Topical Atropine for Childhood Myopia Control: The Atropine Treatment Long-Term Assessment Study.

Importance: Clinical trial results of topical atropine eye drops for childhood myopia control have shown inconsistent outcomes across short-term studies, with little long-term safety or other outcomes reported. Objective: To report the long-term safety and outcomes of topical atropine for childhood myopia control. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective, double-masked observational study of the Atropine for the Treatment of Myopia (ATOM) 1 and ATOM2 randomized clinical trials took place at 2 single centers and included adults reviewed in 2021 through 2022 from the ATOM1 study (atropine 1% vs placebo; 1999 through 2003) and the ATOM2 study (atropine 0.01% vs 0.1% vs 0.5%; 2006 through 2012). Main Outcome Measures: Change in cycloplegic spherical equivalent (SE) with axial length (AL); incidence of ocular complications. Results: Among the original 400 participants in each original cohort, the study team evaluated 71 of 400 ATOM1 adult participants (17.8% of original cohort; study age, mean [SD] 30.5 [1.2] years; 40.6% female) and 158 of 400 ATOM2 adult participants (39.5% of original cohort; study age, mean [SD], 24.5 [1.5] years; 42.9% female) whose baseline characteristics (SE and AL) were representative of the original cohort. In this study, evaluating ATOM1 participants, the mean (SD) SE and AL were -5.20 (2.46) diopters (D), 25.87 (1.23) mm and -6.00 (1.63) D, 25.90 (1.21) mm in the 1% atropine-treated and placebo groups, respectively (difference of SE, 0.80 D; 95% CI, -0.25 to 1.85 D; P = .13; difference of AL, -0.03 mm; 95% CI, -0.65 to 0.58 mm; P = .92). In ATOM2 participants, the mean (SD) SE and AL was -6.40 (2.21) D; 26.25 (1.34) mm; -6.81 (1.92) D, 26.28 (0.99) mm; and -7.19 (2.87) D, 26.31 (1.31) mm in the 0.01%, 0.1%, and 0.5% atropine groups, respectively. There was no difference in the 20-year incidence of cataract/lens opacities, myopic macular degeneration, or parapapillary atrophy (ß/γ zone) comparing the 1% atropine-treated group vs the placebo group. Conclusions and Relevance: Among approximately one-quarter of the original participants, use of short-term topical atropine eye drops ranging from 0.01% to 1.0% for a duration of 2 to 4 years during childhood was not associated with differences in final refractive errors 10 to 20 years after treatment. There was no increased incidence of treatment or myopia-related ocular complications in the 1% atropine-treated group vs the placebo group. These findings may affect the design of future clinical trials, as further studies are required to investigate the duration and concentration of atropine for childhood myopia control.

Individual and Population Trajectories of Influenza Antibody Titers Over Multiple Seasons in a Tropical Country.

Seasonal influenza epidemics occur year-round in the tropics, complicating the planning of vaccination programs. We built an individual-level longitudinal model of baseline antibody levels, time of infection, and the subsequent rise and decay of antibodies postinfection using influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 data from 2 sources in Singapore: 1) a noncommunity cohort with real-time polymerase chain reaction-confirmed infections and at least 1 serological sample collected from each participant between May and October 2009 (n = 118) and 2) a community cohort with up to 6 serological samples collected between May 2009 and October 2010 (n = 760). The model was hierarchical, to account for interval censoring and interindividual variation. Model parameters were estimated via a reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm using custom-designed R (https://www.r-project.org/) and C++ (https://isocpp.org/) code. After infection, antibody levels peaked at 4-7 weeks, with a half-life of 26.5 weeks, followed by a slower decrease up to 1 year to approximately preinfection levels. After the third wave, the seropositivity rate and the population-level antibody titer dropped to the same level as they were at the end of the first pandemic wave. The results of this analysis are consistent with the hypothesis that the population-level effect of individuals' waxing and waning antibodies influences influenza seasonality in the tropics.