Evaluation of effective coverage for type 2 diabetes in Mexican primary care health information systems: a retrospective registry analysis.

BACKGROUND: As the leading cause of disability and the fourth leading cause of premature death in Mexico, type 2 diabetes (T2D) represents a serious public health concern. The incidence of diabetes has increased dramatically in recent years, and data from the Mexican National Health and Nutrition Survey (ENSANUT) indicate that many people remain undiagnosed. Persistent socioeconomic health care barriers exacerbate this situation, as T2D morbidity and mortality are worsened in vulnerable populations, such as those without social security. We evaluated the performance of public primary health centers (PHCs) in T2D medical attention through the measure of effective coverage (EC, a combined measure of health care need, use, and quality) at national, state, health jurisdiction, and municipality levels. METHODS: This retrospective analysis used blinded data recorded during 2017 in the Non-communicable Diseases National Information System (SIC) and T2D prevalence reported in 2018 ENSANUT to evaluate the EC achieved. We included individuals ≥ 20 years old without social security who did not declare the use of private health care services. Each EC component (need, use, and quality) was estimated based on the Shengelia adapted framework. The Kruskal-Wallis test was applied to evaluate the associations among EC quintiles and demographics. RESULTS: In 2017, 26.5 million individuals, aged ≥ 20 years, without social security, and without the use of private health care services, were under the care of 12,086 PHCs. The national prevalence of T2D was 10.3%, equivalent to 2.6 million people living with T2D in need of primary health care. Large contrasts were seen among EC components between and within Mexican states. We found that only 37.1% of the above individuals received health services at PHCs and of them, 25.8% improved their metabolic condition. The national EC was 9.3%, and the range (by health jurisdiction) was 0.2%-38.6%, representing a large geographic disparity in EC. We found an evident disconnect among need, utilization, and quality rates across the country. CONCLUSIONS: Expansion and improvement of EC are urgently needed to address the growing number of people living with T2D in Mexico, particularly in states with vulnerable populations.

Burden, Incidence, Mortality and Lethality of Maternal Disorders in Mexico 1990-2019: An Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

BACKGROUND: Estimates of the sub-national distribution of maternal disorders in Mexico beyond Maternal Mortality Ratios are scarce. Characterizing the sub-national variation of maternal disorders may make it possible to focus more on interventions and thereby reduce their occurrence in a more meaningful and sustained manner. AIM: To analyze and describe the sub-national distribution, magnitude, trends and changes in the contribution of maternal causes to women's loss of health in Mexico from 1990-2019. METHODS: Using estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study, we describe the distribution and trends of maternal mortality ratio (MMR), mortality rate, case-fatality rate and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) due to maternal causes, at both national and state levels. RESULTS: Between 1990 and 2019, DALYs attributable to maternal causes had decreased 59.5%, mortality 63.8%, and incidence 46.5%. However, Maternal Mortality Ratio only decreased by 33%. The case-fatality rate of maternal disorders decreased by 50% overall; although for obstructed labor and uterine rupture, it remained unchanged. Lethality showed great variation between states, with a 3 fold difference between the maximum and minimum values. CONCLUSIONS: Although mortality and incidence of maternal causes in Mexico have greatly decreased in the last 30 years, these changes mostly reflect declines in fertility. The decrease seen in case-fatality rates is driven by decreases in causes such as hypertension and hemorrhage, though for others it remained constant. Efforts should be directed at improving access to, and management of, locally frequent maternal emergencies, formulating tailor-made regional interventions for maternal health.

The burden of disease, injuries, and risk factors in Mexico: 1990-2021 update.

BACKGROUND: For thirty years, Mexico has studied the burden of disease in order to inform health decisions. OBJECTIVE: To analyze the burden of disease, injuries, and risk factors in Mexico between 1990 and 2021. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Estimates from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 study were used to analyze mortality, years of life lost due to premature mortality, years lived with disability and disability-adjusted life years, as well as the burden attributable to risk factors by sex, age and state of the country. RESULTS: Infant mortality decreased by 39.4% from 1990 to 2000 and by 49.0% from 2000 to 2013. At the national level, mortality decreased by 27.5% between 1990 and 2019, but increased in 2020 and 2021 across all states, especially in adults aged from 35 to 64 years due to the COVID-19 pandemic, which contributed with 24.3% of deaths in 2021. Significant differences in mortality were observed according to age and sex. The burden attributable to metabolic risk factors did increase, while alcohol and tobacco consumption decreased. Access to drinking water and sanitation showed improvements. CONCLUSIONS: Assessing the burden of disease is crucial in order to design effective strategies to address current health needs and future healthcare challenges.

ANTECEDENTES: Desde hace treinta años, México ha estudiado la carga de la enfermedad para sustentar decisiones en salud. OBJETIVO: Analizar la carga de enfermedad, lesiones y factores de riesgo en México entre 1990 y 2021. MATERIAL Y MÉTODOS: Se utilizaron las estimaciones del Global Burden of Disease 2021 para analizar la mortalidad, los años de vida perdidos por muerte prematura, los años vividos con discapacidad y los años de vida saludable perdidos, así como la carga atribuible a los factores de riesgos por sexo, edad y entidad federativa. RESULTADOS: La mortalidad infantil disminuyó 39.4 % de 1990 a 2000, y 49.0 % de 2000 a 2019. En el ámbito nacional, la mortalidad decreció 27.5 % entre 1990 y 2019, pero ascendió en 2020 y 2021 en todos los estados, especialmente en adultos de 35 a 64 años, debido a la pandemia de COVID-19, que contribuyó con 24.3 % de las defunciones en 2019. Se observaron diferencias significativas en la mortalidad según la edad y el sexo. La carga atribuible a los factores de riesgo metabólicos se incrementó, mientras que la atribuible el consumo de alcohol y tabaco disminuyó. El acceso al agua potable y saneamiento mejoró. CONCLUSIONES: Evaluar la carga de enfermedad es crucial para diseñar estrategias eficaces para abordar las necesidades actuales y los futuros desafíos en salud.

The burden attributable to risk factors in Mexico, 1990-2021. Summary of the findings from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 study.

BACKGROUND: Over the past decades, Mexico's health landscape has shifted from infectious to non-communicable diseases and violence, mirroring lifestyle, urbanization, and developmental changes. OBJECTIVE: To describe the impact of risk factors on health in Mexico from 1990 to 2021. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Using the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study estimates, we describe risk factor-related mortality and disability adjusted life years (DALYs) in Mexico (1990-2021) by age, sex, and state of the country. RESULTS: In 2021, risk factors led to 14.9 (12.9-16.7) million DALYs, which accounted for 32.4% of Mexico's burden. Metabolic risks, with 19.8% (17.0-21.9%), were the main contributors. From 1990 to 2021, the age-standardized all-cause mortality rate associated with metabolic risks increased by 6.5%, while behavioral and environmental risks decreased by more than 50%, with marked variations between states. The predominant risk factors shifted from malnutrition and unsafe water and sanitation in 1990 to high glucose and body mass index in 2021. Malnutrition-related risks have the highest impact on health loss in children younger than 5 years. CONCLUSION: Mexico faces a dual health challenge: childhood malnutrition persists, and adult metabolic risks are on the rise, particularly in less developed states, with targeted interventions for traditional and emerging health threats being required.

ANTECEDENTES: Durante décadas, México ha transitado de las enfermedades infecciosas a las crónicas y la violencia, debido a cambios en los estilos de vida y la urbanización. OBJETIVO: Describir el impacto en salud de los factores de riesgo en México entre 1990 y 2021. MATERIAL Y MÉTODOS: Se utilizaron las estimaciones del Global Burden of Disease para analizar la mortalidad y años de vida saludable (AVISA) perdidos atribuibles a factores de riesgo, estratificados por edad, sexo y estado. RESULTADOS: Los factores de riesgo representaron 14.9 millones de AVISA en 2021, 32.4 % del total nacional, con predominio de los riesgos metabólicos (19.8 %). La mortalidad estandarizada por edad debida a estos riesgos se incrementó 6.5 % de 1990 a 2021 y los riesgos conductuales y ambientales se redujeron en más de 50 %. Los factores predominantes cambiaron de desnutrición, problemas de acceso al agua potable y saneamiento en 1990 a altos niveles de glucosa y obesidad en 2021; la desnutrición fue el mayor riesgo en los niños menores de cinco años. CONCLUSIONES: México afronta desafíos sanitarios dobles, la desnutrición infantil continúa y los riesgos metabólicos en adultos se incrementan, sobre todo en los estados menos desarrollados, por lo que se requieren intervenciones específicas para amenazas nuevas y existentes.

Type 2 diabetes epidemic in Mexico. Burden of disease 1990-2021 analysis and implications for public policies.

BACKGROUND: Mexico faces a challenge due to the burden imposed by type 2 diabetes (T2D). OBJECTIVE: To analyze T2D epidemiology and burden in Mexico from 1990 to 2021, at the national and state levels. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Estimates from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 study were used to evaluate the prevalence, incidence, mortality, fatal and non-fatal burden. Metabolic, environmental and behavioral factors were considered. Comparative analyses were carried out by gender, age and state of the country. RESULTS: The prevalence of T2D increased by 25%. The incidence increased in those younger than 45 years, with a mortality decrease being found among women. The rate of disability-adjusted life years (DALY) showed an increase in all states, from 45.2% in Nuevo León to 237.6% in Tabasco. In 2021, T2D caused the loss of 3.1 million DALYs, which accounted for 6.6% of total burden in Mexico, out of which 64% was due to premature deaths. Diabetic neuropathy affected 47%, and there were 270,000 cases of visual impairment; 66.3% of the burden was attributed to obesity. CONCLUSIONS: Comprehensive policies are urgently needed in order to reduce the burden of T2D in Mexico, through standardized guidelines, evidence-based strategies and technological resources that improve medical care accessibility and efficiency.

ANTECEDENTES: México enfrenta un desafío por la carga que representa la diabetes tipo 2 (DT2). OBJETIVO: Analizar la epidemiología y la carga de DT2 en México de 1990 a 2021 en los ámbitos nacional y estatal. MATERIAL Y MÉTODOS: Se empleó el Global Burden of Disease 2021 para evaluar prevalencia, incidencia, mortalidad, carga letal y no letal. Se consideraron factores metabólicos, ambientales y de comportamiento. Se realizó análisis comparativo por sexo, edad y entidad federativa. RESULTADOS: Se incrementó la prevalencia de DT2 en 25 % y la incidencia en menores de 45 años; la mortalidad en mujeres disminuyó. La tasa de años de vida saludable (AVISA) perdidos se incrementó en todos los estados, entre 45.2 % en Nuevo León y 237.6 % en Tabasco. En 2021, la DT2 ocasionó 3.1 millones de AVISA perdidos, que representaron 6.6 % de la carga total en México, de la cual 64 % se atribuyó a muertes prematuras. La neuropatía diabética afectó a 47 % y las afecciones visuales a 270 000 personas; 66.3 % de la carga se atribuyó a obesidad. CONCLUSIONES: Urgen políticas integrales para reducir la carga de DT2 en México, mediante pautas estandarizadas, estrategias basadas en evidencia y recursos tecnológicos que mejoren la accesibilidad y eficiencia de la atención médica.

COVID-19 impact on life expectancy in Mexico. An analysis based on the Global Burden of Disease 2021 study.

BACKGROUND: Between 2020 and 2021, Mexico documented 2.21 million fatalities, out of which 25.3% were attributable to SARS-COV-2 infection. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate COVID-19 mortality during 2020-2021, determine its impact on national- and state-level life expectancy at birth, and in a group of selected countries of the region, as well as to analyze it according to sociodemographic profiles. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Data from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 study were used to report mortality, the impact on life expectancy and underlying causes between 2019 and 2021. These data were evaluated from the perspective of response to the pandemic and according to the sociodemographic structure based on a quadratic regression model. RESULTS: Between 2020 and 2021, 708,971 excess deaths were recorded, which decreased life expectancy at birth by 4.6 years; 76% of this reduction was attributed to COVID-19. The COVID-19 mortality rate was higher than expected according to the sociodemographic conditions of the states. CONCLUSIONS: In Mexico and the countries of the region, the pandemic was devastating and generated regressions in life expectancy at birth, which varied from two to nine years. It is not clear why the effect was so different between countries and within Mexico.

ANTECEDENTES: Entre 2020 y 2021, México experimentó 2.21 millones de defunciones, de las cuales 25.3 % estuvo relacionado con infección por SARS-COV-2. OBJETIVOS: Evaluar la mortalidad por COVID-19 en 2020-2021, determinar su influencia en la esperanza de vida al nacer a nivel nacional, estatal y en países seleccionados de la región, así como analizarla en función del perfil sociodemográfico. MATERIAL Y MÉTODOS: Se utilizaron datos del Global Burden of Disease 2021 para reportar la mortalidad, el impacto en la esperanza de vida y las causas subyacentes entre 2019 y 2021. Se usó una regresión cuadrática para evaluar la mortalidad en exceso como indicador de la respuesta de los estados a la pandemia, considerando su estructura sociodemográfica. RESULTADOS: Entre 2020 y 2021, se registraron 708 971 muertes en exceso, que disminuyeron la esperanza de vida al nacer en 4.6 años; 76 % de esta reducción se atribuyó a COVID-19. La tasa de mortalidad por COVID-19 fue superior a la esperada conforme a las condiciones sociodemográficas de las entidades. CONCLUSIONES: En México y los países de la región, la pandemia fue devastadora y generó regresiones en la esperanza de vida al nacer, que variaron de dos a nueve años. Se requiere más investigación para entender las variaciones en sus efectos.

A description of the risk factors related to fragility fractures in adults and their associated costs

Objective: to identify bone fragility risk factors associated with increased total fracture care costs at a clinic in Medellín, Colombia. Design: an observational study with retrospective and prospective measurements taken from the medical charts of patients admitted for fractures and followed until discharge. Frame of reference: Hospital Alma Mater de Antioquia, Medellín, Colombia. Participants: four hundred fifty-two patients diagnosed with fragility fractures on admission. Main measurements: the prevalence of bone fragility risk factors, a description of the total care cost by risk factor and an estimate of the association between the risk factors and total costs. Results: Diabetes (24.3%) and active or passive smoking (21%) were the most prevalent fragility risk factors. Hip fractures were the most frequent and costly (36%, Md: COP 7,882,579). Fracture care was more costly for active or passive smokers (Md: COP 7,484,185), and those 75 years old or older (Md: COP7,057,678). According to the significant adjusted estimates (p<0.05), the median cost for active or passive smokers exceeds that of nonsmokers by more than COP 2,300,000, and every year of age increases the median cost by more than COP 90,000. Conclusions: this study emphasized that bone fragility is a public health problem. Factors like active or passive smoking and age were found to increase fragility fracture care costs, implying more complications and need for services. This adds to the evidence for strengthening monitoring programs to reduce the morbidity, mortality and direct costs of this disease in Colombia. (Acta Med Colomb 2022; 47. DOI:https://doi.org/10.36104/amc.2022.2351).

Objetivo: identificar factores de riesgo de fragilidad ósea asociados al aumento de costos totales de atención de fracturas en una clínica de Medellín, Colombia. Diseño: estudio observacional con medidas retrospectivas y prospectivas tomadas de la historia clínica de pacientes atendidos por fractura y seguidos hasta su egreso. Marco de referencia: Hospital Alma Máter de Antioquia, Medellín, Colombia. Participantes: cuatrocientos cincuenta y dos pacientes diagnosticados con fracturas por fragi lidad al ingreso. Mediciones principales: prevalencia de factores de riesgo de fragilidad ósea, descripción de costos totales de atención según factores de riesgo, y estimación de asociaciones entre factores de riesgo y costos totales. Resultados: diabetes (24.3%) y tabaquismo activo o pasivo (21%) fueron los factores de riesgo de fragilidad más prevalentes. Las fracturas de cadera fueron las más frecuentes y costosas (36%, Md: COP7 882 579). La atención de fracturas fue más costosa para pacientes fumadores activos o pasivos (Md: COP7 484 185), y de 75 años o más (Md: COP7 057 678). Según las estimaciones ajustadas significativas (p<0.05), los fumadores activos o pasivos tienen una mediana de costos de más de COP2 300 000 mayor que la de no fumadores, y cada año de edad incrementa la mediana de costos más de COP90 000. Conclusiones: este estudio enfatizó que la fragilidad ósea es un problema de salud pública. Se identificó que factores como fumar activa o pasivamente, y la edad aumenta los costos de atención de fractura por fragilidad implicando mayores complicaciones y necesidad de servicios. Esto añade a la evidencia para fortalecer los programas de vigilancia que reduzcan la morbimortalidad y costos directos de esta enfermedad en Colombia. (Acta Med Colomb 2022; 47. DOI:https://doi.org/10.36104/amc.2022.2351).

Measurement invariance of the GAD-5 Generalized Anxiety Disorder Scale in a Mexican general population sample.

The primary objective of this study was to evaluate the measurement of invariance by sex, age, and educational level of an online version of the Generalized Anxiety Disorder Scale in a five-item version (GAD-5). Configural, metric, scalar, and strict invariance were evaluated using data from 79,473 respondents who answered a mental health questionnaire during the COVID-19 pandemic in Mexico. The sex variable was classified as male or female; age was categorized as minors, youth, young adults, adults, and older adults; and educational level was divided into basic, upper secondary, higher, and graduate education. To test for configural invariance, confirmatory factor models were constructed. For metric invariance, equality restrictions were established for the factor loadings between the construct and its items; for scalar invariance, equality restrictions were established between the intercepts; strict variance implied the additional restriction of the residuals. Statistical analysis was performed in R software with the lavaan package. The results show that with respect to sex, age, and educational level, configural and metric measurement invariance was confirmed (ΔCFI < 0.002; ΔRMSEA < 0.015). However, with respect to scalar and strict invariance, the results showed significant differences regarding the fit model (ΔCFI > 0.002; ΔRMSEA > 0.015). We conclude that the GAD-5 presents configural and metric invariance for sex, age, and educational level, and scalar invariance for sex and age groups. However, the scale does not demonstrate strict invariance. We discuss the implications and suggest that this result could be related to the evaluation of sociodemographic variables.

Integrated Measurement for Early Detection (MIDO) as a digital strategy for timely assessment of non-communicable disease profiles and factors associated with unawareness and control: a retrospective observational study in primary healthcare facilities in Mexico.

OBJECTIVES: The Carlos Slim Foundation implemented the Integrated Measurement for Early Detection (MIDO), a screening strategy for non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in Mexico as part of CASALUD, a portfolio of digital health services focusing on healthcare delivery and prevention/management of NCDs. We investigated the disease profile of the screened population and evaluated MIDO's contribution to the continuum of care of the main NCDs. DESIGN: Using data from MIDO and the chronic diseases information system, we quantified the proportion of the population screened and diagnosed with NCDs, and measured care linkage/retention and level of control achieved. We analysed comorbidity patterns and estimated prevalence of predisease stages. Finally, we estimated characteristics associated with unawareness and control of NCDs, and examined efficacy of the CASALUD model in improving NCD control. SETTING: Public primary health centres in 27/32 Mexican states. PARTICIPANTS: Individuals aged ≥20 years lacking healthcare access. RESULTS: From 2014 to 2018, 743 000 individuals were screened using MIDO. A predisease or disease condition was detected in ≥70% of the population who were unaware of their NCD status. The screening identified 38 417 new cases of type 2 diabetes, 53 133 new cases of hypertension and 208 627 individuals with obesity. Dyslipidaemia was found in 77.3% of individuals with available blood samples. Comorbidities were highly prevalent, especially in people with obesity. Only 5.47% (n=17 774) of individuals were linked with their corresponding primary health centre. Factors associated with unawareness of and uncontrolled NCDs were sex, age, and social determinants, for example, rural/urban environment, access to healthcare service, and education level. Patients with type 2 diabetes treated at clinics under the CASALUD model were more likely to achieve disease control (OR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.09 to 1.61). CONCLUSION: Patient-centred screening strategies such as MIDO are urgently needed to improve screening, access, retention and control for patients with NCDs.

A Call for a Reform of the Influenza Immunization Program in Mexico: Epidemiologic and Economic Evidence for Decision Making.

Limited information is available to determine the effectiveness of Mexico's national influenza vaccination guidelines and inform policy updates. We aim to propose reforms to current influenza vaccination policies based on our analysis of cost-effectiveness studies. This cross-sectional epidemiological study used influenza case, death, discharge and hospitalization data from several influenza seasons and applied a one-year decision-analytic model to assess cost-effectiveness. The primary health outcome was influenza cases avoided; secondary health outcomes were influenza-related events associated with case reduction. By increasing vaccination coverage to 75% in the population aged 12-49 years with risk factors (diabetes, high blood pressure, morbid obesity, chronic renal failure, asthma, pregnancy), and expanding universal vaccination coverage to school-aged children (5-11 years) and adults aged 50-59 years, 7142-671,461 influenza cases; 1-15 deaths; 7615-262,812 healthcare visits; 2886-154,143 emergency room admissions and 2891-97,637 hospitalizations could be prevented (ranges correspond to separate age and risk factor groups), with a net annual savings of 3.90 to 111.99 million USD. Such changes to the current vaccination policy could potentially result in significant economic and health benefits. These data could be used to inform the revision of a vaccination policy in Mexico with substantial social value.

Impact of the 'Seguro Médico Siglo XXI' medical insurance programme on neonatal and infant mortality in Mexico, 2006-14: an ecological approach to estimation.

The 'Seguro Médico Siglo XXI' (SMSXXI), a universal coverage medical insurance programme for children under 5 years of age, started in 2006 to help avoid catastrophic health expenditures in poor families without social security in Mexico. The study used information from the National Health Information System for the 2006-14 period. An ecological approach was followed with a panel of the 2457 municipalities of Mexico as the units of analysis. The outcome variables were the municipality-level neonatal mortality and infant mortality rates in population without access to social security. The programme variable was the coverage of the SMSXXI programme at the municipality level, expressed as a proportion. Demographic and economic variables defined at the municipality level were included as covariates. Impact was estimated by fitting a fixed-effects negative binomial regression model. Results reveal that the SMSXXI significantly reduced both infant and neonatSal mortality in the target population, although in a non-linear fashion, with minimum mortality levels found around the 70% coverage range. The effect is mostly given by the transition from the first quintile to the fourth quintile of coverage (<13% vs 70.5-93.7% coverage), and it is attenuated significantly at coverage levels very close to or at 100%. The observed risk reduction amounted to an estimated total of 11 358 infant deaths being avoided due to the SMSXXI during the 2006-14 period, of which 48% were neonatal. In conclusion, we found a significant impact of the SMSXXI programme on both infant mortality and neonatal mortality. An attenuation of the effect of the insurance on mortality rates at levels close to 100% coverage may reflect the saturation of health units in detriment of the quality of care.

Respectful and evidence-based birth care in Mexico (or lack thereof): An observational study.

PROBLEM: In Mexico, women are often disrespected and abused during birth, evidence-based practices are seldom used, while outdated and dangerous procedures linger. BACKGROUND: Disrespectful and abusive practices in Mexico have been reported but are not necessarily well-documented; none of the reports so far have relied on direct observation of births. AIM: To describe birth practices and factors associated with respectful and evidence-based care at 15 referral hospitals in Mexico. METHODS: We observed 401 births from 2010-2016. We analysed woman, provider, and hospital characteristics and their association with the performance of 14 evidence-based and 15 respectful birth practices via descriptive statistics and multiple logistic regression models. FINDINGS: Only in four births were all the analysed evidence-based and respectful-birth practices performed. Essential interventions like uterine massage was only given to 46.1% of women and the administration of a uterotonic soon after birth only occurred in 58.3% of births. Professionals who were trained in respectful birth care were more likely to address women by their name (Odds Ratio=3.34, p<0.05), allow consumption of liquids during labour (Odds Ratio=31.6, p<0.05), encourage skin-to-skin contact (Odds Ratio=31.82, p<0.05), and examine the placenta after birth (Odds Ratio=16.55, p<0.01); they were less likely to perform episiotomies (Odds Ratio=0.27, p<0.05). DISCUSSION: This study reveals low rates of evidence-based practices and respectful maternity care but shows training in the topic can have a considerable positive impact. Our results call for further efforts to improve the quality of maternal healthcare, a universal right.

Dissonant health transition in the states of Mexico, 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013.

BACKGROUND: Child and maternal health outcomes have notably improved in Mexico since 1990, whereas rising adult mortality rates defy traditional epidemiological transition models in which decreased death rates occur across all ages. These trends suggest Mexico is experiencing a more complex, dissonant health transition than historically observed. Enduring inequalities between states further emphasise the need for more detailed health assessments over time. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2013 (GBD 2013) provides the comprehensive, comparable framework through which such national and subnational analyses can occur. This study offers a state-level quantification of disease burden and risk factor attribution in Mexico for the first time. METHODS: We extracted data from GBD 2013 to assess mortality, causes of death, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and healthy life expectancy (HALE) in Mexico and its 32 states, along with eight comparator countries in the Americas. States were grouped by Marginalisation Index scores to compare subnational burden along a socioeconomic dimension. We split extracted data by state and applied GBD methods to generate estimates of burden, and attributable burden due to behavioural, metabolic, and environmental or occupational risks. We present results for 306 causes, 2337 sequelae, and 79 risk factors. FINDINGS: From 1990 to 2013, life expectancy from birth in Mexico increased by 3·4 years (95% uncertainty interval 3·1-3·8), from 72·1 years (71·8-72·3) to 75·5 years (75·3-75·7), and these gains were more pronounced in states with high marginalisation. Nationally, age-standardised death rates fell 13·3% (11·9-14·6%) since 1990, but state-level reductions for all-cause mortality varied and gaps between life expectancy and years lived in full health, as measured by HALE, widened in several states. Progress in women's life expectancy exceeded that of men, in whom negligible improvements were observed since 2000. For many states, this trend corresponded with rising YLL rates from interpersonal violence and chronic kidney disease. Nationally, age-standardised YLL rates for diarrhoeal diseases and protein-energy malnutrition markedly decreased, ranking Mexico well above comparator countries. However, amid Mexico's progress against communicable diseases, chronic kidney disease burden rapidly climbed, with age-standardised YLL and DALY rates increasing more than 130% by 2013. For women, DALY rates from breast cancer also increased since 1990, rising 12·1% (4·6-23·1%). In 2013, the leading five causes of DALYs were diabetes, ischaemic heart disease, chronic kidney disease, low back and neck pain, and depressive disorders; the latter three were not among the leading five causes in 1990, further underscoring Mexico's rapid epidemiological transition. Leading risk factors for disease burden in 1990, such as undernutrition, were replaced by high fasting plasma glucose and high body-mass index by 2013. Attributable burden due to dietary risks also increased, accounting for more than 10% of DALYs in 2013. INTERPRETATION: Mexico achieved sizeable reductions in burden due to several causes, such as diarrhoeal diseases, and risks factors, such as undernutrition and poor sanitation, which were mainly associated with maternal and child health interventions. Yet rising adult mortality rates from chronic kidney disease, diabetes, cirrhosis, and, since 2000, interpersonal violence drove deteriorating health outcomes, particularly in men. Although state inequalities from communicable diseases narrowed over time, non-communicable diseases and injury burdens varied markedly at local levels. The dissonance with which Mexico and its 32 states are experiencing epidemiological transitions might strain health-system responsiveness and performance, which stresses the importance of timely, evidence-informed health policies and programmes linked to the health needs of each state. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública.