Promoting sport and physical activity in Italy: a cost-effectiveness analysis of seven innovative public health policies.

BACKGROUND: Inactive lifestyles are a key risk factor underpinning the development of many chronic diseases, yet more than half of the Italian population does not meet WHO thresholds for at least moderate physical activity. This study aims to make the economic case to upscale investments in policy actions to promote exercise and physical activity. STUDY DESIGN: Modelling-based cost-effectiveness analysis in Italy. METHODS: The study assesses the impact on health and healthcare expenditure of seven public health policies to promote exercise and physical activity against a business as usual scenario. Assessed policies include: promotion of active transport, workplace sedentarily interventions, investments in sports and recreation, mass media campaigns, prescription of physical activity in primary care, school-based interventions and mobile apps. RESULTS: Public policies to promote exercise have the potential to improve population health and produce savings in healthcare expenditure. Assessed policies can avoid hundreds of cases of cardiovascular diseases and diabetes per year and tens of cases of cancer resulting in gains in DALYs in the order of thousands per year. In the medium-term, the vast majority of policies show excellent cost-effectiveness ratio, below internationally recognized thresholds. CONCLUSIONS: Investing in policies to promote active lifestyles is a good investment for Italy.

Generous breastfeeding: an observational retrospective study of milk donor's characteristics in the province of Siena, Italy.

BACKGROUND: Breastfeeding is definitely one of the measures capable of improving not only children's but also mother's health. Human milk banks are institutions providing human milk to babies with limited access to breastfeeding for various reasons. STUDY DESIGN: The aim of this observational retrospective study was to examine principal characteristics of breast milk donors in the province of Siena and to identify variables influencing Milk Quantity (MQ) and Length of donation period (LD). METHODS: Information was extracted from medical records of Human Milk Bank of Siena, all women that donated their breast milk during the period from January 2010 until August 2017 were included. Examined variables were: age, place of birth (Italy/outside Italy), residence (Siena city/Siena province), education, profession, type of labor (preterm/in-term) and type of delivery (vaginal/cesarean section), gestational age, number of children, previous donations (blood, milk), quantity of donated milk and length of donation. RESULTS: A total of 304 donors were included: 75.7% of Italian nationality. The mean age was 32.4±5.2, Italian donors were older (33.5±5.0 vs. 28.7±4.2; Mann-Whitney; p<0.001). Socio-economic situation of Italian donors was better compared to non-Italian donors (chi-squared; p<0.005). Non-Italian donors had more probability to go through preterm labor (OR=3.68; p<0.001). Average length of donation was 2.7±1.8 months. Mean quantity of donated milk was 4.8±7.6l. From multiple linear regression, preterm birth (p<0.005) and length of donation (p<0.001) emerged as a variable that can predict higher quantity of donated milk. CONCLUSIONS: Preterm babies are usually recovering in a neonatology intensive therapy unit, with mothers staying close to them, which facilitates the whole donation process. Mothers of premature babies have a higher perception of the meaningfulness of donation and a need of adequate nutrition for fragile infants.

Developing a new predictor of health expenditure: preliminary results from a primary healthcare setting.

OBJECTIVES: Risk adjustment is a widely used tool for health expenditure prediction and control. Early approaches for estimating health expenditure were based on patient demographic variables alone, whereas more recent models incorporate patient information, such as chronic medical conditions, clinical diagnoses, and self-reported health status. Many studies have investigated the health expenditure predictive capacity of single demographic, morbidity, or health-related quality of life measures, but the best models prove to be those that include them all. The aim of this study was to develop an index that combines measures of perceived health and disease severity and to compare its efficacy in predicting health expenditure with that of the measures taken individually. STUDY DESIGN: This is a linked cross-sectional study. METHODS: In 2009 and 2010, the health-related quality of life questionnaire SF-36 (8 scales, two indices: Physical Component Summary [PCS] and Mental Component Summary [MCS]) was distributed to 886 patients of general practitioners in the Province of Siena, Italy. Severity of diseases was calculated for each patient using the Charlson Index (CH-I) and Cumulative Illness Rating Scale Severity Index (CIRS-SI). Siena Local Health Unit 2012 data on health expenditure were obtained for each patient. Multivariate linear regression was applied to test the performance of severity (CH-I, CIRS-SI) and perceived health (PCS and MCS) measures in predicting health expenditure. The indexes that predicted health expenditure best were then combined in a new tool, and its expenditure predictive capacity was tested. RESULTS: The best health expenditure predictors proved to be PCS and SI (R2 = 0.15 and R2 = 0.17, respectively). When combined in a new index (PCS-SI), better predictive capacity of health expenditure was obtained than with the two single measures separately (R2 = 0.19). CONCLUSIONS: A multidimensional indicator proved to be a better predictor of healthcare expenditure than single health measures.

Attitudes towards compulsory vaccination in Italy: Results from the NAVIDAD multicentre study.

BACKGROUND: Vaccine hesitancy is a considerable issue in European countries and leads to low coverage rates. After a long debate, Italy has made vaccination mandatory for admission to its schools. METHODS: In the NAVIDAD study (a cross-sectional multicentre study), a 63-item questionnaire was administered to 1820 pregnant women from 15 Italian cities. The questionnaire assessed the interviewee's opinion on mandatory vaccines, as well as their socioeconomic status, sources of information about vaccines, confidence in the Italian National Healthcare Service (NHS), and intention to vaccinate their newborn. RESULTS: Information sources play a key role in determining the opinion on restoration of mandatory vaccines; in particular, women who obtained information from anti-vaccination movements are less likely to accept the vaccines (OR: 0.35, 95% CI: 0.21-0.58, p < 0.001). Women who had confidence in healthcare professional information agreed more on mandatory vaccination than did the other women (OR: 2.66, 95% CI: 1.62-4.36, p < 0.001); those who perceived that healthcare professionals have economic interest in child immunization and who declared that healthcare providers inform only on vaccinations benefits not on risks were less likely to agree on compulsory vaccination (OR: 0.66, CI 95%: 0.46-0.96, p = 0.03; OR: 0.66, CI 95%: 0.46-0.95, p = 0.03, respectively). CONCLUSION: Information sources and confidence towards health professionals are the main determinants of acceptance of mandatory vaccine restoration. To increase the acceptability of the restoration and reduce vaccine hesitancy, these aspects need to be strengthened.

Adoption of TSH Reflex algorithm in an Italian clinical laboratory.

BACKGROUND: TSH Reflex is an automated diagnostic algorithm which follows the rule "If ... then", in which the initial determination of TSH is followed by the determination of fT4, and possibly of fT3, if TSH is not within the reference limits. The aim of our study was to evaluate the results of the introduction and implementation of the test "TSH Reflex", which started in late 2013 in the hospital of Grosseto, comparing the requests of thyroid hormones for external patients, in 2012, 2014 and 2015. METHODS: In our study we analyzed the number of thyroid tests prescribed in 2012, 2014 and 2015 and we calculated the increase in prescription of "TSH Reflex" from 2014 to 2015; the prescriptive appropriateness, after the introduction of the "TSH Reflex", through the ratios TSH/FT4, TSH/FT3 and the ratio "TSH Reflex"/TSH. Finally we calculated the total spending for the reagents in 2012, 2014 and 2015 and the consequent savings in euros (the costs of the reagents did not change during that time). RESULTS: Requests for TSH decreased by 4.6% in 2014, compared to 2012 and by 5.4% in 2015 compared to 2014, with a 9.8% reduction in 2015 compared to 2012. The requests for FT4 decreased by 11.5%, comparing 2014 with 2012, by 5.3% comparing 2015 with 2014, with a 16.2% reduction in 2015 compared to 2012. The requests for FT3 decreased by 13.3% in 2014 compared to 2012 and by 8.4% in 2015 compared to 2014, with a 20.6% reduction in 2015 compared to 2012. The appropriateness, evaluated the indicator TSH/FT4, increased by 7.6%, comparing 2014 with 2012, and remained unchanged in 2015. In 2012 71,134 euros were spent, 63,998 euros in 2014, 60,055 euros in 2015, resulting in a saving of € 11,079 in 2015 compared to 2012. The spending for "TSH Reflex" should be subtracted (1,964 Euros in 2015) from the previous savings. CONCLUSIONS: The improvement of the efficiency and the prescriptive appropriateness was better in 2014, the first year of implementation of the "TSH Reflex". The overall assessment suggests that the 2014 results are attributable to the letters that general practitioners received in December 2013, with a temporary increase of the use of the test. We need further analyses with the same indicators in order to assess the possibility of additional improvements in the future.

Can PSA Reflex Algorithm be a valid alternative to other PSA-based prostate cancer screening strategies?

BACKGROUND: The available laboratory tests for the differential diagnosis of prostate cancer, are represented by the total PSA, the free PSA, and the free/total PSA ratio. In Italy most of doctors tend to request both total and free PSA for their patients even in cases where the total PSA doesn't justify the further request of free PSA, with a consequent growth of the costs for the National Health System. The aim of our study was to predict the saving in Euro (due to reagents) and reduction in free PSA tests, applying the "PSA Reflex" algorithm. METHODS: We calculated the number of total PSA and free PSA exams performed in 2014 in the Hospital of Grosseto and, simulating the application of the "PSA Reflex" algorithm in the same year, we calculated the decrease in the number of free PSA requests and we tried to predict the Euro savings in reagents, obtained from this reduction. RESULTS: In 2014 in the Hospital of Grosseto 25,955 total PSA tests have been performed: 3,631 (14%) resulted greater than 10 ng / ml; 7,686 (29.6%) between 2 and 10 ng / ml; 14,638 (56.4%) lower than 2 ng / ml. The performed free PSA tests were 16904. Simulating the use of "PSA Reflex" algorithm, the free PSA tests would be performed only in cases with total PSA values between 2 and 10 ng / mL with a saving of 54.5% of free PSA exams and of 8,971 euros, only for reagents. CONCLUSIONS: Our study showed that the "PSA Reflex" algorithm is a valid alternative leading to a reduction of the costs. The estimated intralaboratory savings, due to the reagents, seem to be modest, however, they are followed by the additional savings due to the other diagnostic processes for prostate cancers.

Health status of homeless persons: a pilot study in the Padua municipal dorm.

OBJECTIVES: Homeless persons can be considered a vulnerable group and several studies showed in this group an higher prevalence of chronic and infectious diseases, a lower mental health status, and a higher abuse of alcohol. The aim of our study was to investigate the health status of homeless in Padua, Italy, administering a questionnaire composed by SF-36 and EQ-5D. DESIGN: We conducted a cross-sectional study from 15 December 2015 to 15 February 2016. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: We enrolled in our study 73 homeless persons welcomed in the municipal dorm of Padua. 5 persons refused to participate in the study; 9 had a mental status incompatible with the participation to the study. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: We administered to the participants a questionnaire composed by three parts: in the first part we asked sociodemographic information (gender, age, nationality, qualification, height and weight) to calculate BMI, time spent at the dorm, period of homelessness, alcohol intake, smoking habit, availability of a general practitioner, emergency room visits in the last year, admissions in the last year, pre-existing conditions and in act, participation in screening programs. The second part was represented by the Short Form 36 questionnaire. The third part by the EQ-5D questionnaire. RESULTS: Our sample was composed by 79% men and 21% women. 54.7% were Italian. The mean age was 48 years. 72.8% were smoker and 60,3% drunk alcohol. In this latter group 28.8% drunk more than 1 liter of wine per day. Non Italian homeless smoke less than the Italian: this difference is statistically significant (OR = 3.7 p = 0.032 ). Only 9 foreigners had a general practitioner compared to 30 Italian homeless: this difference is statistically significant (OR = 60 P < 0.01). 43 of the 59 respondents (72.8 % ) said to suffer from some disease. No one reported a history of tuberculosis. The most represented diseases were pneumonia (30%), myocardial infarction (17%), hepatitis C (13.5%). Participation in screening programs was very low. From the analysis of the SF-36 results, homeless persons obtained lower scores than Italian population. In our study, 40 persons reported a level 2 or 3 in the EQ-5D dimension called "anxiety/ depression". In the EQ visual-analogue scale, the homeless population showed a lower perception of its health status. CONCLUSION: Compared to the general population, the homeless reported a worse mental health, and this showed that they represent a particularly vulnerable group. Moreover they had a higher percentage of incorrect habits for their health (alcoholism and tobacco addiction), they suffered from chronic conditions, and tended to have a higher frequency of accesses to the emergency rooms. It would be better to improve the state of health of the homeless, through initiatives that could reduce the causes of homelessness, and that could prevent the onset of diseases in this group.

Use of a systematic risk analysis method (FMECA) to improve quality in a clinical laboratory procedure.

BACKGROUND: Risk management is a set of actions to recognize or identify risks, errors and their consequences and to take the steps to counter it. The aim of our study was to apply FMECA (Failure Mode, Effects and Criticality Analysis) to the Activated Protein C resistance (APCR) test in order to detect and avoid mistakes in this process. METHODS: We created a team and the process was divided in phases and sub phases. For each phase we calculated the probability of occurrence (O) of an error, the detectability score (D) and the severity (S). The product of these three indexes yields the RPN (Risk Priority Number). Phases with a higher RPN need corrective actions with a higher priority. RESULTS: The calculation of RPN showed that more than 20 activities have a score higher than 150 and need important preventive actions; 8 have a score between 100 and 150. Only 23 actions obtained an acceptable score lower than 100. CONCLUSIONS: This was one of the first experience of application of FMECA analysis to a laboratory process, and the first one which applies this technique to the identification of the factor V Leiden, and our results confirm that FMECA could be a simple, powerful and useful tool in risk management and helps to identify quickly the criticality in a laboratory process.

Patient mobility for bone marrow transplant: the experience of the Perugia Hospital, years 2000-2013.

INTRODUCTION: Patient mobility, driven by patient preference is an indirect indicator of perception of hospital quality. Patients' choices depend on their previous healthcare experiences, the reputation of the hospital staff and the network of relationships between the patient, hospital doctors, general practitioners/reference specialists, etc. Therefore, the analysis of patient preferences provides an idea of hospital quality as well as qualitative and quantitative lack of services. The aim of the present research was to describe and analyze patient mobility for bone marrow transplantation regarding the Hospital of Perugia, which represents the second most important structure for bone marrow transplant in Italy. METHODS: Data have been collected from hospital discharge records in the ordinary regime related to the Diagnosis Related Group 481 "bone marrow transplant" since 2000 to 2013. We included autologous and allogenic transplant, in the adult and the child. Analysis of escaped, attracted and resident patients flows was undertaken using Gandy's nomogram which detects, through repeated time investigations, patients' movement inside and outside their catchment area. RESULTS: Between 2000 and 2013, 1782 patients were admitted to hospital with a DRG 481 "bone marrow transplant". Nine hundred and nineteen (51,5%) were resident in Umbria region, 799 (44,8%) in other regions, 64 (0,3%) abroad. Escapes were 158. The high percentage of admissions represented by patients that live out of Umbria, shows a high attractive power of the hospital. For "distant regions" this situation was maintained from 2000 to 2003, with a mild decrease from 2004 and, from 2010, the situation is stable. Only for "bordering regions" the attraction, which was stable up to 2010, seems to decrease. Gandy's nomogram shows also that the hospital was able to satisfy the health needs of the Umbria residents between 2004 and 2009 with a reductions in the escapes; then, in the last four years there is an increase in Umbria residents who seek care outside the catchment area and, in the last two years a reduction in the attraction power also. CONCLUSIONS: During the analyzed period of time, the Hospital of Perugia has been a choice for patients needing a bone marrow transplant. In the last period of the analysis it seems that patients preferences have changed. The increased availability of new hematologic centers explains two phenomena: on the one hand patients tend to not move for the examined DRG, so that there is a reduction in incoming patients from bordering regions; on the other hand the competition to attract patients from the catchment area leads to an increase in the quality of the service.

Sex differences in use of interventional cardiology persist after risk adjustment.

BACKGROUND: Studies from several countries have documented gender disparities in the management of coronary artery disease. Whether such gender disparities are seen in Italy and, if so, whether they can be explained by factors such as age and severity of illness were investigated. METHODS: 77 974 Piedmontese patients, admitted between 1999 and 2002, with a primary diagnosis of myocardial infarction (ICD 410), angina (ICD 413), chronic ischaemia (ICD 414) and chest pain (ICD 786.5) were studied. The number of men and women undergoing surgical treatment was extracted and the male-female odds ratios calculated. Several risk factors and a risk adjustment technique (APR-DRG) were used to control for possible confounders. Backward stepwise multiple logistic regression was used to adjust for significant covariates. RESULTS: Crude analysis demonstrated that gender is a discriminating factor in the probability of surgery (OR 2.11, 95% CI 2.04 to 2.19), with similar findings among those with each main diagnosis. The odds ratios decreased after adjustment for age, co-morbidity and disease severity but remained significant. CONCLUSIONS: Men and women admitted to hospitals in a region of northern Italy with a diagnosis of cardiovascular disease are treated differently and this cannot be explained by age or severity of disease.

[Effect of hospital policies on patient mobility: Siennese experience]. / Programmazione ospedaliera e flussi di pazienti: esperienza senese.

The Italian National Health Service (S.S.N.), adopted in 1978 (Law n 833) and based on Beveridge's model, emphasises the citizens freedom to choose and the equal opportunity in accessing health care structures. Local Health Authorities--L.H.A. (U.S.L.--Unità Sanitarie Locali) become owners of almost all the structures in their territories and directly responsible for the satisfaction of all residents health needs. The former hospitals' network, based on independent first, second and third level public hospitals, in potential competition, was dismantled. Hospitals' financing, the main economic role of the S.S.N., was based on the documented running expenses: therefore the hospital interest to attract patients diminished and expenses increased in a uncontrolled way. In 1992, the Italian Government, (re)introduced (Law n 502) the quasi-market administered competition between Italian hospitals, making the major ones independent (Aziende Ospedaliere--A.O.) from the L.H.A. Hospital income from then is based on DRGs; the L.H.A. (and hospitals) leadership is now entrusted to managers and not politicians. We describe now how these changes were experienced by our hospital (A.O. Senese), placed in Southern Tuscany, Italy. We elaborated hospitalisation data regarding residents in the province of Siena (252,000 inhabitants) and activity data regarding its main hospital (A.O. Senese, 1200 beds, 47,000 admissions/year). Using the Gandy's Nomogram, we show the variation of patients mobility from 1988 to 1999. Our survey demonstrates that the Italian hospital system answers well enough to the legislative regulations: following the Law 833/1978 our hospital diminished its ability to attract patients from other areas; at the same time migrations of hospitals patients from Siena increased. Following the Law 502/1992, the power of attraction of our hospital is increased. Nevertheless the flow of escape continued to increase. It appears that to discourage the attraction power means to promote the loss of perceived quality and that it is difficult to correct such effects.

Appropriateness of hospital utilisation in Italy.

The purpose of this study was to determine the extent of inappropriate hospital admission and inappropriate days of stay and the effect of variables on such inappropriateness on an adult population in Italy. A review was made of medical records of patients admitted to any one of the following specialities: medicine, surgery, gynaecology or traumatology/orthopaedics at one of five hospitals located respectively in Siena, Frosinone, Rome and Catanzaro, and who were in-patients during one of four pre-selected index days. To determine the appropriateness of hospital admission and length of hospitalisation, a retrospective application was made using the Italian version of Appropriateness Evaluation Protocol (AEP). A total of 1299 patient days were reviewed. 14.2% of the hospital admissions and 37.3% of the number of hospitalisation days were judged to be inappropriate. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that inappropriate admission was significantly increased with relation to: greater distance from hospital to patient's home; admission to a medical ward; planned admissions; and admission over a weekend. Multiple logistic regression analysis indicated that the inappropriate number of days of hospitalisation was significantly higher for medicine and for patients who were inappropriately admitted. The main reason for categorising an admission as inappropriate was that the patient's problems could be treated on an out-patient basis, and, for inappropriate days of care, the physician was overtly cautious in the management of a patient. Changing the physicians' behaviour and the organisation of hospital activities may be effective in improving the quality and efficiency of hospital care.

What has contributed to the change in life expectancy in Italy between 1980 and 1992?

Life expectancy at birth in southern Europe is known to be greater than expected in comparison with levels of economic development. This has been attributed to the 'Mediterranean diet'. There are, however, concerns that this comparative advantage is being lost. This paper examines the factors underlying changing life expectancy in Italy since 1980. The subjects of this analysis are obtained from data on all deaths in Italy between 1980 and 1992. Change in age specific death rates is calculated from selected causes and, using the method developed by Pollard, the contribution of deaths from different causes and at different ages to changing life expectancy at birth is estimated. Between 1980 and 1992, life expectancy at birth increased by 2.70 years for men and 2.75 years for women. Death rates have fallen among children and those over 40. In contrast, death rates have increased among men aged between 20 and 39 and have increased very slightly among women aged 25-29. Falling death rates from ischaemic heart disease are continuing to contribute to increasing life expectancy. Death rates from lung and breast cancer are rising among women but are compensated for by falling death rates from other cancers. Among men, falling death rates from cancer at younger ages are being offset by increases at older ages. The rising death rate among younger men is almost entirely due to AIDS, with accidents also making a small contribution. Life expectancy in Italy has improved throughout the 1980s, largely driven by falling death rates from cardiovascular diseases. Here are, however, some worrying trends, most notably the rising death rate among young men, due almost entirely to AIDS. The changing pattern of mortality has some similarities with Spain, another Mediterranean country, but there are also important differences.