = 0.77, 95% CI 0.58-1.03). CONCLUSION: A rigorous study that addresses the limitations of this study is critical to validate our preliminary findings and provide evidence about the effect of using opioid versus nonopioid analgesics to optimize acute pain in NH residents with a hip fracture.

Fracture Risk Assessment in Long-term Care (FRAiL): Development and Validation of a Prediction Model.

Background: Strategies used to predict fracture in community-dwellers may not be useful in the nursing home (NH). Our objective was to develop and validate a model (Fracture Risk Assessment in Long-term Care [FRAiL]) to predict the 2-year risk of hip fracture in NH residents using readily available clinical characteristics. Methods: The derivation cohort consisted of 419,668 residents between May 1, 2007 and April 30, 2008 in fee-for service Medicare. Hip fractures were identified using Part A diagnostic codes. Resident characteristics were obtained using the Minimum Data Set and Part D claims. Multivariable competing risk regression was used to model 2-year risk of hip fracture. We validated the model in a remaining 1/3 sample (n = 209,834) and in a separate cohort in 2011 (n = 858,636). Results: Mean age was 84 years (range 65-113 years) and 74.5% were female. During 1.8 years mean follow-up, 14,553 residents (3.5%) experienced a hip fracture. Fifteen characteristics in the final model were associated with an increased risk of hip fracture including dementia severity, ability to transfer and walk independently, prior falls, wandering, and diabetes. In the derivation sample, the concordance index was 0.69 in men and 0.71 in women. Calibration was excellent. Results were similar in the internal and external validation samples. Conclusions: The FRAiL model was developed specifically to identify NH residents at greatest risk for hip fracture, and it identifies a different pattern of risk factors compared with community models. This practical model could be used to screen NH residents for fracture risk and to target intervention strategies.

Influenza Illness and Hip Fracture Hospitalizations in Nursing Home Residents: Are They Related?

Background: Influenza illness may impact the risk of falls and fractures during acute illness due to unsteady gait or dizziness. We evaluated the association between influenza and hip fracture hospitalizations in long-stay (LS) nursing home (NH) residents. Methods: We analyzed weekly rates of hospitalization in a retrospective cohort of LS NH residents between January 1, 2000 to December 31, 2009. Hip fracture and influenza like illness (ILI) hospitalizations were identified with Medicare fee-for-service part A claims. We evaluated unadjusted and adjusted models with the primary exposures, weekly rate of influenza-like illness hospitalizations, city-wide mortality, and NH influenza vaccination rate and primary outcome of weekly rate of hip fracture hospitalizations. Results: There were 9,237 incident hip fractures in the cohort. Facility wide ILI hospitalization rate was associated with the hip fracture hospitalization rate in the unadjusted (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 1.13, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.08, 1.17) and adjusted (IRR 1.13, 95% CI: 1.09, 1.18) analyses. City-wide influenza mortality was associated with hip fracture hospitalization rates for the unadjusted (IRR 1.03, 95% CI: 1.02, 1.04), and adjusted (IRR 1.02, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.03) analyses. NH influenza vaccination rates were not associated with changes in hip fracture hospitalization rates. Conclusions: ILI hospitalizations are associated with a 13% average increase in hip fracture hospitalization risk. In a given NH week, an increase in the number ILI hospitalizations from none to two was associated with an approximate one percentage point increase in hip fracture hospitalization risk. Strategies to reduce influenza risk should be investigated to reduce hip fracture risk.

A national examination of pharmacy-based immunization statutes and their association with influenza vaccinations and preventive health.

BACKGROUND: A series of state-level statute changes have allowed pharmacists to provide influenza vaccinations in community pharmacies. The study aim was to estimate the effects of pharmacy-based immunization statutes changes on per capita influenza vaccine prescriptions, adult vaccination rates, and the utilization of other preventive health services. METHODS: A quasi-experimental study that compares vaccination outcomes over time before and after states allowed pharmacy-based immunization. Measures of per capita pharmacy prescriptions for influenza vaccines in each state came from a proprietary pharmacy prescription database. Data on adult vaccination rates and preventive health utilization were studied using multiple waves of the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS). The primary outcomes were changes in per capita influenza vaccine pharmacy prescriptions, adult vaccination rates, and preventive health interventions following changes. RESULTS: Between 2007 and 2013, the number of influenza vaccinations dispensed in community pharmacies increased from 3.2 to 20.9 million. After one year, adopting pharmacist immunization statutes increased per capita influenza vaccine prescriptions by an absolute difference (AD) of 2.6% (95% CI: 1.1-4.2). Adopting statutes did not lead to a significant absolute increase in adult vaccination rates (AD 0.9%, 95% CI: -0.3, 2.2). There also was no observed difference in adult vaccination rates among adults at high-risk of influenza complications (AD 0.8%, 95% CI: -0.2, 1.8) or among standard demographic subgroups. There also was no observed difference in the receipt of preventive health services, including routine physician office visits (AD -1.9%, 95% CI: -4.9, 1.1). CONCLUSIONS: Pharmacists are providing millions of influenza vaccines as a consequence of immunization statutes, but we do not observe significant differences in adult influenza vaccination rates. The main gains from pharmacy-based immunization may be in providing a more convenient way to obtain an important health service.