[Every week counts: Use of health services and related costs of a community-based cohort of people with advanced chronic diseases]. / Cada semana cuenta: uso de dispositivos sanitarios y costes relacionados de una cohorte comunitaria de personas con enfermedades crónicas avanzadas.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the use of health resources of people with advanced chronicity, quantifying and characterizing its cost to suggest improvements in health care models. DESIGN: Observational, analytical and prospective study during 3 years of a cohort of people with advanced chronicity. LOCATION: Three primary care teams (EAP) of Osona, Cataluña. PARTICIPANTS: 224 people identified as advanced patients through a systematic population strategy. MAIN MEASUREMENTS: Age, sex, type of home, end-of-life trajectory; use, type and cost of resources in primary care, emergencies, palliative teams or hospitalization (in acute or intermediate care). RESULTS: Patients made an average of 1.1 admissions per year (average stay=6 days), 74% in intermediate care hospitals. They lived in the community 93.4% of time, carrying out 1 weekly contact with the EAP (45.1% home care). The average daily cost was 19.4euros, the main chapters were intermediate care hospitalizations (36.5%), EAP activity (29.4%) and admissions in acute hospitals (28.6%). Factors determining a potential lower cost are frailty/dementia as trajectory (p<0.001), living in a nursing-home facility (p<0.001) and over-aging (p<0.001). There are certain differences in the behavior of the EAP related to the global cost and to community resources (p<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Consumption in intermediate hospitalization and primary care is more relevant than stays in acute care centers. Nursing-homes and home-care strategies are important to attend effectively and efficiently, especially when primary care teams get ready for it.

Frail-VIG index: a concise frailty evaluation tool for rapid geriatric assessment.

BACKGROUND: Demographic changes have led to an increase in the number of elderly frail persons and, consequently, systematic geriatric assessment is more important than ever. Frailty Indexes (FI) may be particularly useful to discriminate between various degrees of frailty but are not routinely assessed due, at least in part, to the large number of deficits assessed (from 30 to 70). Therefore, we have developed a new, more concise FI for rapid geriatric assessment (RGA)-the Frail-VIG index ("VIG" is the Spanish/Catalan abbreviation for Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment), which contains 22 simple questions that assess 25 different deficits. Here we describe this FI and report its ability to predict mortality at 24 months. METHODS: Prospective, observational, longitudinal study of geriatric patients followed for 24 months or until death. The study participants were patients (n = 590) admitted to the Acute Geriatric Unit at the at the University Hospital of Vic (Barcelona) during the year 2014. Participants were classified into one of seven groups based on their Frail-VIG score (0-0.15; 0.16-0.25; 0.26-0.35; 0.36-0.45; 0.46-0.55; 0.56-0.65; and 0.66-1). Survival curves for these groups were compared using the log-rank test. ROC curves were used to assess the index's capacity to predict mortality at 24 months. RESULTS: Mean (standard deviation) patient age was 86.4 (5.6) years. The 24-month mortality rate was 57.3% for the whole sample. Significant between-group (deceased vs. living) differences (p < 0.05) were observed for most index variables. Survival curves for the seven Frail-VIG groups differed significantly (X2 = 433.4, p < 0.001), with an area under the ROC curve (confidence interval) of 0.90 (0.88-0.92) at 12 months and 0.85 (0.82-0.88) at 24 months. Administration time for the Frail-VIG index ranged from 5 to 10 min. CONCLUSIONS: The Frail-VIG index, which requires less time to administer than previously validated FIs, presents a good discriminative capacity for the degree of frailty and a high predictive capacity for mortality in the present cohort. Although more research is needed to confirm the validity of this instrument in other populations and settings, the Frail-VIG may provide clinicians with a RGA method and also a reliable tool to assess frailty in routine practice.

[Frail-VIG index: Design and evaluation of a new frailty index based on the Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment]. / Índice frágil-VIG: diseño y evaluación de un índice de fragilidad basado en la Valoración Integral Geriátrica.

INTRODUCTION: Frailty is closely linked to health results. Frailty indexes (FI) and the Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) are multidimensional tools. FI serve to quantitatively measure frailty levels. They have shown to have an excellent correlation with mortality. However, they are infrequently used in clinical practice. Given the need for new, more concise, and pragmatic FI, a new FI is proposed based on a CGA (Frail-VIG Index). MATERIAL AND METHODS: A prospective, observational, longitudinal study was conducted, with cohort follow up at 12 months or death. Participants were patients admitted in the Geriatric Unit of the University Hospital of Vic (Barcelona, Spain) during 2014. Contrast of hypothesis log-rank for survival curves according to Frail-VIG index, and analysis of ROC curves were performed to assess prognostic capacity. RESULTS: A total of 590 patients were included (mean age=86.39). Mortality rate at 12 months was 46.4%. The comparative analysis showed statistically significant differences (P<.05) for almost all variables included in the Frail-VIG index. Survival curves also show significant differences (X2=445, P<.001) for the different Frail-VIG index scores. The area under the ROC curve at 12 months was 0.9 (0.88-0.92). An administration time of the Index is estimated at less than 10minutes. CONCLUSIONS: Results endorse the Frail-VIG index as a simple (as for contents), rapid (for administration time) tool, with discriminative (for situational diagnosis) and predictive capacity (high correlation with mortality).

Utility of the NECPAL CCOMS-ICO© tool and the Surprise Question as screening tools for early palliative care and to predict mortality in patients with advanced chronic conditions: A cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The Surprise Question (SQ) identifies patients with palliative care needs. The NECPAL CCOMS-ICO© (NECPAL) tool combines the Surprise Question with additional clinical parameters for a more comprehensive assessment. The capacity of these screening tools to predict mortality is still unknown. AIM: To explore the predictive validity of the NECPAL and SQ to determine 12- to 24-month mortality. DESIGN: Longitudinal, prospective and observational cohort study. SETTING/PARTICIPANTS: Three primary care centres, one general hospital, one intermediate care centre, and four nursing homes. Population cohort with advanced chronic conditions and limited life prognosis. Patients were classified according to SQ and NECPAL criteria and followed for 24 months. RESULTS: Data available to assess 1059 of 1064 recruited patients (99.6%) at 12 and 24 months: 837 patients were SQ+ and 780 were NECPAL+. Mortality rates at 24 months were as follows: 44.6% (SQ+) versus 15.8% (SQ-) and 45.8% (NECPAL+) versus 18.3% (NECPAL-) ( p = 0.000). SQ+ and NECPAL+ identification was significantly correlated with 24-month mortality risk (hazard ratios: 2.719 and 2.398, respectively). Both tools were highly sensitive (91.4, CI: 88.7-94.1 and 87.5, CI: 84.3-90.7) with high negative predictive values (84.2, CI: 79.4-89.0 and 81.7, CI: 77.2-86.2), with low specificity and positive predictive value. The prognostic accuracy of SQ and NECPAL was 52.9% and 55.2%, respectively. The predictive validity was slightly better for NECPAL. CONCLUSION: SQ and NECPAL are valuable screening instruments to identify patients with limited life prognosis who may require palliative care. More research is needed to increase its prognostic utility in combination with other parameters.