Association between Patient Experience Scores and Low Utilization of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treatment in the United States: A Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Consumer Assessment of Healthcare Providers and Systems Analysis (SEER-CAHPS).

PURPOSE: To study the experiences of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) contributing to treatment discrepancy in the United States. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results data from National Cancer Institute (NCI), Medicare (2002-2015) beneficiaries with HCC who completed a Consumer Assessment of Healthcare Providers and Systems (CAHPS) survey were included. Six CAHPS items (3 global scores: global care rating [GCR], primary doctor rating [PDR], and specialist rating [SR]; 3 composite scores: getting needed care [GNC], getting care quickly [GCQ], and doctor communication [DC]) assessed patient experience. Covariates assessed between treated and nontreated groups included patient, disease, hospital, and CAHPS items. RESULTS: Among 548 patients with HCC, 211 (39%) received treatment and 337 (61%) did not receive treatment. Forty-two percent (GCR), 29% (PDR), 30% (SR), 36% (GNC), 78% (GCQ), and 35% (DC) of patients reported less-than-excellent experiences on the respective CAHPS items. Chronic liver disease (CLD) was present in 52% and liver decompensation (LD) in 60%. A minority of the hospitals were NCI-designated cancer centers (47%), transplant centers (27%), and referral centers (9%). On univariable analysis, patients with at least a high school degree (odds ratio [OR], 1.9), admittance to a ≥400-bed hospital (OR, 2.7), CLD (OR, 3.0), or LD (OR, 1.7) were more likely to receive treatment, whereas older patients (≥75 years) (OR, 0.5) were less likely to receive treatment. On multivariable, patients with CLD (OR, 6.8) and an excellent experience in GNC with a specialist (OR, 10.6) were more likely to receive treatment. CONCLUSIONS: HCC treatment discrepancy may be associated with patient-related factors, such as lack of specialist care (GNC), and disease-related factors, such as absence of underlying CLD.

An Emulated Clinical Trial of Deprescribing Proton Pump Inhibitors in Patients With Cirrhosis.

INTRODUCTION: Proton pump inhibitors (PPI) are overused and carry harms in cirrhosis. Deprescribing is advocated but has not been trialed. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We emulated a clinical trial using Medicare data. All patients were receiving chronic PPI therapy before a compensated cirrhosis diagnosis. We compared the risk death/decompensation over 3 years between continuous users and deprescribers. We find that PPI deprescription is associated with less ascites and that cumulative PPI use is associated with more ascites and encephalopathy. Ultimately, 71% of deprescribers restart PPIs. DISCUSSION: PPI deprescribing has benefits but requires ongoing support and alternative therapies for gastrointestinal symptoms.

Financial, policy, and ethical barriers to the expansion of living donor liver transplant: Meeting report from a living donor liver transplant consensus conference.

INTRODUCTION: In October 2021, the American Society of Transplantation (AST) hosted a virtual consensus conference aimed at identifying and addressing barriers to the broader, safe expansion of living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) throughout the United States (US). METHODS: A multidisciplinary group of LDLT experts convened to address issues related to financial implications on the donor, transplant center crisis management, regulatory and oversight policies, and ethical considerations by assessing the relative significance of issues in preventing LDLT growth, with proposed strategies to overcome barriers. RESULTS: Living liver donors endure multiple obstacles including financial instability, loss of job security, and potential morbidity. These concerns, along with other center, state, and federal specific policies can be perceived as significant barriers to expanding LDLT. Donor safety is of paramount importance to the transplant community; however, regulatory and oversight policies aimed at ensuring donor safety can be viewed as ambiguous and complicated leading to time-consuming evaluations that may deter donor motivation and program expansion. CONCLUSION: Transplant programs need to establish appropriate crisis management plans to mitigate potential negative donor outcomes and ensure program viability and stability. Finally, ethical aspects, including informed consent for high-risk recipients and use of non-directed donors, can be perceived as additional barriers to expanding LDLT.

Racial and ethnic disparities in rifaximin use and subspecialty referrals for patients with hepatic encephalopathy in the United States.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Rifaximin use in combination with lactulose is associated with a decreased risk of overt hepatic encephalopathy (HE). We sought to determine whether race and ethnicity were associated with rifaximin prescriptions. METHODS: We examined data for a 20% random sample of United States Medicare enrollees with cirrhosis and hepatic encephalopathy treated with outpatient lactulose and Part D prescription coverage from 2011-2019. Beginning at the time of first diagnosis, we evaluated time to first prescription of rifaximin accounting for competing risks (Fine-Gray, yielding subdistribution hazard ratios [sHRs]) and cumulative rifaximin exposure using a gamma hurdle model (yielding exposure length ratios). We aimed to determine the association of race and ethnicity with each outcome, adjusting for demographics, clinical factors, and other features of clinical management. RESULTS: Overall, 29,095 patients were diagnosed with HE and treated with lactulose, of whom 13,272 were prescribed rifaximin. Compared to White patients, Black patients were least likely to receive any prescription for rifaximin (sHR 0.70; 95% CI 0.65-0.76). Asian and Hispanic patients were also less likely to receive rifaximin compared to White patients. Black patients also received fewer doses of rifaximin (exposure length ratio 0.90; 95% CI 0.82-0.98). Hispanic patients also received fewer doses (0.88; 95% CI 0.80-0.98). Out-of-pocket spending on rifaximin per person-year was higher for Black and Hispanic than White patients. Out-of-pocket medication spending was associated with reduced odds of filling a rifaximin prescription. Black and Hispanic patients were least likely to be referred to a gastroenterologist. CONCLUSION: In a national cohort of patients with HE, we observed stark racial and ethnic disparities in the use of rifaximin, an approved therapy for the improvement of HE-specific outcomes. Access to gastroenterologists and cost controls may reduce disparities. LAY SUMMARY: Hepatic encephalopathy is a serious problem that can affect people with cirrhosis. When someone develops hepatic encephalopathy, there are 2 main treatments. The first-line treatment is called lactulose. If episodes of hepatic encephalopathy happen on lactulose, another treatment called rifaximin is recommended. In this study, we found that compared to White patients, Black and Hispanic patients are less likely to be prescribed rifaximin, receive fewer rifaximin refills, spend more on rifaximin, and have less access to subspecialists who are familiar with rifaximin. We conclude that efforts to address the cost of rifaximin and access to gastroenterologists could help improve these disparities.

An Assessment of Ineligible Donor Use in Solid Organ Transplant.

BACKGROUND: In the United States, the demand for organ transplants far outpaces available organs. The use of Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network-defined ineligible donors is an immediate method for increasing donations. However, the use of ineligible donors varies across organ procurement organizations (OPOs), and its association with recipient survival remains unclear. METHODS: We evaluated ineligible donor use from 2008 to 2020 by OPO and its association with graft and recipient survival across demographics. RESULTS: In this study of 297 223 organ donations, 42 184 (14%) did not meet eligibility criteria as defined by the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network. Log-rank tests on Kaplan-Meier curves suggested differences in graft and patient survival between eligible and ineligible recipients for kidney and liver transplants ( P ≤ 0.01 for all). Recipients of ineligible kidney and liver donations saw a 2.20% and 9.38% decrease in 10-y graft survival probability, respectively. There were no statistically significant graft and patient survival differences for recipients of ineligible heart, lung, and pancreas donations. Multivariate proportional hazard models showed eligibility was associated with kidney, liver, and lung graft survival ( P ≤ 0.02 for all). However, if OPOs increased ineligible donor use to meet the current 75th percentile use rate, there could be as many as 1000 transplants and 6291 life-years gained annually. CONCLUSIONS: Ineligible donor use can provide significant survival benefit for patients who would otherwise never receive a transplant. Methods to reduce regional heterogeneity in ineligible donor use could increase the number of transplants and improve outcomes for waiting patients.

Incidence of, Risk Factors for, and Outcomes After Ascites in a Population-Based Cohort of Older Americans.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of, risk factors for, and outcomes after the development of ascites are poorly described for contemporary patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: We examined data for a 20% random sample of US Medicare enrollees with cirrhosis and Part D prescription coverage from 2008 to 2019, excluding patients with heart failure and diuretic use prior to cirrhosis. Among 63,364 persons with cirrhosis, we evaluated the incidence of ascites using an Aalen-Johansen estimator. We evaluated risk factors for ascites, mortality, and mortality after ascites using multistate modeling. We determined the associations with each outcome for an array of medication exposures including nonselective beta-blockers, antiviral therapy, statins, rifaximin, anticoagulants, and metformin. RESULTS: The cumulative incidence of ascites was 5.1%, 9.5%, and 10.7% and 1, 3, and 5 years overall. The corresponding data for ascites requiring paracentesis were 1%, 2.1%, and 2.4%. Persons aged < 65 years, with alcohol-related cirrhosis, varices, or HE, are most likely to develop ascites. The risk of ascites was higher for persons taking any NSBB (including carvedilol) but lower for those taking atorvastatin (but not other statins) and antiviral therapy for Hepatitis C. Incident ascites was associated with increased risk of death, HR 27.6 95%CI(21.7-35.1). Survival following ascites was 1.08 years (interquartile range, IQR, 0.26-2.75), 0.38 years (IQR0.1-1.3) for those requiring paracentesis. Lipophilic statins were the only medications associated with lower mortality after ascites requiring paracentesis. CONCLUSIONS: Ascites is associated with a high risk of death. Very few candidate therapies are associated with the reduction in the risk of ascites and mortality after ascites development.

The Magnitude of the Health and Economic Impact of Increased Organ Donation on Patients With End-Stage Renal Disease.

Objectives. There are several approaches such as presumed consent and compensation for deceased donor organs that could reduce the gap between supply and demand for kidneys. Our objective is to evaluate the magnitude of the economic impact of policies to increase deceased donor organ donation in the United States. Methods. We built a Markov model and simulate an open cohort of end-stage renal disease patients awaiting kidney transplantation in the United States over 20 years. Model inputs were derived from the United States Renal Data System and published literature. We evaluate the magnitude of the health and economic impact of policies to increase deceased donor kidney donation in the United States. Results. Increasing deceased kidney donation by 5% would save $4.7 billion, and gain 30,870 quality-adjusted life years over the lifetime of an open cohort of patients on dialysis on the waitlist for kidney transplantation. With an increase in donations of 25%, the cost saved was $21 billion, and 145,136 quality-adjusted life years were gained. Policies increasing deceased kidney donation by 5% could pay donor estates $8000 or incur a onetime cost of up to $4 billion and still be cost-saving. Conclusions. Increasing deceased kidney donation could significantly impact national spending and health for end-stage renal disease patients.

Assessment of National Organ Donation Rates and Organ Procurement Organization Metrics.

Importance: Organ transplant is a life-saving procedure for patients with end-stage organ failure. In the US, organ procurement organizations (OPOs) are responsible for the evaluation and procurement of organs from donors who have died; however, there is controversy regarding what measures should be used to evaluate their performance. Objective: To evaluate OPO performance metrics using combined mortality and donation data and quantify the associations of population demographics with donation metrics. Design, Setting, and Participants: This national cohort study includes data from the US organ transplantation system from January 2008 through December 2017. All individuals who died within the US, as reported by the National Death index, were included. Exposures: Death, organ donation, and donation eligibility. Main Outcomes and Measures: Evaluation of the variation in donation metrics and the use of ineligible donors by OPO and demographic subgroup. Results: This study included 17 501 742 deaths and 75 769 deceased organ donors (45 040 men [59.4%]; 51 908 White individuals [68.5%]). Of these donors, 15 857 (20.9%) were not eligible, as defined by the OPOs. The median donation metrics by OPO were 0.004 (range, 0.002-0.012) donors per death, 0.89 (range, 0.68-1.30) donors per eligible death, and 0.72 (range, 0.57-0.86) eligible donors per eligible death. The OPOs in the upper quartile of the overall eligible donors per eligible death metric were in the upper quartile of annual rankings on 90 of 140 occasions (64.3%). There was little overlap in top-performing OPOs between metrics; an OPO in the upper quartile for 1 metric was also in the upper quartile for the other metrics on 37 of 570 occasions (6.5% of the time). The median donor eligibility rate, defined as the number of eligible donors per donor, was 0.79 (range, 0.61-0.95) across OPOs. Age (eg, 65 to 84 years, coefficient, -0.55 [SE, 0.03]; P < .001; vs those aged 18 to 34 years), sex (male individuals, -0.09 [SE, 0.02]; P < .001; vs female individuals), race (eg, Black individuals, 0.35 [SE, 0.02]; P < .001; vs White individuals), cause of death (eg, central nervous system tumor, 0.48 [SE, 0.08]; P < .001; vs anoxia), year (eg, 2016-2017: -0.10 [SE, 0.03]; P < .001; vs 2008-2009), and OPO were associated with the use of ineligible donors; OPO was a significant factor associated with performance in all metrics (χ256, 500.5; P < .001; coefficient range across individual OPOs, -0.15 [SE, 0.09] to 0.75 [SE, 0.09]), even after accounting for population differences. Female and non-White individuals were significantly less likely to be used as ineligible donors. Conclusions and Relevance: We demonstrate significant variability in OPO performance rankings, depending on which donation metric is used. There were significant differences in OPO performance, even after accounting for differences in potential donor populations. Our data suggest significant variation in use of ineligible donors among OPOs, a source for increased donors. The performance of OPOs should be evaluated using a range of donation metrics.

Cost-Effectiveness of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance: An Assessment of Benefits and Harms.

INTRODUCTION: The value of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is defined by the balance of benefits, i.e., early tumor detection, and potential harms, related to false positive and indeterminate results. Although physical harms can be observed in 15%-20% of patients with cirrhosis undergoing HCC surveillance, previous cost-effectiveness analyses have not incorporated costs of harms. We aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of HCC surveillance including both benefits and harms. DESIGN: We constructed a Markov model to compare surveillance strategies of ultrasound (US) alone, US and alpha fetoprotein (AFP), and no surveillance in 1 million simulated patients with compensated cirrhosis. Harms included imaging and biopsy in patients undergoing surveillance for HCC. Model inputs were based on literature review, and costs were derived from the Medicare fee schedule, with all costs inflated to 2018 dollars. The primary outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio per incremental quality-adjusted life-year. RESULTS: In the base case analysis, US with AFP was the dominant strategy over both US alone and no surveillance. In a probabilistic sensitivity analysis, US with AFP was the most cost-effective strategy in 80.1% of simulations at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000 per quality-adjusted life-year. In our threshold analyses, an HCC incidence >0.4% per year and surveillance adherence >19.5% biannually were necessary for US with AFP to be cost-effective compared with no surveillance. DISCUSSION: Accounting for both surveillance-related benefits and harms, US and AFP is more cost-effective for HCC surveillance than US alone or no surveillance in patients with compensated cirrhosis.

Outcomes after hepatic encephalopathy in population-based cohorts of patients with cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Hepatic encephalopathy is a devastating complication of cirrhosis. AIM: To describe the outcomes after developing hepatic encephalopathy among contemporary, aging patients. METHODS: We examined data for a 20% random sample of United States Medicare enrolees with cirrhosis and Part D prescription coverage from 2008 to 2014. Among 49 164 persons with hepatic encephalopathy, we evaluated the associations with transplant-free survival using Cox proportional hazard models with time-varying covariates (hazard ratios, HR) and incidence rate ratios (IRR) for healthcare utilisation measured in hospital-days and 30-day readmissions per person-year. We validated our findings in an external cohort of 2184 privately insured patients with complete laboratory values. RESULTS: Hepatic encephalopathy was associated with median survivals of 0.95 and 2.5 years for those ≥65 or <65 years old and 1.1 versus 3.9 years for those with and without ascites. Non-alcoholic fatty-liver disease posed the highest adjusted risk of death among aetiologies, HR 1.07 95% CI (1.02, 1.12). Both gastroenterology consultation and rifaximin utilisation were associated with lower mortality, respective adjusted-HR 0.73 95% CI (0.67, 0.80) and 0.40 95% CI (0.39, 0.42). Thirty-day readmissions were fewer for patients seen by gastroenterologists (0.71 95% CI [0.57-0.88]) and taking rifaximin (0.18 95% CI [0.08-0.40]). Lactulose alone was associated with fewer hospital-days, IRR 0.31 95% CI (0.30-0.32), than rifaximin alone, 0.49 95% CI (0.45-0.53), but the optimal therapy combination was lactulose/rifaximin, IRR 0.28 95% CI (0.27-0.30). These findings were validated in the privately insured cohort adjusting for model for endstage liver disease-sodium score and serum albumin. CONCLUSIONS: Hepatic encephalopathy remains morbid and associated with poor outcomes among contemporary patients. Gastroenterology consultation and combination lactulose-rifaximin are both associated with improved outcomes. These data inform the development of care coordination efforts for subjects with cirrhosis.

Hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance, early detection and survival in a privately insured US cohort.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Semiannual hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is recommended in patients with cirrhosis; however, recent studies have raised questions over its utility. We investigated the impact of surveillance on early detection and survival in a nationally representative database. METHODS: We included patients with cirrhosis and HCC from the Optum database (2001-2015) with >6 months of follow-up between cirrhosis and HCC diagnoses. Surveillance adherence was defined as proportion of time covered (PTC), with each 6-month period after abdominal imaging defined as 'covered'. To determine the association between surveillance and mortality, we compared PTC between fatal and non-fatal HCC. RESULTS: Of 1001 patients with cirrhosis and HCC, 256 died with median follow-up 30 months. Median PTC by any imaging was greater in early-stage vs late-stage HCC (43.6% vs 37.4%, P = .003) and non-fatal vs fatal HCC (40.8% vs 34.3%, P = .001). In multivariable analyses, each 10% increase in PTC was associated with increased early HCC detection (OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.01-1.12) and decreased mortality (HR 0.95; 95% CI 0.90-1.00). On subgroup analysis, PTC by CT/MRI was associated with early tumour detection and decreased mortality; however, PTC by ultrasound was only associated with early detection but not decreased mortality. These findings were robust across sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: In a US cohort of privately insured HCC patients, PTC by any imaging modality was associated with increased early detection and decreased mortality. Continued evaluation of HCC surveillance strategies and effectiveness is warranted.

Economic Implications of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance and Treatment: A Guide for Clinicians.

The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing worldwide, with significant morbidity and associated costs. Treatment allocation depends on the stage of diagnosis; however, resource utilization can be significant across all stages. We aimed to summarize the available data on the cost effectiveness of surveillance of and treatments for HCC in the context of current treatment guidelines. We performed a focused review of studies investigating the economic burden and cost effectiveness of HCC surveillance treatment modalities published between January 2000 and January 2019. The overall economic burden of HCC is increasing in the USA and in several countries worldwide due to its rising incidence and the proliferation of therapies. Liver transplantation is a cost-effective strategy for early-stage HCC treatment in selected patients. In settings where liver transplantation is not available or in patients awaiting transplant, ablative or locoregional therapies are cost effective with increases in quality-adjusted life-years. First-line therapy with sorafenib for advanced stage HCC is cost effective in the treatment of compensated cirrhosis. The cost effectiveness of recently approved systemic therapies for advanced HCC require further investigation. Existing studies have shown that guideline-recommended surveillance techniques and several available therapies for the treatment of HCC are cost effective; however, there are limitations in the literature, including reliance on suboptimal modeling with incomplete/simplified model structure or inadequate inputs. With increasing therapeutic options in patients with HCC, understanding their relative value is critical in designing HCC treatment algorithms.

Treatment Patterns and Economic Burden by Lines of Therapy Among Patients with Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Systemic Cancer Therapy.

PURPOSE: This study examined clinical and economic outcomes among patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with systemic agents by line of therapy. METHODS: Adults with ≥ 2 medical claims for primary diagnosed HCC (from January 1, 2008, through September 30, 2015) and ≥ 1 claim for systemic HCC-related therapy were identified in the IBM MarketScan® Research Databases. Continuous enrollment was required 6 months before and 1 month after diagnosis. Patients were categorized into first- (1L) and second-line (2L) treatment cohorts; those receiving sorafenib as 1L were evaluated. Treatment patterns, healthcare resource utilization, costs, and survival during 1L and 2L therapy were measured. Survival was assessed for patients linked to the Social Security Administration Master Death File. RESULTS: 1459 patients, 758 with death data, met the 1L cohort criteria; 163 patients, 87 with death data, later received 2L therapy. 77.1% had 1L sorafenib, alone or in combination. Median 1L treatment duration was 3.0 months; median survival time from start of 1L to death or censor was 6.8 months. There was no predominant 2L agent. Median 2L treatment duration was 3.0 months; median survival time from start of 2L was 9.3 months. Median total healthcare costs per patient per month were $13,297 for 1L (all), $13,471 for 1L (sorafenib), and $11,786 for 2L. CONCLUSIONS: Findings confirm high 1-year mortality for advanced HCC, suggesting a high cost burden. While no 2L therapy was available during this analysis, recently approved 2L agents have the potential to improve survival after sorafenib failure or intolerance.

Association Between Race/Ethnicity and Insurance Status with Outcomes in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Racial/ethnic disparities in prognosis have been reported in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); however, few studies have evaluated racial/ethnic disparities in the context of insurance status. AIMS: Characterize racial/ethnic and insurance status in early tumor detection, receipt of curative therapy and overall survival in a multicenter diverse cohort of HCC patients from the USA. STUDY: We included patients with HCC diagnosed between June 2012 and May 2013 at four centers in the USA. Generalized linear mixed effects models were used to compare early tumor detection (defined using Milan Criteria) and curative treatment receipt (liver transplantation, surgical resection, or local ablation) as a function of patient race/ethnicity and insurance status. A multivariable frailty survival model was used to compare risk of death between patient groups. RESULTS: Of 379 HCC patients (52.8% non-Hispanic White, 19.5% Hispanic White, 19.8% Black), 46.4% and 48.0% were found at an early stage and underwent curative therapy, respectively, and median overall survival of the cohort was 25.7 months. Early detection of HCC was associated with gastroenterology subspecialty care and receipt of HCC surveillance but not race/ethnicity or insurance status in adjusted models. However, commercial insurance was significantly associated with higher odds of curative treatment receipt, which in turn was the strongest correlate for overall survival. After adjusting for health system and insurance status, race/ethnicity was not associated with curative treatment receipt or overall survival. CONCLUSIONS: Insurance status and access to gastroenterology subspecialty care may be important drivers of racial/ethnic disparities in prognosis among HCC patients.

Estimated Association Between Organ Availability and Presumed Consent in Solid Organ Transplant.

Importance: Presumed consent, or an opt-out organ transplant policy, has been adopted by many countries worldwide to increase organ donation. The implication of such a policy for transplants in the United States is uncertain, however. Objective: To simulate the potential implications of a presumed consent policy in the United States. Design, Setting, and Participants: In a decision analytical model, a simulation model was developed using cohort data from January 1, 2004, to December 31, 2014, in the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network Standard Transplant Analysis and Research files. All US patients (n = 524 359) who were on the waiting list for at least 1 solid organ and all deceased organ donors during the study period were included in the analyses. All data and statistical analyses were performed from January 30, 2019, to July 31, 2019. Main Outcomes and Measures: Increase in the organs available for donation and life-years gained associated with a 5%, 15%, or 25% increase in deceased donors, based on the published changes from a presumed consent policy. Results: This study considered 524 359 unique candidates (aged ≥18 years; 320 908 [61.2%] male) for a solid organ transplant from January 1, 2004, to December 31, 2014. With a base case scenario of a 5% presumed consent-associated increase in donors, the removals (owing to death or illness) from the waiting list for all organs would have an associated 3.2% to 10.4% mean reduction, depending on the random or ideal allocation of new organs to patients on the waiting list. Sensitivity analyses showed that waiting list removals could be decreased up to 52%; however, this reduction was not enough to completely eliminate waiting list removals during the study period. The biggest estimated increases in annual life-years gained associated with a presumed consent policy were in kidney transplant candidates (95% CIs by deceased donor increase: 5% increase, 3440-3466 years; 15% increase, 10 321-10 399 years; 25% increase, 17 201-17 332 years) and liver transplant candidates (95% CIs by deceased donor increase: 5% increase, 898-905 years; 15% increase, 2693-2714 years; 25% increase, 4448-4523 years). Adoption of a presumed consent policy could result in a 4295-year (95% CI, 4277-4313 years) to 11 387-year (95% CI, 11 339-11 435 years) increase in life-years, accounting for the survival advantages associated with a transplant. Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, presumed consent was estimated to be associated with modest but important improvement in the number of organ transplants and increases in life-years gained for patients awaiting an organ transplant. Further consideration and even debate about the ethical and public policy implications of a presumed consent policy are warranted.

Effectiveness and cost of radiofrequency ablation and stereotactic body radiotherapy for treatment of early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma: An analysis of SEER-medicare.

INTRODUCTION: For early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients, ablative strategies are potentially curative treatment options. Stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) has emerged as a promising ablative therapy, although its comparison with radiofrequency ablation (RFA) remains confined to a single institution retrospective review. We sought to characterize the comparative outcomes and cost between the two treatment strategies. METHODS: We conducted a secondary analysis of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare linked database (2004-2011) and identified adult patients with stage I or II HCC and treated with RFA or SBRT as the initial treatment within 6 months of diagnosis. Survival analysis was conducted using Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis. Factors associated with overall survival and 90-day hospital admission post-treatment were identified using propensity score (PS) adjusted multivariate analysis. We performed costs analysis and calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER). RESULTS: Four hundred and forty patients were identified, 408 treated with RFA and 32 SBRT. In the overall cohort, 90-day hospitalization and 1-year mortality were similar between groups but RFA patients had better overall survival (P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed advanced age, higher stage, decompensated cirrhosis, and treatment with SBRT (HR 1.80; 95%CI: 1.15-2.82) was associated with worse survival, but in the PS adjusted analysis, survival and costs were similar between the two groups. CONCLUSION: In a national cohort of early stage HCC patients, treatment with RFA vs SBRT resulted in no significant difference in survival, 90-day hospitalization, or costs. These data highlight the need for a randomized clinical trial comparing these two modalities.

Risk Assessment of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with Hepatitis C in China and the USA.

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis C (HCV) infection is an increasingly common cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in China. AIMS: We aimed to determine differences in demographic and behavioral profiles associated with HCC in HCV+ patients in China and the USA. METHODS: Consecutive HCV+ patients were recruited from centers in China and the USA. Clinical data and lifestyle profiles were obtained through standardized questionnaires. Multivariable analysis was conducted to determine factors associated with HCC diagnosis within groups. RESULTS: We included 41 HCC patients from China and 71 from the USA, and 931 non-HCC patients in China and 859 in China. Chinese patients with HCC were significantly younger, less likely to be male and to be obese than US patients with HCC (all p < 0.001). Chinese patients with HCC had a significantly lower rate of cirrhosis diagnosis (36.6 vs. 78.9%, p < 0.001); however, they also had a higher rate of hepatitis B core antibody positivity (63.4 vs. 36.8%, p = 0.007). In a multivariable analysis of the entire Chinese cohort, age > 55, male sex, the presence of diabetes, and time from maximum weight were associated with HCC, while tea consumption was associated with a decreased HCC risk (OR 0.37, 95% CI 0.16-0.88). In the US cohort, age > 55, male sex, and cirrhosis were associated with HCC on multivariable analysis. CONCLUSIONS: With the aging Chinese population and increasing rates of diabetes, there will likely be continued increase in the incidence of HCV-related HCC in China. The protective effect of tea consumption on HCC development deserves further validation.