Keratinocyte Carcinoma Incidence by Race and Ethnicity in Older Adults With Medicare Coverage.

This cohort study examines raw and age-adjusted differences in the incidence of keratinocyte carcinoma among Medicare beneficiaries by race and ethnicity.

Skin Cancers in Medicare Beneficiaries With Actinic Keratoses.

Importance: Actinic keratoses (AK) are common premalignant skin lesions with a small risk of progressing to cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (SCC). There is some evidence that patients with AKs also have increased risks of other skin cancers beyond SCC. However, the absolute risks of skin cancer in patients with AKs are unknown. Objective: To calculate the absolute and relative risks of future skin cancer in Medicare beneficiaries with AKs. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study was performed using a deidentified, random sample of 4 999 999 fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries from 2009 through 2018. Patients with treated AKs were included, and patients with seborrheic keratoses (SKs) were included as a comparator group. All patients were required to have at least 1 year between data set entry and first AK or SK. Patients with a history of skin cancer were excluded. Data were analyzed from September 2022 to March 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures: Outcomes were first surgically treated skin cancer, including keratinocyte carcinoma (including SCC and basal cell carcinoma [BCC]) and melanoma. The absolute risks of skin cancer in patients with AKs were evaluated. Skin cancer risks in patients with AKs were compared with patients with SKs using adjusted competing risks regression. Results: A total of 555 945 patients with AKs (mean [SD] age, 74.0 [7.4] years; 55.4% female) and 481 024 patients with SKs (mean [SD] age, 73.3 [7.3] years; 72.4% female) were included. The absolute risk of skin cancer after a first AK was 6.3% (95% CI, 6.3%-6.4%) at 1 year, 18.4% (95% CI, 18.3%-18.5%) at 3 years, and 28.5% (95% CI, 28.4%-28.7%) at 5 years. Patients with AKs had increased risk of skin cancer compared with patients with SKs (any skin cancer: adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.17; 95% CI, 2.15-2.19; keratinocyte carcinoma: aHR, 2.20; 95% CI, 2.18-2.22; SCC: aHR, 2.63; 95% CI, 2.59-2.66; BCC: aHR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.82-1.87; and melanoma: aHR, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.60-1.73). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, older patients with AKs had substantial absolute risks, as well as elevated relative risks, of skin cancer. AKs may be clinical markers of UV exposure and increased skin cancer risk, including SCC, BCC, and melanoma. However, guidelines are lacking for follow-up skin cancer surveillance in patients with AKs. Efforts to develop evidence-based recommendations for skin cancer surveillance in patients with AKs are paramount.

Trends Over Time in Medicare for Advanced Practice Clinicians in Dermatology, 2013-2020.

Importance: The number of advanced practice clinicians (APCs, including nurse practitioners and physician assistants) in the US is increasing. The effect this has on dermatology is unclear. Objective: To develop a method to identify APCs practicing dermatology in claims data and to evaluate the contribution of dermatology APCs to the dermatology workforce and how this has changed over time. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study used the Medicare Provider Utilization and Payment Data Public Use files (2013 to 2020). As APCs are not listed by specialty, a method to identify APCs practicing dermatology was developed and validated using common dermatology procedural codes. The data were analyzed from November 2022 to April 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures: The proportion of clinicians and office visits by dermatology APCs and physician dermatologists were evaluated using Mann-Kendall tests. Joinpoint analysis was also used to compare the average annual percentage change of dermatology procedures and clinicians in rural-urban areas between dermatology APCs and physician dermatologists. Results: The method to identify APCs practicing dermatology had 96% positive predictive value, 100% negative predictive value, 100% sensitivity, and 100% specificity. Between 2013 and 2020, 8444 dermatology APCs and 14 402 physician dermatologists were identified. They provided 109 366 704 office visits in Medicare. The percentage of dermatology clinicians who were APCs increased over time, from 27.7% in 2013 to 37.0% in 2020 (P = .002). The proportion of dermatologic office visits provided by APCs also increased over time, from 15.5% in 2013 to 27.4% in 2020 (P = .002). For all procedure categories, the average annual percentage change was positive for dermatology APCs (range, 10.05%-12.65%) and was higher than that of physician dermatologists. For all rural-urban designations, the average annual percentage change was positive for dermatology APCs (range, 2.03%-8.69%) and was higher than metropolitan, micropolitan, and small-town areas from that of physician dermatologists. Conclusions and Relevance: In this retrospective cohort study, there was a temporal increase in the amount of dermatologic care provided by APCs in Medicare. These findings demonstrate changes in the dermatology workforce and may have implications for dermatology as a specialty.