Can non-directed living liver donation help improve access to grafts and correct socioeconomic disparities in pediatric liver transplantation?

BACKGROUND: Each year, children die awaiting LT as the demand for grafts exceeds the available supply. Candidates with public health insurance are significantly less likely to undergo both deceased donor LT and D-LLD LT. ND-LLD is another option to gain access to a graft. The aim of this study was to evaluate if recipient insurance type is associated with likelihood of D-LLD versus ND-LLD LT. METHODS: The SRTR/OPTN database was reviewed for pediatric LDLT performed between January 1, 2014 (Medicaid expansion era) and December 31, 2019 at centers that performed ≥1 ND-LLD LDLT during the study period. A multivariable logistic regression was performed to assess relationship between type of living donor (directed vs. non-directed) and recipient insurance. RESULTS: Of 299 pediatric LDLT, 46 (15%) were from ND-LLD performed at 18 transplant centers. Fifty-nine percent of ND-LLD recipients had public insurance in comparison to 40% of D-LLD recipients (p = .02). Public insurance was associated with greater odds of ND-LLD in comparison to D-LLD upon multivariable logistic regression (OR 2.37, 95% CI 1.23-4.58, p = .01). CONCLUSIONS: ND-LLD allows additional children to receive LTs and may help address some of the socioeconomic disparity in pediatric LDLT, but currently account for only a minority of LDLT and are only performed at a few institutions. Initiatives to improve access to both D-LLD and ND-LLD transplants are needed.

Proteomics of Coagulopathy Following Injury Reveals Limitations of Using Laboratory Assessment to Define Trauma-Induced Coagulopathy to Predict Massive Transfusion.

Objective: Trauma-induced coagulopathy (TIC) is provoked by multiple mechanisms and is perceived to be one driver of massive transfusions (MT). Single laboratory values using prothrombin time (INR) or thrombelastography (TEG) are used to clinically define this complex process. We used a proteomics approach to test whether current definitions of TIC (INR, TEG, or clinical judgement) are sufficient to capture the majority of protein changes associated with MT. Methods: Eight level-I trauma centers contributed blood samples from patients available early after injury. TIC was defined as INR >1.5 (INR-TIC), TEG maximum amplitude <50mm (TEG-TIC), or clinical judgement (Clin-TIC) by the trauma surgeon. MT was defined as > 10 units of red blood cells in 24 hours or > 4 units RBC/hour during the first 4 hr. SomaLogic proteomic analysis of 1,305 proteins was performed. Pathways associated with proteins dysregulated in patients with each TIC definition and MT were identified. Results: Patients (n=211) had a mean injury severity score of 24, with a MT and mortality rate of 22% and 12%, respectively. We identified 578 SOMAscan analytes dysregulated among MT patients, of which INR-TIC, TEG-TIC, and Clin-TIC patients showed dysregulation only in 25%, 3%, and 4% of these, respectively. TIC definitions jointly failed to show changes in 73% of the protein levels associated with MT, and failed to identify 26% of patients that received a massive transfusion. INR-TIC and TEG-TIC patients showed dysregulation of proteins significantly associated with complement activity. Proteins dysregulated in Clin-TIC or massive transfusion patients were not significantly associated with any pathway. Conclusion: These data indicate there are unexplored opportunities to identify patients at risk for massive bleeding. Only a small subset of proteins that are dysregulated in patients receiving MT are statistically significantly dysregulated among patients whose TIC is defined based solely on laboratory measurements or clinical assessment.

Detection of early allograft dysfunction at 30 min of reperfusion in liver transplantation: An intraoperative diagnostic tool with real time assessment of graft function.

INTRODUCTION: During the anhepatic phase of liver transplantation (LT), fibrinolytic activity increases, since the liver clears tissue plasminogen activator (tPA). We hypothesize that patients who fail to reduce fibrinolytic activity following graft reperfusion will have an increased rate of early allograft dysfunction (EAD). METHODS: Assessment of fibrinolysis in liver transplant recipients was quantified with thrombelastography (TEG) LY30. Changes in LY30 were assessed after graft reperfusion. The 30-min post-reperfusion LY30 was subtracted from the anhepatic LY30 quantifying fibrinolytic changes (delta-LY30). RESULTS: Seventy-three primary LT patients were included in the analysis. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis identified an inflection point of delta-LY30-5.3% as a risk factor for EAD. EAD occurred in 44% of these patients compared to 5% in high delta-LY30 (p = 0.002). CONCLUSION: LT recipients that develop hyperfibrinolysis who fail to reduce fibrinolytic activity 30 min after graft reperfusion had an EAD rate 8-fold higher than patients who had a large reduction in LY30 following reperfusion.

Reverse epidemiology and the obesity paradox for patients with chronic kidney disease: a Markov decision model.

BACKGROUND: Obesity has been associated with both increased progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) as well as with a paradoxical improvement in survival among end-stage renal disease patients undergoing hemodialysis. As such, the optimal weight management strategy for obese CKD patients remains unclear. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the outcomes of obese, CKD stage 3b patients after 3 weight loss interventions, including medical weight management, sleeve gastrectomy (SG), and Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB), were followed to determine which strategy optimizes long-term survival. SETTING: University hospital, Aurora, Colorado. METHODS: A decision analytic Markov state transition model was created to simulate the life of 30,000 obese patients with CKD stage 3b, as they progressed to end-stage renal disease, transplantation, and death. Life expectancy after conservative medical weight management, RYGB, and SG were estimated. Base case patients were defined as being 50 years old and having a preintervention BMI of 40 kg/m2. Sensitivity analysis of initial BMI was performed. All Markov parameters were extracted from literature review. RESULTS: RYGB and SG were associated with improved survival for patients with preintervention body mass index of >38 kg/m2. Compared with conservative weight management, base case patients who underwent RYGB gained 10.6 months of life, and gained 8.3 months of life after SG. CONCLUSIONS: Balancing progression of CKD with improved survival on end-stage renal disease for obese patients requires selective use of weight management strategies. RYGB and SG improved survival for CKD patients with Class II and III obesity, but not for patients with Class I obesity. As such, aggressive weight loss interventions should be reserved for patients with Class II and III obesity, while more conservative methods should be offered to those with Class I obesity.

STEP improves long-term survival for pediatric short bowel syndrome patients: A Markov decision analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Increasingly, for pediatric patients with short bowel syndrome (SBS), intestinal lengthening procedures such as serial transverse enteroplasty (STEP) are being offered with the hope of improving patients' chances for achieving enteral autonomy. However, it remains unclear to what extent STEP reduces the long-term need for intestinal transplant or improves survival. METHODS: Based on existing literature, a decision analytic Markov state transition model was created to simulate the life of 1,000 pediatric SBS patients. Two simulations were modeled: 1) No STEP: patients were listed for transplant once medical management failed and 2) STEP: patients underwent STEP therapy and subsequent transplant listing if enteral autonomy was not achieved. Sensitivity analysis of small bowel length and anatomy was completed. Base case patients were defined as neonates with a small bowel length of 30cm. RESULTS: For base case patients with an ostomy and a NEC SBS etiology, STEP was associated with increased rates of enteral autonomy after 10 years for patients with an ICV (53.9% [STEP] vs. 51.1% [No STEP]) and without an ICV (43.4% [STEP] vs. 36.3% [No STEP]). Transplantation rates were also reduced following STEP therapy for both ICV (17.5% [STEP] vs. 18.2% [No STEP]) and non-ICV patients (20.2% [STEP] vs. 22.1% [No STEP]). 10-year survival was the highest in the (+) STEP and (+) ICV group (85.4%) and lowest in the (-) STEP and (-) ICV group (83.3%). CONCLUSIONS: For SBS patients, according to our model, STEP increases rates of enteral autonomy, reduces need for intestinal transplantation, and improves long-term survival. TYPE OF STUDY: Economic/Decision Analysis or Modeling Studies LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III.

Salvage use of tissue plasminogen activator (tPA) in the setting of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) due to COVID-19 in the USA: a Markov decision analysis.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 threatens to quickly overwhelm our existing critical care infrastructure in the USA. Systemic tissue plasminogen activator (tPA) has been previously demonstrated to improve PaO2/FiO2 (mmHg) when given to critically ill patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). It is unclear to what extent tPA may impact population-based survival during the current US COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: A decision analytic Markov state transition model was created to simulate the life critically ill COVID-19 patients as they transitioned to either recovery or death. Two patient groups were simulated (50,000 patients in each group); (1) Patients received tPA immediately upon diagnosis of ARDS and (2) patients received standard therapy for ARDS. Base case critically ill COVID-19 patients were defined as having a refractory PaO2/FiO2 of < 60 mmHg (salvage use criteria). Transition from severe to moderate to mild ARDS, recovery, and death were estimated. Markov model parameters were extracted from existing ARDS/COVID-19 literature. RESULTS: The use of tPA was associated with reduced mortality (47.6% [tTPA] vs. 71.0% [no tPA]) for base case patients. When extrapolated to the projected COVID-19 eligible for salvage use tPA in the USA, peak mortality (deaths/100,000 patients) was reduced for both optimal social distancing (70.5 [tPA] vs. 75.0 [no tPA]) and no social distancing (158.7 [tPA] vs. 168.8 [no tPA]) scenarios. CONCLUSIONS: Salvage use of tPA may improve recovery of ARDS patients, thereby reducing COVID-19-related mortality and ensuring sufficient resources to manage this pandemic.

Uncontrolled donation after circulatory death improves access to kidney transplantation: A decision analysis.

AIM: Uncontrolled donation after cardiac death (uDCD) remains an underutilized source of kidney allografts in the United States. The objective of this study was to estimate the impact of the implementation of a uDCD program on transplantation rates and long-term survival for patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in the United States. METHODS: A decision-analytic Markov state transition model was created using medical decision-making software (DATA 3.5; TreeAge Software, Inc) to estimate the impact of an uDCD program on transplantation rates and patient survival. Additionally, sensitivity analysis of uDCD donor pool increase was modeled. All model statistic parameters were extracted from the literature. RESULTS: A uDCD program increased the rate of transplant at 10 years (37.8%, Accept uDCD group, vs 35.9%, Reject uDCD group). At 10 years, overall survival for Accept uDCD was 55.6% compared to 54.8% in the Reject uDCD. CONCLUSIONS: Uncontrolled DCD improves access to transplant for ESRD patients on the kidney transplant waitlist, thereby improving long-term survival.

Sleeve Gastrectomy Compared with Gastric Bypass for Morbidly Obese Patients with End Stage Renal Disease: a Decision Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: The use of bariatric surgery has increased for morbidly obese patients with end stage renal disease (ESRD) for whom listing on the waitlist is often restricted until a certain BMI threshold is achieved. Effective weight loss for this population improves access to life-saving renal transplantation. However, it is unclear whether sleeve gastrectomy (SG) vs Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) is a more effective therapy for these patients. METHODS: A decision analytic Markov state transition model was created to simulate the life of morbidly obese patients with ESRD who were deemed ineligible to be waitlisted for renal transplantation unless they achieved a BMI less than 35 kg/m2. Life expectancy following weight management (MWM), RYGB, and SG were estimated. Base case patients were defined as having a pre-intervention BMI of 45 kg/m2. Sensitivity analysis of initial BMI was performed. Markov parameters were extracted from literature review. RESULTS: RYGB improved survival compared with SG and MWM. RYGB patients had higher rates of transplantation, leading to improved mean long-term survival. Base case patients who underwent RYGB gained 1.3 additional years of life compared with patient's who underwent SG and 2.6 additional years of life compared with MWM. CONCLUSIONS: RYGB improves access to renal transplantation and thereby increases long-term survival compared with SG and MWM. The use of SG may be incongruent with the goal of improving access to renal transplantation for morbidly obese patients.

Prospective assessment of fibrinolysis in morbid obesity: tissue plasminogen activator resistance improves after bariatric surgery.

BACKGROUND: Morbid obesity is associated with an increased risk of thrombotic events, which has been attributed to increased thrombotic activity. Multiple mechanisms have been proposed to explain this increased risk, including an inflammatory state with upregulation of procoagulant and antifibrinolytic proteins. We therefore hypothesize that patients with morbid obesity are hypercoagulable and will revert to normal after bariatric surgery. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate changes in the hypercoagulable state after bariatric surgery. SETTING: University Hospital, Bariatric Center of Excellence, United States. METHODS: Thromboelastography (TEG) data were collected on 72 subjects with morbid obesity, with 36 who had 6 months of follow-up after bariatric surgery. TEG data of 75 healthy subjects (HS) without obesity, recent trauma or surgery, acute infection, or chronic conditions (e.g., liver, cardiovascular, or kidney disease; cancer; diabetes; autoimmune or inflammatory disorders; and disorders of coagulation) were used for comparison. TEG was performed alone and with the addition of 75 and 150 ng/mL tissue plasminogen activator (tPA) to quantify fibrinolysis resistance (tPA-challenged TEG). RESULTS: The bariatric surgery cohort had a median age of 40.5 years, a median body mass index of 44.6 kg/m2, and 90% female patients. Median body mass index reduced significantly 6 months post surgery but remained elevated compared with the HS group (31.4 versus 25.4 kg/m2, P < .0001). At 6 months post surgery, subjects had longer reaction time (mean difference, 1.3; P = .02), lower maximum amplitude (-2.4, P = .01), and increased fibrinolysis with low-dose (3.1, P < .0001) and high-dose tPA-challenged TEG (9, P < .0001). Compared with HS, the postsurgery TEG values were still more likely to be abnormal (all P < .05). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with morbid obesity form stronger clots more rapidly and are more resistant to fibrinolysis than subjects without obesity. Bariatric surgery significantly improved the hypercoagulable profile and fibrinolysis resistance of morbid obesity.