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1.
PLoS One ; 18(1): e0277049, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36706080

RESUMO

This study examined the differences in medical and long-term care costs over 18 months between pet owners and non-owners among community-dwelling older Japanese. Pet ownership data were collected from 460 community-dwelling adults age 65 years and older. These data were matched with data from the National Health Insurance, health insurance for older people, and Long-Term Care Insurance beneficiaries for 17 months back from the survey on pet ownership. Pet-ownership group-specific trajectories in monthly medical and long-term care costs were modeled by a generalized estimating equation. Among pet owners (n = 96, 20.9%) and non-pet owners (n = 364, 79.1%) there were no significant differences in baseline demographic or health characteristics including chronic disease and self-reported long-term care level. At baseline, pet owners had estimated monthly medical costs of ¥48,054 (SE = 0.11; $418), compared to ¥42,260 (SE = 0.06; $367) for non-pet owners. The monthly medical costs did not differ significantly between the two groups during the 18-month follow-up period. At baseline, estimated monthly long-term care costs of pet owners and non-pet owners were ¥676 (SE = 0.75; $6) and ¥1,420 (SE = 0.52; $12), respectively. During the follow-up period, the non-pet owner to owner ratio of monthly long-term care costs was 1.2 at minimum and 2.3 at maximum. This study showed that monthly long-term care costs for pet owners were approximately half those of non-pet owners. Pet owners might use long-term care services less frequently, or use lighter care services.


Assuntos
Vida Independente , Assistência de Longa Duração , Humanos , Idoso , Animais , Propriedade , População do Leste Asiático , Custos e Análise de Custo , Animais de Estimação
2.
Geriatr Gerontol Int ; 21(7): 555-560, 2021 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33977624

RESUMO

AIM: This study aimed to identify patterns in mutual aid relationships between older people living alone and their relatives and neighbors, and to examine the impact of mutual aid relationship patterns on mental health and perceived isolation through the mediating effect of subjective economic status. METHODS: We conducted a survey with 5000 randomly selected adults aged 65 years or older, from the five official senior care service areas of city A in Saitama Prefecture, Japan. Valid responses were received from 3941 participants (78.8%), of whom 436 participants from single-person households constituted the study sample. RESULTS: Latent class analysis revealed four types of mutual aid: family; family and intra-generational neighbors; no mutual aid; and family and multi-generational neighbors. Regression analysis showed that the interaction effect between family and neighbors' mutual aid and subjective economic status was a significant predictor of depressive symptoms. Simple slope analysis clarified that subjective economic status had a negative effect on depressive symptoms for the non-family/neighbors group, but not for the family/neighbors group. Furthermore, the interaction term between no mutual aid and subjective economic status was negatively associated with the fear of future isolation. Finally, the significantly negative effect observed was greater for the no mutual aid group than for the non-no mutual aid group. CONCLUSIONS: Mutual aid relationships are effective in improving the mental health and decreasing the fear of future isolation of older adults living alone who experience low economic status. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2021; 21: 555-560.


Assuntos
Status Econômico , Saúde Mental , Isolamento Social/psicologia , Apoio Social , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Nível de Saúde , Humanos , Japão , Masculino , Fatores Socioeconômicos
4.
Arch Gerontol Geriatr ; 93: 104286, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33171327

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether co-existing social isolation and homebound status influence medical care utilization and expenditure in older adults. METHODS: Postal surveys on social isolation and homebound status were performed on older adults aged ≥65 years residing in a Japanese suburban city. Information on medical care utilization and expenditure was obtained from insurance claims data. These outcomes were examined over a three-year period (December 2008 to November 2011) for all participants (Analysis I, n = 1386) and during the last year of life for mortality cases (Analysis II, n = 107). A two-part model was used to analyze the influence of social isolation and homebound status on medical care utilization (first model: logistic regression model) and its related expenditure (second model: generalized linear model). RESULTS: Almost 12 % of participants were both socially isolated and homebound. Analysis I showed that these participants were significantly less likely to use outpatient and home medical care than participants with neither characteristic (odds ratio: 0.536, 95 % confidence interval: 0.303-0.948). However, Analysis II showed that participants with both characteristics had significantly higher daily outpatient and home medical expenditure in the year before death than participants with neither characteristic (risk ratio: 2.155, 95 % confidence interval: 1.338-3.470). DISCUSSION: Older adults who are both socially isolated and homebound are less likely to regularly utilize medical care, which may eventually lead to serious health problems that require more intensive treatment. Measures are needed to encourage the appropriate use of medical care in these individuals to effectively manage any existing conditions.


Assuntos
Pacientes Domiciliares , Isolamento Social , Idoso , Gastos em Saúde , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Inquéritos e Questionários
5.
Nihon Koshu Eisei Zasshi ; 67(10): 752-762, 2020.
Artigo em Japonês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33361670

RESUMO

Objectives To examine the effects of a multifactorial intervention for improving frailty-comprising resistance exercise and nutritional and psychosocial programs-on the risk of long-term care insurance (LTCI) certification, death, and long-term care (LTC) cost among community-dwelling older adults.Methods Seventy-seven individuals (47 in 2011 and 30 in 2013) from the Hatoyama Cohort Study (742 individuals) participated in a multifactorial intervention. Non-participants were from the same cohort (including people who were invited to participate in the multifactorial intervention but declined). We performed propensity score matching with a ratio of 1 : 2 (intervention group vs. non-participant group). Afterward, 70 individuals undergoing the multifactorial intervention and 140 non-participants were selected. The risk of LTCI certification and/or death and the mean LTC cost during the follow-up period (32 months) were compared using the Cox proportional hazards model and generalized linear model (gamma regression model).Results The incidence of new LTCI certification (per 1,000 person-years) tended to be lower in the intervention group than in the non-participant group (1.8 vs. 3.6), but this was not statistically significant as per the Cox proportional hazards model (hazard ratio=0.51, 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.17-1.54). Although the incidence of LTC cost was not significant, the mean cumulative LTC cost during the 32 months and the mean LTC cost per unit during the follow-up period (1 month) were 375,308 JPY and 11,906 JPY/month, respectively, in the intervention group and 1,040,727 JPY and 33,460 JPY/month, respectively, in the non-participant group. Cost tended to be lower in the intervention group than in the non-participant group as per the gamma regression model (cumulative LTC cost: cost ratio=0.36, 95%CI=0.11-1.21, P=0.099; LTC cost per unit follow-up period: cost ratio=0.36, 95%CI=0.11-1.12, P=0.076).Conclusions These results suggest that a multifactorial intervention comprising resistance exercise, nutritional, and psychosocial programs is effective in lowering the incidence of LTCI certification, consequently saving LTC cost, although the results were not statistically significant. Further research with a stricter study design is needed.


Assuntos
Certificação/estatística & dados numéricos , Redução de Custos/economia , Exercício Físico/fisiologia , Idoso Fragilizado , Fragilidade/prevenção & controle , Vida Independente , Seguro de Assistência de Longo Prazo , Assistência de Longa Duração/economia , Serviços Preventivos de Saúde/economia , Serviços Preventivos de Saúde/métodos , Pontuação de Propensão , Treinamento Resistido , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Seguro de Assistência de Longo Prazo/normas , Seguro de Assistência de Longo Prazo/estatística & dados numéricos , Japão , Masculino , Risco
6.
Maturitas ; 136: 54-59, 2020 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32386667

RESUMO

Frailty is a dynamic condition that can worsen or improve. Although previous studies have identified demographic and intrinsic factors associated with transitions in frailty status, less evidence is available regarding associations with daily activities. This longitudinal study examined associations of behavioral factors with incident frailty, adverse events (e.g. residence in a nursing home, hospitalization, and death), and frailty improvement among older adults. The analysis included data from 3,769 independent older adults aged 65 years or more (mean age, 76.3 ± 7.2years; proportion of frail participants, 30.1%) from the Yabu cohort study (baseline, 2012; follow-up, 2017). The Kaigo-Yobo Checklist, a standardized questionnaire, was used to assess frailty status (non-frail or frail) and seven behavioral factors: farming, shopping, exercise, eating habit, intellectual activity, social participation, and smoking. At the 5-year follow-up survey, the proportions of participants transitioning from non-frail to frail, from non-frail to incident adverse events, from frail to non-frail, and from frail to incident adverse events were 16.8%, 13.9%, 15.2%, and 50.1%, respectively. In the analysis of non-frail participants, farming, exercise, intellectual activity, and social participation were associated with lower odds of becoming frail and experiencing adverse events. In the analysis for frail participants, farming, intellectual activity, and social participation were significantly associated with improvement in frailty status, and farming, shopping, and social participation were associated with lower odds of incident adverse events. These findings suggest that farming, healthy daily activities, and social participation help improve and prevent frailty/adverse events.


Assuntos
Fragilidade/epidemiologia , Estilo de Vida Saudável , Vida Independente , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Agricultura , Estudos de Coortes , Exercício Físico , Feminino , Idoso Fragilizado , Avaliação Geriátrica , Comportamentos Relacionados com a Saúde , Humanos , Masculino , Participação Social , Inquéritos e Questionários
7.
Maturitas ; 123: 32-36, 2019 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31027674

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether physical activity mediates the association of gait speed with incident disability and mortality in older adults. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort data from 782 community-dwelling Japanese older adults were analyzed. The median follow-up periods for incident disability and mortality were 4.4 and 4.5 years, respectively. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Physical activity was assessed with the Japan Arteriosclerosis Longitudinal Study Physical Activity Questionnaire, gait speed was calculated from 5-m walking time, and incident disability was defined as long-term care insurance certification during follow-up. RESULTS: There were 247 cases of incident disability and 202 deaths during follow-up. After adjusting for potential confounders, faster gait speed was associated with decreased risk of incident disability (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.87, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.82-0.93), but physical activity level was not associated with incident disability (HR = 0.98, 95% CI = 0.95-1.01). Gait speed was associated with mortality risk in the model without physical activity (HR = 0.93, 95% CI = 0.88-1.00). When gait speed and physical activity were both included in the model, gait speed was not associated with mortality (HR = 0.95, 95% CI = 0.89-1.02) but physical activity was associated with mortality (HR = 0.95, 95% CI = 0.92-0.99). Physical activity was a mediating factor in the association between gait speed and mortality (Sobel test p = .025). CONCLUSIONS: Gait speed is directly associated with incident disability and is indirectly related to mortality through physical activity in older adults.


Assuntos
Atividades Cotidianas , Exercício Físico , Assistência de Longa Duração , Mortalidade , Velocidade de Caminhada , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Marcha , Humanos , Incidência , Vida Independente , Seguro de Assistência de Longo Prazo , Japão/epidemiologia , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Limitação da Mobilidade , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Prospectivos , Caminhada
8.
J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci ; 74(2): 211-218, 2019 01 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29596617

RESUMO

Background: Higher-level functional capacity is crucial component for independent living in later life. We used repeated-measures analysis to identify aging trajectories in higher-level functional capacity. We then determined whether these trajectories were associated with all-cause mortality and examined differences in medical and long-term care costs between trajectories among community-dwelling older Japanese. Methods: 2,675 adults aged 65-90 years participated in annual geriatric health assessments and biennial health monitoring surveys during the period from October 2001 through August 2011. The average number of follow-up assessments was 4.0, and the total number of observations was 10,609. Higher-level functional capacity, which correspond to the fourth and fifth sublevels of Lawton's hierarchical model, was assessed with the Tokyo Metropolitan Institute of Gerontology-Index of Competence (TMIG-IC). Results: We identified four distinct trajectory patterns (high-stable, late-onset decreasing, early-onset decreasing, and low-decreasing) on the TMIG-IC through age 65-90 years. As compared with the high-stable trajectory group, participants in the late-onset decreasing, early-onset decreasing, and low-decreasing TMIG-IC trajectory groups had adjusted hazard ratios for mortality of 1.22 (95% confidence interval: 1.01-1.47), 1.90 (1.53-2.36), and 2.87 (2.14-3.84), respectively. Participants with high-stable and late-onset decreasing higher-level functional capacity trajectories had lower mean monthly medical costs and long-term care costs. In contrast, mean total costs were higher for those with low-decreasing trajectories, after excluding the large increase in such costs at the end of life. Conclusions: People with a low-decreasing aging trajectory in higher-level functional capacity had higher risks of death and had high monthly total costs.


Assuntos
Atividades Cotidianas , Envelhecimento/fisiologia , Tolerância ao Exercício/fisiologia , Avaliação Geriátrica/métodos , Vida Independente/economia , Assistência de Longa Duração/economia , Atividade Motora/fisiologia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Causas de Morte/tendências , Análise Custo-Benefício , Feminino , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Taxa de Sobrevida/tendências
9.
J Epidemiol ; 29(2): 73-81, 2019 Feb 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29962492

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Preventing and reducing frailty is an important challenge for Japan in the next decade, especially in metropolitan areas. We launched a community-wide intervention trial (the Ota Genki Senior Project) in 2016 to develop effective community-based strategies for frailty prevention in metropolitan areas. This report describes the study design and baseline survey. METHODS: This study is a community-wide intervention trial that integrates participatory action research into a cluster non-randomized controlled trial for adults aged 65 years or older living in Ota City, Tokyo. We allocated 3 of 18 districts to an intervention group and the other 15 to a control group. Using a mailed self-administered questionnaire, we conducted a baseline survey of 15,500 residents (8,000 and 7,500 in the intervention and control groups, respectively) from July through August 2016. In addition to socioeconomic status and lifestyle variables, we assessed frailty status (primary outcome) and physical, nutritional, and psychosocial variables (secondary outcomes). Based on the baseline findings, an intervention to improve outcomes will be implemented as participatory action research. Follow-up surveys will be conducted in the same manner as the baseline survey. RESULTS: A total of 11,925 questionnaires were returned (76.9% response rate; 6,105 [76.3%] and 5,820 [77.6%] in the intervention and control groups, respectively), and 11,701 were included in the analysis (mean age, 74.3 [standard deviation, 5.5] years; 48.5% were men). CONCLUSIONS: This study is expected to contribute to development of a prototype of a community-wide frailty prevention strategy, especially in metropolitan areas in Japan. TRIAL REGISTRATION: UMIN Clinical Trials Registry (UMIN000026515).


Assuntos
Fragilidade/prevenção & controle , Promoção da Saúde/métodos , População Urbana/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Análise por Conglomerados , Pesquisa Participativa Baseada na Comunidade , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Projetos de Pesquisa , Inquéritos e Questionários , Tóquio
10.
Geriatr Gerontol Int ; 16 Suppl 1: 98-109, 2016 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27018288

RESUMO

Compelling evidence supporting the benefits of social engagement in older adults has been increasingly discussed. However, knowledge regarding an intergenerational program is limited. Herein, we provide a targeted review of intergenerational programs by focusing on our novel interventional program, Research on Productivity through Intergenerational Sympathy. The Research on Productivity through Intergenerational Sympathy program is an intergenerational picture-book reading program launched in 2004. Participants were involved a 3-month intensive weekly training seminar comprising classes about book selection, reading techniques and basic knowledge of children's school life. Subsequently, they participated in group activities that involved playing a hand game, and reading picture books to children at kindergartens, elementary schools and public childcare centers, once every 1-2 weeks. The Research on Productivity through Intergenerational Sympathy program has shown improvement of physical and psychological functioning of older adults and healthy upbringing of children. Similarly, Experience Corps - designed to train and place volunteers in participating elementary schools for an academic year during which time they assist teachers - also showed positive effects for older adults' health status and the psychological/academic success of young children in the USA. Health promotion efforts for older adults must support social policy for the creation of meaningful service programs for older adults on a large social scale. As such, an intergenerational program based on the concept of social capital, defined as "features of social organization, such as trust, norms and networks, that can improve the efficacy of society by facilitating coordinated actions," is an effective and sustainable program for health promotion among older adults.


Assuntos
Pesquisa Biomédica , Promoção da Saúde/métodos , Nível de Saúde , Avaliação de Programas e Projetos de Saúde/tendências , Apoio Social , Idoso , Humanos , Japão , Voluntários
11.
Nihon Ronen Igakkai Zasshi ; 52(1): 86-93, 2015.
Artigo em Japonês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25786633

RESUMO

AIM: We examined the longitudinal association between the change in the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) score per year and the incidence of a certified need for care in the long-term care insurance system among community-dwelling older Japanese subjects. METHODS: A total of 773 adults 65 years of age or older who participated in a baseline survey (2002 to 2007) underwent MMSE reevaluation at least once until Wave-1 (2003 to 2008). The incidence of a certified need for care in the long-term care insurance system until Wave-2 (Wave-1 to 2013) was examined in all subjects. RESULTS: During an average follow-up of 1,195 days (baseline survey to Wave-1), the change in the MMSE score per year was greater than 0 in 511 (66.1%) participants, 0 to -0.5 in 94 (12.2%) participants, -0.5 to -1 in 66 (8.5%) participants, -1 to -2 in 56 (7.2%) participants, and less than -2 in 46 (6.0%) participants. During an average follow-up of 1,802 days (Wave-1 to Wave-2), 104 participants (13.5%) were newly certified with a need for care in the long-term care insurance system. After controlling for important confounders, elders with a change in the MMSE score of 0 to -0.5, -0.5 to -1, -1 to -2 and less than -2 per year were 1.73 (95% confidence interval, 0.93-3.23), 1.94 (1.01-3.45), 1.95 (1.02-3.76) and 3.16 (1.68-5.98) times as likely to be newly certified with a need for care in the long-term care insurance system, respectively, compared those with a change in the score greater than 0. CONCLUSIONS: The extent of change in the MMSE score per year independently predicted the incident certified need for care in the long-term care insurance system in a general population of older Japanese subjects. A decrease of greater than 0.5 points per year may be a useful cutoff value for clinically evaluating elders.


Assuntos
Transtornos Cognitivos , Idoso , Transtornos Cognitivos/epidemiologia , Feminino , Avaliação Geriátrica , Humanos , Incidência , Vida Independente , Seguro de Assistência de Longo Prazo , Masculino , Estudos Prospectivos
12.
J Epidemiol ; 24(6): 519-25, 2014.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25196168

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Further evidence into the effects of social relationships on health (including those at both the individual and community levels) is needed in Japan. The Yabu Cohort Study was launched in 2012 to identify the associations between social relationships and health among community-dwelling older Japanese people and to evaluate population approaches for preventive long-term care in the community. This report describes the study design and the profile of the participants at baseline. METHODS: The Yabu Cohort Study is a prospective study of community-dwelling individuals aged 65 years and older in Yabu, Hyogo Prefecture, Japan. The baseline survey, using a mailed self-administered questionnaire, was conducted from July through August 2012. It included information on socioeconomic status, general and psychological health, and social relationships (social network, social support, and social capital). Survival time, long-term care insurance certification, and medical and long-term care costs after the baseline survey will be followed. RESULTS: Of 7271 questionnaires distributed, a total of 6652 were returned (91.5% response rate), and 6241 were included in the analysis. Mean age was 71.9 ± 5.2 years, 43.2% were men, and 83.8% had lived in their neighborhood for more than 40 years. Approximately 45.2% expressed general trust. About 82.4%, 49.9%, and 55.5% have participated in neighborhood association activities, municipal seminars for preventive long-term care, and salon activities in the community, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The study is expected to provide valuable evidence on the effects of social relationships on health and to suggest the usefulness of population approaches for preventive long-term care in Japanese communities.


Assuntos
Nível de Saúde , Vida Independente , Estudos Prospectivos , Projetos de Pesquisa , Apoio Social , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Humanos , Japão , Masculino , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Inquéritos e Questionários
13.
Nihon Koshu Eisei Zasshi ; 60(10): 651-8, 2013 Oct.
Artigo em Japonês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24200718

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Area Comprehensive Support Centers play critical roles in identifying those elderly not currently using medical or long-term health care services, offering preventative measures against further health crises and possible isolated death. The purpose of this study was to develop an "At-Risk Elderly Checklist." This checklist can help in identifying those at-risk elderly, allowing people in communities to provide the Area Comprehensive Support Center with information about at-risk elderly. METHODS: As a preliminary step, interviews were conducted with 29 professionals who work for 17 different Area Comprehensive Support Centers located in 4 municipalities around the Tokyo Metropolitan Area. We constructed 23 items based on the findings of this preliminary research and existing tools used in different areas. These items represented distinctive characteristics of elderly who need support from Area Comprehensive Support Centers in order to receive necessary medical and long-term care services. A self-report survey was conducted on 109 professionals of 20 Area Comprehensive Support Centers of Ota-ku, Tokyo in order to examine the content validity of the items. RESULTS: Using factor analysis, we identified 5 factors consisting of 19 items. The first factor consisted of 5 items helping people to identify a serious health crisis from the appearance and condition of the elderly individual's home. The health crisis indicated by these items might require immediate hospitalization. The second factor consisted of 5 items that can help people notice symptoms of dementia through their communication with elderly. The third factor consisted of 4 items useful for assessing health deterioration of the elderly by observing various behaviors. The fourth factor consisted of 3 items that people can use to measure the progress of dementia, including issues with how the elderly dressed themselves. The fifth factor consisted of 2 items that can be used to understand signs of declining health or the progress of dementia by paying attention to the elderly individuals' body odor and personal appearance. From the original 19 items, 14 that were considered the most useful in detecting at-risk elderly were selected based on a frequency distribution. The content validity of 14 items was confirmed by 20 professionals from Area Comprehensive Support Centers in Outa-ku. CONCLUSION: This checklist may be effective in the early detection of elderly at risk of serious health crises and isolated death due to not using necessary medical and long-term care services.


Assuntos
Lista de Checagem , Necessidades e Demandas de Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviços de Saúde para Idosos , Idoso , Análise Fatorial , Feminino , Humanos , Entrevistas como Assunto , Japão , Assistência de Longa Duração , Masculino
14.
Nihon Koshu Eisei Zasshi ; 53(2): 77-91, 2006 Feb.
Artigo em Japonês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16566239

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To ascertain predictors for the onset of different levels of certification of long-term care insurance among older adults living independently in a community. METHODS: Out of all residents aged 65 years and over living in Yoita town, Niigata prefecture, Japan (n = 1,673), 1,544 persons participated in the baseline interview survey in 2000 (response rate, 92.3%). Among these participants, 1,229 persons (79.6% of responders) were ranked as level 1, based on the hierarchical mobility level classification. They were followed up for the subsequent 3 years and 4 months to see whether they continued without certification of long-term care insurance or suffered onset of a "mild level", certified as levels "needing support" and 1 for long-term care insurance, or a "severe level" as 2-5. The Cox proportional hazards model with a stepwise method was used to identify the most parsimonious combination of predictors for each type of long-term care insurance certification. RESULTS: Of those who were followed up, 1,151 persons showed no disability in basic activities of daily living (ADL) at baseline nor died before application for long-term care during the follow-up and thus served for analysis. 1,055 persons (91.7%) remained as "no event", but 49 (4.3%) and 47 persons (4.1%) had onset of the "mild level" and the "severe level" during the follow-up, respectively. The final model for prediction of the "mild level" in both genders included advanced age and poor walking ability (hazard ratio (HR) for either unable or with difficulty: 7.22[95% CI, 1.56-33.52] in males and both unable and with difficulty: 3.28[95% CI, 1.28-8.42] in females). The final model for prediction of the "severe level" in both genders included advanced age and poor instrumental ADL (HR for < or = 4 marks: 3.74[95% CI, 1.59-8.76] in males and 3.90[95% CI, 1.32-11.54] in females). Severe cognitive decline was a predictor only for the "severe level" in males. A history of hospitalization during past 1 year and poor chewing ability were predictive only for the "mild level" in females. CONCLUSIONS: Among older adults living independently in a community, most predictors for subsequent onset of mild level-certification of long-term care insurance, except for advanced age, may be controlled by preventive strategies. Evaluating effectiveness of programs for this purpose warrants further study.


Assuntos
Idoso/fisiologia , Idoso/psicologia , Certificação , Nível de Saúde , Seguro de Assistência de Longo Prazo , Atividades Cotidianas , Feminino , Seguimentos , Avaliação Geriátrica , Humanos , Seguro de Assistência de Longo Prazo/estatística & dados numéricos , Japão , Masculino , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Características de Residência
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