Machine Learning-based Models for Outpatient Prescription of Kampo Formulations: An Analysis of a Health Insurance Claims Database.

BACKGROUND: Despite the widespread practice of Japanese traditional Kampo medicine, the characteristics of patients receiving various Kampo formulations have not been documented in detail. We applied a machine learning model to a health insurance claims database to identify the factors associated with the use of Kampo formulations. METHODS: A 10% sample of enrollees of the JMDC Claims Database in 2018 and 2019 was used to create the training and testing sets, respectively. Logistic regression analyses with lasso regularization were performed in the training set to construct models with prescriptions of 10 commonly used Kampo formulations in 1 year as the dependent variable and data of the preceding year as independent variables. Models were applied to the testing set to calculate the C-statistics. Additionally, the performance of simplified scores using 10 or 5 variables were evaluated. RESULTS: There were 338,924 and 399,174 enrollees in the training and testing sets, respectively. The commonly prescribed Kampo formulations included kakkonto, bakumondoto, and shoseityuto. Based on the lasso models, the C-statistics ranged from 0.643 (maoto) to 0.888 (tokishakuyakusan). The models identified both the common determinants of different Kampo formulations and the specific characteristics associated with particular Kampo formulations. The simplified scores were slightly inferior to full models. CONCLUSION: Lasso regression models showed good performance for explaining various Kampo prescriptions from claims data. The models identified the characteristics associated with Kampo formulation use.

Practice patterns and costs of glaucoma treatment in Japan.

PURPOSE: Understanding the practice patterns and costs of glaucoma care in real-world clinical settings is important for optimizing medical expenses. However, glaucoma treatment trends and associated costs in Japan are unknown. We aimed to unveil glaucoma treatment trends and costs using a large administrative claims database in Japan. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. METHODS: We included patients diagnosed with glaucoma between April 2014 and March 2021 using the DeSC database. We calculated the frequencies and costs of antiglaucoma eyedrops, incisional or laser procedures, and ophthalmic examinations stratified by fiscal year and age. In the year-by-year analyses, the age distribution was standardized based on the 2020 distribution. RESULTS: A total of 841,747 patient-years (429,051 patients) were included. The number of prescribed eyedrops significantly increased and the fixed-combination eyedrops proportion decreased with age. Trabeculectomy frequency decreased, and that of laser trabeculoplasty increased during the observation period. The frequencies of both incisional and laser procedures peaked in the 75-79 age group. In 2020, 16.1 bottles of eyedrops per patient-year were prescribed, and 15.9 incisional surgeries and 11.3 laser therapies were performed per 1000 patient-years. Intraocular pressure measurement and visual field testing were performed 6.5 times and 2.0 times per patient-year, respectively. The total direct cost of glaucoma treatment was 55,139 yen (US $399.5) per patient-year, of which medications accounted for 44.2%, ophthalmic examinations for 47.4%, and incisional or laser procedures for 8.4%. CONCLUSION: These results may be useful for understanding glaucoma treatment trends and costs in Japan.

Factors associated with long-term care certification in older adults: a cross-sectional study based on a nationally representative survey in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Long-term care (LTC) prevention is a pressing concern in ageing societies. To understand the risk factors of LTC, it is vital to consider psychological and social factors in addition to physical factors. Owing to a lack of relevant data, we aimed to investigate the social, physical and psychological factors associated with LTC using large-scale, nationally representative data to identify a high-risk population for LTC in terms of multidimensional frailty. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional study using anonymised data from the 2013 Comprehensive Survey of Living Conditions conducted by the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare of Japan. Among the 23,730 eligible people aged 65 years or older and those who were not in hospitals or care facilities during the survey, 1718 stated that they had LTC certification. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to determine the factors associated with LTC certification. RESULTS: Factors positively associated with LTC certification in the multivariate analyses included older age, the interaction term between sex and age group at age 85-89 years, limb movement difficulties, swollen/heavy feet, incontinence, severe psychological distress (indicated by a Kessler Psychological Distress Scale [K6] score ≥ 13), regular hospital visits for dementia, stroke, Parkinson's disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, fracture, rheumatoid arthritis, kidney disease, diabetes and osteoporosis. Factors negatively associated with LTC certification included the presence of a spouse, regular hospital visits for hypertension and consulting with friends or acquaintances about worries and stress. CONCLUSIONS: In summary, we identified the physical, psychological and social factors associated with LTC certification using nationally representative data. Our findings highlight the importance of the establishment of multidimensional approaches for LTC prevention in older adults.

Effects of Prophylactic Antibiotics on Length of Stay and Total Costs for Pediatric Acute Pancreatitis: A Nationwide Database Study in Japan.

OBJECTIVES: Acute pancreatitis (AP) guidelines for adult patients do not recommend routine prophylactic use of antibiotics because of no clinical merit on mortality, infectious complications, or length of stay. Although the mortality of pediatric AP is low, no studies have explored the rationale for antibiotic use in pediatric patients. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of early prophylactic antibiotics on length of stay and total costs in pediatric patients. METHODS: Using the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database from 2010 to 2017, we used the stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting method using propensity scores to balance the background characteristics in the antibiotics group and the control group, and compared length of stay and total costs between the groups. RESULTS: We found significant differences between the antibiotics group (n = 652) and the control group (n = 467) in length of stay (11 days vs 9 days; percent difference, 15.4%; 95% confidence interval, 5.0%-26.8%) and total costs (US $4085 vs US $3648; percent difference, 19.8%; 95% confidence interval, 8.0%-32.9%). CONCLUSIONS: Prophylactic antibiotics were associated with longer length of stay and higher total costs. Our results do not support routine use of prophylactic antibiotics in pediatric AP populations.

Assessment of exposure risk of irinotecan and its active metabolite, SN-38, through perspiration during chemotherapy.

BACKGROUND: Irinotecan (CPT-11) is the key drug used in chemotherapy for many malignant tumors. CPT-11 has cholinergic activity and induces perspiration during intravenous administration. In this study, concentrations of CPT-11 and its active metabolite, SN-38, released during perspiration were measured and risk of exposure of these drugs was assessed. METHOD: Beads of sweat were collected using a dropper from four patients undergoing a chemotherapy regimen involving intravenous administration of CPT-11. The concentrations of CPT-11 and SN-38 in sweat were measured using liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry. RESULT: Chemotherapy regimens were capecitabine and irinotecan plus bevacizumab (n = 1), CPT-11 monotherapy (n = 1), and oxaliplatin-irinotecan-leucovorin-5-fluorouracil (n = 2). Uridine diphosphate-glucuronosyltransferase 1A1 phenotypes were *6 homo-type (n = 1), *6 hetero-type (n = 1), and wild type (n = 2). CPT-11 dose was 292.3 ± 75.5 mg/body weight (mean ± standard deviation). CPT-11 was detected in sweat secreted by all the four patients, and its mean (±standard deviation) concentration was 252.6 (±111.9) ng/ml. SN-38 was detected in only one of the patients who received oxaliplatin-irinotecan-leucovorin-5-fluorouracil treatment and who had the wild-type uridine diphosphate-glucuronosyltransferase 1A1 phenotype at a concentration of 74.37 ng/ml. CONCLUSION: CPT-11 and SN-38 are detected in sweat released during intravenous CPT-11 administration. Beads of sweat or linen clothes that absorb the sweat might be the source of CPT-11 and SN-38 exposure.

Fear of hypoglycemia and its determinants in insulin-treated patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

The aim of the present study was to investigate the prevalence of fear of hypoglycemia, in association with severe hypoglycemia and social factors, in insulin-treated patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. A questionnaire survey on hypoglycemia and patient-physician communication was carried out in 355 patients with insulin-treated type 2 diabetes mellitus patients at 16 hospitals and clinics. A fear of hypoglycemia was reported by 27.7% of patients. A stepwise logistic regression analysis found that severe hypoglycemia during the past 1 year was a significant determinant of fear of hypoglycemia (odds ratio 2.16, 95% confidence interval 1.06-4.41; P = 0.034), and age (odds ratio 1.02, 95% confidence interval 1.00-1.05, P = 0.038) and living alone (odds ratio 1.93, 95% confidence interval 1.00-3.73, P < 0.05) were significantly higher in patients with fear of hypoglycemia than in those without it.