Projected burden and distribution of elevated blood pressure levels and its consequence among adolescents in sub-Saharan Africa.

Background: There is minimal data on the number of adolescents in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) with elevated blood pressure (BP) at increased risk of future cardiovascular events. Combining country-specific population data with data derived from two previously conducted meta-analyses (one African-specific, one based on international cohorts), we sought to address this knowledge deficit. Methods: We used meta-analysis data from 37 926 adolescents participating in 36 contemporary SSA studies to generate sex-specific proportions of adolescents aged 10-14 and 15-19 years with elevated BP. The estimates were applied to the 2021 World Bank population data for each country in SSA. We then applied the rate of cardiovascular events attributable to elevated BP levels, derived from a meta-analysis of 17 observational, longitudinal cohort studies comprising 4.5 million young adults (non-African), to determine the excess number of cardiovascular events linked to hypertension among those aged 15-19 years transitioning to adulthood. Results: The estimated prevalence of elevated BP among male and female adolescents aged 10-14 years living in SSA was 7.2% (95% confidence interval (CI) = 4.9-9.9) and 6.9% (95% CI = 4.7-9.5), respectively, which increased to 13.0% (95% CI = 10.6-15.6) and 12.5% (95% CI = 10.4-15.3) among male and female adolescents aged 15-19 years, respectively. Consequently, we estimate that 13.6/138.0 million (95% CI = 10.4-17.3) male and 12.9/135.7 million (95% CI = 9.83-16.3) female adolescents living in SSA have elevated BP. Among the estimated 16.1 million adolescents aged 15-19 years with elevated BP approaching adulthood, the projected excess in cardiovascular events attributable to hypertension (vs normotension) is 201 000 (95% CI = 115 000-322 000) to 503 000 (95% CI = 286 000-805 000) over the next 10-25 years. Conclusions: Based on the best available data, we estimate that 26.5 million adolescents living in SSA have elevated BP. If left undetected and untreated among those approaching adulthood (those aged 15-19 years), they will experience >0.5 million excess cardiovascular events associated with persistently elevated BP within the next 25 years. Registration: PROSPERO: CRD42022297948.

The Burden of Cardiovascular Disease Attributable to Hypertension in Nigeria: A Modelling Study Using Summary-Level Data.

Background: Globally, cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains the leading cause of mortality and disability, with hypertension being the single most important modifiable risk factor. Hypertension is responsible for about 18% of global deaths from CVD, of which African regions are disproportionately affected, especially sub-Saharan Africa. This study assessed the burden of major CVD subtypes attributable to hypertension in Nigeria. Methods: The population attributable fractions (PAF) for myocardial infarction, all strokes, ischaemic stroke and intracerebral haemorrhagic stroke attributable to hypertension in Nigeria were calculated using published results from the INTERHEART and INTERSTROKE studies and prevalence estimates of hypertension in Nigeria. PAF estimates were obtained for age, sex, and geopolitical zones. Results: Overall, hypertension contributed to 13.2% of all myocardial infarctions and 24.6% of all strokes, including 21.6% of all ischaemic strokes and 33.1% of all intracerebral haemorrhagic strokes. Among men aged ≤55 years, the PAF for myocardial infarction ranged from 11.7% (North-West) to 14.6% (South-East), while in older men, it spanned 9.2% (North-West) to 11.9% (South-East). Among women aged ≤65 years, PAF varied from 18.6% (South-South) to 20.8% (South-East and North-Central), and among women aged >65 years, it ranged from 10.4% (South-South) to 12.7% (South-East). Conclusion: Hypertension is a key contributor to the burden of CVD in Nigeria. Understanding the burden of hypertension in the Nigerian population overall and key subgroups is crucial to developing and implementing contextualised health policies to reduce the burden of CVD. Public health interventions and policies centred on hypertension will play a critical role in potentially alleviating the burden of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in Nigeria.

Evaluation of Primary Healthcare Centers' Service Availability and Readiness for Implementing Diabetes Care in Abuja, Nigeria: A Cross-Sectional, Formative Assessment.

Introduction: Noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) are associated with a high and rising burden of morbidity and mortality in sub-Saharan Africa, including Nigeria. Diabetes mellitus (DM) is among the leading causes of NCD-related deaths worldwide and is a foremost public health problem in Nigeria. As part of the National Multi-Sectoral Action Plan for the Prevention and Control of NCDs, Nigeria has committed to implementing the World Health Organization (WHO) Package of Essential NCD control interventions. Implementing the intervention requires the availability of essential elements, including guidelines, trained staff, health management information systems, equipment, and medications, in primary healthcare centers (PHCs). This study assessed the availability of the WHO package components and the readiness of PHCs to implement a DM screening, evaluation, and management program. Methods: This cross-sectional formative assessment adapted the WHO Service Availability and Readiness Assessment (SARA) tool to survey 30 PHCs selected by multistage sampling for readiness to deliver DM diagnosis and care in Abuja, Nigeria, between August 2021 and October 2021. The service availability and readiness indicator scores were calculated based on the proportion of PHCs with available DM care services, minimum staff requirement, diagnostic tests, equipment, medications, and national guidelines/protocols for DM care within the defined SARA domain. Results: All 30 PHCs reported the availability of at least two full-time staff (median [interquartile range] staff = 5 [4-9]), which were mostly community health extension workers (median [interquartile range]) = 3 [1-4]. At least one staff member was recently trained in DM care in only 11 (36%) of the PHCs. The study also reported high availability (100%) of paper-based health management information systems (HMIS) and DM screening services using a glucometer (87%), but low availability of DM treatment (23%), printed job aids (27%), and national guidelines/protocols (0%). Conclusion: This systematic assessment of PHCs' readiness to implement a DM screening, evaluation, and management program in Abuja demonstrated readiness to integrate DM care into PHCs in terms of equipment, paper-based HMIS, and nonphysician health workers' availability. However, strategies are needed to promote DM health workforce training, provide DM management guidelines, and ensure a reliable supply of essential DM medications.

Estimated health benefits, costs and cost-effectiveness of eliminating industrial trans-fatty acids in Nigeria: cost-effectiveness analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Nigeria is committed to reducing industrial trans-fatty acids (iTFA) from the food supply, but the potential health gains, costs and cost-effectiveness are unknown. METHODS: The effect on ischaemic heart disease (IHD) burden, costs and cost-effectiveness of a mandatory iTFA limit (≤2% of all fats) for foods in Nigeria were estimated using Markov cohort models. Data on demographics, IHD epidemiology and trans-fatty acid intake were derived from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study. Avoided IHD events and deaths; health-adjusted life years (HALYs) gained; and healthcare, policy implementation and net costs were estimated over 10 years and the population's lifetime. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios using net costs and HALYs gained (both discounted at 3%) were used to assess cost-effectiveness. RESULTS: Over the first 10 years, a mandatory iTFA limit (assumed to eliminate iTFA intake) was estimated to prevent 9996 (95% uncertainty interval: 8870 to 11 118) IHD deaths and 66 569 (58 862 to 74 083) IHD events, and to save US$90 million (78 to 102) in healthcare costs. The corresponding lifetime estimates were 259 934 (228 736 to 290 191), 479 308 (95% UI 420 472 to 538 177) and 518 (450 to 587). Policy implementation costs were estimated at US$17 million (11 to 23) over the first 10 years, and US$26 million USD (19 to 33) over the population's lifetime. The intervention was estimated to be cost-saving, and findings were robust across several deterministic sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: Our findings support mandating a limit of iTFAs as a cost-saving strategy to reduce the IHD burden in Nigeria.

SARS-CoV 2 Infection (Covid-19) and Cardiovascular Disease in Africa: Health Care and Socio-Economic Implications.

The current pandemic of SARS-COV 2 infection (Covid-19) is challenging health systems and communities worldwide. At the individual level, the main biological system involved in Covid-19 is the respiratory system. Respiratory complications range from mild flu-like illness symptoms to a fatal respiratory distress syndrome or a severe and fulminant pneumonia. Critically, the presence of a pre-existing cardiovascular disease or its risk factors, such as hypertension or type II diabetes mellitus, increases the chance of having severe complications (including death) if infected by the virus. In addition, the infection can worsen an existing cardiovascular disease or precipitate new ones. This paper presents a contemporary review of cardiovascular complications of Covid-19. It also specifically examines the impact of the disease on those already vulnerable and on the poorly resourced health systems of Africa as well as the potential broader consequences on the socio-economic health of this region.

Feasibility and effect of community health worker support and home monitoring for blood pressure control in Nigeria: a randomised pilot trial.

In a three-arm, randomised, controlled trial among 60 Nigerian adults with hypertension, community health worker support and home blood pressure monitoring led to greater reductions in systolic blood pressure at four weeks compared to the usual care.