Sequential organ failure assessment score improves survival prediction for left ventricular assist device recipients in intensive care.

BACKGROUND: Preoperative risk scores facilitate patient selection, but postoperative risk scores may offer valuable information for predicting outcomes. We hypothesized that the postoperative Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score would predict mortality after left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed data from 294 continuous-flow LVAD implantations performed at Mayo Clinic Rochester during 2007 to 2015. We calculated the EuroSCORE, HeartMate-II Risk Score, and RV Failure Risk Score from preoperative data and the APACHE III and Post Cardiac Surgery (POCAS) risk scores from postoperative data. Daily, maximum, and mean SOFA scores were calculated for the first 5 postoperative days. The area under receiver-operator characteristic curves (AUC) was calculated to compare the scoring systems' ability to predict 30-day, 90-day, and 1-year mortality. RESULTS: For the entire cohort, mortality was 5% at 30 days, 10% at 90 days, and 19% at 1 year. The Day 1 SOFA score had better discrimination for 30-day mortality (AUC 0.77) than the preoperative risk scores or the APACHE III and POCAS postoperative scores. The maximum SOFA score had the best discrimination for 30-day mortality (AUC 0.86), and the mean SOFA score had the best discrimination for 90-day mortality (AUC 0.82) and 1-year mortality (AUC 0.76). CONCLUSIONS: We observed that postoperative mean and maximum SOFA scores in LVAD recipients predict short-term and intermediate-term mortality better than preoperative risk scores do. However, because preoperative and postoperative risk scores each contribute unique information, they are best used in concert to predict outcomes after LVAD implantation.

Temporal Trends, Management and Outcomes of Acute Myocardial Infarction with Concomitant Respiratory Infections.

There are limited contemporary data on the management and outcomes of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in patients with concomitant acute respiratory infections. Hence, using the National Inpatient Sample from 2000-2017, adult AMI admissions with and without concomitant respiratory infections were identified. We evaluated in-hospital mortality, utilization of cardiac procedures, hospital length of stay, hospitalization costs, and discharge disposition. Among 10,880,856 AMI admissions, respiratory infections were identified in 745,536 (6.9%). Temporal trends revealed a relatively stable tr end with a peak during 2008-2009. Admissions with respiratory infections were on average older (74 vs. 67 years), female (45% vs 39%), with greater comorbidity (mean Charlson comorbidity index 5.9 ± 2.2 vs 4.4 ± 2.3), and had higher rates of non-ST-segment-elevation AMI presentation (71.8% vs. 62.2%) (all p < 0.001). Higher rates of cardiac arrest (8.2% vs 4.8%), cardiogenic shock (10.7% vs 4.4%), and acute organ failure (27.8% vs 8.1%) were seen in AMI admissions with respiratory infections. Coronary angiography (41.4% vs 65.6%, p < 0.001) and percutaneous coronary intervention (20.7% vs 43.5%, p < 0.001) were used less commonly in those with respiratory infections. Admissions with respiratory infections had higher in-hospital mortality (14.5% vs 5.5%; propensity matched analysis: 14.6% vs 12.5%; adjusted odds ratio 1.25 [95% confidence interval 1.24-1.26], p < 0.001), longer hospital stay, higher hospitalization costs, and less frequent discharges to home compared to those without respiratory infections. In conclusion, respiratory infections significantly impact AMI admissions with higher rates of complications, mortality and resource utilization.

Predictive value of individual Sequential Organ Failure Assessment sub-scores for mortality in the cardiac intensive care unit.

PURPOSE: To determine the impact of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) organ sub-scores for hospital mortality risk stratification in a contemporary cardiac intensive care unit (CICU) population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Adult CICU admissions between January 1, 2007 and December 31, 2015 were reviewed. The SOFA score and organ sub-scores were calculated on CICU day 1; patients with missing SOFA sub-score data were excluded. Discrimination for hospital mortality was assessed using area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve (AUROC) values, followed by multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: We included 1214 patients with complete SOFA sub-score data. The mean age was 67 ± 16 years (38% female); all-cause hospital mortality was 26%. Day 1 SOFA score predicted hospital mortality with an AUROC of 0.72. Each SOFA organ sub-score predicted hospital mortality (all p <0.01), with AUROC values of 0.53 to 0.67. On multivariable analysis, only the cardiovascular, central nervous system, renal and respiratory SOFA sub-scores were associated with hospital mortality (all p <0.01). A simplified SOFA score containing the cardiovascular, central nervous system and renal sub-scores had an AUROC of 0.72. CONCLUSIONS: In CICU patients with complete SOFA sub-score data, risk stratification for hospital mortality is determined primarily by the cardiovascular, central nervous system, renal and respiratory SOFA sub-scores.

Assessment of gait kinetics in post-menopausal women using tri-axial ankle accelerometers during barefoot walking.

BACKGROUND: Physical activity (PA) interventions, designed to increase exposure to ground reaction force (GRF) loading, are a common target for reducing fracture risk in post-menopausal women with low bone mineral density (BMD). Unfortunately, accurate tracking of PA in free-living environments and the ability to translate this activity into evaluations of bone health is currently limited. RESEARCH QUESTION: This study evaluates the effectiveness of ankle-worn accelerometers to estimate the vertical GRFs responsible for bone and joint loading in post-menopausal women at a range of self-selected walking speeds during barefoot walking. METHODS: Seventy women, at least one year post-menopause, wore Actigraph GT3X + on both ankles and completed walking trials at self-selected speeds (a minimum of five each at fast, normal and slow walking) along a 30 m instrumented walkway with force plates and photocells to measure loading and estimate gait velocity. Repeated measures correlation analysis and step-wise mixed-effects modelling were performed to evaluate significant predictors of peak vertical GRFs normalized to body weight (pVGRFbw), including peak vertical ankle accelerations (pVacc), walking velocity (Velw) and age. RESULTS: A strong repeated measures correlation of r = 0.75 (95%CI [0.71-0.76] via 1000 bootstrap passes) between pVacc and pVGRFbw was observed. Five-fold cross-validation of mixed-model predictions yielded an average mean-absolute-error (MAE[95%CI]) and root-mean-square-error (RMSE) rate of 5.98%[5.61-6.42] and 0.076 [0.069-0.082] with a more complex model (including Velw,) and 6.80%[6.37-7.54] and 0.087BW[0.081-0.095] with a simpler model (including only pVacc), when comparing accelerometer-based estimations of pVGRFbw to force plate measures of pVGRFbw. Age was not found to be significant. SIGNIFICANCE: This study is the first to show a strong relationship among ankle accelerometry data and high fidelity lower-limb loading approximations in post-menopausal women. The results provide the first steps necessary for estimation of real-world limb and joint loading supporting the goals of accurate PA tracking and improved individualization of clinical interventions.

Severity of illness assessment with application of the APACHE IV predicted mortality and outcome trends analysis in an academic cardiac intensive care unit.

PURPOSE: To assess trends in life support interventions and performance of the automated Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) IV model at mortality prediction compared with Oxford Acute Severity of Illness Score (OASIS) in a contemporary cardiac intensive care unit (CICU). METHODS AND MATERIALS: Retrospective analysis of adults (age ≥ 18 years) admitted to CICU from January 1, 2007, through December 31, 2015. Temporal trends were assessed with linear regression. Discrimination of each risk score for hospital mortality was assessed with use of area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) values. Calibration was assessed with Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. RESULTS: The study analyzed 10,004 patients. CICU and hospital mortality rates were 5.7% and 9.1%. APACHE IV predicted death had an AUROC of 0.82 (0.81-0.84) for hospital death, compared with 0.79 for OASIS (P < .05). Calibration was better for OASIS than APACHE IV. Increases were observed in CICU and hospital lengths of stay (both P < .001), APACHE IV predicted mortality (P = .007), Charlson Comorbidity Index (P < .001), noninvasive ventilation use (P < .001), and noninvasive ventilation days (P = .02). CONCLUSIONS: Contemporary CICU patients are increasingly ill, observed in upward trends in comorbid conditions and life support interventions. APACHE IV predicted death and OASIS showed good discrimination in predicting death in this population. APACHE IV and OASIS may be useful for benchmarking and quality improvement initiatives in the CICU, the former having better discrimination.

Predictive Value of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score for Mortality in a Contemporary Cardiac Intensive Care Unit Population.

BACKGROUND: Optimal methods of mortality risk stratification in patients in the cardiac intensive care unit (CICU) remain uncertain. We evaluated the ability of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score to predict mortality in a large cohort of unselected patients in the CICU. METHODS AND RESULTS: Adult patients admitted to the CICU from January 1, 2007, to December 31, 2015, at a single tertiary care hospital were retrospectively reviewed. SOFA scores were calculated daily, and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE)-III and APACHE-IV scores were calculated on CICU day 1. Discrimination of hospital mortality was assessed using area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve values. We included 9961 patients, with a mean age of 67.5±15.2 years; all-cause hospital mortality was 9.0%. Day 1 SOFA score predicted hospital mortality, with an area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve value of 0.83; area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve values were similar for the APACHE-III score, and APACHE-IV predicted mortality (P>0.05). Mean and maximum SOFA scores over multiple CICU days had greater discrimination for hospital mortality (P<0.01). Patients with an increasing SOFA score from day 1 and day 2 had higher mortality. Patients with day 1 SOFA score <2 were at low risk of mortality. Increasing tertiles of day 1 SOFA score predicted higher long-term mortality (P<0.001 by log-rank test). CONCLUSIONS: The day 1 SOFA score has good discrimination for short-term mortality in unselected patients in the CICU, which is comparable to APACHE-III and APACHE-IV. Advantages of the SOFA score over APACHE include simplicity, improved discrimination using serial scores, and prediction of long-term mortality.