RESUMO
The present study investigated the clinical usefulness of plasma real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) (plasma-PCR) in the prevention of BK virus-associated nephropathy (BKVAN). First, we investigated the diagnostic value of plasma BK-PCR, urine BK-PCR, and urine cytology for the prediction of BKVAN retrospectively. Then we designed a prospective study of regular plasma-PCR monitoring and pre-emptive immunosuppression (IS) reduction based on the result. In the retrospective cohort, the prevalence of BKVAN was 3.7% (14/379) and the positive rate of decoy cells, urine-PCR (>1 × 10(10) copies/ml), and plasma-PCR (>1 × 10(4) copies/ml) was 18.6%, 11.1%, and 5.5%, respectively. Plasma-PCR was superior to urine-PCR or urine cytology in specificity and positive predictive value for detection of BKVAN. In prospective study, regular monitoring of plasma-PCR detected significant BKV viremia in 8.3% (12/145) and BKVAN in 1 patient (0.6%). After IS reduction, BKV viremia was eliminated in 91.6% (11/12) within 103 days (25-254). In patients with viremia, the frequency of acute rejection did not increase and allograft function did not differ significantly compared with those in patients without viremia during the first year post-transplant (P > 0.05, in both). Plasma-PCR is useful to predict an increased risk for BKVAN, and regular monitoring is effective to prevent the development of BKVAN.