Quantifying the cost savings and health impacts of improving colonoscopy quality: an economic evaluation.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate and quantify the cost implications and health impacts of improving the performance of English endoscopy services to the optimum quality as defined by postcolonoscopy colorectal cancer (PCCRC) rates. DESIGN: A semi-Markov state-transition model was constructed, following the logical treatment pathway of individuals who could potentially undergo a diagnostic colonoscopy. The model consisted of three identical arms, each representing a high, middle or low-performing trust's endoscopy service, defined by PCCRC rates. A cohort of 40-year-old individuals was simulated in each arm of the model. The model's time horizon was when the cohort reached 90 years of age and the total costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were calculated for all trusts. Scenario and sensitivity analyses were also conducted. RESULTS: A 40-year-old individual gains 0.0006 QALYs and savings of £6.75 over the model lifetime by attending a high-performing trust compared with attending a middle-performing trust and gains 0.0012 QALYs and savings of £14.64 compared with attending a low-performing trust. For the population of England aged between 40 and 86, if all low and middle-performing trusts were improved to the level of a high-performing trust, QALY gains of 14 044 and cost savings of £249 311 295 are possible. Higher quality trusts dominated lower quality trusts; any improvement in the PCCRC rate was cost-effective. CONCLUSION: Improving the quality of endoscopy services would lead to QALY gains among the population, in addition to cost savings to the healthcare provider. If all middle and low-performing trusts were improved to the level of a high-performing trust, our results estimate that the English National Health Service would save approximately £5 million per year.

Systematic review of economic evaluations of aromatase inhibitors in estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer: quality evaluation.

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer (BC) is a leading cause of premature death in women and the most expensive malignancy to treat. Since the introduction of targeted therapies has resulted in changes to BC therapy practices, health economic evaluations have become more important in this area. Taking generic medications, Aromatase Inhibitors (AIs), as a case study, we conducted a systematic review of the recent economic evaluations of AIs for estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer patients and evaluated the quality of these health economic studies. OBJECTIVE: To systematically review and examine the quality of the available economic studies of AIs in estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer. METHODS: A literature search was performed using six relevant databases (MEDLINE, Embase, Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects, Health Technology Assessment Database, NHS Economic Evaluation Database, and SCOPUS) from January 2010 to July 2021. All economic studies were independently assessed by two reviewers using the Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards (CHEERS) checklist to evaluate the quality of the economic evaluations. This systematic review is registered in the PROSPERO database. To compare the different currencies used in these studies, all costs were converted to international dollars (2021). RESULTS: A total of eight studies were included in the review; six (75%) were performed from the healthcare providers' perspective. They were conducted in seven different countries, and all were model-based analyses using Markov models. Six (75%) considered both Quality Adjusted Life Years (QALYs) and Life Years (LY) outcomes, and all costs were derived from national databases. When compared to tamoxifen, AIs were generally cost-effective in postmenopausal women. Only half of the studies addressed the increased mortality following adverse events, and none mentioned medication adherence. For the quality assessment, six studies fulfilled 85% of the CHEERS checklist requirements and are deemed good quality. CONCLUSION: AIs are generally considered cost-effective compared to tamoxifen in estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer. The overall quality of the included studies was between high and average but characterizing heterogeneity, and distributional effects should be considered in any future economic evaluation studies of AIs. Studies should include adherence and adverse effects profiles to provide evidence to facilitate decision-making among policymakers.

Socio-economic status and the risk of breast cancer among Nigerian women: a case control study.

Introduction: an increased risk of breast cancer associated with high socio-economic status has been reported in high income countries. A few available African studies have reported inconsistent findings using different single socio-economic measures. Our aim was to investigate the association between socio-economic status and the risk of breast cancer among Nigerian women based on a range of socio-economic status measures. Methods: we conducted a hospital-based case-control study involving participants from five hospitals in Lagos and Abuja. Women were interviewed in-person between October 2016 and May 2017 using a semi-structured questionnaire. Socio-economic status was assessed based on education, occupation, income, wealth, and socio-economic index. Multivariable logistic regression was applied in data analysis using Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) version 23. Level of significance was based on 95% confidence interval or p-values less than 0.05. Results: we recruited 379 histologically confirmed breast cancer cases and 403 controls. Following full adjustments, breast cancer risk reduced as socio-economic index increased (p for trend=0.028). Although women in the highest categories of educational attainment [Odds ratio (OR)=0.21, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.09, 0.53], and personal income (OR=0.37, 95% CI: 0.19, 0.72) had a reduced risk of breast cancer compared to women in the lowest categories respectively after adjustments for relevant covariates, income alone exhibited a significant risk reduction following mutual adjustment for other socio-economic status measures (p for trend=0.014). Conclusion: the observed associations between high socio-economic status and lower breast cancer risk in Nigeria contrast with predominant findings in high-income countries. It suggests the need for socio-economic intervention and other preventive programmes such as improved access to screening and diagnostic services targeted at women of low socio-economic status in Nigeria.

International trends in the incidence of brain tumours in children and young-adults and their association with indicators of economic development.

INTRODUCTION: Childhood brain tumours (CBTs) are the second most common type of cancer in individuals aged 0-24 years globally and cause significant morbidity and mortality. CBT aetiology remains poorly understood, however previous studies found higher CBT incidence in high-income countries (HIC) compared to low-middle income countries (LMIC), suggesting a positive relationship between incidence and wealth. MATERIALS & METHODS: Aggregated data from Cancer Incidence in Five Continents (CI5) were used to explore CBT epidemiology. Incidence rate ratios (IRR) compared CBT rates between twenty-five geographically and economically diverse countries. The relationship between incidence and economic development was explored using linear regression models and Spearman's rank correlation tests. Trends in CBT incidence between 1978 and 2012 were investigated using average annual percentage changes (AAPC). RESULTS: CBT incidence was highest in North America and lowest in Africa. CBT incidence rates increased significantly with increasing GDP per capita (p = 0.006). Gini index was significantly negatively associated with CBT incidence. Incidence decreased with increasing income inequality within countries, indicated by higher Gini indices (p = 0.040). Increasing and decreasing CBT incidence trends were observed within individual countries, although only Italy (p = 0.02) and New Zealand (p < 0.005) experienced statistically significant changes over time. CONCLUSIONS: The excess disease found in HIC may be explained by environmental risk factor exposure increasing CBT risk in wealthy populations. However, systematic limitations of substandard cancer detection and reporting in LMIC may mean incidence disparities result from misinformation bias rather than genuine differences in risk factor exposure. Further research is required to comprehensively describe CBT epidemiology and explain study findings.

Quantitative Computed Tomography (QCT) of the Distal Forearm in Men Using a Spiral Whole-Body CT Scanner - Description of a Method and Reliability Assessment of the QCT Pro Software.

The Mr F study investigates the pathogenesis of low trauma distal forearm fractures in men and includes volumetric bone mineral density (vBMD) measurements at the ultradistal forearm as there are no current data. A standard 64 slice CT scanner was used to determine if it was possible to adapt the existing Mindways quantitative computed tomography Pro software for measuring vBMD values at the hip and spine sites. For calculation of intra- and interobserver reliability 40 forearm scans out of the 300 available were chosen randomly. The images were analyzed using the Slice Pick module and Bone Investigational Toolkit. The 4% length of the radius was chosen by measuring the length of the radius from the scaphoid fossa distally to the radial head. The acquired image then underwent extraction, isolation, rotation, and selection of region of interest in order to generate a report on vBMD. A cross-sectional image was created to allow the generation of data on the cortical and trabecular components separately. Repeat analyses were undertaken by 3 independent observers who were blinded as to whether the image was from a participant with or without fracture. The images were presented in random order at each time point. The following parameters were recorded: cortical cross sectional area, total vBMD, trabecular vBMD, and cortical vBMD (CvBMD). Data were analyzed by calculating intraclass correlation coefficients for intra- and interobserver reliability. The lowest values occurred at the CvBMD with intraobserver reliability of 0.92 (95% confidence interval [CI] of 0.86-0.96) and interobserver reliability of 0.92 (95% CI 0.89-0.96). All other parameters had reliability values between 0.97 and 0.99 with tighter 95% CI than for CvBMD. The method of adapting the Mindways Pro software using a standard CT to produce vBMD and structural data at the ultradistal radius is reliable.

Socio-economic patterning in early mortality of patients aged 0-49 years diagnosed with primary bone cancer in Great Britain, 1985-2008.

BACKGROUND: Studies have shown marked improvements in survival between 1981 and 2000 for Ewing sarcoma patients but not for osteosarcoma. This study aimed to explore socio-economic patterning in early mortality rates for both tumours. PROCEDURE: The study analysed all 2432 osteosarcoma and 1619 Ewing sarcoma cases, aged 0-49 years, diagnosed in Great Britain 1985-2008 and followed to 31/12/2009. Logistic regression models were used to calculate risk of dying within three months, six months, one year, three years and five years after diagnosis. Associations with Townsend deprivation score and its components were examined at small-area level. Urban/rural status was studied at larger regional level. RESULTS: For osteosarcoma, after age adjustment, mortality at three months, six months and one year was associated with higher area unemployment, OR = 1.05 (95% CI 1.00, 1.10), OR = 1.04 (95% CI 1.01, 1.08) and OR = 1.04 (95% CI 1.02, 1.06) respectively per 1% increase in unemployment. Mortality at six months was associated with greater household non-car ownership, OR = 1.02 (95% CI 1.00, 1.03). For Ewing sarcoma, there were no significant associations between mortality and overall Townsend score, nor its components for any time period. For both tumours increasing mortality was associated with less urban and more remote rural areas. CONCLUSIONS: This study found that for osteosarcoma, early mortality was associated with residence at diagnosis in areas of higher unemployment, suggesting risk of early death may be socio-economically determined. For both tumours, distance from urban centres may lead to greater risk of early death.

Is there a socioeconomic variation in survival from renal tumours in children and young people resident in northern England (1968-2012)?

BACKGROUND: Despite strong evidence of a social gradient in cancer survival among UK adults, studies in children and young people remain inconclusive and have not included renal tumours. This study investigated the relationship between socioeconomic status and survival from renal tumours among children and young people. PROCEDURE: Kaplan-Meier estimation and Cox regression were used to analyse survival for all 209 renal tumours in children and young people (0-24 years) diagnosed 1968-2012 and registered by a specialist population-based registry. Sociodemographic and clinicopathologic variables, including paternal occupation at birth, were also analysed. RESULTS: No significant disparity in overall renal tumour and Wilms tumour (WT) survival was observed according to paternal social class [p=0.988 and 0.808, respectively]. The strongest predictor of survival was stage, with late stage (III-IV) disease having a 4-fold higher risk of death compared to early stage (I-II) disease [p<0.001]. Similarly, high mortality-risk was seen for late stage WT in children aged 0-14 years (Hazard Ratio=6.37; 95% CI=2.60-15.59). CONCLUSIONS: This study did not detect a significant social gradient in renal tumour survival. The identification of tumour stage as a strong predictor of survival irrespective of age, necessitates the development of appropriate public health interventions that target early diagnosis and treatment.

Can changes in population mixing and socio-economic deprivation in Cumbria, England explain changes in cancer incidence around Sellafield?

Previously excesses in incident cases of leukaemia and non-Hodgkin lymphoma have been observed amongst young people born or resident in Seascale, Cumbria. These excesses have not been seen more recently. It is postulated that the former apparent increased risk was related to 'unusual population mixing', which is not present in recent years. This study investigated changes in measures of population mixing from 1951-2001. Comparisons were made between three specified areas. Area-based measures were calculated (migration, commuting, deprivation, population density). All areas have become more affluent, although Seascale was consistently the most affluent. Seascale has become less densely populated, with less migration into the ward and less diversity with respect to migrants' origin. There have been marked changes in patterns of population mixing throughout Cumbria. Lesser population mixing has been observed in Seascale in recent decades. Changes in pattern and nature of population mixing may explain the lack of recent excesses.

Socioeconomic patterning in the incidence and survival of teenage and young adult men aged between 15 and 24 years diagnosed with non-seminoma testicular cancer in northern england.

PURPOSE: Previous research from developed countries has shown a marked increase in the incidence of testicular cancer in the past 50 years. This has also been demonstrated in northern England, along with improving 5-year survival. The present study aims to determine if socioeconomic factors may play a role in both etiology and survival from non-seminoma testicular cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We extracted all 214 cases of non-seminoma testicular cancer diagnosed in teenage and young adult men aged between 15 and 24 years during 1968 to 2006 from the Northern Region Young Persons' Malignant Disease Registry, which is a population-based specialist regional registry. Negative binomial regression was used to examine the relationship between incidence and both the Townsend deprivation score (and component variables) and small-area population density. Cox regression was used to analyze the relationship between survival and both deprivation and population density. RESULTS: Decreased incidence was associated with living in areas of higher household overcrowding for young adults aged between 20 and 24 years (relative risk per 1% increase in household overcrowding = 0.79; 95% CI: 0.66-0.94) but no association was detected for young people aged between 15 and 19 years. Community-level household unemployment was associated with worse survival (hazard ratio per 1% increase in household unemployment = 1.04; 95% CI: 1.00-1.08). CONCLUSIONS: This study has shown that increased risk of non-seminoma testicular cancer in teenage and young adult men may be associated with some aspect of more advantaged living. In contrast, greater deprivation is linked with worse survival prospects. The study was ecological by design and so these area-based results may not necessarily apply to individuals.

Why are Iraq and Afghanistan War veterans seeking PTSD disability compensation at unprecedented rates?

The wars in Iraq and Afghanistan have produced historically low rates of fatalities, injuries, and posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) among U.S. combatants. Yet they have also produced historically unprecedented rates of PTSD disability compensation seeking from the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs. The purpose of this article is to consider hypotheses that might potentially resolve this paradox, including high rates of PTSD, delayed onset PTSD, malingered PTSD, and economic variables.

Allocation of scarce resources after a nuclear detonation: setting the context.

The purpose of this article is to set the context for this special issue of Disaster Medicine and Public Health Preparedness on the allocation of scarce resources in an improvised nuclear device incident. A nuclear detonation occurs when a sufficient amount of fissile material is brought suddenly together to reach critical mass and cause an explosion. Although the chance of a nuclear detonation is thought to be small, the consequences are potentially catastrophic, so planning for an effective medical response is necessary, albeit complex. A substantial nuclear detonation will result in physical effects and a great number of casualties that will require an organized medical response to save lives. With this type of incident, the demand for resources to treat casualties will far exceed what is available. To meet the goal of providing medical care (including symptomatic/palliative care) with fairness as the underlying ethical principle, planning for allocation of scarce resources among all involved sectors needs to be integrated and practiced. With thoughtful and realistic planning, the medical response in the chaotic environment may be made more effective and efficient for both victims and medical responders.

The assessment of the phenomenology of sleep paralysis: the Unusual Sleep Experiences Questionnaire (USEQ).

Previous research has found a relationship between sleep paralysis (SP) and anxiety states and higher rates have been reported among certain ethnic groups. To advance the cross-cultural study of SP, we developed a brief assessment instrument (which can be self-administered), the Unusual Sleep Experiences Questionnaire (USEQ). In this article, we report on a pilot study with the USEQ in a sample of 208 college students. The instrument was easily understood by the participants, with one quarter reporting at least one lifetime episode of SP. As in previous studies, SP was associated with anxiety (in particular, panic attacks).

Epidemiology of bone tumours in children and young adults.

Although the epidemiology of malignant bone tumours in children and young adults has been explored, no definitive causation of any specific tumour has yet been identified. We performed a literature review (1970-2008) to find all papers covering possible aetiological factors involved in the development of bone tumours in children and young adults. Several associations have been reported with some consistency: the presence of hernias and Ewing sarcoma; high fluoride exposure and osteosarcoma; and parental farming and residence on a farm, younger age at puberty and family history of cancer for all bone tumours, especially osteosarcoma. Clearly further research is needed to confirm or refute these putative risk factors. It is likely that studies of gene-environment interactions may prove to be the most fruitful of future research.