Model-Based Assessment of the Reference Values of CAVI in Healthy Russian Population and Benchmarking With CAVI0.

BACKGROUND: Cardio-ankle vascular index (CAVI) and its modified version (CAVI0) are promising non-invasive markers of arterial stiffness, extensively evaluated primarily in the Japanese population. In this work, we performed a model-based analysis of the association between different population characteristics and CAVI or CAVI0 values in healthy Russian subjects and propose a tool for calculating the range of reference values for both types of indices. METHODS: The analysis was based on the data from 742 healthy volunteers (mean age 30.4 years; 73.45% men) collected from a multicenter observational study. Basic statistical analysis [analysis of variance, Pearson's correlation (r), significance tests] and multivariable linear regression were performed in R software (version 4.0.2). Tested covariates included age, sex, BMI, blood pressure, and heart rate (HR). RESULTS: No statistically significant difference between healthy men and women were observed for CAVI and CAVI0. In contrast, both indices were positively associated with age (r = 0.49 and r = 0.43, P < 0.001), however, with no clear distinction between subjects of 20-30 and 30-40 years old. Heart rate and blood pressure were also identified as statistically significant predictors following multiple linear regression modeling, but with marginal clinical significance. Finally, the algorithm for the calculation of the expected ranges of CAVI in healthy population was proposed, for a given age category, HR and pulse pressure (PP) values. CONCLUSIONS: We have evaluated the quantitative association between various population characteristics, CAVI, and CAVI0 values and established a method for estimating the subject-level reference CAVI and CAVI0 measurements.

Exenatide effects on gastric emptying rate and the glucose rate of appearance in plasma: A quantitative assessment using an integrative systems pharmacology model.

This study aimed to quantify the effect of the immediate release (IR) of exenatide, a short-acting glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonist (GLP-1RA), on gastric emptying rate (GER) and the glucose rate of appearance (GluRA), and evaluate the influence of drug characteristics and food-related factors on postprandial plasma glucose (PPG) stabilization under GLP-1RA treatment. A quantitative systems pharmacology (QSP) approach was used, and the proposed model was based on data from published sources including: (1) GLP-1 and exenatide plasma concentration-time profiles; (2) GER estimates under placebo, GLP-1 or exenatide IR dosing; and (3) GluRA measurements upon food intake. According to the model's predictions, the recommended twice-daily 5- and 10-µg exenatide IR treatment is associated with GluRA flattening after morning and evening meals (48%-49%), whereas the midday GluRA peak is affected to a lesser degree (5%-30%) due to lower plasma drug concentrations. This effect was dose-dependent and influenced by food carbohydrate content, but not by the lag time between exenatide injection and meal ingestion. Hence, GER inhibition by exenatide IR represents an important additional mechanism of its effect on PPG.

Drug-disease modeling in the pharmaceutical industry - where mechanistic systems pharmacology and statistical pharmacometrics meet.

Modeling & simulation (M&S) methodologies are established quantitative tools, which have proven to be useful in supporting the research, development (R&D), regulatory approval, and marketing of novel therapeutics. Applications of M&S help design efficient studies and interpret their results in context of all available data and knowledge to enable effective decision-making during the R&D process. In this mini-review, we focus on two sets of modeling approaches: population-based models, which are well-established within the pharmaceutical industry today, and fall under the discipline of clinical pharmacometrics (PMX); and systems dynamics models, which encompass a range of models of (patho-)physiology amenable to pharmacological intervention, of signaling pathways in biology, and of substance distribution in the body (today known as physiologically-based pharmacokinetic models) - which today may be collectively referred to as quantitative systems pharmacology models (QSP). We next describe the convergence - or rather selected integration - of PMX and QSP approaches into 'middle-out' drug-disease models, which retain selected mechanistic aspects, while remaining parsimonious, fit-for-purpose, and able to address variability and the testing of covariates. We further propose development opportunities for drug-disease systems models, to increase their utility and applicability throughout the preclinical and clinical spectrum of pharmaceutical R&D.