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1.
Hepatol Commun ; 7(10)2023 10 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37782469

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The latest meta-analyses suggest NAFLD is increasing globally. Its limitations may preclude accurate estimates. We evaluated the global NAFLD burden and its' trends in prevalence and NAFLD liver-related mortality (LRM) by sex, age, region, and country over the past 3 decades using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study. METHODS: Crude and age-standardized NAFLD prevalence and NAFLD-LRM rates were obtained for all-age individuals with NAFLD from 204 countries/territories between 1990 and 2019. Joinpoint trend analysis assessed time trends. Weighted average of the annual percent change (APC) over the period 1990-2019 and 2010-2019 were reported. RESULTS: All-age (children and adults) crude global NAFLD prevalence increased:10.5% (561 million)-16.0% (1,236 million); an APC increase: + 1.47% (95% CI, 1.44%, 1.50%). Among adults (+20 y), crude NAFLD prevalence increased (1990: 17.6%, 2019:23.4%; APC: + 1.00%, 95% CI: 0.97%, 1.02%). In all-age groups, the crude NAFLD-LRM rate (per 100,000) increased (1990: 1.75%, 2019: 2.18%; APC: + 0.77% (95% CI, 0.70%, 0.84%). By Joinpoint analysis, from 2010 to 2019, worsening all-age trends in NAFLD prevalence and LRM were observed among 202 and 167 countries, respectively. In 2019, there were 1.24 billion NAFLD prevalent cases and 168,969 associated deaths; Asia regions accounted for 57.2% of all-age prevalent cases and 46.2% of all-age NAFLD-LRM. The highest all-age crude NAFLD prevalence rate was the Middle East and North Africa (LRM 26.5%); the highest all-age crude NAFLD-LRM rate was Central Latin America (5.90 per 100,000). CONCLUSIONS: NAFLD is increasing globally in all-age groups-over 80% of countries experienced an increase in NAFLD and NAFLD-LRM. These data have important policy implications for affected countries and for global health.


Assuntos
Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica , Adulto , Criança , Humanos , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/epidemiologia , Ásia , Carga Global da Doença
2.
Cell Metab ; 35(7): 1087-1088, 2023 07 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37437539

RESUMO

The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data provide information on population health; however, careful understanding of the estimation methods and limitations of these data is critical. Herein, Paik et al. discuss the recent study by Chew and colleagues in the context of these limitations, highlighting how a worsening trend in NAFLD-liver mortality may have been underestimated in the analysis.


Assuntos
Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica , Humanos , Carga Global da Doença
3.
Metabolism ; 146: 155642, 2023 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37380016

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is high among subjects with type 2 diabetes (T2D). However, the prevalence and outcomes of NAFLD among individuals with pre-diabetes (PreD) and metabolically healthy and metabolically unhealthy individuals without T2D are not known. Our aim was to assess prevalence and mortality of NAFLD among these four groups. METHODS: The Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) III (1988-1994) with mortality data (follow up to 2019) via linkage to the National Death Index was utilized. NAFLD was defined by ultrasound and absence of other liver diseases and excess alcohol use. Pre-D was defined as fasting plasma glucose values of 100-125 mg/dL and/or HbA1c level between 5.7 %-6.4 % in the absence of established diagnosis of T2D. Metabolically healthy (MH) was defined if all of the following criteria were absent: waist circumference of ≥102 cm (men) or ≥ 88 cm (women) or BMI of ≥30; blood pressure (BP) ≥ 130/85 mmHg or using BP-lowering medication; triglyceride level ≥ 150 mg/dL or using lipid-lowering medication; lipoprotein cholesterol level of <40 mg/dL (men) or < 50 mg/dL (women); homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) score ≥ 2.5; C-reactive protein (CRP) level of >2 mg/L; Pre-D and T2D. Metabolically unhealthy (MU) individuals were defined as the presence of any component of metabolic syndrome but not having Pre-D and T2D. Competing risk analyses of cause-specific mortality were performed. FINDINGS: 11,231 adults (20-74y) were included: mean age 43.4 years; 43.9 % male; 75.4 % white, 10.8 % Black, and 5.4 % Mexican American, 18.9 % NAFLD, 7.8 % T2D; 24.7 % PreD; 44.3 % MU; and 23.3 % in MH individuals. In multivariable adjusted logistic model, as compared to MH individuals, the highest risk of having NAFLD were in T2D individuals (Odd Ratio [OR] = 10.88 [95 % confidence interval: 7.33-16.16]), followed by Pre-D (OR = 4.19 [3.02-5.81]), and MU (OR = 3.36 [2.39-4.71]). During a median follow up of 26.7 years (21.2-28.7 years), 3982 died. NAFLD subjects had significantly higher age-adjusted mortality than non-NAFLD (32.7 % vs. 28.7 %, p < .001). Among subjects with NAFLD, the highest age-standardized cumulative mortality was observed among those with T2D (41.3 %), followed by with Pre-D (35.1 %), MU subjects (30.0 %), and MH subjects (21.9 %) (pairwise p-values<.04 vs. MH). Multivariable adjusted cox models showed that NAFLD with T2D had a higher risk of all-causes and cardiac-specific deaths (Hazard Ratio [HR] = 4.71 [2.23-9.96] and HR = 20.01 [3.00-133.61]), followed by NAFLD with Pre-D (HR = 2.91 [1.41-6.02] and HR = 10.35 [1.57-68.08]) and metabolically unhealthy NAFLD (HR = 2.59 [1.26-5.33] and HR = 6.74 [0.99-46.03]) compared to metabolically healthy NAFLD. In addition to older age, independent predictors of mortality among NAFLD with T2D included high CRP, CVD, CKD, high FIB-4, and active smoking. Similarly, among NAFLD with PreD, high CRP, CKD, CVD, hypertension, and active smoking were associated with mortality. Finally, CVD and active smoking were predictors of mortality among metabolically unhealthy NAFLD, and active smoking was the only mortality risk among metabolically healthy NAFLD subjects. INTERPRETATION: Metabolic abnormality impacts both prevalence and outcomes of subjects with NAFLD.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Hipertensão , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica , Estado Pré-Diabético , Insuficiência Renal Crônica , Adulto , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/complicações , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Estado Pré-Diabético/epidemiologia , Estado Pré-Diabético/complicações , Índice de Massa Corporal , Fatores de Risco
4.
J Clin Exp Hepatol ; 13(3): 454-467, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37250870

RESUMO

Background: Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is a cause of chronic liver disease. Aim: Model the burden of NASH in the United States according to obesity. Methods: The discrete-time Markov model comprised adult NASH subjects moving through 9 health states and 3 absorbing death states (liver, cardiac, and other deaths) with 1-year cycles and a 20-year horizon. Given that reliable natural history data for NASH are not available, transition probabilities were estimated from the literature and population-based data. These rates were disaggregated to determine age-obesity group rates by applying estimated age-obesity patterns. The model considers 2019 prevalent NASH cases and new incident NASH cases (2020-2039), assuming that recent trends will continue. Annual per-patient costs by health state were based on published data. Costs were standardized to 2019 US dollars and inflated by 3% annually. Results: NASH cases in the United States are forecasted to increase by +82.6%, from 11.61 million (2020) to 19.53 million (2039). During the same period, cases of advanced liver disease increased +77.9%, from 1.51 million to 2.67 million, while its proportion remained stable (13.46%-13.05%). Similar patterns were observed in both obese and non-obese NASH. Among NASH, 18.71 million overall deaths, 6.72 million cardiac-specific deaths, and 1.71 million liver-specific deaths were observed by 2039. During this period, the projected cumulative direct healthcare costs were $1208.47 billion (obese NASH) and $453.88 billion (non-obese NASH). By 2039, the projected NASH attributable healthcare cost per patient increased from $3636 to $6968. Conclusions: There is a substantial and growing clinical and economic burden of NASH in the United States.

5.
Hepatology ; 75(5): 1204-1217, 2022 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34741554

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The causes of chronic liver disease (CLD) among adults have changed. Data are lacking on trends among youth. We determined the trends and changes in the global burden of CLD among adolescents and young adults using Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data (2009-2019). APPROACH AND RESULTS: The GBD study estimation methods were used to assess CLD prevalence, incidence, and deaths (21 GBD regions). Annual percent change (APC) calculation by joinpoint regression modeling. Age groups were 15-19, 20-24, and 25-29 years old. Globally in 2019, the 15-29 group accounted for 17.2% (0.29 billion) of CLD prevalent cases, 11.2% (n = 232,072) CLD incident cases, and 3.8% (n = 55,515) CLD deaths. Between 2009 and 2019, CLD prevalence rate increased annually among 25-29 (APC = +0.41%, p < 0.001); remained stable among 20-24 (APC = +0.02%, p = 0.582); and decreased among 15-19 (APC = -2.13%, p < 0.001). CLD prevalence increases were driven by the proportion with NAFLD (15-19: 40.8% to 52.9%, p < 0.001); 20-24: 57.6% to 62.7%, p < 0.001); and 25-29: 66.9% to 70.1%, p < 0.001); the proportion with HBV decreased across all age groups. NAFLD prevalence worsening trend (APC ≥ 0%) was global. Overall CLD death rate decreased annually in all age groups, driven by the decrease in the proportion with HBV [aged 15-19 (from 5.90% to 5.20%, p < 0.001); aged 20-24 (from 18.62% to 16.37%, p < 0.001); and aged 25-29 (from 28.69% to 25.28%, p < 0.001)]; from 2015 to 2019, CLD death rate for HCV (APC = +1.46%) and NAFLD (APC = +2.26%) increased. CONCLUSIONS: Over the past decade, the causes of CLD among 15-29-year-olds have shifted: viral hepatitis remains the most common cause of CLD deaths, but the global burden of HBV incidence is decreasing, whereas NAFLD is the main driver for increased CLD incidence.


Assuntos
Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica , Adolescente , Causas de Morte , Carga Global da Doença , Saúde Global , Humanos , Incidência , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/epidemiologia , Prevalência , Adulto Jovem
6.
Hepatol Commun ; 6(1): 90-100, 2022 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34558838

RESUMO

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a common but complex chronic liver disease, driven by environmental and genetic factors. We assessed metabolic and dietary risk factor associations with NAFLD liver mortality using the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 data. NAFLD liver deaths were calculated (per 100,000) as age-standardized rates (ASRs) from 195 countries and territories (21 GBD regions; 7 GBD superregions). Dietary risks included low intake of fruits, vegetables, legumes, whole grains, nuts/seeds, milk, fiber, calcium, seafood omega-3 fatty acids, and polyunsaturated fatty acids, and high intake of red meat, processed meat, sugar-sweetened beverages, trans fatty acids, and sodium. Metabolic risks included high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, systolic blood pressure (BP), fasting glucose (FG), body mass index (BMI), as well as low bone mineral density and impaired kidney function (IKF). Socio-demographic index (SDI)-adjusted partial Spearman correlation coefficients and multivariable generalized linear regression models/bidirectional stepwise selection (significance level for entry, 0.2; for stay, 0.05) determined the associations. The ASR for NAFLD liver deaths was 2.3 per 100,000 (2017) and correlated with dietary risk factors (0.131, -0.010-0.267) and metabolic risk factors (SDI-adjusted = 0.225, 95% CI 0.086-0.354). High intake of sugar-sweetened beverages and red meat (0.358, 0.229-0.475; 0.162, 0.022-0.296), and low intake of nuts/seed and milk (0.154, 0.014-0.289; 0.145, 0.004-0.280) was significant for NAFLD liver deaths. Other risk factors for liver death included IKF (0.402, 0.276-0.514), increased BMI (0.353, 0.223-0.407), FG (0.248, 0.111-0.376), and BP (0.163, 0.022-0.297). High intake of trans fatty acids (2.84% increase [1.65%-4.03%]) was the largest associated risk of NAFLD liver deaths. In addition to metabolic risks, dietary risks independently drive the global burden of NAFLD-related liver mortality. Conclusion: These data provide additional support for policies to improve dietary environment for NAFLD burden reduction.


Assuntos
Dieta/efeitos adversos , Carga Global da Doença , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/mortalidade , Distribuição por Idade , Fatores de Risco Cardiometabólico , Humanos , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/etiologia , Fatores Sociodemográficos
7.
Cancer Med ; 10(18): 6273-6281, 2021 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34405568

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Patients with hepatocellular cancer (HCC) are known to have worse health-related quality of life (HRQL) than the general population. However, the change in HRQL from before the diagnosis to after diagnosis remains unknown and is difficult to estimate. We aimed to compare HCC cases with matched controls to evaluate the differences in change in HRQL from before to after HCC diagnosis. METHODS: We performed propensity score-matched analysis using the self-reported HRQL data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registries (SEER) data linked with Medicare Health Outcomes Survey (MHOS) data (1998-2014). Cases were selected as Medicare beneficiaries (aged ≥65 years) who were diagnosed with HCC between their baseline assessment and follow-up assessment. Matched controls were selected from the same data resource and the same time period to include subjects without cancer diagnosis by propensity scores. HRQL was assessed using the Medical Outcomes Study Short Form-36 (SF-36). RESULTS: The study included 62 subjects who developed HCC and 365 matched controls. Compared to their baseline HRQL scores, after diagnosis of HCC, subjects were more likely to report declines in scores related to the mental component of HRQL. When stratified by time since diagnosis, mental component remained significantly lower as the disease advanced. In contrast, only general health aspects of physical health worsened after HCC diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: Diagnosis of HCC has a profound negative impact on patients' HRQL. Mental health component deteriorated significantly over time. The need of including mental health services within a multidisciplinary HCC care model is clearly evident.


Assuntos
Carcinoma Hepatocelular/complicações , Nível de Saúde , Neoplasias Hepáticas/complicações , Saúde Mental/estatística & dados numéricos , Qualidade de Vida , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/diagnóstico , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/psicologia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Hepáticas/psicologia , Masculino , Medicare/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Programa de SEER/estatística & dados numéricos , Autorrelato/estatística & dados numéricos , Estados Unidos
8.
J Hepatol ; 75(4): 795-809, 2021 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34081959

RESUMO

BACKGROUND & AIM: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has become a major cause of chronic liver disease (CLD) worldwide. Our aim was to assess the burden of liver complications (LC, cirrhosis and liver cancer) related to NAFLD (LC-NAFLD) between 2009-2019 in Asia and the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. METHODS: We used Global Burden of Disease data to assess incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for LC-NAFLD from Asia and the MENA region. Annual % change (APC) in rates were computed using a joinpoint regression model. Associations of LC-NAFLD with low physical activity, diet and metabolic risks were determined by partial Spearman correlation coefficients (ρ). RESULTS: Globally in 2019, there were 170,000 incident cases of LC-NAFLD, accounting for 6.6% of LC incident cases from all CLDs. There were 168,969 deaths related to LC-NAFLD, accounting for 8.6% of LC deaths from all CLDs. Asia accounted for 48.3% of the global incidence of LC-NAFLD and for 46.2% of deaths attributable to LC-NAFLD, while MENA accounted for 8.9% and 8.6%, respectively. There were 2.08 million DALYs in Asia and 340,000 DALYs in MENA. From 2009 to 2019, regions in Asia and MENA experienced a rise in DALYs attributable to LC-NAFLD (compared to LC from other CLDs), ranging from South Asia (APC = +2.12% vs. -0.94%) to high-income Asia Pacific (APC = -0.07%, p = 0.646 vs. -0.97%). In Asia, NAFLD-related DALYs were significantly correlated with dietary risks (95% CI 0.280-0.763, p = 0.004), metabolic risks (0.341-0.790, p <0.001) and tobacco use (0.134-0.691, p = 0.007). In MENA, low physical activity (0.557-0.918, p <0.001), metabolic risks (0.432-0.888, p = 0.001), and dietary risks (0.315-0.855, p = 0.001) correlated with DALYs. CONCLUSIONS: NAFLD is posing a substantial burden in Asia and MENA. About half of the global burden of LC-NAFLD is accounted for by these regions. LAY SUMMARY: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has emerged as one of the most common causes of chronic liver disease worldwide. We used Global Burden of Disease data to assess the incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years attributable to NAFLD-related liver complications in Asia, the Middle East and North Africa. NAFLD is poised to contribute to a substantial liver disease burden in these regions. Regional and global policies are needed to address the increasing burden of complications of NAFLD.


Assuntos
Carga Global da Doença/tendências , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/mortalidade , Adulto , África do Norte/epidemiologia , Ásia/epidemiologia , Humanos , Oriente Médio/epidemiologia , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/epidemiologia , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida
9.
Hepatol Int ; 14(4): 556-566, 2020 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32300995

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a very common liver disease which has been associated with a number of the extrahepatic manifestations (EHMs) and healthcare expenditures. Our aim was to assess the presence and impact of these EHMs of NAFLD on mortality and healthcare expenditures. METHODS: Medicare beneficiaries (2005-2016) were included. ICD-9 and ICD-10 codes were used to identify patients with NAFLD and EHMs which included cardiovascular disease (CVD), hypertension (HTN), diabetes (DM), hyperlipidemia (HL), non-hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cancers, and others. Temporal trends among different groups were analyzed by join point regression model. Independent predictors of outcomes were evaluated in multiple generalized linear or logistic regression models. RESULTS: Among 30,908,679 Medicare beneficiaries (5% sample of Medicare data from 2005-2016), 1,980,950 (6.4%) had NAFLD diagnosis. From 2005 to 2016, the prevalence of NAFLD in the Medicare population increased at an average annual increase of 3.1%. The most common diseases associated with NAFLD were DM (86.3%), followed by HTN (85.2%), HL (79.8%), and CVD (35.8%). One-year mortality rate in NAFLD patients increased from 3.55 to 6.33 per 1000 from 2005 to 2016. One-year mortality was independently associated with diagnosis of HCC, cirrhosis, DM (outpatient), depression, dementia, lung disease, renal failure, thyroid disorder (inpatient), neurological disorder as well as non-HCC cancers. CONCLUSION: NAFLD is associated with a number of EHMs that increases its mortality and increased healthcare expenditure.


Assuntos
Gastos em Saúde , Medicare , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/epidemiologia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Grupos Diagnósticos Relacionados , Etnicidade , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/economia , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/etnologia , Prevalência , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
10.
Hepatology ; 72(5): 1605-1616, 2020 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32043613

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus (HCV), nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), and alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) are main causes of chronic liver disease. We assessed the global incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) related to chronic liver disease (primary liver cancer [LC] and cirrhosis). APPROACH AND RESULTS: We obtained data from the 2017 Global Burden of Disease study. In 2017, there were 2.14 million liver-related deaths (2.06-2.30 million), representing an 11.4% increase since 2012 (16.0% increase in LC deaths; 8.7% increase in cirrhosis deaths). LC and cirrhosis accounted for 38.3% and 61.7%, respectively, of liver deaths (LC and cirrhosis deaths were related to HBV [39% and 29%], HCV [29% and 26%], ALD [16% and 25%], and NAFLD [8% and 9%]). Between 2012 and 2017, age-standardized incidence rate, age-standardized death rate (ASDR), and age-standardized DALY rate increased for LC from 11.1 to 11.8, 10.1 to 10.2, and 250.4 to 253.6 per 100,000, respectively. Although age-standardized incidence rate for cirrhosis increased from 66.0 to 66.3, ASDR and age-standardized DALY rate decreased from 17.1 to 16.5 and 532.9 to 510.7, respectively. The largest increase in ASDR for LC occurred in Eastern Europe (annual percent change [APC] = 2.18% [0.89%-3.49%]), whereas the largest decrease occurred in high-income Asia Pacific (APC = -2.88% [-3.58 to -2.18%]). ASDR for LC-NAFLD and ALD increased annually by 1.42% (1.00%-1.83%) and 0.53% (0.08-0.89), respectively, whereas there were no increases for HBV (P = 0.224) and HCV (P = 0.054). ASDR for cirrhosis-NAFLD increased (APC = 0.29% [0.01%-0.59%]) but decreased for ALD (APC = -0.44% [-0.78% to -0.40%]), HCV (APC = -0.50% [-0.81% to -0.18%]), and HBV (APC = -1.43% [-1.71% to -0.40%]). CONCLUSIONS: From 2012 to 2017, the global burden of LC and cirrhosis has increased. Viral hepatitis remains the most common cause of liver deaths, and NAFLD is the most rapidly growing contributor to liver mortality and morbidity.


Assuntos
Carga Global da Doença , Cirrose Hepática/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/epidemiologia , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/epidemiologia , Progressão da Doença , Hepatite B Crônica/epidemiologia , Hepatite B Crônica/patologia , Hepatite C Crônica/epidemiologia , Hepatite C Crônica/patologia , Humanos , Incidência , Cirrose Hepática/patologia , Hepatopatias Alcoólicas/epidemiologia , Hepatopatias Alcoólicas/patologia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/patologia , Mortalidade/tendências , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/patologia , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Fatores de Risco
11.
J Clin Gastroenterol ; 54(5): 459-467, 2020.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30672817

RESUMO

GOALS: The main purpose of this study was to assess the recent trends in mortality and health care utilization of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among Medicare population in the United States. BACKGROUND: The incidence of HCC is increasing in the United States. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data were obtained for a sample of Medicare beneficiary from 2005 to 2014. Diagnosis of HCC and etiology of liver disease were based on ICD-9 codes. Temporal trends in HCC rates, clinical, demographical and utilization parameters were analyzed by joinpoint regression model. RESULTS: Study cohort included 13,648 Medicare recipients with HCC (mean age: 70.0 y, 62.8% male and 76.0% white). Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) was the most common cause of HCC in the inpatient (32.07%) and outpatient (20.22%) followed by hepatitis C virus (HCV) (19.2% and 9.75%, respectively). Between 2005 and 2014, HCC rate per 100,000 Medicare recipients increased from 46.3 to 62.8 [average annual percentage change (AAPC) =3.4%, P<0.001]. Rate of HCV-HCC increased from 6.18 to 16.54 (AAPC=11.8%, P<0.001) while the NAFLD-HCC increased from 9.32 to 13.61, P<0.001). Overall 1-year mortality decreased from 46.2% to 42.1% (AAPC=-1.7%, P=0.004). Total charges increased from $67,679 to $99,420 (AAPC=5.1%, P<0.001) for inpatients and from $11,933 to $32,084 (P<0.001) for outpatients. On comparison of patients with hepatitis B virus-HCC, those with NAFLD-HCC (odds ratio: 1.87, P<0.001) had higher risk of mortality. On comparison of patients with hepatitis B virus-HCC, those with HCV-HCC had higher charges (percent change: 24.33%, 95% confidence interval: 1.02%-53.02%, P=0.040). CONCLUSIONS: Although HCC rates are increasing, the overall mortality is decreasing. NAFLD is the most important cause of HCC and an independent predictor of HCC in the outpatient setting for Medicare patients with HCC.


Assuntos
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Hepatite C , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica , Idoso , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/epidemiologia , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/etiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/etiologia , Masculino , Medicare , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
12.
Am J Manag Care ; 25(2): 61-67, 2019 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30763036

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To assess the association of payer status and mortality in hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected patients. STUDY DESIGN: For this retrospective observational study, we used the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey from 2000 to 2010. Adults with complete data on medical questionnaires, HCV RNA, insurance types, and mortality follow-ups were included. METHODS: We used Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate independent associations of insurance type with mortality in HCV-infected individuals. These models were rerun in the subset of HCV-positive subjects to determine the association of insurance type with mortality. The data used in this study predated the implementation of the Affordable Care Act. RESULTS: Among 19,452 eligible participants, 311 (1.4%) were HCV positive. HCV-positive patients were older, were more likely to be non-Hispanic black and male, and had higher prevalence of hypertension (all P <.001). HCV-positive patients were also less likely to have private insurance and more likely to be covered by Medicaid or be uninsured relative to HCV-negative patients (P <.001). Among HCV-positive patients, after adjustment for confounders, those with Medicaid coverage had an increased risk of mortality compared with those with private insurance (hazard ratio [HR], 6.31; 95% CI, 1.22-29.94) and uninsured individuals (HR, 8.83; 95% CI, 1.56-49.99). CONCLUSIONS: Patients who have HCV are more likely to be uninsured or covered by Medicaid. HCV-positive patients with Medicaid have an increased mortality risk compared with those with private insurance. Given the high burden of HCV infection and adverse prognosis among individuals covered by Medicaid, policy makers must prioritize funding and supporting Medicaid programs.


Assuntos
Hepatite C/mortalidade , Cobertura do Seguro , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Feminino , Hepacivirus , Humanos , Cobertura do Seguro/estatística & dados numéricos , Seguro Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Masculino , Medicaid/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoas sem Cobertura de Seguro de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Sexuais , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
13.
J Clin Gastroenterol ; 53(8): e341-e347, 2019 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30106839

RESUMO

GOALS: To assess the outcomes and resource utilization of chronic hepatitis B (CH-B) among Medicare beneficiaries. BACKGROUND: CH-B is highly prevalent among immigrants from endemic areas. Although incidence of CH-B is stable in the United States, CH-B patients have become Medicare eligible. STUDY: We used the inpatient and outpatient Medicare database (2005 to 2014). Adult patients with CH-B diagnosis were included. One-year mortality and resource utilization were assessed. Independent associations with resource utilization and mortality were determined using multivariate analysis. RESULTS: Study cohort included 18,603 Medicare recipients with CH-B. Between 2005 and 2014, number of Medicare beneficiaries with CH-B increased by 4.4% annually. The proportion of beneficiaries with CH-B who were whites decreased while those who were Asians increased (P<0.05). Furthermore, 7.4% of CH-B Medicare cohort experienced decompensated cirrhosis, 2.9% hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and 11.9% 1-year mortality. Although the number of inpatients with CH-B remained stable, the number of outpatient encounters increased. Annual total inpatient charges increased from $66,610 to $94,221 while these charges for outpatient increased from $9257 to $47,863. In multivariate analysis, age [odds ratio (OR), 1.05; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.04-1.05], male gender [OR, 1.24 (95% CI, 1.12-1.38)], decompensated cirrhosis [OR, 3.02 (95% CI, 2.63-3.48)], HCC [OR, 2.64 (95% CI, 2.10-3.32)], and higher Charlson comorbidity index [OR, 1.24 (95% CI, 1.21-1.27)] were independently associated with increased 1-year mortality. HCC and higher Charlson comorbidity index were also associated with higher inpatient and outpatient charges, and inpatient length of stay (all P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: CH-B infection has been rising in Medicare population and is responsible for significant mortality and resource utilization.


Assuntos
Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Hepatite B Crônica/economia , Medicare , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Estudos Transversais , Bases de Dados Factuais , Demografia , Etnicidade , Feminino , Serviços de Saúde para Idosos , Hepatite B Crônica/mortalidade , Humanos , Masculino , Estados Unidos
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